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Dangote refinery’s $1.6 billion IPO draws nearly triple demand

Nigerian investors placed about $4.78 billion in orders as the company prepares for a planned November listing

Billed as ‘the IPO for the people’, Nigerian magnate Aliko Dangote’s company received US$4.78 billion in orders for its initial public offering as investors from 120 countries submitted offers for shares.

The Dangote group is yet to announce whether it will exercise its over-allotment option and translate the order book into completed share purchases. At the top-end of what analysts had predicted, the IPO is a major vote of confidence in Dangote.

The share sale, which values Dangote’s company at around $47bn, and will help finance Dangote’s $14.3bn refinery expansion at its Lekki facility close to Lagos and double its oil refining capacity to 1.4m barrels per day by 2029. That would boost Dangote’s status as a supplier to Europe and elsewhere.

But it is also important for other African economies. Dangote has agreed plans with Kenya’s President William Samoei Ruto to build a $16bn oil refinery in the port city Lamu, the biggest in a series of Dangote projects in cement, fertiliser and oil across East Africa (Dispatches, 5/10/26, Dangote breaks ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery as legal challenges linger).

The IPO is also a test case for whether Africa pension and sovereign wealth funds and other domestic savings, estimated by the Africa Finance Corporation at $4 trillion, could become a leading source of investment in infrastructure projects and deepen the continent’s capital markets. The first signs are positive with several other African companies encouraged to announced IPOs in the coming months. It has also won Dangote growing support across Africa as well as consolidating his position in Nigeria whatever happens after the January 2027 elections (AC Vol 67 No 18, Dangote’s refinery goes public, and so does his ambition).



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