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The national presidency seems safe for Kikwete but Zanzibar remains uneasy

By a surprisingly wide margin, the ever governing Chama Cha Mapinduzi last week picked its candidate for October's presidential election: Foreign Minister Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete. Nobody expects him to lose. As usual, though, there could be trouble in Zanzibar, where tension is building up and the CCM is doing little to calm things, with its leaders confidently speaking of 'wiping out' the Civic United Front, the opposition party which many believe has twice been cheated of victory in the islands.

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Benjamin Mkapa, The contenders, Salim Ahmed Salim, Mark Mwandosya, Ali Mohamed Shein, Ibrahim Lipumba, Ali Hassan Mwinyi, Mohamed Gharib Bilal, Amani Abeid Karume, Kenya, Beatings in Stonetown, Omari Mahita, Philip Mangula

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