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Vol 66 No 19

Published 26th September 2025


Eritrea

Tigray’s widening schisms are threatening regional security

The leaders in Addis Ababa and Asmara are picking sides in Tigray and could break apart the 2022 peace deal

Persistent fears of renewed large-scale war in northern Ethiopia stem from the failings of the Pretoria peace agreement – radical in ambition, limited in scope. In 2022, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed shocked his Eritrean and Amhara allies by striking a deal with the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). But it was more an elite pact than a broad-based settlement. The accord is now unravelling: Amhara remains gripped by an anti-Abiy insurgency and relations between Abiy and Eritrean President Issayas Afewerki have nosedived.

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