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Vol 45 No 4

Published 20th February 2004


Kenya

Fading Rainbow

The row over the constitution is splitting the government and blocking reform

'The one certainty is that this won't last', insist Nairobi's political veterans. Few believe the governing National Rainbow Coalition (Narc) can survive much past the middle of the year (AC Vol 44 No 25 & Vol 45 No 1). The split between the business-dominated 'Mount Kenya Mafia' around President Mwai Kibaki and the populists around Roads and Public Works Minister Raila Odinga looks irreparable. Kibaki, a natural conciliator and deal-maker, is too ill to knock heads together. Both factions, each mustering about half of the Narc's parliamentary strength, are looking to break the coalition and form a new alliance.

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