Neither jewels nor stability pay a cure for HIV-AIDS
Botswana's famously democratic politics are as stable as usual but they cannot solve all the problems. First, the politics. A year into President Festus Mogae's first five-year term,...
Vol 41 No 25 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The new opposition alliance hits the ANC where it hurts
The African National Congress swept to victory in the local government elections on 5 December, winning 59 per cent of the total vote (AC Vol 41 No 23)....
Vol 41 No 25 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Procedures for voting in the local government elections of 5 December were complicated but voters seemed to take that in their stride and the poll was accepted as...
President Robert Mugabe held onto the party presidency at the special congress of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front on 13-15 December.
The ruling MPLA offers the rebels amnesty but no talks
Cocksure of its diplomatic and military position, the ruling Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola has secured parliamentary approval of a new and renewable 60-day amnesty law that...
Angola's go-slow on the development of its massive offshore oil fields is sending ripples through the world's biggest oil companies, worried about lower investment returns and profits. Luanda's...
Chiluba says he prefers prophecy to presidency but not everyone
believes it
Frederick Chiluba seems to want to keep his job, although the constitution says a president may serve only two five-year terms. His ambition could be frustrated if his...
Politics get complicated when an absolute monarch changes his
mind
King Mswati III vies for the title of Africa's last absolute monarch with Mohammed VI of Morocco. Mswati is the more absolutist but his standing is falling so...
Vol 41 No 24 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The assassination of pioneering Mozambican journalist Carlos Cardoso in central Maputo on 22 November shows the growing threat to African reporters.
Vol 41 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Local elections next month will test the President's new stance on AIDS and Mugabe
President Thabo Mbeki faces his toughest battle for voters yet in local government elections on 5 December (AC Vol 41 Nos 17 & 19). A predicted low turnout...
Everything looked rosy in July, when Britain's Minister of State Peter Hain, in Angola, signed a memorandum on air services with Transportation Minister Luis Brando. Foreign Minister João...
Vol 41 No 23 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Post-war reconciliation looked shakier after clashes between the opposition Resistência Nacional Moçambicana and police on 9 November. More than 40 people died and over 100 were injured.
The ruling parties of Namibia, Angola, South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique would work together to root out agents of imperialism in Southern Africa, said South West Africa People's...
Oppositionists take to the streets to chase the President from
power but his own party may beat them to it
The more opponents urge President Robert Mugabe to quit, the more he wants to stay put. His backers insist that he will be running again in the 2002...
The stance of Zimbabwe's 40,000-strong armed forces will be critical in the coming months. At the senior officer level, there is still tremendous loyalty to the ruling Zimbabwe...
Scandals are complicating the choice of a presidential candidate
The Mercs to Malawi affair - the purchase of 39 top-notch Mercedes-Benz limousines by President Bakili Muluzi's aid-dependent government - turned discontent into crisis. This has had three...
The ruling United Democratic Front is struggling to pick its presidential candidate for 2004 and its continuity camp wants a third term for Bakili Muluzi, which would mean...
Yet another economic reform programme is riding on the oil
boom
Is President José Eduardo dos Santos' government, slopping around in oil revenues, serious about economic reform at last? Luanda officials claim it is, pointing to Dos Santos' appointment...
Two weeks of mass opposition protests and clashes with the army and police have further weakened President Robert Mugabe and his opponents draw parallels with the overthrow of...
Vol 41 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Some tough technocrats are running the anti-crime policy but the police force lags behind
South Africans feel unsafe. Fear of criminals demoralises people and is a major cause of emigration. High expectations therefore attach to the first black Commissioner of Police, Jackie...
Vol 41 No 20 |
- ZAMBIA
- VATICAN
Zambian Archbishop Emmanuel Milingo, healer and exorcist in Rome for 18 years, has been silently sacked as Vatican Special Delegate to the Pontifical Commission for Migration and Tourism.
Vol 41 No 19 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The government blames Islamists for a wave of terrorism in
Cape Town
In the Cape Town area in the past 27 months, 21 bombings have caused three deaths and injured at least 130 people. In Cape Town itself, a major...
A dilemma for the trades union's new party: to represent the
electors or the workers?
The Movement for Democratic Change, offspring of the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions, amazed everybody by winning 57 of the 120 seats contested at the parliamentary elections in...
Union officials now MPs for the Movement for Democratic Change...
President Bakili Muluzi pleads for cancellation of Malawi's US$2.5 billion international debt. Meanwhile Parliament's Public Accounts Committee has described the embezzlement of millions of government money, naming and...
A quirky election result brings back old faces back to power
again
This was not what was supposed to happen. The last-minute opposition alliance of the Mouvement Socialiste Militant (MSM) and the Mouvement Militant Mauricien (MMM) won three-quarters of the...
