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Displaying 75 results from 2004 (out of 2764 total).

A heartbeat away

By suppressing dissent in his party, the President puts at risk its ethnic balance

The struggle for the succession to President Robert Mugabe gets sharper every day. His latest purge of the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front puts his loyalists into...


Morgan's method

The opposition Movement for Democratic Change will benefit from the factional rivalries in the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai has told Africa Confidential. 'The...


Guebuza's day

Frelimo has won a huge but tarnished victory in this month's elections

The result was not quite what Mozambique's young, post-war generation would have hoped for. President-elect Armando Emilio Guebuza, poised to succeed Joaquim Chissano after the elections on 2-3...


Man with a past

Armando Emilio Guebuza (61), from Nampula, was associated with the worst abuses of Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo). As Interior Minister during the transition to Independence in...


Boom boom, China's coming

Production is soaring, prices are up and Luanda is finding new friends

With all the world betting on high oil prices, Angola's post-war economy is set to boom and to boost its soaring trade with China. The Finance Ministry credibly...


Correction

In our Namibia feature 'Sam's successor' (AC Vol 45 No 24) we described the United Democratic Front as a 'former DTA component'. The UDF had an alliance with...


Election, what election?

With money and political dominance, the MPLA isn't rushing to the polls

After the war, democracy and prosperity. That was the mantra during three decades of war between the MPLA and UNITA. The reality is different. The victorious Movimento Popular...


Sam's successor

The new President will have to work hard to convince people that he is his own man

President-elect Hifikepunye Pohamba's first test will be to address opposition claims about the running of the 15-16 November election which gave him 76 per cent of the vote....


Bye-bye, Moyo

A purge is coming, in preparation for the 2005 elections and, one day, the departure of President Robert Mugabe. The President's faction of his Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic...


Bingu ascendant

The rift between the United Democratic Front (UDF) government and the party continues to deepen. Investigating corruption in the former regime gives President Bingu wa Mutharika the ammunition...


Gunning for Number 2

Parliamentary Speaker Emmerson Mnangagwa stakes a claim to the succession

Feared and unpopular he may be but Parliamentary Speaker Emmerson Mnangagwa has now revealed himself to be a serious contender for the vacant vice-presidency. What is most remarkable...


Government versus party

Reformers reject Muluzi's legacy but the ruling party fights back

When Bingu wa Mutharika won the presidential election in May 2004, nobody expected much change from the previous ten years of Bakili Muluzi's presidency. One United Democratic Front...


Queuing for court

A long queue of cases waits to be heard in court, cases concerning crimes allegedly committed during the decade of Bakili Muluzi's presidency, when billions of kwacha leaked...


Khama's coming

Africa's most successful democracy will soon be run by a military man

The general elections of 30 October ended with a renewed majority of 31 seats for the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP). It was, predictably, a vote for no change...


Honoured dictator

There has been neither visible mention of nor comment on President Thabo Mbeki's recent posthumous decoration of the late President Ahmed Sekou Touré of Guinea.


Russian roulette

A touted take-over of Gold Fields by Harmony Gold, both major South African companies, looks as though it may be about to fall flat on its face. Harmony...


Drama in the Durban dock

Deputy President Jacob Zuma's future is on the line as his friend and financial advisor goes on trial

The two most powerful men in the country's politics flanked grieving widow Linda Makhaye at the funeral of African National Congress firebrand Dumisani Makhaye on 30 October. To...


A very private war II

Erynis Iraq replies to Africa Confidential

Further to your article 'South Africa/Iraq: A very private war' of 11 June 2004 (AC Vol 45 No 12), we wish to respond to the allegations made.


Green light

Donors will give Angola the benefit of the doubt and hold a pledging conference next year. On 15 October in Luanda, Karel de Gucht, Belgian Foreign Minister, said...


A Nujoma dynasty?

With former Foreign Minister Hidipo Hamutenya and his supporters demoted in a purge orchestrated by outgoing President Sam Nujoma, many MPs elected in the 15-16 November polls will...


Proof of the PUDDing

A brand new party is proof of political moves by President and ex-President alike

Ex-President Frederick Chiluba is making a comeback, linked to the newly formed Party for Unity, Democracy and Development. PUDD consists mainly of his close associates: its spokesperson, Dan...


Tsvangirai half free

Now the MDC must decide whether to fight next year's elections on Mugabe's terms

Morgan Tsvangirai will be back in the High Court on 2 November to face more treason charges, this time for planning a mass action campaign against the government...


Facts on a fax

Pressure is mounting on Deputy President Jacob Zuma following claims by state prosecutors on 19 October that he received a 500,000 rand (US$79,000) bribe from France's Thomson-CSF.


That golden moment

A foreign take-over of a local bank could mean the end of exchange controls

Barclays' planned purchase of ABSA (Amalgamated Banks of South Africa) is set to be the biggest foreign investment in post-apartheid South Africa. It cheers economic liberals, who argue...


