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The farce and fiasco that marred Kenya’s election will prove costly and damaging to the whole region

Kenya’s political crisis will cast a long shadow over neighbouring states this year as prospects for its speedy resolution recede (see Box). The confrontation between rival presidential candidates Mwai Kibaki and Raila Odinga, against a backdrop of widespread electoral fraud and communal violence claiming over 500 lives, sends the worst possible signals about accountability and stability in East Africa and beyond. The whole region may pay for this crisis in 2008 as it turns Kenya from regional peacemaker and host of refugees into a contested state from where its hounded citizens flee into neighbouring countries for their own protection. Most immediately, the crisis shatters its neighbours’ economic plans. Finance Minister Amos Kimunya conceded that Kenya may have lost as much as US$1 billion in the post-election violence and business closures. The losses incurred by adjacent countries are mounting, too. The suspension of operations at Mombasa port blocks fuel and basic commodities for delivery beyond Kenya to Rwanda, Burundi, Southern Sudan, Eastern Congo and Uganda. January export earnings will be equally badly hit. Many of the tourists missing from Kenya’s coast and game-parks would have gone on to mainland Tanzania and Zanzibar; cautious tour operators do not distinguish one East African state from another....

(This article contains approximately 3623 words)

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Keywords:

Mwai Kibaki, Raila Odinga, Amos Kimunya, Rwanda, Burundi, Sudan, Congo, Uganda, Tanzania, TANZANIA:, Jakaya Kikwete, Edward Lowassa, Nazir Karamagi, Zitto Kabwe, Augustine Mrema, Halima Mdee, Zimbabwe, Somalia, Ethiopia, United States, UGANDA:, Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, Gilbert Bukenya, Warren Kizza Besigye, Jim Muhwezi, Joseph Kony, Salva Kiir Mayardit, Iraq, RWANDA:, France, Jean-Louis Bruguière, Paul Kagame, Juvénal Habyarimana, Bernard Kouchner, Nicolas Sarkozy, BURUNDI:, Pierre Nkurunziza, Hussein Radjabu, Australian, Agathon Rwasa, Pasteur Habimana, Evariste Ngoyagoye, Ghana, Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal, Abdoulaye Wade, José Manuel Barroso, SUDAN:, George W. Bush, Austrian, Chad, Idriss Déby Itno, China, Ban Ki-Moon, Kofi Annan, Central African Republic, Irish, ETHIOPIA:, Eritrea, Issayas Aferwerki, Meles Zenawi, ERITREA:, North Korean, Canadian, SOMALIA:, Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed, Nur Hassan Hussein ‘Adde’, Djibouti, DJIBOUTI:, Bernard Borrel, Ismail Omar Guelleh, Chama cha Mapinduzi, Chama cha Maendeleo, gacaca, Ibuka, Front pour la Démocratie au Burundi, Union pour le Progrès National, Conseil National pour la Défense de la Démocratie-Forces pour la Défense de la Démocratie, Cour des Comptes, Forces Nationales de Libération, Al Shabaab, Shabaab, Union pour la Majorité Présidentielle