As politics fizz and oil prices crash, the government targets the capo di tutti i capi of the Niger Delta militants
One of the shrewdest and wealthiest militant leaders in the Niger Delta, High Chief Government Ekpemupolo, alias Tompolo, faces a legal battle that could provoke a new political...
Vol 56 No 25 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The former rebel leader is a problem for the President, who may now have the means to dispense with his disreputable ally
The Speaker of the Ivorian Parliament, former rebel leader and ex-Prime Minister Guillaume Soro, made a lot of telephone calls to the men responsible for September's attempted coup...
Vol 56 No 24 |
- SIERRA LEONE
After inconclusive talks in London, the government is at odds with the mine- owners and their bankers as it tries to keep the operation alive
Britain's Standard Chartered Bank is caught in the middle of an increasingly bitter feud between the Sierra Leone government and the heavily-indebted Octéa Limited, owner of the country’s...
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Vol 56 No 24 |
- SIERRA LEONE
While villagers sue a major mine over human rights abuses, all the country’s iron ore mines remain out of action
Bankrupt iron-ore mining company African Minerals Limited is being sued for millions of dollars by 142 Sierra Leonean villagers in the High Court in London claiming human rights...
The Bamako hotel attack is meant to hinder the Algiers accord, which recently showed signs of gaining greater acceptance
The days since Islamist gunmen attacked the Radisson Blu hotel in Bamako on 20 November, killing 20 civilians, have confirmed both the scale and complexity of the security...
The government has reopened the can of worms known as Oil Prospecting Licence 245. President Muhammadu Buhari has sent investigators after the beneficiaries of the US$1.1 billion that...
Vol 56 No 24 |
- BURKINA FASO
In one of the continent's most peaceful transitions, Burkina Faso has elected a new President. Roch Marc Christian Kaboré romped home in the first round with 53.49% of...
After six months of deliberation, a new team of largely technocratic ministers faces daunting economic and security challenges
It is called 'Buhari Mean Time' in Abuja. It started as a jocular description and then became a warning: President Muhammadu Buhari will not be rushed into decisions,...
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Vol 56 No 23 |
- SIERRA LEONE
President Ernest Bai Koroma's government informed the International Monetary Fund it had abandoned his flagship project, the Mamamah international airport, during its team visit in September, Africa Confidential...
Vol 56 No 23 |
- SIERRA LEONE
The country's biggest diamond mine could close as its indebted owner struggles with the government to keep its licence
A ten-strong team led by Mines Minister Minkailu Mansaray is in London for crisis talks set for 16 November, on the future of the Koidu diamond mine, which...
High-tension state elections, low oil prices and the end of the amnesty add to brewing troubles in the Niger Delta
Although the threatened rebellion in the Niger Delta against Muhammadu Buhari's victory in March's presidential election didn't materialise, political and economic discontent in the region is mounting. There...
Vol 56 No 22 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
A decisive victory brings a chance to ease out the corrupt militiamen in government and relaunch the economy
The Chairman of the Independent Electoral Commission, Youssouf Bakayoko, had an easier time of it last month than five years ago. That's when one of ex-President Laurent Gbagbo's...
Street protests and complaints of electoral fraud are unlikely to shake the incumbent, who has strong diplomatic and commercial backing from abroad
Despite the opposition parties' simmering anger and protestors clashing with police this week in Conakry, President Alpha Condé looks set to hold on to his first round victory...
'One Strike – Knockout!' That was the message from those who engineered President Alpha Condé's first round victory in the 11 October presidential election, with 57.9% of the...
After balancing political interests and restructuring ministries, the most urgent issue facing President Buhari is economic strategy
At his self-imposed eleventh hour, President Muhammadu Buhari submitted his list of 21 ministerial nominees to the Senate on 30 September. On 8 October, the Senate was to...
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The President's 'gift' to farmers of 1,000 tractors is not all it seems. It isn't the first public procurement problem to crop up
President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta is in the midst of another big public spending row after making a supposedly personal gift of 1,000 tractors to rural communities, just in...
Vol 56 No 20 |
- BURKINA FASO
Now the coup leader is in custody, extraordinary details are emerging about the country's latest escape from military rule
'We have the black box of the Compaoré regime,' said Nestor Bassière , Vice-President of the Union pour la renaissance-Parti sankariste (Unir-PS), to Radio Omega. He...
President Alpha Condé faces a growing barrage of attacks as presidential polling day looms on 11 October. So far, so normal, in a hotly-contested election except for an...
Vol 56 No 19 |
- BURKINA FASO
After launching a coup, soldiers loyal to ousted President Compaoré face conflict with the national army and activists on the street
The presence of coup leader General Gilbert Diendéré, flanked by soldiers from the Régiment de sécurité présidentielle (RSP), to welcome West African leaders at Ouagadougou airport on 23...
