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Africa-wide
Population: n/a million GNI: n/a million Debt: n/a million
Africa-wide
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/56/AFRICA-WIDE
Algeria
Population: 34.9 million GDP: 135000 million Debt: 2.7 million
After President Abdelaziz Bouteflika's 90% victory in the April 2009 elections, there are few signs that the government will meet its pledges of 3 million new jobs and a million new houses.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/1/ALGERIA
Angola
Population: 18.5 million GDP: 69700 million Debt: 12.2 million
President José Eduardo dos Santos has delayed presidential elections until atleast 2012 while his ruling MPLA crafts a new constitution and waits for new oil fields to come on stream and fund more reconstruction projects.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/2/ANGOLA
Benin
Population: 8.9 million GDP: 6500 million Debt: 15.2 million
Hemmed in by a hostile parliament, President Thomas Yayi Boni will struggle to win re-election in 2011: he faces a more united oppsition and the possible candidacy of regional bank director Abdoulaye Bio Tchané.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/3/BENIN
Botswana
Population: 1.9 million GDP: 10800 million Debt: 12.4 million
GDP growth crashed by 10% in Botswana's diamond mono-economy in 2009. Newly elected President Ian Khama Seretse Khama and the governing Botswana Democratic Party are confident of reviving growth and keeping a tight lid on local politics.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/4/BOTSWANA
Burkina Faso
Population: 15.8 million GDP: 7800 million Debt: 24.1 million
Assured of victory in the November 2010 elections, President Blaise Compaoré will continue to whitewash his past policies of regional destabilisation with French-endorsed peacemaking in Côte d'Ivoire and Guinea.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/5/BURKINA-FASO
Burundi
Population: 8.3 million GDP: 1400 million Debt: 24.8 million
Oppositionists fear intimidation and fraud as the authoritarian President Pierre Nkurunziza and the ruling Conseil National pour la Défense de la Démocratie-Forces pour la Défense de la Démocratie (CNDD-FDD) plan for total victory in the elections in June and August. More violence will hold back the already battered economy.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/6/BURUNDI
Cameroon
Population: 19.5 million GDP: 21800 million Debt: 7.1 million
Helped by a partisan electoral commission and tactical acuity, 76-year-old President Paul Biya is confident of another victory against a divided opposition in national elections in 2011, but succession battles are looming.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/7/CAMEROON
Cape Verde
Population: 0.5 million GDP: 1800 million Debt: 47.0 million
The ruling Partido Africano da Independência de Cabo Verde will continue its search for a fresh candidate for the 2011 national elections when President Pedro Pires steps down. It hopes investments in telecoms will boost growth as tourist revenues falter.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/8/CAPE-VERDE
Central African Republic
Population: 4.4 million GDP: 2000 million Debt: 51.1 million
After bringing the two strongest armed oppositionists into his coalition, President François Bozizé will easily win national in April; the candidacy of ex-President Ange- Félix Patassé will split Bozizé's opponents.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/9/CENTRAL-AFRICAN-REPUBLIC
Chad
Population: 11.2 million GDP: 7000 million Debt: 22.0 million
Parliamentary elections scheduled for mid-2010 will be delayed again after census problems. President Idriss Déby Itno will parry concerns about authoritarianism by pointing to the Khartoum-backed rebels in the east.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/10/CHAD
Comoros
Population: 0.7 million GDP: 500 million Debt: 48.4 million
On the coup-prone archipelago, President Ahmed Sambi has delayed polls until 2011 when candidates from Mohéli are set to vie for the rotating presidency; there are more doubts about President Ahmed’s willingness to leave.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/11/COMOROS
Congo-Brazzaville
Population: 3.7 million GDP: 8600 million Debt: 24.6 million
After the blatantly fraudulent elections in 2009, President Denis Sassou-Nguesso will reign supreme, helped by corrupt co-option, bludgeoning of opponents and shamefaced backing from Europe and the International Monetary Fund.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/12/CONGO-BRAZZAVILLE
Congo-Kinshasa
Population: 66.0 million GDP: 11100 million Debt: 125 million
With leading oppositionists Jean-Pierre Bemba and Etienne Tshisekedi unlikely to campaign effectively, President Joseph Kabila prepares for an easier run in the 2011 elections. The mandate of the United Nations peacekeepers has been extended until June.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/53/CONGO-KINSHASA
