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Kenya

Raila beats Ruto as the oligarchs' favourite

Raila Odinga supporters in 2007. Pic: Demosh (CC BY 2.0)
Raila Odinga supporters in 2007. Pic: Demosh (CC BY 2.0)

Central Province – President Kenyatta's home area – is now the swing region ahead of next year's elections

In ever greater numbers, presidential contenders are trooping to Central Kenya in search of grassroots supporters as well as endorsements from the Mount Kenya oligarchs.


Eastern strongman squares up for the polls

General Khalifa Haftar. Pic: Sergei Savostyanov/TASS/Alamy
General Khalifa Haftar. Pic: Sergei Savostyanov/TASS/Alamy

As the country takes faltering steps towards elections set for December, only General Haftar has so far entered the ring

Having failed to become master of his country by the bullet with the collapse last year of his 14-month offensive against Tripoli, eastern-based General Khalifa Haftar has opted fo...


The opposition stays on hold

Demonstration in Tunis, 18 September 2021. Pic: Jdidi Wassim/Medialys Images/Alamy
Demonstration in Tunis, 18 September 2021. Pic: Jdidi Wassim/Medialys Images/Alamy

Appointing a technocrat prime minister has bought President Saïed more time as his approval ratings start to fall

It has become the battle of the demonstrations. So far President Kaïs Saïed, who has suspended the constitution indefinitely, is winning but scepticism about his plans is...


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Fishing in undiplomatic waters

Brussels bureaucrats and Moroccan diplomats are trying to find a way around another troublesome European Court ruling

The ruling by the European Court of Justice confirming its refusal to extend the EU's trade and fisheries agreements with Morocco to cover the Western Sahara marks another setback ...

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Migration politics

Ahead of next year's elections President Macron's government wants to look tougher on migration

France's decision to halve the number of visas available to Moroccans and Algerians and reduce by a third those for Tunisians has triggered a backlash and has re-energised the migr...

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How shadow states threaten democracies

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021

Two new reports investigate how political leaders are subverting constitutional rule and handing power to business cronies

Call them illiberal democracies, elective dictatorships or 'no-party' politics, the global tide of authoritarianism with constitutional characteristics has been welcomed, sometimes...

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High expectations of HH

Hakainde Hichilema. Pic: Mike Hutchings / Reuters / Alamy
Hakainde Hichilema. Pic: Mike Hutchings / Reuters / Alamy

The new president is sending all the right signals but needs to move fast to avoid disappointing voters and investors

President Hakainde Hichilema's record of early appointments and dismissals shows he is making good on his promise of a new start for governance and the economy, Lusaka pundits say,...


Transfer window still open

Pic:  Sombo Sombo / Alamy
Pic: Sombo Sombo / Alamy

Ruling party apparatchiks are luring their opponents to defect as parties choose their presidential contenders

Fear of the unknown and super-charged ambition are driving record numbers of opposition party governors and other top officials to cross over to the ruling party. Many more are thi...


Anti-gay bill heads to house

Anti-gay bill heads to house
Pic: michaklootwijk / stock.adobe.com

Pic: michaklootwijk / stock.adobe.com

The opposition is manipulating religious animosity against homosexuality to steal a march on the government

A bill seeking to criminalise LGBTQ+ sexual relationships is expected to come before Ghana's parliament soon after it reconvenes on 19 October. And although it's being used as a po...


Toxic relationship in the Sahel

Pic: Bumble Dee / stock.adobe.com
Pic: Bumble Dee / stock.adobe.com

Moscow's military support for Mali's junta is raising tensions with France, and risks opening up old wounds in the north

Russia has delivered four military helicopters to Mali's military regime, just as the country's latest public row with former colonial power France floods the Bamako and Paris medi...


Mining magnates hail ruling

Big Hole, Kimberley. Pic: South African Tourism (CC BY 2.0)
Big Hole, Kimberley. Pic: South African Tourism (CC BY 2.0)

The High Court curbs ministerial powers to enforce black empowerment targets as companies pledge to boost investment

A landmark High Court ruling curtailing ministerial powers on mine ownership is set to end three years of policy uncertainty. Looking at growing production across the continent, So...


Rivalry holds back the region

Ukur Yatani. Pic: Njeri Mwangi/Reuters/Alamy
Ukur Yatani. Pic: Njeri Mwangi/Reuters/Alamy

Regional trade has largely recovered from the pandemic, but is still hampered by political battles

East Africa's economy grew the fastest of all Africa's regions before the pandemic. Growth was predicted at 5.1% for 2020 pre-Covid – largely driven by strong spending on inf...


