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Somalia

Electoral process stumbles but stays on track 



The tortuous parliamentary selection needs more time, but the chances are that Hassan Sheikh, despite losing international confidence, will win

No Somali President was elected on 30 November, as scheduled, but it looks now as though the process will be brought to a conclusion by 15 December. It had already become clear the 30 November deadline would be missed when, five days beforehand, the scheduled day for the election of a parliamentary Speaker passed with nobody appointed.


Jobs and corruption dominate election agenda

Ghanaians wait their turn to vote at outdoor polling stations in Accra on 7 December 2012. Picture: Gabriela Barnuevo AP/Press Association Images

A late surge in campaigning has improved the opposition's chances of victory as the economy stutters

A succession of bad elections this year in Africa – in Uganda, Gabon and Zambia – make the 7 December presidential and parliamentary elections in Ghana an important political...

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Grandees test the water

The Ondo gubernatorial election was a proving ground for political rivals within the APC camp

The victory of Rotimi Akeredolu, candidate of the governing All Progressives' Congress (APC) in the Ondo State governorship election on 26 November, has strong national resonance i...


New faces, old tactics

The government's response to a year of protest and calls for reform is unlikely to satisfy the opposition or lead to meaningful dialogue

After a year of deep political crisis, Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn has reshuffled his cabinet. Yet just a year since the last such moves, these signify no major change in d...


Kabila ducks and dives

The President is staying in the ring by combining intransigence with deviousness to outmanoeuvre the divided opposition

Although Prime Minister Augustin Matata Ponyo Mapon resigned on 14 November and announced the dissolution of his government, President Joseph Kabila Kabange surprised everyone thre...


'Afrexit' on hold

Member states rallied round at the Hague to defend the Court against political attacks

What did not happen at the International Criminal Court's Assembly of State Parties meeting in the Hague on 16-24 November was as important as what did. No new withdrawals followed...


Clinging to the wreckage

The ANC leadership fired a shot across the President's bows. He is weaker than ever but no less determined to stay on

The African National Congress looked more deeply divided than ever as fault lines over the presidency of Jacob Zuma deepened early this week. A three-day meeting of the 109-member ...


Timis's seam of woe

The spotlight falls once more on the mining magnate as controversy dogs his business activities in West Africa

Three legal and political disputes mark the end of a rare spell out of the limelight for Vasile Frank Timis since the collapse of African Minerals Limited (AML), his mining company...


Pledges lack promise

Only a fraction of the funds pledged at the recent donor conference are likely to be spent. Funding is highly conditional

After months of preparation, the Central African Republic donor conference of 17 November was a resounding success – seemingly. Jointly chaired in Brussels by President Faustin-Arc...


Gordhan in ratings war

President Jacob Zuma and his allies are hoping rating agencies will downgrade South Africa's credit status to 'junk', sources among his supporters have told Africa Confidential. Th...


Army's 'Biafra' overreaction

Five years ago, the movement for a separate Igbo nation, Biafra, seemed dead in the water of the Niger Delta. Fighting between leaders of the secessionist Movement for the Actualis...


Old man trouble

Since President Paul Biya will be 85 at the time of the presidential election scheduled for 2018 and he has named no successor, the opposition believes it has a chance to unseat hi...


Sanogo finally on trial

The general who seized power in 2012 as Mali's army crumbled before advancing jihadists and Tuareg independence fighters, Amadou Haya Sanogo, goes on trial this week for the murder...


Political schisms hit recovery and reform

President Muhammadu Buhari at the Anti-Corruption summit in London in May 2016. Pic: Dan Kitwood PA Archive/PA Images

Economic stagnation and rising prices are eroding the regional alliances at the heart of Buhari’s government

Arguments over the response to the country's worst recession for 25 years are threatening to split the governing All Progressives' Congress. The APC is a fragile alliance between t...

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The burden of war and debt

We examine the unique conjunction of war, debt, corruption and impunity which characterise Mozambique today. This presentation answers criticisms that have been made of Africa Confidential's coverage of the issue and sets the record straight with a comprehensive survey of the crisis


ISIS's Puntland stunt

The brief seizure of Qandala by Da'ish supporters was made possible by a rupture in the clan alliances governing Puntland


Comradely disunity

The party that once dominated Cape Verdean politics has had a disastrous year and faces a divisive power struggle


Empty words on graft

The President pledged to end corruption but a series of scandals in the press and the courts have been embarrassing him


A heartbeat away from Lungu

After the fevered election campaign Lusaka's politicking remains in overdrive as plotters seek to oust the Vice-President