Côte d'Ivoire
Population: 21.1 million GDP: 22900 million Debt: 40.6 million
Much-delayed national elections may be held at last in 2010 – if voting rights for two million people are agreed. President Laurent Gbagbo is likely to defeat the alliance of Henri Konan Bédié and Alassane Ouattara, if the elections actually take place.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/13/C%c3%94TE-D'IVOIRE
Djibouti
Population: 0.9 million GDP: 1100 million Debt: 60.5 million
Siding with Ethiopia against Eritrea and Islamists in Somalia, President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh hopes to secure continued Western backing for Djibouti as a regional hub despite worries about his autocratic leadership.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/15/DJIBOUTI
East Africa
Population: n/a million GNI: n/a million Debt: n/a million
East Africa
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/61/EAST-AFRICA
Egypt
Population: 83.0 million GDP: 188000 million Debt: 16.8 million
The ruling clique around 81-year-old President Hosni Mubarak are determined to scupper Mohamed El Baradei’s presidential candidacy in national elections in 2011; their favoured successor is Mubarak’s banker son, Gamal.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/16/EGYPT
Equatorial Guinea
Population: 0.7 million GDP: 11200 million Debt: 1.0 million
After another near-100% electoral victory in November 2009, President Teodoro Obiang Mbasogo Nguema’s family will continue its political domination as it searches for more oil to finance its excesses.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/17/EQUATORIAL-GUINEA
Eritrea
Population: 5.1 million GDP: 1700 million Debt: 53.7 million
UN sanctions against President Issayas Afewerki’s regime may inhibit but will not stop its anti-Ethiopian regional policy. Armed opponents of Issayas are likely to exploit problems caused by the faltering economy.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/18/ERITREA
Ethiopia
Population: 82.8 million GDP: 22900 million Debt: 12.7 million
Rebels turn up the rhetoric as Premier Meles Zenawi and the ruling EPRDF march towards victory in the May elections; leading oppositionists such as Birtukan Mideska will be kept in gaol, others will be heavily monitored.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/19/ETHIOPIA
Gabon
Population: 1.5 million GDP: 10900 million Debt: 10.8 million
President Ali Ben Bongo Ondimba will distance himself from his father’s legacy but his anaemic anti-corruption campaigns will fall flat. The government will push ahead with the Chinese iron ore project to raise cash.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/20/GABON
Gambia
Population: 1.7 million GDP: 700 million Debt: 43.6 million
President Yahya Jammeh will alternately co-opt and batter the weak and ineffectual opposition. Lack of decisive reaction to his threats to kill human rights activists suggests growing international indifference to the regime.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/21/GAMBIA
Ghana
Population: 23.8 million GDP: 14800 million Debt: 34.2 million
The two main parties – the NDC and NPP – will hold difficult congresses; the economy will slowly recover with more public investment programmes and the start-up of commercial production from the Jubilee oil field.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/22/GHANA
Guinea
Population: 10.1 million GDP: 2100 million Debt: 22.9 million
The serious wounding of Captain Moussa Dadis Camara in a gun battle in December will delay the elections due in early 2010; the growing military factionalism raises doubts about promises to hand over to civilians.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/23/GUINEA
Guinea Bissau
Population: 1.6 million GDP: 400 million Debt: 238 million
The election of Malam Bacai Sanha in September 2009 followed a spiral of assassinations, but he will battle to constrain the military, revive the legitimate economy and counter the influence of Latin American drug cartels.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/24/GUINEA-BISSAU
Kenya
Population: 39.8 million GDP: 30200 million Debt: 23.4 million
President Mwai Kibaki’s and Premier Raila Odinga’s parties will remain divided over constitutional reform and prosecuting those behind the 2007 election violence; little prospect for change before the 2012 elections.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/25/KENYA
Lesotho
Population: 2.1 million GDP: 2900 million Debt: 12.7 million
A row over the share of seats in then 2007 parliamentary elections means the opposition, headed by the All Basotho Convention, may boycott the 2010 local and 2012 presidential polls; the ruling LCD is weakening.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/26/LESOTHO
Liberia
Population: 4.0 million GDP: 900 million Debt: 290 million
