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Displaying 90 results from 2014 (out of 2474 total).

Political storm warning

The opposition is looking stronger but officials are sounding alarms about serious flaws in the election organisation

It has been a good month for the opposition All Progressives Congress. The APC's successful national convention in Lagos picked Muhammadu Buhari as its presidential candidate on 11...

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Freetown under fire on Ebola

The government’s handling of the epidemic comes in for criticism as cases rise in the Eastern Province

On 12 December, President Ernest Bai Koroma issued an edict banning all Christmas celebrations, especially the street festivals and masquerades for which Freetown is famous. On 25 December,...


Uneasy peace on the border

The volatile frontier between the two countries is far from calm. A defecting guerrilla warns of possible trouble ahead

United Nations' investigators have warned the UN Security Council that Ivorian and Liberian fighters opposed to Côte d'Ivoire's President Alassane Dramane Ouattara are likely to multiply in the...


Treading softly

Prime Minister Domingos Simões Pereira's government is consolidating power and purging politicians and officials connected to the old regime. Efforts to restore the rule of law and prevent...


Sall clears the decks

Macky Sall is holding a referendum on returning the presidential term to five years. That will mean an election in 2017

President Macky Sall's re-election campaign is already commanding his agenda. He has confirmed that a referendum on reducing the presidential mandate from seven to five years will take...


Martyr or master-crook

The trial of former President Abdoulaye Wade's son Karim Meïssa Wade, which began in July, has been adjourned until 22 December after briefly resuming on 1 December. The...


Danger looms as piracy booms

Distracted by the Islamist insurgency in the north and the coming elections, the government has no effective response to the wave of oil theft and hijackings in the Gulf of Guinea

Crashing world oil prices and next February's elections – in which President Goodluck Jonathan must retain his grip on his base in the oil-producing Niger Delta – could...


After the bombing, Jonathan declares

Despite security and economic crises, Jonathan wins his party’s support for a second term while the opposition faces a leadership contest

The candidate's declaration speech is, by tradition, a key moment in the theatre of Nigerian politics. President Goodluck Jonathan's rally in Abuja on 11 November to announce that...

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Policies, what policies?

The received wisdom on Nigeria's elections is that they are all about money and mobilisation. Despite sheaves of glossy manifestos rolling off the presses, acres of newsprint devoted...


Oil price down, debts up

Movement on a deal between the government and the IMF is slowing as concern grows over ballooning debts

Hopes that the government would agree a three-year programme worth US$1 billion with the International Monetary Fund this month have been thwarted by worries over debt, deficits and...


Pressure mounts on Zida

The public is unhappy with Compaoré’s replacement by one of his Praetorians and many fear for the fate of their revolution

In the immediate aftermath of the overthrow of President Blaise Compaoré last week, no one knew who was in charge. Gradually, towards the end of the country’s most...


Trovoada's return

Former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada has crowned an unlikely comeback with an emphatic victory in the 12 October legislative elections. One thing hasn't changed, however: his strained relationship...


The warning from Ouagadougou

The overthrow of Blaise Compaoré sends a powerful message from the street to other leaders planning to extend their rule

One of Africa's canniest operators, Blaise Compaoré, was forced out of power on 31 October as over 100,000 protestors in Ouagadougou and Bobo-Dioulasso demanded his exit. Unable to...


    Vol 55 No 21 |
  • MALI

Crisis returns as talks falter

Negotiations over the future of the north have resumed without much sign of any rapprochement

Lethal attacks by jihadists on United Nations' forces and armed clashes among Tuareg factions take place against a background of another round of sluggish peace talks in Algiers....


Follow the money

A leak from Italian prosecutors reveals more details about the recipients of the US$800 million from the OPL 245 licence sale

Telephone taps of Italian middlemen in the deal over Oil Prospecting Licence 245 reveal extraordinary detail about the manoeuvring that led to the agreement between the Nigerian government,...


ENI in the cross-hairs

Italian prosecutors want British help in investigating ENI for possible bribery of Nigerian officials

Italian public prosecutors have asked Britain to freeze an account holding US$85 million in their preliminary investigation into whether top officials in the ENI oil company conspired to...


