The most serious challenge to Yoweri Museveni's presidency was always going to come from within his own coalition and that seems to have started in Kampala this month. A dispute between Museveni and Kabaka Ronald Muwenda Mutebi, the titular king of Uganda's largest ethnic group, the Baganda, sparked off riots on 10-12 September during which more than 20 people were shot dead. The riots erupted after the government blocked King Ronnie's visit to a district of his Kingdom. The consequences are likely to be far-reaching. The most obvious one is that President Museveni would struggle to win a free election without substantial support from the Baganda.
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