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A nun on her way back from harvesting sugar cane in the grounds of the Sebeta Getesemani Nunnery, which is home to 105 nuns and over 200 orphans. Petterik Wiggers / Panos
A nun on her way back from harvesting sugar cane in the grounds of the Sebeta Getesemani Nunnery, which is home to 105 nuns and over 200 orphans. Petterik Wiggers / Panos

Image courtesy of Panos Pictures

International financial institutions rank Ethiopia as one of the fastest growing economies but debates rage over its political strategy and regional role

As business and political leaders descend on Addis Ababa for the World Economic Forum on 9-11 May, Premier Meles Zenawi’s government will be trumpetin...

ETHIOPIA

Running water, vaulting ambition

SOUTH AFRICA

Charity ends at home

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

The past week of elections in Britain, France and Greece offer mixed tidings to Africa. The big economic message – and the voters’ insistent rejection of austerity – is that Europe’s economic travails are far from over. That means weaker European demand for African exports, as well as shrinking and more conditional aid budgets. Only Germany, which boasts a 6 billion euro Africa programme, is boosting aid in 2012, mainly to resource-rich and strategic countries.

France’s election of President François Hollande on 7 May and the departure of Nicolas Sarkozy was seen as generally good news by Africa’s reformers and as at least a challenge by the kleptocrats. Hollande’s appointment of lawyer William Bourdon as advisor breaks with tradition. Bourdon has pursued corruption and human rights cases against African leaders such as Burkina Faso’s Blaise Compaoré and Equatorial Guinea’s Teodoro Obiang, who had always relied on France’s protection.

French Africa policy could change for the better if Hollande maintains this break with the Françafrique networks. His likely appointment of others such as former head of Agence Française de Développement Jean-Michel Severino and Algerian-born Euro MP Kader Arif suggests a substantial shift from the Sarkozy-Jacques Chirac era. However, the closeness of Paris to the pillars of la Francophonie in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal is unlikely to alter, even if Hollande shows more steel in directing French aid to the poorest countries such as Niger and Chad.

ZAMBIA

Sata’s health and other scares

Even before his famous victory in last year’s presidential election, Zambians heard rumours about Michael Sata being unwell. When he unexpectedly flew to India in March for medical attention, just a day after returning from a state visit to Botswana, they were confirmed. President Sata had been scheduled for a routine medical check-up in South Africa before the polls, Africa Confidential hears, but he postponed the trip for fear that talk of ill-health would cost votes.

ZAMBIA

Discontent over Wynter

The growing influence of the Patriotic Front Secretary General, Wynter Kabimba, constitutes the starkest example of the PF’s statist tendencies. He has been a source of controversy both within and without government. One of President Michael Sata’s closest confidants, Kabimba openly wields his power over cabinet ministers.

MALAWI

A long-distance run for Banda

President Joyce Banda has formed an inclusive government, appointing former enemies as well as allies in an effort to maintain a united front on economic problems. ‘The economy is a mess,’ she told her new cabinet when she swore it in on 30 April: ‘I’m running, please run with me.’

MALAWI

Three days in April

President Bingu wa Mutharika’s heart stopped during a meeting on 5 April with a member of parliament, Agnes Penemulungu. ‘He just stopped talking and tipped over and the woman screamed,’ says a State House source. ‘Secret service burst into the room, they too panicked, nobody knew what to do.’

SIERRA LEONE

Champagne for the candidates

When the Sierra Leone People’s Party (SLPP) chose Julius Maada Bio to compete against President Ernest Bai Koroma last year, the pro-government media reckoned the November 2012 polls were as good as over. The aggressive pro-government website Cocorioko reported that ‘strategists and top echelons of the ruling All People’s Congress (APC) popped Champagne, clinked glasses, and tap-backed themselves’.

SIERRA LEONE

Return of the RUF

As Sierra Leone absorbs the guilty verdict on Liberian former President Charles Ghankay Taylor for ‘aiding and abetting’ Revolutionary United Front rebels, the Revolutionary United Front Party, a civilian political party formed from the RUF militia, is back and will stand in November’s elections. Analysts suspect the RUFP is a proxy for the governing All People’s Congress (APC), with the aim of upsetting campaigning by the main opposition party, the Sierra Leone People’s Party (SLPP) in the east, especially Kailahun district.