Finding the funds

Accra's economic team is set to resume negotiations for a three-year programme with the International Monetary Fund after the IMF's annual meetings on 10-12 October. Prospects for a...


Saying no to the narco-state

A new civilian government is trying to guide the country back to legality, handling the military carefully and promising no prosecutions

No elected government has yet served out a full term but Prime Minister Domingos Simões Pereira has formed a broad coalition to get Guinea Bissau back on the...


Never give it up

Tycoon Beny Steinmetz is using every device he can to contest the Conakry government's decision to take away his iron-ore mining licence. Steinmetz, who is under investigation, along...


    Vol 55 No 19 |
  • MALI

MINUSMA minus one

Albert Gerard 'Bert' Koenders, the United Nations Secretary General's Special Representative in Mali, may soon be en route to the Hague, where he is seen as the favourite...


How terror twists the vote

Accusations that a former state governor and army chief have been sponsoring the Islamist insurgents have fired up the election campaign

Almost in concert with the political parties' calendar for choosing their presidential candidates, the Jama'atu Ahlus Sunnah Lidda'awati wal Jihad, widely known as Boko Haram, is stepping up...

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Popping the gas balloon

Opacity and mismanagement in the oil and gas sector have turned financial problems into a much deeper economic crisis

Fixing the worsening crisis in the oil, gas and electricity industries is a key issue in this month's finance negotiations with investors and the International Monetary Fund. Not...


Oil blocks and shocks

Questions are arising about irregularities in contracts and the state’s fitness to manage the hydrocarbons sector

As bidding opens on four offshore oil exploration blocks and President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf signals that long-awaited petroleum legislation is imminent, the National Oil Company of Liberia again comes...


Oil, the political lubricant

A spate of oilfield sales ahead of next year’s elections is conveniently timed for some expensive campaigning

The news that Western oil companies have finally offloaded over US$6.5 billion of assets to a fast-growing coterie of Nigerian oil and gas companies only six months...


Capital flight

A storm broke over President Alpha Condé's government after Senegalese customs seized US$8 million in US dollar and euro banknotes from a small aircraft that had flown from...


Taking a chance on Casamance

Armed with a development plan and secretive mediators, the President thinks he can pacify the troubled region

The fractious politics of Casamance are holding up President Macky Sall's grand economic plans as he tries to relaunch his battered government. He believes that a breakthrough in...


Red is the colour

A banner-waving alliance of professionals and trades unionists is highlighting the growing economic hardships and shaking up the political scene

A clever campaign against worsening economic conditions – known as Red Friday – is gaining momentum after several thousand activists marched through Accra on 24 July. The date...

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Letting a crisis go to waste

Far from cruising to an inevitable electoral victory in 2016, the opposition New Patriotic Party has been left looking flat-footed, even as the government's troubles have multiplied. In...


After the amnesty, more amnesty

President Jonathan struggles to pacify militants and oil companies as violence and theft continue in his Delta homeland

The environmental devastation, lawlessness and grand corruption have not stopped in the oil-producing Niger Delta but the situation looks far less forbidding when set against the horrific insurgency...


The Jonathan surge

Despite a security crisis and a poor public image, President Goodluck Jonathan's People's Democratic Party has engineered a startling political recovery. Much of the turnaround is the responsibility...


Polls beckon as Hollande flies in

Ouattara hopes the French President’s visit will help his coalition prepare for next year's elections. The main opposition is floundering

President François Hollande’s visit last week to Côte d’Ivoire was full of fanfares for regional security and doing business with France but behind the scenes intense manoeuvrings in...


Macky the knife

President Macky Sall responded to his coalition’s poor showing in the 29 June local elections by sacking Prime Minister Aminata Touré and several other ministers. The local elections...


Ekiti, the shape of things to come

After a year on the defensive, the governing PDP has launched a determined fightback against opposition strongholds in the south-west

The victory of Ayo Fayose, candidate of the People's Democratic Party (PDP), in the governorship elections in Ekiti State on 21 June held some harsh lessons for modernising...

