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Factional fireworks threaten party

Chart Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017
Chart Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

Next week's policy conference promises to bring all the party's problems together in an explosive combination

Senior African National Congress leaders are deeply worried that the stresses within the governing party could tear the ANC apart as they look forward to next week's policy conference, which takes place every five years. Never before have so many fundamental political issues combined with such serious electoral and governance challenges, they warn. They also promise fireworks for the elective conference in December.


Trafigura aims for gas prize

The giant commodities firm hopes to help its politically favoured partner, Sakunda Holdings, to cash in on an expected gas boom

Multinational commodities trader Trafigura is expanding into power generation and natural gas, including liquefied natural gas (LNG), via its local Zimbabwean ally and partner, Sak...


Mugabe the juggler

Robert Mugabe, June 2017 Pic: Zhang Yuliang/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

Harare is abuzz with speculation about upheavals in the ruling party which could change the succession game

A vital meeting of the Politburo of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front was due to take place as Africa Confidential went to press. Such is the turmoil in the highe...

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Opinion polls in question

Although opinion surveys are losing credibility in the West, they are still taken seriously in Kenya. We look at the risks

Should we take opinion polls seriously after their serial failures to forecast elections in the United States and the United Kingdom? This is a question of critical importance ahea...


Risks for all in mining row

The escalating conflict with Acacia may define both Magufuli's presidency and the future of the extractive industries

Now that the second committee appointed by President John Magufuli to look at Acacia Mining's exports of gold-copper concentrate has largely backed the findings of the first, the b...


Chill in the air for Chenge

The former Attorney General and political fixer may be moving into the President's cross-hairs

Former senior government official Andrew Chenge, who was involved in the British Aerospace military radar affair, has survived several upsets and been regarded as untouchable. Howe...


UK vote stalls trade talks

The British government's failure to get a mandate for a 'hard Brexit' leaves its plans for increased African trade on the back burner

The United Kingdom's shock election result on 8 June, which deprived Prime Minister Theresa May of her governing majority, is likely to alter radically her Conservative government'...


The ghost of elections past

Suspecting a plot to rig the presidential election, the opposition has mobilised huge crowds

'We only have God, the people and the law. We want fair elections,' read one of the posters held by protestors from Angola's main opposition party, the União Nacional para a Indepe...


Friends in African places

Israel is working harder on improving relations in Africa than at any time since its 1970s' diplomatic push which was designed to isolate its Arab enemies. Prime Minister Benjamin ...


UN joins G-5 force

The intervention of United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres and last-minute wording tweaks finally enabled France to overcome United States and British caution and...


Split threatens food supplies

As the pre-harvest hunger gap begins and cholera spreads in Sudan and South Sudan, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-North split threatens the sporadic food and medical suppli...


Bow ties, flashing smiles and the big sell

Africa’s biggest bank takes its annual meeting to India as it courts new investors and seeks a massive capital increase

The worst is behind us, it is time to invest. That mood music – for the presidents, prime ministers, finance ministers, bankers and chief executives – played throughout...

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The great growth divide

Chart Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

With its biggest economies in the doldrums, the continent's fortunes will improve only slowly, say international financial institutions


Zuma's chaos theory

Facing down his many foes in the ANC, the President could be planning to use the crisis to prolong his leadership


Uhuru sweats as Raila rallies

The opposition is eating into Jubilee's lead while ethnic tensions are worryingly persistent despite leaders' attempt to cool them


States of failure

Foreign supporters of the factions locked in civil war are falling out as the fighting intensifies and solutions are as distant as ever


A test of wills over mining

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

President Magufuli is accusing Acacia Mining  of under-reporting production. Its mines could close if the row isn't settled