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Oil bonanzas, succession struggles and post-war elections make an explosive regional cocktail

There is hot speculation about whether President Olusegun Obasanjo wants to amend the constitution and secure a third term which, according to some elder statesmen, could damage his reputation and Nigeria's stability. Others remind him that the necessary constitutional amendment would allow the 36 state governors to stand again too: the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission has denounced many as corrupt. Obasanjo will have to show his hand when the governing People's Democratic Party holds national and zonal caucuses to pick its candidates for the 2007 presidential, parliamentary and state elections. He will also have to say whom he backs in the governorship races. Expect these meetings to be held as late as possible. Any constitutional change needs a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly, where a standing committee is working on the idea. We hear that members who oppose the third term have left the committee.

(This article contains approximately 3164 words)

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Olusegun Obasanjo, Yakubu Gowon, Ibrahim Babangida, Charles Soludo, Flashpoint in the Delta, Dokubo Asari, Diepreye Alamieyeseigha, James Ibori, Sani Abacha, British, United States, Atiku Abubakar, Edmund Daukoru, France, Dick Cheney, Indian, Liberia, Philippines, Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, Switzerland, Mohammed, Buba Marwa, Fall out in the parties, Jerry John Rawlings, Obed Asamoah, Goosie Tanoh, Kwame Nkrumah, Edward Mahama, Kojo Tsikata, Kwesi Botchwey, Paul Victor Obeng, Frances Essiam, Kweku Baah, John Agyekum Kufuor, Kwadwo Afari-Gyan, Debt-relief and solar eclipse, Kwadwo Baah-Wiredu, Benin, Egypt, Libya, Niger, Togo, Côte d'Ivoire, Congo-Kinshasa, Sudan, Osei Tutu, GAMBIA, Yahya Jammeh, Omar Jallow, Dauda Jawara, Hamat Bah, Halifa Sallah, Deyda Hydara, Maimuna Taal, Senegal, TOGO, Louis Michel, Faure Gnassingbé, Gilchrist Olympio, Gnassingbé Eyadéma, Sylvanus Olympio, Italian, Monrovia's facelift, Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf, George Weah, Laura Bush,, Condoleezza Rice, Oprah Winfrey, CÔTE D'IVOIRE, Laurent Gbagbo, Charles Konan-Banny, French, Ibrahim Coulibaly, Germany, GUINEA, Alpha Condé, Chinese, BENIN, Mathieu Kérékou, Yayi Boni, Adrien Houngbedji, SENEGAL, Abdoulaye Wade, Idrissa Seck, Karim, Léopold Sédar Senghor, SAO TOME E PRINCIPE, Fradique de Menezes, Angolan, Miguel Trovoada, Mission des Nations Unies en République Démocratique du Congo, Ya-Na, Asantehene, Otumfuo, Union des Forces de Changement, Groupements Patriotiques de la Paix, Forces Nouvelles, Front Républicain pour l'Alternance Démocratique, Rassemblement du Peuple de Guinée, Banque Ouest-Afrcaine de Développement, Parti Démocratique Sénégalais, tout sauf Wade, Movimento de Libertação de São Tomé e Príncipe, Movimento das Forças da Mudança