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Sanusi's political throne

The straight-talking former CBN Governor will find plenty of scope to promote his ideas and expand his influence from the Emir’s palace

From any angle, the appointment of Sanusi Lamido Aminu Sanusi as the 57th Emir of Kano is bad news for President Goodluck Jonathan and his government. Sanusi emerged...


The trade-off

The Alpine principality is returning some of Sani Abacha’s loot after the Nigerian government drops charges against his son Mohammed

In what bears the hallmarks of a backroom political deal, Liechtenstein is to return 167 million euros (US$228 mn.) stolen by General Sani Abacha in the 1990s. This...


Jonathan faces the north

After two months in the global spotlight, the insurgency in northern Nigeria is fast turning into a national political crisis

The deepening security crisis in northern Nigeria and along the borders with Cameroon and Niger has galvanised more attention internationally than in Abuja. This week, it was Britain's...

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The Caliph's council

In defiance of a 2010 law stipulating equal numbers of both sexes, the candidates' list for the 29 June municipal elections in the holy city of Touba includes...


    Vol 55 No 12 |
  • MALI

Ripples from Kidal

As retired air force Colonel Major Ba N'Dao settles in as the new Defence Minister, a parliamentary investigation begins into the rout of the army at Kidal on...


Trust still dormant

Five years after it was launched, the fund intended to help the Ogoni people has yet to disburse any money

In March last year Africa Confidential reported that disagreements among the trustees over the Kiisi ('progress' in Ogoni) Trust had prevented any disbursements.


Poison politics

Alongside its terrible human cost in north-eastern Nigeria and the Middle Belt, there are signs that the Boko Haram insurgency is seriously damaging the government's political standing. A...


Amnesty anomalies

As social media resonated with reports that the government was about to offer an amnesty to Islamist insurgents Boko Haram, on 28 May President Goodluck Jonathan vowed again...


    Vol 55 No 11 |
  • MALI

IBK ducks the blame for Kidal

The army’s defeat by the MNLA has dramatically altered the balance of forces, damaged the President’s reputation and angered the UN

The Malian army suffered a humiliating defeat at the hands of Tuareg rebels at the northern town of Kidal on 21 May and the aftershocks are taking a...


Everyone loses

The unfolding tragedy of the abducted schoolgirls exposes the government’s lack of strategy and will prolong the insurgency

In the short term, the crisis triggered by Boko Haram's kidnapping of more than 230 schoolgirls from Chibok in Borno State damages all those involved in addition to...


The ripples of OPL 245

Police and regulators are still investigating the consequences of Chief Dan Etete awarding himself an oil licence

The Metropolitan Police's Proceeds of Corruption Unit (POCU) in London has confirmed to Africa Confidential that it is investigating allegations of money laundering through Britain linked to Nigeria's...


The men to follow Ellen

Its choice of candidate gives the Unity Party an uphill climb to win the presidency in 2017

Observers are examining Liberia's record on gender equality. No woman has appeared on President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf's list of potential successors and she has said she wants the dour...


Only you

President Ernest Bai Koroma’s loyalists in the governing All People’s Congress are again clamouring for him to stand for a third term. That would require a change to...


Family business under pressure

The persistence of charges of nepotism and revelations about public sector corruption are threatening the President’s image and legacy

President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf has never shied away from appointing her children and relatives to public office when she thought it right. Opposition objections were often muted by the...


Rio's grand suit

No sooner had the Guinean government cancelled the licences of Beny Steinmetz and Brazil's Vale for the Simandou iron ore deposit than Rio Tinto sued them in New...


Ghost workers stalk the payrolls

A damning USAID report into institutionalised corruption and ‘ghost workers’ has been widely ignored since it was leaked in late March

The report draws devastating conclusions about the deep roots of corruption and blames public servants 'at all levels'. Revelations include a statement that 4,100 schools do not exist,...


Buying while there is blood on the streets

When it comes to Africa’s leading economy, balance sheets not political histories dominate the reading lists

Within the last week, Nigeria’s economy was confirmed as the biggest in Africa. At US$510 billion, it is well over $100 bn. bigger than South Africa’s. The first...

