UNITED STATESAFRICA Trump picks top Africa official as policies home in on resources and security 6th February 2026 Félix Tshisekedi meets Marco Rubio, 4 February 2026. Pic: @Presidence_RDC Vice-President Vance and Secretary Rubio unveil critical minerals plan in Washington Amid a flurry of initiatives in Congo-Kinshasa, Sudan, Kenya, and the Sahel, the Trump administration has named Frank Garcia, a former staffer on the Intelligence Committee in the House of Representatives, as its candidate for Assistant Secretary of State for Africa and director of the African Development Foundation. He is to coordinate US policy across Africa’s 54 states, focusing on security and trade ties, and report to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, with whom he has worked in the past.
UNITED STATESAFRICAUNITED NATIONS Bankruptcy beckons for the international system 6th February 2026 António Guterres. Pic: UN Photo/Manuel Elías Washington is withholding the funds it owes the UN to force reform but it is losing credibility and influence – even if no country wants to take over its role António Guterres has sounded alarms before, but his 28 January warning that the United Nations faces ‘imminent financial collapse’ marked the organisation’s gravest moment since 1945. The Secretary-General’s...
UNITED STATESHAITIUNITED NATIONS Africans flock to the UN’s Haiti mission 6th February 2026 Pierre Ericq Pierre, Permanent Representative of Haiti to the UN, addresses the Security Council meeting on Gang Suppression Force in Haiti. Pic: UN Photo/Rick Bajornas Francophone African troops take on the gangs of the troubled Caribbean nation as they – and UN headquarters – try to profit from a top Trump priority African nations are queuing up to contribute troops to the United Nations-organised Gang Suppression Force for Haiti, whose role is to build on the peacekeeping work of hundreds...
UNITED STATESEUROPEAN UNIONAFRICA Rich economies turn off the aid tap 6th February 2026 Pic: weforum.org Activists are demanding urgent policy reform and UN agencies are on the brink of ending many life-saving relief operations in war zones Against the backdrop of heightening geopolitical rivalries and a sluggish world economy, rich western economies are ending many of their long-established aid – or Official Development Assistance (ODA)...
KENYATANZANIAUGANDA Opposition solidarity goes regional 6th February 2026 Protestors outside the Tanzania High Commission in Nairobi, December 2025. Pic: Kenya Human Rights Commission Pro-democracy activists across the region are rallying together, but they are being met with brutal and coordinated repression by state authorities ‘Don’t try this again,’ was the message to dozens of pro-democracy activists from across East Africa as they were deported from Tanzania last year after attempting to attend...
KENYA Golden tickets for sale in Ruto’s party 6th February 2026 Pic: @WilliamsRuto The President envisages a two-three million margin of victory in next year’s elections as ambitious contenders flock to his party President William Ruto is bullish. He is aiming for re-election in August 2027 ‘by a margin of between two and three million so that we unite the country...
NIGERIA Tinubu gambles heavily on ‘fairer’ taxes 6th February 2026 NIGERIA: TAX REVENUE INCREASES CRUCIAL FOR NATIONAL FINANCES. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026 Growth, reserves and inflation are improving but the government’s new revenue drive is politically risky Almost a year before they seek re-election, President Bola Tinubu and his All Progressives Congress (APC) administration continue to promote the much debated benefits of their ambitious reform...
ETHIOPIA Tigray’s cold war with Addis heats up 6th February 2026 ETHIOPIA: Fears grow of a new Tigray war. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026 Clashes in the disputed western areas risk igniting a wider conflict across the Horn, drawing in outside sponsors A new war in Tigray – one that could again pull in Eritrea – is looking more likely after clashes broke out on 27 January between Tigrayan forces...
NIGERRUSSIAFRANCE Attack on Niamey airbase sounds alarms on uranium security 4th February 2026 Pic: RHJ / stock.adobe.com A 1,000 tonne stockpile of yellowcake is the latest flashpoint in General Tiani’s pivot from Paris to Moscow Concerns are growing for the security of a consignment of about 1,000 tonnes of uranium held at the Niger government’s military Air Base 101 next to the Diori...
UNITED STATESECONOMYAFRICA Problematic resurrection for AGOA trade scheme after Congress votes 30th January 2026 Pic: agoa.info Rival plans to extend Washington’s tariff relief offer – by one, three or sixteen years – are under review but South Africa looks set to be shut out The US Senate is due to vote on the renewal of Washington’s preferential trade agreement with African economies in the next few days with South Africa facing the...
UNITED STATESAFRICAN UNIONG20 ‘Social justice’ off the G20 summit agenda 28th January 2026 Pic: CURIOS / stock.adobe.com Trump’s exclusion of South Africa from the Miami summit shouldn’t deter other Africans from attending, says Washington United States diplomats have told African governments and others planning to attend December’s G20 summit in Miami that if they want to continue to address issues such as...
ZIMBABWEUNITED STATES Would-be Trump ally Mnangagwa risks blowback after failing to pay white farmers 23rd January 2026 Emmerson Mnangagwa. Pic: @edmnangagwa Buoyed by the US President dismissing human rights policies and pausing anti-corruption laws, Harare had offered business incentives to Washington Within hours of US President Donald J Trump’s re-election on 6 November 2024, his Zimbabwean counterpart Emmerson Mnangagwa ladled on the sycophancy in a social media posting: ‘Congratulations... READ FOR FREE
ZIMBABWE Newsmakers: Zimbabwe’s rival oligarchs 6th February 2026 Kudakwashe Tagwirei and Paul Tungwarara A new split has emerged within President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s cabal, as his Presidential Investment Advisor, Paul Tungwarara, has openly clashed with ‘Queen Bee’ Kudakwashe Tagwirei. Tungwarara and Tagwirei...
