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Angola

Luanda uneasy as poll approaches



Whether or not the rumours about the President’s ill health are true, the signs that his era is ending are already showing

The state of health of President José Eduardo dos Santos has long been one of Angola's best-kept secrets. So it has remained for the three months since he was rushed to a Luanda hospital. His absence is also causing problems in Angola's highly centralised government and unsettling the ruling Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola as it campaigns for his would-be successor, João Lourenço, in the 23 August general elections. For all but its oldest members, the MPLA has known only one leader and the prospect of Dos Santos's absence is causing considerable anxiety, even to his critics in the party.


A landslide foretold

Paul Kagame greets his supporters at a presidential campaign rally in Ruhango on July 14, 2017. Pic: Lyu Tianran/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

President Kagame’s victory next month is assured. Of greater interest is how he will achieve it and his policies towards the regional flashpoints

Lest there was any doubt about the outcome of the 4 August presidential election, President Paul Kagame dispelled it himself at a mass rally on 14 July, when official campaigning b...

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Losing control in Kasaï

Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

Kabila benefits from a refugee crisis as politicians use militias against each other. But the President could be burned too

This was never a strife-torn region. The Kasaï provinces had long escaped the fate of less fortunate parts of Congo-Kinshasa but in the past year, violence has grown sharply. A lar...


Diezani in their sights

The net tightens around former Oil Minister Allison-Madueke as US prosecutors target her business partners' assets

The filing of a US$144 million assets recovery case in Houston on 14 July points to substantive progress in international investigations into tens of billions of dollars of oil con...


Magufuli's law

Mining companies hold their breath as the government introduces a radical new legal regime for the industry  

Students at the Law School of Tanzania were presented with two case studies for their commercial law examination last month which illustrate how the government's dispute with minin...


The high cost of fighting fraud

As the parties enter the last two weeks of an increasingly tense race, accusations of rigging are multiplying

As both the governing Jubilee Party and the opposition National Super Alliance (Nasa) race into the final straight before the general elections on 8 August, both are focusing relen...


Sanctions test for Trump

The US delays its sanctions decision, handing Khartoum a political defeat and rights activists a moral victory. But for how long?

Washington's deferral for three months of a decision on the 'permanent' lifting of trade sanctions on Sudan was as much about domestic politics and disarray in the White House as a...


Nkaissery leaves the stage

Joseph Nkaissery looked hale and hearty at the Labour Day rally at the tourist village Bomas of Kenya, which he attended with President Uhuru Kenyatta just hours before his sudden ...


Bye bye magic money tree

When central bank Governor Valter Filipe da Silva took the platform at a meeting on Angola's financial sector on 5 July, some listened to him describe the government's efforts to r...


Reforms stall as unrest eases

The wave of revolt has run out of steam and with it the momentum for reform. Yet resentment lingers and political challenges abound

Ten months into the state of emergency declared to help suppress a rash of protests across the country which claimed hundreds of lives, Ethiopia's security apparatus has the upper ...


Killing fields in the Rift Valley

A herder collects water for his cattle in Laikipia County. Pic: Xinhua/SIPA USA/PA Images

Pastoralists in cahoots with unscrupulous politicians are invading farms in the Northern Rift, using violence for political gain in the coming elections

Farm invasions led by Samburu herders targeting large farms and conservation projects have killed scores of people and chased some 10,000 people from their homes in Laikipia, accor...


Rock and Kroll

A summary of the much anticipated audit of the secret US$2 billion loans is out. It reveals they were all buck and no bang


Cyril's musical chairs

The presidential hopeful depends on a delicate mix of favours, talent and self-interest to produce his leadership slate


Polarisation politics

Efforts to enflame north-south relations have triggered widespread condemnation and revived memories of the civil war