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Vol 56 No 19 |
- SIERRA LEONE
Five months after being asked to rule on the President’s summary sacking of his Vice-President, judges have dismayed many by endorsing it
In a decision mourned in Freetown's legal and political circles alike, the Supreme Court has ruled that President Ernest Bai Koroma did indeed have the power to sack...
Cash and lobbying from the IMF and World Bank boost the government a year before elections
Smiling broadly and sporting his trademark northern smock, on 7 September John Mahama submitted his application in Accra to stand again as the governing party's presidential candidate in...
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Vol 56 No 18 |
- GUINEA BISSAU
Just as the country begins to recover from military rule, the governing party’s cracks re-open, bringing back instability
The governmental crisis has rapidly become a constitutional crisis as the battle lines are drawn between supporters of President José Mário Vaz and those of the Prime Minister...
The USA may be stepping into the controversy over a mining tycoon and a presidential brother
The operations of entrepreneur Vasile Frank Timis in Senegal have come under scrutiny from the United States Department of Justice, Africa Confidential has learned. US federal prosecutors are...
Fighters of a pro-government militia, the Groupe d'autodéfense touareg imghad et alliés , have agreed to withdraw from the northern town of Anéfis but appear to be in...
Expected in Paris on 14-15 September for a regional security conference, President Muhammadu Buhari will attend a series of bilateral meetings with President François Hollande, Foreign Minister...
The President is unpopular but she dominates the country's political scene and will influence the selection of her successor in 2017
It hasn't all been plain sailing. President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf's government was rocked by the social and political side-effects of the Ebola epidemic, with some in the country openly...
An enquiry into Guinea's most notorious mining deal has been stepped up. Swiss investigators travelled to Conakry in July to interview key witnesses in the Simandou mining rights...
The administration’s anti-corruption campaign has yet to launch and questions are growing about the APC’s ability to deliver
Two vital promises were made during President Muhammadu Buhari’s trip to Washington last month. Firstly, Nigeria would actively seek to recover some US$150 billion of stolen funds reckoned...
Vol 56 No 16 |
- GUINEA
- LIBERIA
Two major mining companies are locked in combat over access to the
railway line to export iron ore
The giant iron and steel producer ArcelorMittal has dragged Guinea and Liberia into its quarrel with Sable Mining over access to the rail export route. The line runs...
Questions remain about the nature of Sable Mining’s relationship with the government of President Alpha Condé.
Questions remain about the nature of Sable Mining’s relationship with the government of President Alpha Condé. How an inexperienced iron ore mining company with limited cash managed to...
Casamance has long been one of the government’s worst headaches.
A new approach promises change
President Macky Sall prides himself on his regional profile and holds the presidency of the Economic Community of West African States to prove
it. The antithesis of the grandstanding...
Vol 56 No 15 |
- BURKINA FASO
The latest round of the angry confrontation between ex-President Blaise Compaoré’s elite bodyguards, the 1,300-strong Régiment de sécurité présidentielle, and its former deputy commander, has gone the way...
After three days of meetings with President Obama and his government,
President Buhari has repaired the ailing relationship
It was organised rapidly but President Muhammadu Buhari’s first official visit to the United States on 19-22 July made serious progress on security, anti-corruption and energy agreements.
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The President wants at least one new mining project up and running by the
time of this year’s presidential election
In his haste to make new mining deals with Chinese bauxite companies, President Alpha Condé has stepped on some toes, including those of the British government.
This month, packed with critical meetings, appointments and policy changes, marks the real launch of President Muhammadu Buhari's government. He is due to name the main ministers who...
The much delayed signing of a new accord between north and south offers a chance to defeat the jihadists and sideline the secessionists
Three days after presiding on 20 June over the signing in Bamako of a peace agreement between northern rebels and President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta, Mongi Hamdi was in...
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Vol 56 No 13 |
- SIERRA LEONE
The constitutional crisis over the vice-presidency drags on while an unwelcome spotlight falls on the President’s affairs
A full explanation of why Vice-President Samuel Sam-Sumana was summarily removed from office in March has just emerged. President Ernest Bai Koroma feared he was building support for...
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Vol 56 No 13 |
- SIERRA LEONE
New cases of Ebola are still turning up in Port Loko and Kambia districts, over a month after the World Health Organisation declared neighbouring Liberia Ebola-free. A lack...
Post-election euphoria is turning to impatience as Nigeria waits for its new President to form a government and announce its policies. In fact, President Muhammadu Buhari has spent...
