My Account Login
Basket 0 Items

View basket | Checkout

Find us on Facebook
Image courtesy of Panos Pictures
Image courtesy of Panos Pictures

View site

After blocking Gadaffi’s bid for a second term as AU Chairman, the summiteers toughened their anti-coup rules and called for peacekeepers in Somalia

The reign of Libya’s Moammar el Gadaffi as Chairman of the African Union has ended in a petulant whimper rather than in a big bang for African unity a...

ZIMBABWE

Economic clouds, platinum lining

ZIMBABWE

The President ends his holiday

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

The United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon’s awkwardness with journalists sparked a diplomatic furore after he was quoted at the African Union summit as saying that the UN would ‘work hard to avoid a possible secession’ in Sudan. Furious officials at the Government of South Sudan’s mission to the United States told Africa Confidential it was unacceptable for the UN to take sides ahead of next year’s referendum on independence for the South. Ban’s statement also prompted a request for  clarification from the South’s President, Salva Kiir Mayardit, and local protests. Complicating matters for Secretary General Ban was that he was speaking after remarks by AU Commission President Jean Ping, who is openly pro-Khartoum, suggesting that Southern secession could prompt Sudan’s violent break-up. Some critics note that in 1950, the UN intervened with the USA’s backing in Ban’s homeland to divide the country into North Korea and South Korea. UN Spokesman Farhan Haq insisted that Ban had been misinterpreted and misreported. Another UN official told us Ban was trying to reinvigorate the final stages of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, which calls for both parties to make national unity ‘attractive’. Although the UN would not go against the results of the referendum, the official said, it might seek a political deal as part of a two-track strategy; the other track would be preparations for a newly independent state.The United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon’s awkwardness with journalists sparked a diplomatic furore after he was quoted at the African Union summit as saying that the UN would ‘work hard to avoid a possible secession’ in Sudan. Furious officials at the Government of South Sudan’s mission to the United States told Africa Confidential it was unacceptable for the UN to take sides ahead of next year’s referendum on independence for the South. Ban’s statement also prompted a request for  clarification from the South’s President, Salva Kiir Mayardit, and local protests. Complicating matters for Secretary General Ban was that he was speaking after remarks by AU Commission President Jean Ping, who is openly pro-Khartoum, suggesting that Southern secession could prompt Sudan’s violent break-up. Some critics note that in 1950, the UN intervened with the USA’s backing in Ban’s homeland to divide the country into North Korea and South Korea. UN Spokesman Farhan Haq insisted that Ban had been misinterpreted and misreported. Another UN official told us Ban was trying to reinvigorate the final stages of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, which calls for both parties to make national unity ‘attractive’. Although the UN would not go against the results of the referendum, the official said, it might seek a political deal as part of a two-track strategy; the other track would be preparations for a newly independent state.

MOZAMBIQUE

The country gets richer, the party gets stronger

President Armando Emílio Guebuza never fails to seize an opportunity. After his controversial landslide election victory in October, he plans to reinforce his dominance of the governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique when setting the agenda for his second and constitutionally last term in office (AC Vol 50 No 22). The unfinished business from his first term is to continue the drive toward modernisation, growth and poverty reduction, backed by inflows of foreign and private investment. Yet some donors are uncomfortable with his muscular approach, which involves rolling back the pluralism of the period since the civil war that ended in 1992 and confirming Frelimo’s hegemony.

SUDAN | ANALYSIS

Southern leaders compete for a new state

referendumA new wave of violence and fraudulent elections could block any chance of progress on Darfur and undermine the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) led by Salva Kiir Mayardit, who is also President of the Government of South Sudan (GOSS) and national First Vice-President. There is growing international concern at this prospect: Sudan’s crisis has been on the agenda of both the United Nations Security Council and the African Union Peace and Security Council in recent weeks. Yet events suit the National Congress Party (NCP, aka National Islamic Front) regime, which has been trying to make the organisation of next year’s referendum on independence for Southern Sudan as difficult as possible and to weaken the potential Southern state.

SUDAN

Three leaders who count in the South

Salva Kiir Mayardit, President, Government of South Sudan, Riek Machar Teny Dhurgon, GOSS Vice-President, and Paulino Matip Nhial, Lieutenant General, SPLA-SSDF.

