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Ruto strengthens hand as Nairobi summit marks Macron’s African swansong

Africa Forward. Pic: @ForeignOfficeKE
Africa Forward. Pic: @ForeignOfficeKE

Part investment forum and part military realignment, summit co-hosts France and Kenya brought in 30 African leaders and some 1,500-2,000 business leaders

There was enough mutual self-interest, measured in €23 billion (US$27bn) of commercial deals and diplomatic positioning ahead of the G7 summit in Évian-les-Bains in June, to make the grandiose Africa Forward Summit in Nairobi on 11-12 May worthwhile for co-hosts Kenya’s President William Samoei Ruto and France’s Emmanuel Macron. It was not an entirely convincing rebranding of the old, almost exclusively francophone France-Africa conferences.


Pathogenically, not yours

The United States signs an MOU with Nigeria to advance the America First Global Health Strategy, December 2025. Pic: @USinNigeria
The United States signs an MOU with Nigeria to advance the America First Global Health Strategy, December 2025. Pic: @USinNigeria

Ghana joins the pushback against America First health data agreements as Africa’s negotiators try to steer policy back towards pandemic equity

Two international pandemic initiatives are in trouble due to disputes over access to vaccines and medicines in Africa. One, led by the World Health Organization (WHO), is trying...


Damang is only the beginning

GHANA'S LEADING GOLD MINES: How resource nationalism
GHANA'S LEADING GOLD MINES: How resource nationalism could change the map. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

The transfer of a gold mine to the President’s brother is a blip on the radar as the country sprints towards resource nationalism

The takeover of the Damang mine by Engineers & Planners (E&P) from South African-registered Gold Fields last month underscores the government’s resource nationalism drive but raises tricky legal...


Beijing’s zero-tariff offer won’t close Africa’s $102bn trade gap

Shipping containers. Pic: tiero / stock.adobe.com
Shipping containers. Pic: tiero / stock.adobe.com

China’s latest concession doesn’t shake a system in which Africa exports raw materials while overseas firms capture most of the value-added

As an act of economic diplomacy, Beijing’s offer of tariff- and quota-free trade to 53 African countries, coming into effect on 1 May, was expertly timed. In late...


Chemical imbalance

Pic: kroko021 / stock.adobe.com
Pic: kroko021 / stock.adobe.com

European firms are selling pesticides banned in the EU to African countries, nearly six years after Brussels promised a blanket ban

The European Union’s agricultural trade relationship with Africa has long been unequal but its double standards have sunk to absurd depths. Brussels allows European-based companies to export more...


Ouattara rewrites the rules

Ibrahime Coulibaly-Kuibiert. Pic: conseil-constitutionnel.ci
Ibrahime Coulibaly-Kuibiert. Pic: conseil-constitutionnel.ci

As the presidency dissolves the electoral commission, the main opposition parties are mired in internecine strife

The Wednesday press briefings that follow the weekly ministerial meetings under President Alassane Dramane Ouattara are usually routine affairs. But on 6 May, government spokesperson Amadou Coulibaly surprised...


Famille Ouattara bets on a dynasty

Téné Birahima Ouattara. Pic: @TBirahimaO

The President’s promotion of his brother Téné as his successor is fracturing the ruling party along its oldest fault-lines

The more urgent the succession question becomes – President Alassane Dramane Ouattara turned 84 on 1 January – the more the ruling party will start to resemble a...


After the battlefield charge, rebels press for a political opening

MALI AFTER THE 25 APRIL ATTACKS: National cohesion under pressure from three insurgent forces. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
MALI AFTER THE 25 APRIL ATTACKS: National cohesion under pressure from three insurgent forces. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

Tuareg separatists say they will honour self-determination in Azawad, but the military balance will be key to northern Mali’s future

Having seized key towns across the arid north in alliance with jihadists, the Front de libération de l’Azawad (FLA) claims that rather than ramming through secession it will...


TPLF buries the Pretoria peace deal as Washington courts Asmara

ETHIOPIA AND ERITREA: Changing alignments on ports and proxy wars. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
ETHIOPIA AND ERITREA: Changing alignments on ports and proxy wars. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

Tigray installs a rival government and Trump’s Red Sea move hands the TPLF an opening, leaving Abiy Ahmed boxed in

As the United States repositions itself in the Horn of Africa, an emboldened Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) is stepping up its struggle with Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy...


