Northern resolve What swung it for Tinubu a former governor of Lagos State was the resolve of the APC's northern governors that the candidate must come from the south of the country – whether Tinubu Amaechi Osinbajo or outgoing governor of Ekiti State Kayode Fayemi (AC Vol 63 No 8 Vice-President Osinbajo's bid challenges APC leader Tinubu and bank governor Emefiele)...

That could damage the chances of another billionaire and former governor of Lagos State Bola Tinubu but it may benefit younger candidates such as Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo and Ekiti State governor Kayode Fayemi...

The two obvious winners of the Emefiele saga are Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo and Ekiti State Governor Kayode Fayemi neither of whom will have to resign their elected positions before the APC convention on 31 May...

At least two more contenders for the APC presidential nomination are set to emerge in the first week of May after the end of Ramadan: Ekiti state governor John Kayode Fayemi and governor of the central bank Godwin Emefiele AC Vol 63 No 3 Bankers circle the presidency)...

Of the other serious contenders Ekiti state governor and chairman of the Nigeria Governors' Forum Kayode Fayemi is yet to declare (AC Vol 63 No 1 Contenders fill the stage)...

AlternativesShould Tinubu stumble there are two other contenders from the south-west both of whom are veterans of the pro-democracy struggle in the 1990s: Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo and Ekiti State Governor Kayode Fayemi who also chairs the Nigerian Governors' Forum...

Whether the APC picks Tinubu Osinbajo or Ekiti state governor Kayode Fayemi the three frontrunners so far the party will run a strong campaign against the opposition PDP whose candidate is likely to come from the north...

But he is less popular with state governors than other contenders such as Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo and Ekiti State governor Kayode Fayemi who also chairs the Nigeria Governors' Forum...