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Published 9th September 2021

Vol 62 No 18


Guinea

Sidelined legionnaire grabs the reins

Alpha Condé in Paris, November 2018. Pic: Bernard Menigault/Alamy
Alpha Condé in Paris, November 2018. Pic: Bernard Menigault/Alamy

Fights over military organisation and President Condé's tumbling legitimacy set the stage for Colonel Doumbouya's putsch

A decade after being sworn into office by judges in vermilion and ermine, President Alpha Condé of Guinea became the prisoner of an elite military unit that stormed the presidential palace in the small hours of 5 September. A remarkable image framed his fall: soldiers armed with assault rifles posing in front of a Condé in half-unbuttoned shirt and vest, immediately after his capture. As he was driven to an unknown destination, jammed between two soldiers, crowds celebrated in the streets of the capital, Conakry, shouting ' Liberté! Liberté!'

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Fighting for the fiscus

Nyesom Wike. Pic: http://riversstate.gov.ng
Nyesom Wike. Pic: http://riversstate.gov.ng

A high court ruling in favour of local tax collectors could threaten the federal government's authority more than insurgents and kidnappers

A federal court ruling on 7 September backing the right of Rivers State to collect Value Added Tax (VAT) on commodities sold within its borders is a critical victory for its govern...


Raila takes to the pulpit

Raila Odinga, February 2021. Pic: Thomas Mukoya / Reuters / Alamy
Raila Odinga, February 2021. Pic: Thomas Mukoya / Reuters / Alamy

Former radical firebrand Odinga tries to woo Kikuyu voters in their churches as President Kenyatta focuses on attacking his ambitious deputy

The dismissal of the Building Bridges Initiative (BBI) by the High Court may yet derail veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga's fifth presidential bid but in the meantime, while h...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Africa's negotiators are heading for the UN's COP26 climate summit starting on 1 November in Glasgow with more at stake than any other region. Africa has contributed less to global warming measured by carbon output than any other continent. Yet it has been hit hardest by droughts, floods and cyclones. On the other side of the ledger is Africa's chronic energy deficit.

The latest goals in many countries to achieve net zero carbon by 2050, likely to be reinforced at COP26, need policy f...

Africa's negotiators are heading for the UN's COP26 climate summit starting on 1 November in Glasgow with more at stake than any other region. Africa has contributed less to global warming measured by carbon output than any other continent. Yet it has been hit hardest by droughts, floods and cyclones. On the other side of the ledger is Africa's chronic energy deficit.

The latest goals in many countries to achieve net zero carbon by 2050, likely to be reinforced at COP26, need policy flexibility and financial innovation in Africa. Commercial and state institutions in Europe and the United States have stopped financing most gas projects in Africa as a way of meeting their carbon targets. But gas emits a fifth of the carbon produced by oil and is seen in many African states as a 'transitional' fuel.

South Africa's electricity industry is coal-dependent and its power utility Eskom has been teetering on bankruptcy. When Deputy Finance Minister David Masondo proposed a debt-for-climate swap to retire some US$10 billion of the utility's debts on coal-fired power to allow investments in solar and wind, there was a deafening silence from commercial bankers. The International Monetary Fund is preparing a similar plan for discussion at COP26.

All these economic and political questions are on the agenda at the Climate and Conflict Conference on 14 September, jointly organised by Africa Confidential, Crisis Group and the Royal African Society. We urge you to join us and follow the link. Register via Hopin: https://bit.ly/AfricanVoices4COP

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Lies, damned lies and statistics

Reports of worsening famine conditions far eclipse direct casualties of the fighting. Few expect much progress from the mediator

With regional and international organisations focusing on a multitude of other crises, the war between Tigray's forces and Federal forces, backed by Eritrea, is set to drag on for ...


Hedging the Eagle and the Bear

Khartoum is hesitating over plans for a Russian naval base as it steers a delicate course between Washington and Moscow

As the United States' Afghanistan withdrawal signals a new isolationism, its competitors on the world stage are moving in the opposite direction. Russian plans to build a navy base...


Samia the securocrat

The new president supports her security establishment’s policies on the Mozambican insurgency as well as harsh repression of the civil opposition

Although it is the neighbouring country most affected by the Islamist insurgency in Mozambique's northern province of Cabo Delgado, Tanzania's response to the conflict is the most ...


Ill fares the ANC

Cyril Ramaphosa's popularity is growing as the ruling party sinks deeper into infighting, bankruptcy and paralysis

President Cyril Ramaphosa has warned the African National Congress that a judicial commission headed by Acting Chief Justice Raymond Zondo – which enjoys the support of the P...


Presidents trade more blows

The row between the present and former president shows no sign of abating as they clash over Covid-19 vaccines

A charitable foundation linked to ex-President Ian Khama claimed on 9 August it had secured 4 million doses of the Pfizer and Astra-Zeneca Covid-19 vaccines and was offering them t...


Allies prove a trial for the President

After a year in office the head of state is losing the faith of the public as allies, friends, relations and ministers generate scandal

President Lazarus Chakwera has had a torrid month. He sacked Chikosa Silungwe, the Attorney-General, on 2 August, and two of his most senior aides were arrested by the Anti-Corrupt...


Mega fraud trial grips nation

A live stream of the court hearings on the $2 billion hidden loans scandal yields drama and spotlights a distinctly uncomfortable President Nyusi

The criminal trial in Maputo of many of the state and ruling party officials accused of involvement in the creation and theft of part of the US$2 billion borrowed to finance bogus ...


First steps on the elections roadmap

Electioneering is in now in full swing for the parliamentary upper house, the first stage in a complex process culminating in the presidential poll in November

After many bumps and hitches the electoral process finally took off in August with selection of members of the upper house of parliament. The intense politicking of politicians and...



Pointers

Refining brand Weah

Amid concerns that relations with the United States have cooled during his presidency, resulting in a loss of financial support, President George Weah has hired three US lobbying a...


Trovoada gets his man

As expected, on 5 September, Carlos Vila Nova, candidate of the opposition Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) won the presidential run-off with (57.5%), according to the provisio...


This tweet for hire

Kenya's presence on Twitter – popularly known as KOT – is an army of social media cyber-warriors whose influence has grown so large that Twitter's dominance of politica...


Hey, big lender

Glencore's huge lending habits have earned the Swiss commodities trader a ticking off from the International Monetary Fund. In a 7 September statement, Abebe Aemro Selassie, the he...