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No oil, no money, no deal

Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2016
Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2016

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Both sides are edging towards some sort of deal that will get the money flowing again – to the Treasury and to the Delta

There is an inexorable logic to the tortuous negotiations between the government and the Niger Delta Avengers, the most determined of the militant groups launching attacks in the oil-producing mangrove swamps and creeks. Without oil production, neither side has anything to talk about. That doesn't make the talks inevitable, however. There is a new wave of anger in the Delta, following the death of Chief Thomas Osen Ekpemupolo, the Tunteriwei of Gbaramatu Kingdom and father of the militant leader, High Chief Government Ekpemupolo aka Tompolo. At Chief Thomas's funeral in Warri last week, his family blamed soldiers for his death: the octogenarian Chief had been fleeing an attack on his house when he tripped and fell.

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Instability goes national

A reshuffle has given the government a new strategy in the North but insecurity is spreading southwards

As he struggles to cut a deal with armed groups over northern regional councils and faces persistent militant attacks in central areas, President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta has brough...


Push-ups and pushback

The President wants to root out corruption and regain control of the economy but bad habits prove hard to break

This time last year, John Magufuli was on stage in Karagwe in the north-west doing push-ups before a mass rally of supporters. The idea was to show he had what it takes to be Presi...


Age cannot weary him

The President is mobilising his supporters to remove the age limit so he can stay in office

As memories of February's much-criticised election fade, attention turns to the next challenge facing President Yoweri Museveni: his age. Under the 2005 constitution, the upper age...


Death of a front-runner

The weak opposition is unable to take advantage of deepening rifts in the increasingly unpopular ruling party

The sudden death in a London hospital of businessman and politician Gibril Santigie Moseray Fadika on 7 August has cast some light on the intrigues surrounding the battle to succee...


Salva and Riek in the dock

Pressure is mounting on the government after well-documented accounts of murder, rape and theft

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Ramaphosa ready for launch

The Deputy President pays tribute to the ANC's heroes as he lays the groundwork for a presidential bid in all but name

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New meetings, old answers

Despite almost constant meetings of the top levels of the ruling Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), there are no signs of any real policy shift over the unr...


Funds to remain

The European Union last week launched a multi-billion euro Africa investment vehicle – with a stronger private investment element – in another bid to improve living sta...


From beer to betting

Sable Mining, which was at the heart of a bribery scandal which has shaken up Liberia's political elite, has fallen on hard times. Citing poor market conditions, it has announced t...


Technology against tricksters

A tally board shows updated results of the presidential elections at the electoral results centre in Lusaka, Zambia. 15 August 2016. Pic: Moses Mwape / AP/Press Association Images

Biometric polling cards, electronic data transmission and other high-tech methods are spreading in Africa, but it seems fraud is keeping pace

The momentum behind the introduction of election technology in Africa continues to build. In Kenya, the opposition has pushed for a change in the law that will make the use of elec...

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Bongo's incredible win

The deep suspicion around the President's wafer-thin election victory could affect his standing as concern about instability grows


The debt merry-go-round

Chart Copyright © Africa Confidential 2016

The government's negotiations on debt and budgets with the IMF are politically contentious ahead of December's elections


Uhuru goes banker-bashing

The interest rate cap is a blatantly populist measure but banks were risking retaliation against notoriously high profit margins