Collision course

The new Pan-African Parliament has already made an impact. As it opened in Midrand on 16 September, Pretoria established diplomatic ties with the Polisario Front's government-in-exile, the Saharan...


Mistake in the Movement

The MDC's election boycott is badly timed and sends the wrong signals

Just as an independent poll showed a solid gain in popularity by President Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, the leaders of the opposition Movement for Democratic...


Don't criticise it, nationalise it!

The Zimbabwe government has taken powers to nationalise the assets of people it regards as enemies of the state. It works like this. A statutory instrument (part of...


SWAPO in turmoil

An anonymous e-mail campaign against former Foreign Minister Hidipo Hamutenya threatens to undermine the governing party's image of unity in the run-up to November elections. President Sam Nujoma...


Success unseen

Zambia grows richer but people feel poorer and they blame the President

Political fumbling is overshadowing real economic achievements. President Levy Mwanawasa has failed to deliver a constitution and the anti-corruption crusade against his predecessor, Frederick Chiluba, shows few results....


New brooms

The President hopes to prosecute his corrupt predecessors, who keep fighting back

President Bingu wa Mutharika has surprised those who dismissed him as his predecessor's uncharismatic surrogate. He has won cross-party support and is rapidly becoming popular, three months after...


On and on and on

Economic failure confronts Mugabe more sharply than opposition parties and foreign critics

The African Union summit in Addis Ababa formally accepts a devastating critique of the government's human rights abuses. The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation lambasts the government's...


Gideon rising

Considering the economic nightmares with which he has to contend daily, Reserve Bank Governor Gideon Gono is a relaxed man. He speaks gaily of economic challenges, never of...


Fears of famine

President Mugabe has laughed off forecasts of another food crisis; now the UN presents the evidence

United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation analysts predict chronic food shortages in a damning new report on Zimbabwe obtained by Africa Confidential. It says 'an estimated 30-40 per...


The limits of power

Pretoria's new diplomats win continental plaudits but face more chaos in their neighbourhood

Pretoria's expansionists are having a good year. Foreign Minister Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma was elected to the chair of the African Union's newly formed Peace and Security Council and...


Military might

This week's military agreement between Rwanda and South Africa may be touted as African Union cooperation and regional peace-building. But some in Pretoria fear that if Kigali continues...


Newish start

New President Bingu wa Mutharika took three weeks to establish his cabinet and his parliamentary majority, in time for the Speaker's election on 28 June (AC Vol 45...


Did they vote for this?

The new President's main opponent could not beat him – so he joined him

Opposition darling Gwanda Chakuamba, leader of the Mgwirizano alliance, shocked Malawians by taking his Republican Party (RP) into the governing coalition led by the United Democratic Front government....


Winners and losers

The election has seriously weakened the UDF, although its candidate, Bingu wa Mutharika, won the presidency with 36 per cent of the vote. Over 20 cabinet ministers...


Sam's man

SWAPO's new flagbearer offers Nujomaism without Nujoma at the helm

It was the result President Sam Nujoma wanted. The congress of the governing South West African People's Organisation on 28-29 May chose party Vice-President Hifikepunye Pohamba as its...


A very private war

A Pretoria-based military company is at the centre of a security row in Iraq

South African-based Erinys International (AC Vol 45 No 4) and its affiliate Erinys Iraq have secured the renewal of their US$50 million contract, awarded by Iraq's Coalition Provisional...


Fast buck, slow famine

US companies help President Mugabe to finance secret food imports

President Robert Mugabe is staking his people's future on false claims of a bumper harvest. His Information Minister, Jonathan Moyo, parrots the line but fails to convince Zimbabweans....


Maize-meal for votes

ZANU-PF strategists believe that a new plan to lock out foreign food aid and hold early elections will bring certain victory

The government's order to a United Nations' crop assessment team to leave the country last weekend is part of its strategy to maintain tight political control over food...


Presidential prosecutions

Busy days for judges as the President struggles to lock up his predecessor

The two main suspects in President Levy Mwanawasa's anti-corruption campaign have gone missing. Former intelligence chief Xavier Chungu and former Ambassador Attan Shansonga have left the country, frustrating...


Closer and closer

The election for the ruling party's leadership looks increasingly tight

Foreign Minister Hidipo Hamutenya remains the front-runner in an increasingly close and bitter contest to choose the next leader of the governing South West Africa People's Organisation (SWAPO)....


Dirty water

Lesotho has scored a rare but convincing victory against corruption. The Maseru courts convicted three multinationals of bribing to secure contracts in the giant Highlands Water Project and...


Bingu the favourite

Opposition splits, not political merit, will help the UDF win the presidency –again

By most measures, the governing United Democratic Front (UDF)have little hope of winning the national elections on 18 May. President Bakili Muluzi's UDF government has presided over worsening...