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Man with a plan

A grand economic strategy is unlikely to help Macky Sall win popularity as well as revitalise the economy – some doubt it can do either

The latest development plan from President Macky Sall, the Plan Sénégal émergent (PSE), has won praise from leaders such as German Chancellor Angela Merkel and pledges worth US$4.5...


Beny fights on

If the Guinean government cancels the licences of the Beny Steinmetz Group Resources to exploit Blocks 1 and 2 of the Simandou iron-ore reserves, the BSGR will continue...


The civilians may be back

Well conducted and fair elections last Monday will help restore civil society. Then comes the far greater challenge of reining in the military

The positive verdict on the conduct of the elections and the high turnout are but the first steps on a tricky road back to the rule of law...


    Vol 55 No 8 |
  • MALI

Keïta's six-month itch

The resignation of the government – after just six months in office – points to growing pressure on President Keïta

Elected in triumph last August, President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta faces growing criticism over failures to broker a settlement in the north and boost the national economy. The government's...


Issoufou’s Sahel agenda

Amid diplomatic discord and tough trade talks in Brussels, Niger’s President adeptly pushed for his government’s policies and interests

In spite of the testy relations between some African politicians and Europe, President Mahamadou Issoufou has cultivated strong support from top officials in Brussels and Paris. Indeed, as...


There will be blood... and oil

The stink of the OPL 245 scandal won’t go away

General Sani Abacha's son, now seeking political office with the governing People's Democratic Party (PDP), is building a coalition to obtain his part of the plunder. Middlemen are...


Tight spot for Blaise

Compaoré is running out of options. If he stays on, mass protests will continue but if he leaves, he may lose his money and could face trial

President Blaise Compaoré is in growing political difficulty. Mass protests greet any attempt to prolong his rule, something he would attempt by amending Article 37 of the Constitution...


Condé tests Steinmetz

This month, ministers in Conakry are due to announce a landmark decision on the future of the world's biggest iron ore reserves

Beny Steinmetz, the Israeli billionaire whose stake in Guinea's giant Simandou iron ore deposit is in dispute, is having a bad year. Last month, Beny Steinmetz Group Resources...


Who will follow Blé Goudé to the Hague?

After ex-President Gbagbo's cheerleader joins him for trial at the ICC, the court's investigations focus on President Ouattara's allies

Feted by his supporters in Abidjan's tough suburb of Yopougon as ‘the General of the Street’, the former Youth Minister Charles Blé Goudé landed on 22 March in...


    Vol 55 No 6 |
  • MALI

Sanogo case falters

Procedural errors in the arrest and prosecution of Malian coup leader General Amadou Haya Sanogo may be enough to see his trial collapse, legal sources in Bamako have...


    Vol 55 No 6 |
  • MALI

Talking Timbuktu

Deepening divisions among the armed groups – and the heavy hand of IBK – undermine the chances for talks on peace in the north

Swept to power on a nationalist platform in elections last September, President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta intends to make peace on his own terms or not at all. That...


Tanoh goes as Ecobank cleans house

Ecobank dismisses Chief Executive Thierry Tanoh and reinstates the sacked whistle-blowing Finance Director

In what regional financial experts describe as striking a blow for good governance, on 11 March the board of Ecobank pushed out its Chief Executive Officer Thierry Tanoh,...


Resuscitating democracy

Soldiers and politicians compromised by their drugs activities are having trouble preventing a return to democracy

The much-postponed general elections are now scheduled for 16 April but there is little chance of resolving the political crisis or even that the polls will take place...


Oil theft row escalates

President Jonathan risks panic among investors after he suspends Central Bank Governor Sanusi in a personal political battle

Plain speaking, combative and ubiquitous, Central Bank of Nigeria Governor Sanusi Lamido Aminu Sanusi was never going to work well with the taciturn and cautious President Goodluck Jonathan....

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Data battles in Abuja

Nigeria's most sensational political row for a decade began with a dispute over arithmetic. The figure in question was US$49.8 billion: that was the oil sales revenue between...