EGYPT

Presiding over chaos

Political turmoil has followed the rejection of several candidates for the presidential election, including the Muslim Brotherhood’s Khairat el Shater and the Salafist hopeful, Hazem Salah Abu Ismail. It threatens to increase. Legal challenges are striking at the Constitutional Assembly and even Parliament itself as violence on the streets shows signs of persisting.

EGYPT

Israel and the energy crisis

The state-owned Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company (Egas) had plenty of reasons to end the gas export deal with Israel’s East Mediterranean Gas (EMG) and the Cairo government had good reasons to allow it. The underlying motive for the cancellation of the contract on 22 April is the better prices that Egypt can command on the world market and the need to fuel growing domestic demand.

MOROCCO

Keep smiling

The economy is not growing fast enough to create the jobs needed, police continue to clash with protestors around the country and the Prime Minister’s coalition partners are not happy. Yet Abdelilah Benkirane of the Parti de la justice et du développement (PJD) keeps smiling. He rides high in the polls and charms those who tackle him on the thorny issues confronting his government.

CHAD

New financiers, new disputes

President Idriss Déby Itno is using his country’s significant oil resources to work in his favour and it seems to be paying off. For the first time, locally refined fuel is available, reducing reliance on imports and bringing down the retail price.

BLUE LINES

THE INSIDE VIEW

The past week of elections in Britain, France and Greece offer mixed tidings to Africa. The big economic message – and the voters’ insistent rejection of austerity – is that Europe’s economic travails are far from over. That means weaker European demand for African exports, as well as shrinking and more conditional aid budgets. Only Germany, which boasts a 6 billion euro Africa programme, is boosting aid in 2012, mainly to resource-rich and strategic countries.

France’s...

TANZANIA

Lowassa plans his comeback

Chama cha Mapinduzi’s party machine is receiving its five-yearly overhaul. The governing party’s elections for leadership at neighbourhood, branch, ward and district, regional and national levels are spread throughout the year, culminating in October. They also constitute the qualifying heats for the CCM’s presidential nomination for the 2015 poll. All eyes are on former Prime Minister Edward Lowassa, who resigned in January 2008 over the Richmond-Dowans scandal.



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Africa Confidential In The News

 

Foreign Policy,  May/June 2012
A giant among giants
By Ken Silverstein
[Glencore] 'recently announced a $90 billion takeover of Xstrata, a global mining giant in which it already holds a 34 percent stake; if the deal goes through, Glencore will rule over an "empire stretching from the Sahara to South Africa," as the Africa Confidential newsletter put it.'

 

Foreign Policy,  7 May 2012
The Silence in Sudan
By Colum Lynch
'A group of three former U.N. experts, meanwhile, recently wrote a confidential report claiming that the U.N. mission in Darfur has minimized critical reporting of government abuses, downplaying a series of attacks against the Zaghawa tribe last year that displaced 70,000 people, and which amounted to ethnic cleansing.'

 

Foreign Policy,  30 April 2012
What's the point of U.N. sanctions in Darfur when even the U.N. flouts them?
By Colum Lynch
'The Tek episode is simply one nugget buried away in a confidential 80-plus page report, first reported by Africa Confidential, that documents systematic violations of a six-year-old U.N. arms embargo, travel ban, and asset freeze, imposed on Khartoum and rebel leaders in an effort to contain the violence in Sudanese province.'

 

Popbitch,  March 2012 1
Kony 2012
In 2008 the Americans helped the Ugandans launch a massive surprise attack on Kony. Kony escaped at the last minute. Well, I expect he used some kind of weird African juju.
Or a Nokia.
Because the Ugandan army LEAKED THE INFORMATION THEY WERE COMING so he could escape in time. It’s not me saying this, it’s the most respected source in African journalism, Africa Confidential Vol 52 – N° 23. [USA joins fight against LRA




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