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The great investment chase gathers pace

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

The continent is attracting growing volumes of new money but they fall far short of its latest energy and development targets

The slow pace of investment in renewable energy in Africa should have been one of the biggest climate finance issues at the UN COP27 summit but was overshadowed by developing economies' elation over winning agreement on setting up the fund to compensate countries hardest hit by extreme weather.


Geingob's successor to inherit a divided SWAPO

Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah and Hage Geingob. Pic: FB VPSWAPOParty
Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah and Hage Geingob. Pic: FB VPSWAPOParty

Two female ruling party veterans are front-runners in the race to be the party's flag-bearer in the 2024 elections and halt the slide in the popular vote

Seven hundred delegates attend the seventh elective congress of the SWAPO Party in Windhoek on 25-27 November to elect the party's next vice-president and successor to President Ha...


Chakwera's travels and travails

Lazarus Chakwera at the Annual Military Veterans Thanksgiving Golf Tournament, 4 November 2022. Pic: FB DrLazarusChakwera
Lazarus Chakwera at the Annual Military Veterans Thanksgiving Golf Tournament, 4 November 2022. Pic: FB DrLazarusChakwera

There's no let-up in popular anger with the President's trips abroad, while the government mends fences with the IMF

Nobody was surprised to see President Lazarus Chakwera's motorcade loudly booed as it swooped past motorists languishing in long queues for scarce petrol on the weekend of 3-4 Nove...


Conference countdown sharpens ANC contest

Pic: anc1912.org.za
Pic: anc1912.org.za

President Ramaphosa's backers worry that his chances of a second term are weakened by the 'Farmgate' saga which his rivals are exploiting

In front of the cameras the comrades beamed. Yet several senior African National Congress officials say that President Cyril Ramaphosa's position is weakening and don't rule out 'a...


Delegates haggle in Egypt as the planet burns

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

African leaders argued for the continent's fossil fuels at the UN COP27 summit amid fierce debates over energy access and compensation for climate change

That the UN's climate summit in Sharm el Sheikh has been popularised as the 'African COP' owes as much to the strong African focus of the negotiations as to the location. Whether o...

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Showcase fails to quell rights concerns

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

Behind Egypt's green boosterism lies a fragile economy and a government anxious to keep the lid on dissent

Hosting the UN COP27 summit in the south Sinai resort of Sharm el Sheikh has given President Abdel Fattah el Sisi an opportunity to highlight Egypt's green energy potential, but he...


Al Shabaab lashes out after heavy losses

Aftermath of the 29 October 2022 bombing in Mogadishu. Pic: Hassan Bashi/Xinhua/Alamy
Aftermath of the 29 October 2022 bombing in Mogadishu. Pic: Hassan Bashi/Xinhua/Alamy

The recent bomb attack in the capital reveals weakness in Al Shabaab, which is at its lowest military ebb for years

The horrific Al Shabaab bombing in Mogadishu on 29 October which killed 100 and wounded more than 400 showed the jihadists' defiance in the face of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud'...


Spend, spend, spend

Pic: RODWORKS / stock.adobe.com
Pic: RODWORKS / stock.adobe.com

Government borrowing has been soaring, and loans from the central bank are many times over the statutory limit

Lower tax revenues due to plummeting recorded crude oil output, coupled with several expansionary budgets, mean that Nigerian government borrowing has been rocketing as the country...


Cyril in Empireland

Pic: GovernmentZA
Pic: GovernmentZA

King Charles III and Prime Minister Sunak see President Ramaphosa's forthcoming visit as marking a new era

It is symbolically and politically important to Britain that South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa is the first leader to be hosted by King Charles III for a state visit from 22...


Ruto and Odinga loyalists battle over election body

Wafula Chebukati. Pic: John Ochieng/SOPA Images/Sipa USA/Alamy
Wafula Chebukati. Pic: John Ochieng/SOPA Images/Sipa USA/Alamy

The fight to control the electoral commission focuses on personalities instead of pushing for its wider reform

Wafula Chebukati, the chairman of Kenya's Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) is due to retire on 17 January but the opposition's critiques of the organisation &...


Big Tech's ethical mining rules thrown into chaos

Pic: globalwitness.org
Pic: globalwitness.org

A row over a scheme to outlaw minerals produced by companies using child labour or financing wars in Central Africa will hit global supply chains

The world's biggest tech companies – including Alphabet, Apple, Samsung and Tesla – buying tin, tungsten and coltan from Central Africa face a supply chain crisis after...


