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The momentum is moving in the MDC's favour yet its foreign friends remain cautious

After a three-week tour through Western capitals and having raised some US$150 million for his fragile government, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai ...

SUDAN

Coup anniversary – 20 years of Islamist rule

SOUTH AFRICA

Business beyond borders

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

President Mwai Kibaki and Premier Raila Odinga held urgent talks on 23 June in Harambee ('All pull together') House with the Committee of Experts on Constitutional Review to prevent former United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan from handing a list of the December 2007 post-election violence perpetrators to the International Criminal Court. Annan told Africa Confidential that he would give the list to Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo if a local tribunal is not set up by August. A special tribunal would require constitutional reforms to go ahead, and behind the scenes Kibaki and Odinga want to identify any loopholes which would allow them to create a tribunal with international and local judges without parliamentary approval. A method that would bypass Parliament would certainly face domestic legal challenges but would provide much needed delays. The most unlikely option is just to let Annan hand over the sealed list of accused to the ICC. Moreno-Ocampo, who says the ICC has begun a preliminary examination of the Kenya cases, will meet Kenyan legal officials on 1 July. Another option is to try to pass the constitutional admendments to allow a tribunal to be formed, but that is unlikely with Parliament in recess again on 25 June. ODM and PNU party leaders have little latitude to force MPs to cooperate. Such measures already failed to pass in March; some MPs do not trust the local justice system’s ability to rule independently while others seek to protect powerful friends.

SOUTH AFRICA

Tshwane's big five

Foreign affairs analysts broadly agree that five countries will attract more attention from Tshwane (Pretoria)

ECONOMY | EAST AFRICA

Synchrobudgets

As they approach economic union, East Africa's finance ministers struggle to balance the books at home

TANZANIA | ECONOMY

Kikwete's bailout package

Tanzania, the second largest of the big-three members of the East African Community, has presented a budget with a bull...

SUDAN

'Selling the South down the river'

This week's meeting in Washington of the two signatories to the 2005 CPA is unprecedented. Both the National Congress P...

SUDAN

The coup-making government lives on

Hassan Abdullah el Turabi may watch mainly from the wings but the party he nurtured lives on, albeit renamed. The core g...

GUINEA

Camara's reality television

Conakry's military leader regularly berates drug traffickers and corrupt businesses on the state media but is extending ...

MALAWI

On top and in charge

The May elections have given President Mutharika political dominance for the term that is meant to be his last

NIGERIA | SOUTH AFRICA | ZIMBABWE | WHO'S WHO

In this week's issue

NIGERIA: Central Bank Governor Sanusi Lamido Sanusi SOUTH AFRICA: Sandile Zungu, Chief Executive, Zungu Investments C...

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

President Mwai Kibaki and Premier Raila Odinga held urgent talks on 23 June in Harambee ('All pull together') House with the Committee of Experts on Constitutional Review to prevent former United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan from handing a list of the December 2007 post-election violence perpetrators to the International Criminal Court. Annan told Africa Confidential that he would give the list to Prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo if a local tribunal is not set up by August. A special tr...

ZIMBABWE

The hard road to a new constitution

Parliamentarians launched the great constitutional debate on 24 June, amid growing tension in the power-sharing governm...


Special Briefing on the South African Elections 2009

South Africa’s elections: who will be the winners, and what are the short, medium and long term prospects for the Rainbow Nation.

Read more

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