Isolation threatens Issoufou

A big rally to back President Issoufou has done little to dispel dissatisfaction with living conditions and corruption

He was feted as a reformer after winning the 2011 election that reversed the 2010 coup and seen as a beacon of stability during the Mali crisis (AC...


Hunt loses momentum

The fraud and embezzlement case against Karim Wade, son of ex-President Abdoulaye Wade, has changed from an open-and-shut case into a legal labyrinth, thanks to the defendant's lawyers....


The price of peace

Ouattara’s government has been paying Liberian mercenaries to keep a truce, while others are on trial in Monrovia. It is proving a major political headache in Liberia

Côte d’Ivoire’s Great West region has been the site of deadly violence since civil conflict followed President Alassane Dramane Ouattara’s election victory over Laurent Gbagbo in November 2010....


The wizard of Accra

Short-term economic worries and the government’s tin ear on corruption claims are wobbling Mahama’s presidency

Opposition activists like to portray President John Dramani Mahama as a kind of latter day Wizard of Oz, appearing to preside over a functioning government and thriving economy...


    Vol 55 No 3 |
  • MALI

Peace process slows down

The Security Council has sent its own delegation to Mali to try to improve relations with Bamako and advance peace talks on the north

The United Nations Mission, the Mission multidimensionnelle intégrée des Nations Unies pour la stabilisation au Mali, hopes to draw encouragement and a renewed sense of purpose from the...


Condé's house clearance

President Alpha Condé’s 21 January reshuffle removed politicians left over from the days of General Lansana Conté, although Naby Youssouf Kiridi Bangoura remains Presidency Secretary General. Nanténin Chérif...


Long shadow of 2011

The parties prepare for next year’s elections amid strong economic growth but a disquieting inability to move on from the past

Côte d’Ivoire will enjoy robust economic growth in 2014, although against a background of political conflict rooted in the lingering divisions of the post-election crisis of 2010-11. Two...


Mid-term blues

The President’s final term of office is half-way through: it is a time of uncertainty, realignment and anxious looks towards the future

The rumour which flashed around Monrovia late last year that President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf had died was a harbinger of unsettled times ahead. As she reaches the midpoint in...


Reform gives way to politics

Convening Parliament might take debate off the streets but it won’t heal divisions. A weak metals markets will delay resolution of mining disputes

Guinea completed the transition to democracy late last year, when it confirmed its first elected National Assembly in over a decade (AC Vol 54 No 21, Troubled polls...


An early test

Local elections will show whether Macky Sall’s party can stand on its own. He must deliver on his promises to improve water and power supplies

Scheduled for 29 June, the local elections will be the first popularity test for President Macky Sall’s government since his election in March 2012. The mayor’s job is...


    Vol 55 No 2 |
  • MALI

Serval’s birthday evokes mixed emotions

Bamako held a parade to mark the first anniversary of the French intervention. Admiration, pride and suspicion were also on display, as a new military pact takes shape

French Defence Minister Jean-Yves le Drian was the most notable guest at the ceremony on 20 January to mark the 53rd anniversary of the national armed forces, the...


Rising up against Compaoré

Mass demonstrations and party defections signal that 26 years of Compaoré are enough for many people in Burkina but will it be enough to unseat him?

Tens – the opposition says hundreds – of thousands of people took to the streets of the capital and other towns over the weekend in the biggest protests...


Economy billowing, politics floundering

Rip-roaring growth, youth unemployment and deepening schisms in the political class will make for an eventful year before the 2015 elections

With some 170 million people, 250 different languages and an economy about to overtake South Africa’s as the continent’s biggest, Nigeria is in many ways a symbol for...

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    Vol 55 No 1 |
  • MALI

Reconciliation and repression

Preventing ethnic conflict will be a major priority, but special interests threaten to interfere

Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta has passed the key electoral tests. He holds a decisive presidential mandate and the National Assembly is in place (AC Vol 54 No 17, IBK's...


Displaying 90 results from 2014 (out of 2474 total).