AFRICA | UNITED STATES

More money for the military

The United States’ military strategy in Africa, much criticised under President George W. Bush, looks much the same over a year after the inauguration of President Barack Obama. The Pentagon controls over 20% of US assistance to Africa, prompting accusations of militarisation of policy. In Washington, diplomats prefer to speak of a policy vacuum and complain that their civilian agencies are underfunded.

AFRICA | UNITED STATES

Who’s who in Africom

Theresa Whelan, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence for African Affairs, General William ‘Kip’ Ward, Commander, Africom, Anthony Holmes, Deputy to the Commander for Civil-Military Activities, and Vice-Admiral Robert T. Moeller, Deputy, Military Operations, Africom.

AFRICA | UNITED STATES

Warriors and diplomats

The United States Africa Command in Stuttgart, Germany, represents a remarkable shift in policy over little more than a decade. In 1995, a Defense Department memorandum concluded that ‘America’s security interests in Africa are very limited’ and that ‘ultimately we see very little traditional strategic interest in Africa’.

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

The United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon’s awkwardness with journalists sparked a diplomatic furore after he was quoted at the African Union summit as saying that the UN would ‘work hard to avoid a possible secession’ in Sudan. Furious officials at the Government of South Sudan’s mission to the United States told Africa Confidential it was unacceptable for the UN to take sides ahead of next year’s referendum on independence for the South. Ban’s statement also prompted a request for  cla...

KENYA

An American agreement

Kenyans are puzzled by the sudden agreement on the role of the presidency and devolution of power by 26 members of the Parliamentary Select Committee. The PSC was on a retreat in Naivasha to debate the intricacies of constitutional reform. Until now, Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) stalwarts such as Raila Odinga and William Ruto have insisted that the post of Prime Minister be entrenched in the constitution. Negotiators from President Mwai Kibaki’s Party of National Unity (PNU), however, have opposed devolution and decentralisation as a form of ‘majimboism’, which they saw as a means to legitimise the eviction of Kikuyu and others from the Rift Valley.



FREE EMAIL ALERTS

Need to know what's really happening in political, diplomatic and security circles across Africa?

Patrick Smith Then sign up today to receive our FREE email alert service, from Africa Confidential’s Editor, Patrick Smith, and you'll be one of the first to find out what's happening – and understand the implications for your organisation. 

You get the latest Africa Confidential headlines delivered direct to your email inbox every fortnight, plus a FREE COPY of 'The Editor's Choice' – 66 pages of the very best recent articles from Africa Confidential.

NB: 'The Editor's Choice' is in PDF format. So you can download it in an instant – just as soon as you have registered with us.

Complete your details below, and you'll soon be reading our first-class coverage and analysis of African developments.

confidentially speaking

The Africa Confidential blog

Latest post

The regional fight intensifies after Kano slaughter

Africa Confidential In The News

 

Reuters, 16 January 2012
UPDATE 1-Nigeria: will it fall apart or can it hold?
[Goodluck Jonathan is] "eerily calm considering we could be weeks away from a major confrontation," said Africa Confidential editor Patrick Smith. "The absolute failure ... to wheel on southerners and northerners at the same time to say this is a national crisis and we have to pull together, is striking."

 

BBC Newshour, 14 January 2012
Suicide bomb kills Basra pilgrims; elections in Taiwan; and special focus on Nigeria audio clip
Africa Confidential's editor Patrick Smith speaks to Julian Marshall in the special focus on Nigeria.

 

BBC Newsnight, 24 August 2011
Risk Islamists will move in to fill Libya power vacuum
Colonel Muammar Gaddafi claimed that if he was ousted from power Islamist radicals would seize control of Libya. Patrick Smith speaks to Newsnight's Robin Denselow about whether he is likely to be proven right or wrong.

 

BBC, 16 August 2011
Solomon Mujuru: Obituary of a Zimbabwean 'king-maker'
"He had all the mystique of a liberation war hero that has served him to present-day politics," Patrick Smith, editor of the London-based Africa Confidential magazine, told the BBC's Focus on Africa programme. 

 

TIME Magazine, 1 June 2011
Death, Prison or Exile: Gaddafi Is Out of Options
"My understanding is that they would be delighted if he did a duck," Smith says.

 




Who's Who

Biographies of hundreds of noteworthy and influential people from Africa and Asia

Issue archive

Search our 12-year online archive

ArchiveAlternatively, contact us to find out about access to more than 50 years of the world's best fortnightly newsletter on African politics.

Looking for a specific issue of Africa Confidential?

Payment cards