Shaky peace negotiations in the north and growing Wahabii influence in the south suggest the government is increasingly out its depth
As the government and various northern-based rebels prepare to sign another 'final agreement' in Bamako on 20 June, alarm is growing about the deterioration of security across the...
Vol 56 No 12 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Two new alliances of opposition politicians are creating problems for President Ouattara's campaign
Once President Alassane Dramane Ouattara had announced last year that he would seek a second term, he was the clear favourite to win the election due this October,...
Vol 56 No 12 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
'Crabs in a bucket' is one of the descriptions used to describe the new alliance, the Coalition nationale pour le changement. Signatures under its founding charter include those...
Vol 56 No 12 |
- CABO VERDE
After 40 years of Independence and political change, the government is continuing the revolutionary tradition of low pay for its leaders
The idea was simple, attractive and at one with the socialist sensibilities of the country's liberators 40 years ago: the President would earn no more than, say, a...
Against a chaotic economic backdrop, the new President promises to make government accountable and re-establish the rule of law
Popular expectations of new President Muhammadu Buhari were stratospherically high before his 29 May inauguration in Abuja – all the more so because chronic fuel shortages, increasing power...
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Concerns about stability and commercial interests informed the sudden meeting between President Buhari and Britain’s Prime Minister
Security, crime and migration topped the agenda when Nigerian President-elect Muhammadu Buhari met United Kingdom Prime Minister David Cameron at 10 Downing Street on 23 May. Aside from...
Student protests at inadequate facilities are reminding many of the long-running and still unresolved campaign for Casamance's independence from Senegal. The University of Assane Seck, in Ziguinchor, was...
January saw the birth of a new party – Forces patriotiques pour la démocratie et le développement (FPDD). The similarity to the name the last military junta gave...
The Swiss lawyers who brokered Nigeria's much-criticised immunity-for-cash deal with Mohammed and Abba Abacha last July are major beneficiaries, it has emerged. The two sons of the late...
The latest battle for territory between pro-government forces and militants threatens Mali’s fragile peace process
The main Tuareg secessionist group, the Mouvement national de libération de l'Azawad, has been losing ground – literally and politically – to pro-government forces. The government-backed Groupe autodéfense...
The list of pressing economic problems – oil, power, the naira – is lengthening ahead of Muhammadu Buhari’s inauguration on 29 May
It could hardly have been more cordial when a combined team of government and opposition economists from Nigeria arrived in Washington for the Spring Meetings of the International...
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At their Spring Meetings in Washington, officials at the International Monetary Fund and World Bank expressed surprise that Nigeria's incoming officials were willing to cooperate with their outgoing...
Vol 56 No 9 |
- BURKINA FASO
Supporters of the ancien régime are resisting a new electoral code which bans many of them from standing for election. The National Transition Council has excluded from October's...
The credibility of the election and transition breaks the political mould and opens up the possibility of radical change
One of President Goodluck Jonathan's campaign advisors had it all figured out a few weeks before the presidential election on 28 March. 'Nigerian elections are all about regional...
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Militant fighters ponder their options after Jonathan loses power and a showdown over oil theft looks likely
It has been a bad month for the Niger Delta in both personal and political terms. The death of activist lawyer Oronto Douglas on 9 April, after a...
The new technology helped combat fraud but old-fashioned politics determined the outcome
The accolades heaped on Attahiru Jega and his team at the Independent National Electoral Commission for organising the country's most credible elections to date make much of the...
Vol 56 No 8 |
- GUINEA BISSAU
The international community is backing the new optimism about the country’s prospects with cash but the military’s bad habits die hard
The euphoria that greeted the pledge of some US$1.5 billion at the 25 March donor conference in Brussels has not stifled all doubts about the political future. There...
Senegal's visa requirement, in force since 1 July 2013, will end on 1 May, President Macky Sall announced at the 4 April Independence celebrations. It may be a...
A five-member court martial headed by High Court Judge Emmanuel A. Amadi, a Nigerian, on 30 March sentenced six Gambian soldiers convicted of the 31 December attempted coup....
Returning to power after 30 years, Muhammadu Buhari has been elected President heading a coalition bent on reform
One of the first acts of President-elect Muhammadu Buhari's new government will be to establish a clear regime of accountability and transparency in managing the country's oil and...
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Lekia Nkirine didn't stand a chance. He was shot in the chest at close range at six in the morning on election day when 50 thugs attacked the...
The consequences of the failed coup are proving dire for peaceful dissent as a wave of secret detentions takes place
The repercussions of December's failed coup against President Yahya Jammeh are still being felt in Gambia and in the United States. One of the most prominent democracy campaigners,...
The most difficult dossier that the new Supreme Court President, Mamadou Badio Camara, has to deal with is the appeal by Karim Wade against his conviction for illicit...
