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Vol 67 No 21

Published 23rd October 2026


Eritrea

Abiy’s gains intensify frontier pressure

Federal advances have sharpened fears of a wider confrontation, as mediators try to separate domestic conflict from cross-border tensions

How far will Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed go in his bid to remake the regional order in the Horn of Africa? When open conflict between the federal government and the Tigray region restarted on 23 September, some in Addis Ababa – including Abiy – saw an opportunity to lay a trap for their foes. Regional officials were quickly briefed on the federal government’s preparedness and determination to prevail, while western diplomats received a more emollient version of the message.

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