Vol 53 No 25 | EGYPT A country polarised 14th December 2012 The President’s enforcement of his power over the judiciary paves the way for a new constitution and a dangerously divided country If the referendum on Egypt’s new constitution goes ahead as planned on 15 December and wins a majority, it will mark a political victory for President Mohamed Mursi...
Vol 53 No 25 | EGYPT Tax threat to IMF deal 14th December 2012 The uproar caused by President Mohamed Mursi’s declaration of full powers on 22 November threatens Egypt’s efforts to mobilise funds from the International Monetary Fund and other donors...
Vol 53 No 25 | TUNISIA Wilting jasmine 14th December 2012 Two years after Ben Ali’s fall, the lack of social and economic progress is fuelling disenchantment with the government Many of the post-revolution politicians are gaining a reputation for fiddling while parts of Tunisia burn. Riots in late November and early December in Siliana saw over 250...
Vol 53 No 25 | LIBYA Unity under strain 14th December 2012 As the forces pulling Libya apart strengthen, the government makes strategic blunders and cannot make progress on the constitution Having departed from the overly ambitious roadmap set out in 2011’s Constitutional Declaration, Libya’s elected representatives cannot decide on a replacement and are mired in indecision. The consequence...
Vol 53 No 24 | EGYPTSUDAN Egyptians return in search of gold 30th November 2012 Last August, Egyptian billionaire Naguib Onsi Sawiris, 58, bought La Mancha Resources, owner of 40% of Sudan’s Ariab Mining Company. Naguib is a Coptic Christian and telecommunications captain...
Vol 53 No 23 | ALGERIA No spring in the step 16th November 2012 Popular discontent remains widespread but unfocused. The looming presidential succession may sharpen choices and increase tension Many Algerians feel that 50 years of independence have left them with little worth celebrating. Yet while dozens of protests about housing, job shortages and other grievances take...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 1 | ALGERIACHINABRIEFING Alger, la Chinoise 30th October 2012 Chinese companies are displacing European powers in African countries where ties were considered to be strongest, and China is set to become Algeria’s largest trading partner ahead...
Vol 53 No 21 | MAURITANIA Aziz’s power game 19th October 2012 President Abdel Aziz uses the threat of jihadist forces as a way of fending off pressure to hold elections and make concessions to opposition parties President Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz is navigating a delicate course across the region’s geopolitical minefield. Mauritania is not a member of the Economic Community of West African States...
Vol 53 No 21 | MAURITANIA Handling the opposition 19th October 2012 Despite official promises of elections, President Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz’s government has shown no serious signs of holding any. The opposition is not united and does not present...
Vol 53 No 21 | EGYPTINTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND IMF finance for Mursi's new order 19th October 2012 The planned US$4.8 billion International Monetary Fund loan for Egypt could be concluded within the next two month. And other foreign financing is on its way, say...
Vol 53 No 21 | TUNISIA Ghannouchi unplugged 19th October 2012 Liberal mistrust of Islamist leader Rachid Ghannouchi is mounting after his unguarded remarks about collaboration with hard-line Salafist groups were secretly videoed and distributed on the internet.
Vol 53 No 20 | EGYPT Courting foreign business 5th October 2012 The new government wants to win back the confidence of foreign investors but all it has to offer is warmed-up policies from Mubarak’s era At the end of September, an Egyptian investment bank, the Beltone Financial, held a conference in Cairo for its international clients, heralding a ‘New Dawn’ for the Egyptian...
Vol 53 No 19 | MALIMAURITANIA Dead preachers poser 21st September 2012 The handling of the killing by Malian troops of 16 Islamic preachers, nine of them Mauritanian, threatens the delicate balance between the interim regime and the army, say...
Vol 53 No 17 | EGYPT President Mursi's soft coup 24th August 2012 The Muslim Brothers consolidate power and find some military support, while the media suffers a crackdown When President Mohamed Mursi retired the two most powerful military officers on 12 August, he strengthened the Muslim Brotherhood’s grip on power but the move also seems to...
Vol 53 No 17 | EGYPT Let them wear cotton 24th August 2012 One of the first challenges for Egypt’s new Prime Minister, Hisham Kandil, was to explain the collapse of large swathes of the electricity grid in early August. In...
Vol 53 No 15 | LIBYA Electoral victory roll 19th July 2012 Turnout was pretty high, democracy won out and Jibril looks the favourite to form a government Libya’s first fully democratic elections on 7 July won country-wide acceptance, even among groups which had been expected to boycott the vote. There were isolated protests and pockets...
Vol 53 No 15 | EGYPT The ball is in the court 19th July 2012 Judicial battles are as crucial to the political future as the clashes between Mursi and the military President Mohamed Mursi’s challenge to the validity of a constituent assembly dictated by the military has been postponed amid brawling in court, on the street and in politics...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 | ALGERIACHINABRIEFING Hang up and call later 30th June 2012 On 6 June, Algeria’s courts ruled that Chinese telecoms companies Huawei and ZTE are banned from participating in public tenders due to their inappropriate relationship with a former...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 | EGYPT Mohammed Mursi 30th June 2012 President, Egypt Too pragmatic for the Salafists, too conservative for secularists, Mohammed Mursi will walk a thin line after winning the presidency on 24 June.
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 | TUNISIA Moncef Marzouki 30th June 2012 President, Tunisia On 31 May, Tunisia hosted the fifth China-Arab Cooperation Forum in Hammamet. For China’s Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi, it was the first such meeting since the Arab Spring...