Maximising the turnout and countering rigging could be the key to making a success of tomorrow’s elections
Anyone following the opinion polls for a guide to the outcome of tomorrow's presidential and parliamentary elections will be disappointed. Yet they have played an important role in...
Amid criticism for a lack of transparency, the oil industry is still dogged by corruption claims
December's law governing the oil sector has not prevented it from attracting the attention of the Liberia Anti-Corruption Commission (LACC). Ten arrest warrants were issued late last month...
Vol 56 No 6 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The once ruling Front populaire ivoirien has confirmed it prefers the past to future by replacing Pascal Affi N'Guessan as FPI leader with Aboudrahmane Sangaré, an unreconstructed Gbagboiste....
Vol 56 No 6 |
- SIERRA LEONE
President Ernest Bai Koroma has removed Vice-President Samuel Sam-Sumana from office even though he does not apparently have the powers to do so. Koroma claimed that Sam-Sumana's action...
When gunmen opened fire on an opposition rally in the First Lady’s home town, they were sending a clear message
Election campaigning for the opposition All Progressives Congress in the Niger Delta, the home base of President Goodluck Jonathan, was always going to be fraught. However, even the...
Addressing a packed auditorium at Chatham House in London on 26 February, General Muhammadu Buhari may have mused about his last big encounter with the British establishment. Thirty...
The economic slowdown, low steel demand and law suits block the development of the world’s largest iron ore deposit
Potential can be a heavy burden. That is the feeling in Conakry as President Alpha Condé and his advisors watch the prospects of economic development financed by minerals...
Power cuts, job losses and an IMF deal show the limits of government promises of economic change
Almost every African country has its power crisis. Lack of electricity from Angola to Zimbabwe holds back economic growth, education and health services. In some states such as...
Leaders of the Tuareg armed groups fighting for the recognition of northern Mali as an autonomous or independent Azawad face the challenge of keeping supporters on board following...
Even a six-week postponement of the elections looks unlikely to slow the momentum of opposition presidential candidate Muhammadu Buhari
Such is the febrile mood in national politics that President Goodluck Jonathan felt compelled to tell delegations from the European Union and the Economic Community of West African...
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There is another way to influence election results, without tampering with the actual vote: to encourage or discourage turnout by using the security organisations. Opposition parties claim that...
Vol 56 No 4 |
- BURKINA FASO
The country prepares for a democratic dawn at the October elections but stubborn soldiers want their privileges guaranteed
The mass movement that toppled President Blaise Compaoré last October is at increasing odds with the Régiment de sécurité présidentielle (RSP, AC Vol 55 No 22). The elite...
Vol 56 No 4 |
- SIERRA LEONE
Freetown's redoubtable Auditor General, Lara Taylor-Pearce, has struck again, publishing a damning report on the misuse of public funds between May, when the Ebola epidemic broke out, and...
High political tensions and a flood of weaponry into the Niger Delta presage trouble in this month’s elections
The risk of violent clashes in the Niger Delta is increasing as the political contest heats up ahead of the presidential and governorship elections, scheduled for 14 and...
Vol 56 No 3 |
- SIERRA LEONE
President Ernest Bai Koroma has called off the national housing and population census planned for April after criticism that members of his All Peoples' Congress (APC) were over-represented...
With three weeks to go until voting day, almost half the electorate still lack voters’ cards and could be disenfranchised
New doubts about the timing of the presidential and governorship elections, currently due on 14 and 28 February respectively, will complicate national security. Because some 30 million out...
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Vol 56 No 2 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The President faces greater danger from his allies than from a demoralised opposition that is stubbornly loyal to his predecessor
The main opposition Front populaire ivoirien appears unable to accept that it must replace its leader, ex-President Laurent Gbagbo, to contest the elections in October. The International Criminal...
Vol 56 No 2 |
- SIERRA LEONE
The government’s handling of the epidemic is increasingly compared unfavourably with Guinea and Liberia
In its last report on Ebola, the United Nations World Health Organisation offered Sierra Leone some good news. The incidence of infection appeared to be decreasing, the WHO...
Peace talks with Tuareg rebels and the President’s dented reputation both need their credibility restored
Deadlock in the peace talks with Tuareg rebels promises continued instability and paralysed development for northern Mali this year – unless Algerian mediators step up the pressure for...
Vol 56 No 1 |
- BURKINA FASO
Filling the vacuum left by Compaoré’s long presidency will dominate the year ahead: the mass movement that ousted him will be on high alert
Dismantling the political and economic system built around ex-President Blaise Compaoré is political, military and economic. Politically, the transition is about preparing the way for new presidential and...