Vol 66 No 23 | ERITREAETHIOPIA The fight for the Red Sea escalates 21st November 2025 Commercial interests, naval ambitions and shifting alliances are raising the risk of war – as regional states pick sides Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has repeatedly insisted that Ethiopia must secure direct access to the Red Sea. In his October address to parliament, he called it ‘inevitable’, citing...
Vol 66 No 23 | CHADSUDAN Abu Dhabi pressures Mahamat Kaka 21st November 2025 The RSF’s seizure of El Fasher exposed the fragility of the Ndjamena regime and its dependence on United Arab Emirates funding The seizure of El Fasher by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) on 26 October prompted louder calls from United States and European Union politicians for sanctions against the...
Vol 66 No 23 | SOUTH SUDAN Spinning out of control 21st November 2025 The dismissal of Salva Kiir’s closest ally in a chaotic reshuffle has left him looking increasingly isolated With the economy racing downhill, the peace process ever more fragile and the political landscape dominated by the treason trial of former First Vice-President Riek Machar Teny Dhurgon...
Vol 66 No 23 | UGANDA Museveni looks to an oil boost 21st November 2025 Growth and exports climb ahead of national elections, as the government pins its hopes on extractive revenues President Yoweri Museveni and his ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) party approach January’s national elections with the National Unity Platform (NUP) opposition targeting his record on education, health...
Vol 66 No 23 | TANZANIA The power behind Samia’s throne 21st November 2025 The technocrat and the party hack – that is the early assessment of new Prime Minister Mwigulu Nchemba and Vice-President Emmanuel Nchimbi, the two men tasked with fronting...
Vol 66 No 23 | KENYAEUROPEAN UNION Chemicals in court 21st November 2025 At the Environment and Land Court in Nairobi on 13 November, justices began hearing a landmark lawsuit seeking to ban multinational manufacturers and local distributors from placing toxic...
Vol 66 No 23 | ETHIOPIA Fano’s battlefield gains show Abiy’s shaky grip on the regions 14th November 2025 Federal government is pushed back hard as opposition forces in Amhara, Oromo and Tigray form a loose anti-regime front, redrawing the political map in the Horn After recent victories by insurgents in Amhara, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government has been showing signs of the strain as its opponents join forces and launch heavier challenges....
Vol 66 No 22 | SUDAN Burhan’s leadership in question after Darfur retreat 7th November 2025 The fall of El Fasher exposes international failures as the RSF kills thousands of civilians with impunity The Rapid Support Forces’ seizure of El Fasher on 26 October after a brutal 16 month siege, gives it control over much of western Sudan and has strengthened...
Vol 66 No 22 | TANZANIA Cloud of blood and doubt hangs over Hassan’s victory 6th November 2025 Marked by eerie calm and deadly force, the vote unfolded under an internet shutdown – amid fear and fraud ‘Hundreds’ of Tanzanians were killed by security forces during the presidential election on 29 October and in the days that followed, as President Samia Suluhu Hassan was declared...
Vol 66 No 22 | KENYA Ruto goes west as ODM ponders life after Raila 5th November 2025 While the Orange Democratic Movement works out its future, President Ruto is shoring up his support in its heartlands The death of Raila Amolo Odinga has left Nairobi’s political class with a compelling question: how much longer before his Orange Democratic Movement splits? At stake is a...