Mercenaries and miners will play a key role in President Kabila's
latest offensive
President Laurent-Désiré Kabila is increasingly relying on mercenary soldiers and bomber pilots as he prepares for a new round of fighting with the disparate rebel factions across the...
The new chief of the Namibia Defence Force is Major General Solomon 'Jesus' Hawala, which worries many Namibians (AC Vol 31 Nos 19 & 20). In the undeclared...
Government officials unofficially promise to spend at least US$16 million of new oil money on social projects. This may be a first tangible sign of the state oil...
Vol 41 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Trades unionists argue about how hard to fight the government
at a policy conference
Black union militants are planning new clashes with the African National Congress government over jobs and labour law reform. But many union leaders would prefer a compromise that...
Long-delayed and undersold, the bungled mines privitisation
will have consequences
Zambians' belief in the brand new Republican Party faces its first test on 26 September. By contesting seven by-elections, the party hopes to give a voice to the...
The peace movement is gaining support but not from the politicians
A congress for peace held at Luanda's Catholic University on 18-21 July might sound like a bland affair. Yet by bringing together over 20 churches with politicians and...
Government and business still argue despite the long awaited
copper sell-off
Zambia's ruling politicians had hoped that selling off the government's ailing copper-mines would bring benefits in time for next year's elections (AC Vol 41 No 14). The slow...
The President has appointed some capable reformers but will
he let them do the job?
Real multi-party politics started raucously in Harare's parliament on 18 July, with both sides breaking into song after the election of former Justice Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa as Speaker...
Vol 41 No 15 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Social democracy and free market economics are eating into
the ruling party's identity
The African National Congress has emerged from its national general council, held in the coastal city of Port Elizabeth on 11-15 July, looking more like the Western-style social...
Promises of dollops of money at the Consultative Group meeting in Lusaka on 16-18 July (AC Vol 41 No 14) dispelled fears that Finance Minister Katele Kalumba was...
At a cost of 30 lives and the forced removal of more then 6,000 farmworkers, the ruling party has scraped home
Another eighteen months of economic stagnation and high-tension politics lie ahead after the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front squeaked to victory in the 24-25 June parliamentary elections....
Zimbabwe now has a multi-party political system. ZANU-PF will have to struggle to get more controversial bills through, as about 15 dissidents among the new crop of ZANU-PF...
Vol 41 No 14 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The government prefers efficient farmers to contented peasants
Zimbabwe's land rows have touched a sore nerve in South Africa, where land hunger is a lively, if partly suppressed, political issue and where white people still dominate...
Redistribution sounds like a good idea until you look at the
land itself
Namibia's 4,000 white farmers have been shocked by the farm occupations in Zimbabwe. The farmers, mostly of Afrikaner or German ancestry, had felt safe under the government's policy...
Good land is scarce in Malawi and the best of it is occupied by settlers (often of South African origin) who produce the grain and the exports of...
Since President Chiluba promised to go, the race to follow
him is on - covertly
The knives are out as the ruling Movement for Multi-party Democracy, bereft of a natural successor to President Frederick Chiluba, begins its pre-election finagling. Chiluba could yet cancel...
Lusaka is buzzing with preparations for a crucial meeting of the Consultative Group of donors in the city on 16-19 July. The government is hoping for US$605 million...
Vol 41 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Local and foreign investors want state assets sold fast - the
trade unions don't
The African National Congress inches ahead with privatisation, though its partner, the Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu), links this to the redrawing of labour laws to...
Vol 41 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Inspiring a broad resistance front is not the same as running a pragmatic government, as the African National Congress has discovered. To iron out the long-standing and often...
The arrest in Kinshasa of Mines Minister Frédéric Kibassa Maliba and Economy Minister Bemba Saolona raises more doubts about the planned launching of Oryx Diamonds on the London...
A new mining consortium in partnership with Congo and Zimbabwe
is to be launched on the London Stock Exchange
A new consortium to mine diamonds in war-torn Congo-Kinshasa, Oryx Diamonds, is to be launched on the London Stock Exchange on 13 June, in partnership with the governments...
The upswing in political violence is about beating back the
opposition not a belated crusade for land redistribution
The collapse of the 27 April British-Zimbabwe ministerial negotiations in London on land redistribution now makes any bilateral agreement unlikely before the parliamentary elections due before mid-August. The...
President Thabo Mbeki is trying to limit the fall-out from
Zimbabwe's troubles
South Africa's policy on Zimbabwe's crisis has been run entirely by President Thabo Mbeki and officials in the enlarged presidency. The department of Foreign Affairs has been sidelined....
Harare's domestic crisis makes its military intervention look
even shakier
The Congo war is at the heart of President Robert Mugabe's troubles. The economic cost of Zimbabwe's military involvement, with no immediate return, is a load which donors...
Paris-based arms trader Arkady Gaydamek has bought 15 per cent of Lev Leviev's Africa-Israel company as part of arrangements to settle some of Angola's military debt. The holding...