Delays to mining and agriculture projects, corruption concerns and the conclusions of the Truth & Reconciliation Commission threaten President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf’s bid for a second term in 2011 elections.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/27/LIBERIA
Libya
Population: 6.4 million GDP: 60600 million Debt: 9.2 million
Leader Muammar el Gadaffi will alternate between backing for a populist agenda, the favouring of his modernising son Seif al-Islam and his reformist colleagues, and profitable family deals with Italy and Russia.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/28/LIBYA
Madagascar
Population: 19.6 million GDP: 9000 million Debt: 26.7 million
International mediation efforts will increase pressure on interim President Andry Rajoelina to work with former presidents Marc Ravalomanana and Didier Ratsiraka ahead of fresh elections as the economy worsens.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/29/MADAGASCAR
Malawi
Population: 15.3 million GDP: 4900 million Debt: 17.7 million
Controlling 114 of 193 parliamentary seats after the May 2009 elections, President Bingu wa Mutharika will pursue his strategy of agricultural subsidies and confrontation with the foreign tobacco buyers. His DPP controls 114 of 193 parliamentary seats after the May 2009 elections.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/30/MALAWI
Mali
Population: 13.0 million GDP: 8800 million Debt: 16.1 million
The race to succeed President Amadou Toumani Touré when he retires in 2012 will begin seriously this year with Premier Modibo Diarra and oppositionist Boubacar Keita emerging as front-running candidates.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/31/MALI
Mauritania
Population: 3.3 million GDP: 3200 million Debt: 57.2 million
After putschist General Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz fought off sanctions from Africa and Europe to win a flawed victory in last year’s elections, he will flaunt his opposition to the region’s Islamists to win Western acceptance.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/32/MAURITANIA
Mauritius
Population: 1.3 million GDP: 9200 million Debt: 9.5 million
In 2010 national elections, Premier Navin Ramgoolam and the LP will face a backlash due to the failing textile and tourism businesses, but divisions among his opponents in the MSM and MMM may bolster his campaign.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/33/MAURITIUS
Morocco
Population: 32.0 million GDP: 90800 million Debt: 21.9 million
The new Parti Authenticité et Modernité, with close ties to King Mohamed VI’s government, will increasingly challenge the position of the conservative nationalist Istiqlal party as the dominant party in the ruling coalition.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/34/MOROCCO
Mozambique
Population: 22.9 million GDP: 9.7 million Debt: 29.7 million
The victory of Frelimo and President Armando Guebuza in October’s elections means the further erosion of support for their established opponents in Renamo and the rise of Beira-based Daviz Simango and the MDM.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/35/MOZAMBIQUE
Namibia
Population: 2.2 million GDP: 9000 million Debt: 7.7 million
Although SWAPO and President Hifikepunye Pohamba won another large victory in the November 2009 elections, radical new MPs will demand change from SWAPO's old guard amid economic worries.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/36/NAMIBIA
Niger
Population: 15.3 million GDP: 5300 million Debt: 16.4 million
President Mamadou Tandja will adjust to life as an international pariah; almost oblivious to regional and international sanctions, his regime will rely on opaque revenues from uranium deals with China and France.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/37/NIGER
Nigeria
Population: 155 million GDP: 165000 million Debt: 3.0 million
The crisis caused by President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua’s health worries and its implications for change among the ruling elite will eclipse the amnesty deal and plans for banking, oil sector and electoral reform.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/38/NIGERIA
Rwanda
Population: 10.0 million GDP: 5000 million Debt: 16.7 million
President Paul Kagame will certainly win the presidential elections in August and opposition candidates will face major strictures even if his tenuous deal with Kinshasa starts to unravel with fresh violence in Eastern Congo.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/39/RWANDA
São Tomé & Príncipe
Population: 0.20 million GDP: 200 million Debt: 10.8 million
Premier Rafael Branco, in office for just over a year, will battle to keep his fractious coalition together and may run for the presidency in 2012. Officials are hopeful that a new oil licensing round this year will boost investment.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/40/S%c3%83O-TOM%c3%89-%26-PR%c3%8dNCIPE
Senegal
Population: 12.5 million GDP: 12600 million Debt: 24.4 million