Lobbyist brings down climate fund

NJ Ayuk. Pic: centurionlg.com
NJ Ayuk. Pic: centurionlg.com

The UN Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) was forced to scrap its flagship Team Energy Africa initiative, days before its launch at COP27, after being embarrassed over the invo...


Loans before haircuts

Hakainde Hichilema. Pic: Public domain
Hakainde Hichilema. Pic: Public domain

Finalising a US$1.3 billion loan with the International Monetary Fund in September was the easy part of Zambia's bid to avoid insolvency, according to analysts and officials from t...


Finance in question

Anas Aremyaw Anas. Pic: FB anasglobal
Anas Aremyaw Anas. Pic: FB anasglobal

The sacking of Minister of State for Finance Charles Adu Boahen on 14 November briefly moved the spotlight from the substantive Minister of Finance Ken Ofori-Atta who has been answ...


Closing down the opposition

Pic: FB Muse Bihi Abdi
Pic: FB Muse Bihi Abdi

President Muse Bihi Abdi looks to be succeeding in his campaign to neutralise the opposition and consolidate the extension of his own presidential term by two years, regardless of ...


Addis Ababa and Tigray sign an uneasy truce

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

A trio of African politicians have presided over a tentative step towards ending the world’s deadliest conflict

The truce signed between Addis Ababa's federal forces and Tigrayan representatives in Pretoria on 2 November opens the prospect of an end to the fighting and resumption of essentia...

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Chang's extradition to the US looms

Manuel Chang. Pic: opais.co.mz
Manuel Chang. Pic: opais.co.mz

Former Finance Minister Manuel Chang would rather be tried in the US than his own country, sources have told Africa Confidential

The United States and Mozambican governments have been fighting for the right to extradite former finance minister Manuel Chang from South Africa to face money-laundering and fraud...


Onshore war versus offshore gains

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

Cabo Delgado insurgents have lost key positions but look set for a long war, while Maputo pleads with the operators to get the LNG project restarted

Officials applaud operations by the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF) and Southern African Development Community (SADC) troops to clear roads and transport hubs in troubled Cabo Delgado ...


Ramaphosa names his party allies

Senzo Mchunu. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)
Senzo Mchunu. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)

The president will face off against the man controlling the ANC machine at the party’s upcoming elective conference

Discontent over the multiple powerful positions accumulated by African National Congress Secretary-General Paul Mashatile was behind President Cyril Ramaphosa's decision not to mak...


Prosecutor Batohi swings into action

Shamila Batohi Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)
Shamila Batohi Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)

The tide is turning against corruption despite a factionalised ruling party and failing state-run transport and power utilities

In the early hours of 27 October, Matshela Koko, former chief executive of the ailing state power utility Eskom, and 16 senior officials were arrested on fraud charges relating to ...


A different kind of cronyism

President William Ruto at his inauguration. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)
President William Ruto at his inauguration. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)

President Ruto's new cabinet establishes a new elite ushered in with maximum connections and minimum scrutiny

Keen to honour his campaign debts, and with apparently little concern over the integrity of his nominees, President William Ruto has sworn in a 24-member cabinet that is heavy on l...


Economic woes hit Akufo-Addo on all sides

Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo. Pic: Simone Kuhlmey/Pacific Press/Alamy
Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo. Pic: Simone Kuhlmey/Pacific Press/Alamy

Ruling party MPs call for the head of the finance minister, as critics blame corruption for the plunging cedi and rising prices

Under growing pressure from within and outside his New Patriotic Party (NPP), President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo is trying to mollify critics of the government's economic strate...


Massacre threatens transition plan

Pic: succes.masra FB
Pic: succes.masra FB

Mahamat Déby's plan to stay on at least until late 2024 and keep control of security is in question after state forces brutally suppressed demonstrations

Interim President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' and his 'inclusive' new government, which boasts reconciled oppositionists and reformed militia leaders, is in deep crisis ...


Unions and oppositionists warn of a social explosion

Protesters clash with police, Tunis, October 2022. Pic: Hasan Mrad/IMAGESLIVE via ZUMA Press Wire/Alamy
Protesters clash with police, Tunis, October 2022. Pic: Hasan Mrad/IMAGESLIVE via ZUMA Press Wire/Alamy

Widespread food and fuel shortages are driving anger on the streets as President Saïed focuses on his authoritarian political project