Regime blames MPs for killings

MPs protest against the detention Allan Ssewanyana and Muhammad Ssegirinya. Pic: @HEBobiwine
MPs protest against the detention Allan Ssewanyana and Muhammad Ssegirinya. Pic: @HEBobiwine

After police failed to trace the assassins who killed 26 people in Masaka, the government declares it was two opposition MPs

No sooner had Muhammad Ssegirinya and Allan Ssewanyana, MPs belonging to Bobi Wine's National Unity Platform (NUP), been released on bail on murder charges on 29 September than the...


Placing faith in future coal

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021

Although the government has signed up to multiple climate change commitments, coal-mining is set to grow

A slew of major projects backed by Chinese official finance ran into the sand during the presidency of John Magufuli, and President Samia Suluhu Hassan has been trying to put them ...


Show us the money

The huge 'Pandora Papers' leak spearheaded by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists provides intriguing new details of the wealth of some of Africa's most power...


Probe into shootings of 'poachers'

Pic: Oleksii / stock.adobe.com
Pic: Oleksii / stock.adobe.com

Botswana has formally registered an inquest through the courts to investigate the shootings of three Namibians and a Zambian by its army along a river border with Namibia last Nove...


Mines ministry contenders

Mamady Doumbouya is sworn in as transitional president, 1 October 2021. Pic: Xinhua/Alamy
Mamady Doumbouya is sworn in as transitional president, 1 October 2021. Pic: Xinhua/Alamy

One month into the coup that removed President Alpha Condé from power, Guinea's new military leader Colonel Mamady Doumbouya is keeping everyone guessing as to how a new gov...


Why the Vatican vote counts

Pic: Eric Vandeville / Abaca Press / Alamy
Pic: Eric Vandeville / Abaca Press / Alamy

In Anambra state, the Catholic Church’s blessing could prove crucial for a business executive running for governor


The Wagner act

Yevgeny Prigozhin. Pic: Mikhail Metzel/TASS/Alamy
Yevgeny Prigozhin. Pic: Mikhail Metzel/TASS/Alamy


State taxes boost devolution

Justices of the Supreme Court of Nigeria. Pic: supremecourt.gov.ng
Justices of the Supreme Court of Nigeria. Pic: supremecourt.gov.ng

A push for regional states to collect and spend their own VAT is gathering steam, as Lagos passes its own new tax law


Who judges the judges?

Supreme Court of Ghana. Pic: Guido Sohne 2006 (CC BY-SA 2.0)
Supreme Court of Ghana. Pic: Guido Sohne 2006 (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Activists and oppositionists say political loyalties are undermining the independence of the Supreme Court


Moscow tilt poses risks

Faustin-Archange Touadera. Pic: Alexander Shcherbak/TASS/Alamy
Faustin-Archange Touadera. Pic: Alexander Shcherbak/TASS/Alamy

The president increasingly relies on Russia but it may not be able to protect him against a possible cut in funds over human rights abuses and aid theft


A win for the Makhzen

Aziz Akhannouch. Pic: Alexander Demianchuk/ITAR-TASS/Alamy
Aziz Akhannouch. Pic: Alexander Demianchuk/ITAR-TASS/Alamy

The victory for Aziz Akhannouch’s loyal liberal party promises a government the king can count on


Who runs the Western Cape?

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021

The province is the only opposition stronghold. The ANC shows no sign of making inroads in the coming local elections


Doublethink in Ecowas

Pic: U.S. Army photo by Staff Sgt. Candace Mundt/Released
Pic: U.S. Army photo by Staff Sgt. Candace Mundt/Released

Under fire from putschists and civilian dissidents, the regional body is trying to draw up new rules on term limits


A trial on trial

Lecture by Paul Rusesabagina, as part of the IPC commemoration of the 20th anniversary of the Rwandan Genocide, March 2014. Pic: Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy University of Michigan (CC BY-ND 2.0)
Lecture by Paul Rusesabagina, as part of the IPC commemoration of the 20th anniversary of the Rwandan Genocide, March 2014. Pic: Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy University of Michigan (CC BY-ND 2.0)


Junta opens transition talks

Mamady Doumbouya after meeting Ecowas envoys, Conakry, 10 September 2021. Pic: Reuters /Saliou Samb / Alamy
Mamady Doumbouya after meeting Ecowas envoys, Conakry, 10 September 2021. Pic: Reuters /Saliou Samb / Alamy

Lt Col Doumbouya launches consultations as mining companies fret and fears grow of a new military era in the region