Disappearing food

The government may turn away foreign food aid as part of its ruthless election strategy

An internal United Nations' memorandum describes Zimbabwe's latest crop projections as 'complete nonsense' and 'quite impossible.' That's no surprise. Fanciful agricultural forecasts are common in Agriculture Minister Joseph...


Locking up the Minister

Finance Minister Christopher Kuruneri is the first of President Robert Mugabe's big guns to go to gaol, where police can hold him for a month before bringing him...


Gunning for Mnangagwa

A corruption probe into ZANU-PF's finances aims to block the Parliamentary Speaker's bid to succeed President Mugabe

A high-level investigation initiated by former army commander General Solomon Mujuru into claims of massive corruption in the commercial operations of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Popular Front (ZANU-PF)...


Losing Zengeza

The ruling party has won another by-election – and the opposition is faltering

The economic meltdown continues, land resettlement is hobbled by corruption and mismanagement, and the ruling elite is quarrelling over the presidential succession. So the main opposition Movement for...


Rebirth pains

The upcoming season of pan-African summits will test the new institutions and promises of reform

The grand economic plans of the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NePAD) are to be revived when African and Western leaders meet in Mozambique on 16-17 April. Three...


End of an affair

As polling stations closed on 14 April, activists were predicting the end of coalition government. With the African National Congress set to win a two-thirds majority, many ANC...


Nujoma steps aside

Ambitious Foreign Minister Hidipo Hamutenya looks set to be installed as successor to President Sam Nujoma by the ruling South West African People's Organisation at its 28-29 May...


Thabo's test

The ANC will win the elections but the size of its victory will determine the President's powers

The test is personal. The campaign for the national elections on 14 April is dominated by President Thabo Mbeki's speeches and his face on the television and the...


Vote for the big bucks

Late last year, the African National Congress ran out of cash. It could not pay its 500 staff their November and December salaries on time or give them...


Out of funds

President Robert Mugabe seems bent on getting Zimbabwe thrown out of the International Monetary Fund. It is hard to do but this year, he might succeed.


Gideon's bible

The central bank govenor's anti-corruption drive may be part of a bigger plan

To the surprise of sceptics, Reserve Bank Governor Gideon Gono is enforcing new disciplines in the economy and catching out some well connected business people. Several of those...


Vaulting ambition

The presidential spin-doctor, Information Minister Jonathan Moyo, hopes for a parliamentary seat now that electors in Tsholotsho (his home area) in Matebeleland North, have selected him as the...


A ten-year test

The government set itself an examination and, not surprisingly, it passed

With national elections just over a month away (AC Vol 45 No 3), the African National Congress government has formally assessed its first ten years. Not surprisingly, it...


Self-examination

Authored by the government's Communications Director, Joel Netshitenze, the official 'ten-year review' of the African National Congress tenure claims great strides in providing housing, water and electricity but...


Peace dividend

President Mbeki's diplomatic forays into Congo have a sound commercial base

South Africa's dreams of harnessing Congo-Kinshasa's massive hydro-electric resources to power most of Southern Africa are moving towards reality. The first aim for Eskom, SA's state-owned power utility,...


Foregone conclusion

The ANC will win the Easter elections but it needs to get its voters out

Few bother to ask who will win the general elections on 14 April. One cartoon last week portrayed President Thabo Mbeki astride an enormous African National Congress horse,...


Bombed out

The death of ex-special forces officer Frans Strydom in a bomb explosion in Baghdad in early February is focusing attention on South African mercenaries doing security work in...


Roller-coaster rand

Orthodox policies and populist gestures aim for a winning electoral strategy

Two years ago the value of South Africa's currency, the rand, was plummeting so fast that the government, suspecting a conspiracy of speculators, opened an investigation. Then the...


Jail to the chief

Personal and political rivalries are helping ex-President Frederick Chiluba's defence

Zambia's constitution provides that the Director of Public Prosecutions cannot be sacked or removed from office until his conduct has been investigated by a tribunal of judges. So...


Banking breakdowns

Financial and political casualties mount as the struggle to succeed President Mugabe intensifies

Political kingpin Phillip Chiyangwa has plenty of enemies but his arrest on 10 January on charges of obstructing a police probe into banking corruption has rocked the political...


Black gold flows

If the powerful can get their hands on oil money, why bother about reform?

Economic prospects are booming in post-war Angola but only for those in the oil industry and the tiny minority who get oil money. Three big new oil-fields will...


From Russia with debt

One of Angola's murkier debt deals was an intricate agreement for rescheduling US$5 billion owed, mostly since the Cold War, to Russia. After hefty repayments, the then Finance...


Spot the difference

President Muluzi's legacy looks sadly like the late Dr Hastings Banda's

Facing polls in May, President Bakili Muluzi's United Democratic Front (UDF) is accused of the same offences as its autocratic predecessor under the late Kamuzu Hastings Banda (AC...


Displaying 75 results from 2004 (out of 2764 total).