Vol 53 No 12 | EGYPT Soldier against Muslim Brother 8th June 2012 The first presidential round showed that the political ground is shifting and may continue to do so, whoever wins the second round Whatever the outcome of the presidential run-off between Ahmed Shafiq and Mohamed Mursi, the first-round results have much to say about how electoral politics have been evolving since...
Vol 53 No 12 | LIBYA NTC puts poll in doubt 8th June 2012 Abdel Jalil and his circle of lawyers are reluctant to put their rule to the test Preparations for the first national elections in more than four decades, scheduled for 19 June, have placed the post-Gadaffi state under severe pressure. The opaque and unaccountable National...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 8 | ALGERIAEGYPTCHINA Zoning in and zoning out 1st June 2012 The Chinese special economic zone in Algeria is yet another case where plans to replicate successful Asian policies met with unpredictable local conditions.
Vol 53 No 11 | ALGERIA Bouncing the Spring 25th May 2012 The Islamist electoral challenge petered out but a low turnout and spoiled ballots dented the credibility of the polls The Alliance d’Algérie verte (Green Alliance) of ‘moderate Islamist’ parties was severely disappointed by its poor showing in the 10 May elections. The parties had not been alone...
Vol 53 No 10 | EGYPT Presiding over chaos 11th May 2012 The presidential election is likely to go ahead but pitched battles over the new constitution are set to continue Political turmoil has followed the rejection of several candidates for the presidential election, including the Muslim Brotherhood’s Khairat el Shater and the Salafist hopeful, Hazem Salah Abu Ismail....
Vol 53 No 10 | EGYPT Israel and the energy crisis 11th May 2012 Cairo’s cancellation of gas exports to Israel owe more to commerical interests than ideological conviction The state-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company (Egas) had plenty of reasons to end the gas export deal with Israel’s East Mediterranean Gas (EMG) and the Cairo government...
Vol 53 No 10 | MOROCCO Keep smiling 11th May 2012 In tough economic times, Islamist Premier Benkirane charms his critics while Mohammed VI in the Palace tries to keep pace The economy is not growing fast enough to create the jobs needed, police continue to clash with protestors around the country and the Prime Minister’s coalition partners are...
Vol 53 No 8 | EGYPT Differences sharpen in presidential poll 13th April 2012 The battle lines and electoral calculations are becoming clearer The Muslim Brotherhood’s nomination of its deputy leader, Khairat el Shater, as presidential candidate on 5 April reflects the MB’s sharply deteriorating relations with the ruling generals. It...
Vol 53 No 8 | EGYPT The men who would be Rais 13th April 2012 Khairat el Shater: A successful businessman, El Shater spent twelve years in prison under President Hosni Mubarak. From his cell, he still took a leading role in the...
Vol 53 No 8 | LIBYANIGER Gadaffi Junior's gaffe 13th April 2012 In September 2011, Colonel Moammar el Gadaffi’s son Es Saadi el Gadaffi arrived in Agadez in the dead of night in a mysterious convoy of vehicles, surrounded by...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 6 | MOROCCO Saad-Eddine Al Othmani 28th March 2012 Minister of Foreign Affairs and Cooperation, Morocco Morocco is rolling out the welcome mat to Asian investors. Foreign Affairs Minister Saad-Eddine Al Othmani hosted its first Morocco-Asia Business Forum in Rabat on 15-16 March.
Vol 53 No 6 | ALGERIAMOROCCO The neighbours start talking 16th March 2012 A new warmth in relations could mean the reopening of the common border but agreement on Western Sahara remains problematic Several high-level diplomatic meetings initiated by Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane in recent weeks have raised hopes that Algeria and Morocco might finally reopen their border, closed since 1994.
Vol 53 No 6 | TUNISIAMAGHREB Tunisia lobbies for the UMA 16th March 2012 There is growing talk that the moribund Union du Maghreb arabe will hold its first summit since 1994.
Vol 53 No 5 | EGYPT Unity on cash crisis 2nd March 2012 The IMF offers concessions to the Islamist-dominated parliament The Muslim Brotherhood-dominated Freedom and Justice Party, the largest in the new Parliament, is now on a neo-liberal economic course as it supports government proposals to borrow US$3.2...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 4 | EGYPT Mohammed Saad al Katatni 10th February 2012 People’s Assembly Speaker In a victory for the long-frustrated ambitions of the Muslim Brotherhood, the People’s Assembly has elected Mohammed Saad al Katatni, a stalwart of the MB’s political wing, as...
Vol 53 No 3 | LIBYA Waiting for government 3rd February 2012 Credible institutions remain a distant prospect as the NTC, militias and others compete for authority Three months have passed since liberation was officially declared but no functioning government is in sight or even on the horizon. The oil sector is the only operational...
Vol 53 No 3 | LIBYA From Gadaffi to Qatar 3rd February 2012 The lake in Benghazi city centre, beside which its two main hotels stand, epitomises Moammar el Gadaffi’s neglect of the east. Officially known as the ‘23 July lake’,...
Vol 53 No 1 | EGYPT What lies beyond Tahrir 6th January 2012 The revolution will remain under threat from the military’s grip on political power, the best guarantee of its privileges Clashes between a military bereft of strategic vision and an ascendant Islamist majority in Parliament and on the streets will dominate politics this year. Minorities such as liberals,...
Vol 53 No 1 | EGYPT Subsidy cuts and crony capitalists 6th January 2012 Religious and political arguments will dominate discussion in Cairo’s cafés this year, but more mundane matters of economic policy, interest rates and taxation levels may do more to...