Vol 41 No 8 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Pretoria's once powerful armed forces need fast reform and
a new strategy if they are to help regional security
One of the country's sharpest and most popular politicians Defence Minister Mosiuoa (Patrick) Lekota has a daunting task ahead of him if he is to reform the military...
The old leader has gone and the new ones have not yet arrived
So strong was the personality cult around the Independence leader and Father of the Nation, former President Kenneth Kaunda, that his United National Independence Party has been thrown...
The ousting of Zimbabwean magnate Billy Rautenbach as Chief Executive of Congo-Kinshasa's Gécamines and the breaking up of his Congo-based Central Mining Group is part of a bigger...
The Zanu-PF hierarchy is encouraging President Mugabe to take
a dignified retirement. But they can't agree who should take over
Few serious politicians doubt that Zimbabwe is heading for its roughest elections since Independence and the end of the liberation war in 1980. The ruling Zimbabwe African National...
Donors switch money into flood relief, the government is washed
off economic course
Five years after having been the world's favourite basket case, Mozambique is trying hard to ensure the floods don't wash it off course (AC Vol 41 No 5)....
President Joaquim Chissano's new government in January included several tried and trusted ministers, whose experience has paid off in the flood disaster. The team at Foreign Affairs and...
The United Nations' latest exercise in naming and shaming sanctions-busters may see the international isolation of Burkina Faso's President Blaise Compaoré and Togo's President Gnassingbé Eyadéma.
Vol 41 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Finance Minister Manuel wins praise for his business budget
but joblessness is growing
Income taxes and the budget deficit are down, defence spending is up. That conservative combination in Finance Minister Trevor Manuel's budget on 23 February won plaudits from business,...
New controls are meant to enrich the government and impoverish
its enemies
Angola has transformed the market for its diamonds, cancelling or suspending all existing marketing contracts for the stones. The government claims that this radical shake-up, made by decree...
The National Summit on Africa in Washington on 16-20 February attracted several star speakers, such as United States President Bill Clinton and Organisation of African Unity Secretary General...
The fuel crisis is deepening despite the government's recent deal with BP Amoco for shipments through the Beira pipeline. Ships delivering fuel to Beira were halted by the...
ZANU's referendum defeat is a political watershed but it doesn't
guarantee the opposition a victory in the April polls
'We've won this war, so we're all guerrillas now,' a young man shouted out at a crowded civic meeting in Harare, just hours after the Zimbabwean people had...
Britain is maintaining an 'informal arms embargo' on Zimbabwe, defence sources told Africa Confidential in Harare this week. This is despite a cabinet meeting in Downing Street last...
Vol 41 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Thabo Mbeki's new economics mean confronting his political
allies
A decade after Nelson Mandela walked out of prison and South Africa's political revolution started, his successor Thabo Mbeki is launching another revolution,It aims to overthrow the apartheid...
Vol 41 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The failed attempt by Nicky Oppenheimer, Chairman of De Beers, to meet the United States Justice Department's Joel Klein at the business people's festival in Davos, Switzerland last...
Launched in Lisbon, the Commission for Peace, Justice and Reconciliation in Angola is the latest diplomatic device of the União Nacional para a Independência Total de Angola. It...
Vol 41 No 3 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Mbeki's new team is better equipped and coordinated
- they'll need to be
The first real post-apartheid government will start work after President Thabo Mbeki opens parliament on 4 February, focusing at last on economic and administrative reform, rather than on...
The government is doing well but the opposition's problems
are growing
After four years of startling growth, Mozambique is set to be the world's fastest growing economy this year (according to the Economist Intelligence Unit). Moreover, the presidential and...
Vol 41 No 2 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC government believes that Afrikaner businesses are more
open to change than their English-speaking counterparts
In courting the country's three million Afrikaners, President Thabo Mbeki wants to harness their still formidable financial power to boost a flagging economy. Ministers concede that despite the...
Western support for the MPLA and its war against UNITA is running
at an all-time high
The government's military victories have perked up President José Eduardo dos Santos. In fine form for a millennium address to diplomats on 17 January, he wooed investors and...
Senior Angolan officers say their military intelligence has been much improved by foreign 'commercial agencies'. These officers are far too discreet to say if these commercial agencies are...
Peaceful elections are followed by worries about overspill
from the Angola war
Nobody expected President Sam Nujoma or his ruling South West African People's Organisation to lose the elections but SWAPO's victory was impressive. Putting down a marker was the...
Vol 41 No 2 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Africa Confidential has learned that more than 100 companies are considering applying to the South Africa Reserve Bank for listing on foreign stock exchanges. This follows the giant...
His party won December's general elections comfortably but the surprise came when President Joaquim Chissano took only 52.29 per cent of the vote in the presidential poll while...
Confusion mounts over Zimbabwe's parliamentary elections. Last month Justice Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa, 53, announced their postponement from March to June so that the poll could be held under...