Slipping into authoritarianism, 83-year-old President Abdoulaye Wade has promised to run for a third term in 2012 while grooming his son Karim as successor; this will be enough to unite the formerly fractious opposition.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/41/SENEGAL
Seychelles
Population: 0.1 million GDP: 700 million Debt: 41.7 million
President James Michel will try to tame hyper-inflation ahead of national elections in 2011; his uncharismatic opponent Wavel Ramkalawan will not offer a strong challenge.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/42/SEYCHELLES
Sierra Leone
Population: 5.7 million GDP: 2100 million Debt: 22.9 million
Opposition will mount to President Ernest Bai Koroma’s rule as the SLPP questions the ruling APC’s links to corrupt deals; the respected anti-corruption czar Abdul Tejan-Cole will tackle some of the worst cases.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/43/SIERRA-LEONE
Somalia
Population: 9.1 million GDP: n/a million Debt: n/a million
The fighting will grow more complex with battles between Hizbul Islam and Al Shabaab for control of the South, but neither will be able to take and consolidate power over Mogadishu; the US will get more involved.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/44/SOMALIA
South Africa
Population: 50.1 million GDP: 277000 million Debt: 1.8 million
Hosting the 2010 World Cup will give President Jacob Zuma’s government a chance to showcase the country and change perceptions of Africa. His economic team are under pressure to boost housing and education budgets.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/45/SOUTH-AFRICA
Southern Africa
Population: n/a million GNI: n/a million Debt: n/a million
Southern Africa
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/60/SOUTHERN-AFRICA
Sudan
Population: 42.3 million GDP: 543000 million Debt: 81.3 million
A pivotal year with local, parliamentary and presidential elections in April, ahead of the 2011 referendum on independence for Southern Sudan. The armed stalemate in Darfur and fresh fighting in the east look ominous.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/46/SUDAN
Swaziland
Population: 1.2 million GDP: 2900 million Debt: 12.7 million
Growing economic troubles loom in 2010 with more than two-thirds of Swazis below the poverty line; the government of absolutist King Mswati III will respond by stepping up repression and covering up corruption.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/47/SWAZILAND
Tanzania
Population: 43.7 million GDP: 22200 million Debt: 17.9 million
Despite corruption concerns, President Jakaya Kikwete will lead the CCM to victory on the mainland in 2010 national elections but Zanzibar’s elections will see rising tensions between the CCM and opposition CUF.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/48/TANZANIA
Togo
Population: 6.6 million GDP: 2800 million Debt: 53.2 million
In the 28 February elections, President Faure Gnassingbé’s powers of incumbency and control of the armed forces will secure another flawed victory over long-time oppositionist Gilchrist Olympio and allies.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/49/TOGO
Tunisia
Population: 10.3 million GDP: 40000 million Debt: 52.8 million
Economic efficiency and political repression helped 73-year-old President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali win a fifth term in October. Hs government will boost the economy but unemployment will stay dangerously high.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/50/TUNISIA
Uganda
Population: 32.7 million GDP: 15700 million Debt: 14.7 million
President Yoweri Museveni will start his campaign for the 2011 elections with a national tour this year as he faces a more coherent opposition and will have to fight for the support of the influential Baganda people.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/51/UGANDA
Western Sahara
Population: n/a million GDP: n/a million Debt: n/a million
International pressure for a resolution to the conflict over the territory’s sovereignty will grow following Morocco’s submission to pressure when it allowed Sahrawi activist Aminatou Haidar to return home.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/52/WESTERN-SAHARA
Zambia
Population: 12.9 million GDP: 12300 million Debt: 9.4 million
Prospects for the copper-driven economy look brighter than the increasingly fractious political scene; after a disputed election win in 2008, President Rupiah Banda wants to be the MMD’s candidate in 2011.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/54/ZAMBIA
Zimbabwe
Population: 12.5 million GDP: 3600 million Debt: 33.5 million
The power-sharing regime will rumble on in 2010 as the economy shows signs of recovery but the three main parties struggle to agree on reforms to the electoral and land ownership system and, above all, to the military.
http://www.africa-confidential.com/browse-by-country/id/55/ZIMBABWE
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