TANZANIA British court snubbed 6th February 2026 Harbinder Singh Sethi On 9 January, the Tanzanian High Court threw out a request from a British court to enforce a ruling that Pan Africa Power Solutions (PAP), owned by Harbinder...
MADAGASCAR Government by indicator 6th February 2026 Michael Randrianirina Having been swept to power on a wave of public anger over corruption and poor delivery of basic services, interim President Colonel Michael Randrianirina has filled his government...
SAUDI ARABIAUNITED ARAB EMIRATESEAST AFRICA Why the fight between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi is lighting regional fires 23rd January 2026 RED SEA RIVALRIES: New alliances form as UAE-Saudi Arabia hostilities deepen. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026 Far from mediating peace deals in Africa, the rival Gulf monarchies are exacerbating conflict The outbreak of controlled hostilities between the monarchies of Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates in December is deepening fissures across East Africa and the Horn. There are...
UGANDA How Museveni won in Buganda 23rd January 2026 Yoweri Museveni. Pic: @KagutaMuseveni A fierce crackdown and a fractured opposition decisively shifted the contest long before the votes were counted President Yoweri Museveni was expected to retain power following the 15 January polls. But few anticipated he would win with such a margin or that the ruling party...
ETHIOPIA Abiy’s proxy war tactics reach their limit 23rd January 2026 ETHIOPIA: Insurgents in Amhara, Oromo and Tigray step up campaign against Addis. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026 Oppositionists make progress on a unity deal as insurgents tighten their grip on Tigray, Amhara, and Oromia Ethiopia is trapped in a stalemate. With military victory impossible and political consensus unreachable, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government is falling back on divide and rule. The prime...
MOROCCOFOOTBALLAFRICA Sublime and ridiculous 23rd January 2026 Senegal Afcon team. Pic: @PR_Diomaye Having claimed a global success in its hosting of Afcon, Morocco now turns from the spectacle back to the business of maintaining stability Until its chaotic final on the evening of 18 January, Morocco had enjoyed an exceptional Africa Cup of Nations (Afcon), marked by state-of-the-art stadia served by new motorways...
ECONOMYAFRICA Green shoots amid global chaos 23rd January 2026 AFRICA: Faster growth, but per capita incomes fall further behind. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026 There are reasons for optimism on growth and inflation but concerns on the cost of Africa’s debts persist After a year of global uncertainty during which Africa’s economies were hit by the tariff war fallout, deep cuts in official development assistance (ODA), and the impact of...
SOUTH AFRICAUNITED STATESIRAN Ramaphosa’s authority shaken as generals defy orders 21st January 2026 General Rudzani Maphwanya. Pic: SA National Defence Force Senior commanders ignored the President’s instruction to restrict Iran’s role in China’s naval exercise off Cape Town The confrontation over Pretoria’s security ties with Tehran – specifically its participation in South African-hosted naval exercises – underlines the erosion of civilian control over the military and...
TANZANIA Hassan entrenches the securocrats and centralises control 20th January 2026 Paul Makonda. Pic: baba_keagan The reshuffled ministerial team reinforces the President’s authoritarian stance after the election killings The ministerial reshuffle announced on 8 January powerfully refutes claims by defenders of President Samia Suluhu Hassan that her authoritarian policies ahead of the 29 October election were...
TANZANIA Transport services still snagged after election chaos 16th January 2026 Pic: web.mofat.co.tz Dar es Salaam’s transit reforms are stalling due to vested interests and use of opaque private companies On 8 January, 49 buses were delivered to Dar es Salaam port – with another 50 due later this month – as part of an emergency response to...
UGANDA Seventh time lucky for Museveni 14th January 2026 Yoweri Museveni. Pic: @KagutaMuseveni The only unknown in Uganda’s election is the margin of the incumbent’s violent victory, as citizens look forward with alarm to the prospect of his son’s rule Ahead of polling day on 15 January the streets of Kampala were thronged not with citizens, but with lines of armoured personnel carriers and uniformed police and soldiers...
NIGERIAUNITED STATES Tinubu and Biafra lobbyists join war for Trump’s ear over Christian genocide claims 13th January 2026 Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Pic: @officialABAT By paying $9 million to US lobbyists through a pop-up law firm, the Abuja government has outbid Christian secessionists Scrambling in the wake of US President Donald J Trump’s threat to ‘go into Nigeria guns ablazing’ on 1 November to end what he called a ‘Christian genocide’,...
KENYA NEWSMAKER: Oburu Odinga, awkward caretaker 23rd January 2026 Oburu Odinga. Pic: @DrOburu_O The death of Raila Odinga last October left a void in Kenyan politics and at the heart of his Orange Democratic Movement. ODM was Raila’s fiefdom. It was...
MOROCCOSOUTH AFRICA Africa’s electric vehicles speed up 23rd January 2026 NEO Motors, Moroccan-made. Pic: neomotors.ma The baton as Africa’s leading carmaker has passed to Morocco, which produced over a million vehicles last year, overtaking South Africa. South Africa made 554,613 vehicles between January...
NIGERIA Spinning the oil queen 23rd January 2026 Diezani Alison-Madueke, 2014. Pic: nuprc.gov.ng Diezani Alison-Madueke, Nigeria’s former Petroleum Minister (2010-15), appeared at Southwark Crown Court on 19 January ahead of her trial on 26 January. She faces six bribery charges, including...