Obi’s exit leaves the opposition back where it started

Pic: @KwankwasoRM
Pic: @KwankwasoRM

Obi and Kwankwaso’s split with Atiku has exposed their inability to convert anti-Tinubu sentiment into a disciplined electoral machine

For a moment, Nigeria’s battered opposition looked as though it had agreed a unity formula that might unpick President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s political pre-eminence.


Museveni plays both sides in Parliament's Speaker battle

Norbert Mao. Pic: justice.go.ug
Norbert Mao. Pic: justice.go.ug

By backing Norbert Mao against his own party's candidate, the President is using the speakership race to keep rivals in check and shape his succession

President Yoweri Museveni's decision to invite opposition minister Norbert Mao to the National Resistance Movement's (NRM) parliamentary retreat at Kyankwanzi in April – and then praise his leadership...


The battle for Mandela’s legacy returns to screen

Ivor Ichikowitz, Winnie Madikizela-Mandela and Jean-Yves Ollivier, October 2013. Pic: Jeanyvesollivier CC BY-NC 2.0
Ivor Ichikowitz, Winnie Madikizela-Mandela and Jean-Yves Ollivier, October 2013. Pic: Jeanyvesollivier CC BY-NC 2.0

Two western media companies are launching duelling documentaries on the liberation leader and his family

A seven-part documentary series produced by Netflix, the United States-based film and television streaming service, The Trials of Winnie Mandela, which examines the complex legacy of Winnie Madikizela-Mandela,...


Ruto takes on the First Family

Uhuru Kenyatta. Pic: ATMIS Photo/Fardosa Hussein PD
Uhuru Kenyatta. Pic: ATMIS Photo/Fardosa Hussein PD

Never one to forget personal slights, President William Ruto may applaud Nandi Senator Samson Cherargei’s motion seeking to strip former President Uhuru Kenyatta of his retirement benefits. State...


The junta loses control after the onslaught and a stalemate sets in

MALI: The coordinated attacks by a jihadist-Tuareg alliance have shaken the junta. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
MALI: The coordinated attacks by a jihadist-Tuareg alliance have shaken the junta. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

Assimi Goïta’s regime is teetering as insurgent attacks intensify and its Russian allies withdraw

Three days after Jama’at Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) fighters killed defence minister Sadio Camara and destroyed his home in Kati, General Assimi Goïta finally resurfaced. After...


Traoré’s revolution abolishes democracy

BURKINA FASO: Captain Traoré's regime is losing the security battle despite its militaristic posture. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
BURKINA FASO: Captain Traoré's regime is losing the security battle despite its militaristic posture. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

The junta’s military operations have killed over 1800 civilians in two years, but it has lost control over most of the country

Abandoning any pretence that his regime is a transitional bridge to even a distant restoration of elected multi-party politics, Captain Ibrahim Traoré, who seized power in a military...


A tax maestro takes the reins

Wale Edun hands the Finance Ministry over to Taiwo Oyedele. Pic: @FinMinNigeria
Wale Edun hands the Finance Ministry over to Taiwo Oyedele. Pic: @FinMinNigeria

The new finance minister wants to double federal revenues but first has to address galloping poverty levels in the face of radical reforms


Ruto stakes his presidency on a $39bn investment blitz

Aliko Dangote, Yoweri Museveni, and William Ruto. Pic: @KagutaMuseveni
Aliko Dangote, Yoweri Museveni, and William Ruto. Pic: @KagutaMuseveni

Courting capital from Beijing to the Gulf and Paris to become Africa’s Singapore, the President is being stymied by a fuel import scandal and fraying regional alliances


Regional rifts define the succession race

Macky Sall's dialogue session with the UN General Assembly with regard to his candidacy for the position of Secretary-General. Pic: @Macky_Sall
Macky Sall's dialogue session with the UN General Assembly with regard to his candidacy for the position of Secretary-General. Pic: @Macky_Sall

Africa’s split over Macky Sall contrasts with Latin America’s trio of contenders as member states weigh competing reform agendas


Failure to launch

Eswatini Deputy Prime Minister Thulisile Dladla visits Lai Ching-te in Taiwan as special envoy of His Majesty King Mswati III. Pic: @ChingteLai
Eswatini Deputy Prime Minister Thulisile Dladla visits Lai Ching-te in Taiwan as special envoy of His Majesty King Mswati III. Pic: @ChingteLai