Jump to navigation

Published 22nd September 2022

Vol 63 No 19


Ethiopia

Addis and Tigray return to the battlefields

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

Tigrayan and federal forces are blaming each other for scuppering the truce and they are right – both sides were planning for more fighting

Ahead of the resumption of fighting in early September, both Tigrayan and federal forces had repositioned their troops as tensions rose amid the faltering peace process. This followed a coordinated flurry of peace missions to Ethiopia, a month earlier, by senior officials from the United States, the European Union and the African Union.

READ FOR FREE

Advancing towards stalemate

Pic:  henk bogaard / stock.adobe.com
Pic: henk bogaard / stock.adobe.com

Federal government forces are yet to make a military breakthrough despite sustained attacks on Tigray on multiple fronts

It is now clear that both the federal and Tigrayan forces used the nearly nine-month truce to quietly prepare for war. Despite maintaining a façade of commitment to peace, t...


Junta's double-talk on transition

Pic: Marcin / stock.adobe.com
Pic: Marcin / stock.adobe.com

Few believed Burhan's promise to hand over to civilians ahead of elections. And many fear that his deputy Hemeti is building a formidable power base

Two-and-a-half months on from General Abdel Fattah el Burhan's announcement that he and his fellow military officers were withdrawing from the political dialogue and would leave ci...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

African Union chairman and Senegal's President Macky Sall launched the most powerful critique at the UN General Assembly on 20 September on his continent's marginalisation in the international system. Africa 'does not want to be the breeding ground of a new Cold War,' said Sall, alluding to the pressure from the west and Russia to pick a side as the war in Ukraine rages on.

Sall also sounded alarms about the way in which it has dominated the international agenda to the exclusion of al...

African Union chairman and Senegal's President Macky Sall launched the most powerful critique at the UN General Assembly on 20 September on his continent's marginalisation in the international system. Africa 'does not want to be the breeding ground of a new Cold War,' said Sall, alluding to the pressure from the west and Russia to pick a side as the war in Ukraine rages on.

Sall also sounded alarms about the way in which it has dominated the international agenda to the exclusion of almost all other topics, many of them of critical concern to Africa such as climate-induced agricultural failures, migration and security crises, as well as conflicts in the Horn of Africa, Congo-Kinshasa and the Sahel. For all of those, the Ukraine war has diverted attention and resources from peacekeeping and disaster relief efforts.

It was time, said Sall, to re-energise multilateralism and reform international institutions, 'to deconstruct the narratives that persist in confining Africa to the margins of decision-making circles'. A key test of that will be the extent to which African states win agreement for their proposals at the UN COP27 climate summit in Sharm el Sheikh in November. With research showing that most developing economies are off-track in achieving all but two of the UN Sustainable Development Goals by 2030, climate change and conflict were identified as two of the greatest threats.

Read more

Dismay as court strikes down reform laws

Crucial political reforms have just failed, meaning the 7 October election goes ahead under the system that produced so much instability

Polling in the general election will open on 7 October without the expected constitutional reforms designed to rid the country of its notorious political instability, disappointing...


UNITA plans protests but drops boycott

The opposition has reconciled itself to a stolen election, but the ruling party is nervous and may fall back on violent repression

Surrounded by hundreds of soldiers, João Lourenço was sworn in for a second presidential term at Praça da República in Luanda on 15 September. The first...


Weakened president in troubled waters

Electoral setbacks have left Macky Sall with a razor-thin majority, while he faces outcry over a suspected third-term bid

'A sorry spectacle'. That is how president Macky Sall qualified the scenes of fighting lawmakers at the opening of the Assemblée nationale, Senegal's 165-strong parliament, ...


Steinmetz plays his get out of jail card

Dropping earlier arguments that the evidence of corruption was fake, the mining magnate is appealing against his conviction by redefining bribery

Punishing foreign bribery is still a novel idea in Switzerland. There have been just 18 convictions since it became a crime in 2000, before which it was tax-deductible. And the pro...


The Kremlin's grip tightens

Wagner Group mercenaries are expanding operations but security is deteriorating as President Touadéra bids to change the constitution

Moscow's influence in Central African Republic is growing, while conditions worsen under the impact of the international supply chain crisis, increased fuel prices, and political p...


Why Dlamini-Zuma is running again

Ousted President Zuma and his allies want his ex-wife to win back control of the ANC in party elections in December

In mid-September, at a five-star hotel overlooking the majestic Indian Ocean on KwaZulu-Natal's north coast, a group of African National Congress members wearing party caps and tee...



Pointers

Junta holds Ivorians 'hostage'

Bamako's 10 July detention of 49 Ivorian soldiers who had flown in to change the guard at the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilisation Mission in Mali (Minusma) air...


Fears of pain in prospect

Pundits and public alike are waking up to the economic sacrifices entailed in the US$1.3 billion IMF rescue package agreed at the beginning of the month amid concern that President...


Three bid to succeed Geingob

As the end of President Hage Geingob's second and final five-year term of office nears, the SWAPO Party is set to pick his successor for the 2024 elections at its elective congress...


Mswati sidesteps reform

Namibian President Hage Geingob is the latest leader assigned by the Southern African Development Community to wade into Eswatini's political quagmire. Before Geingob, President Cy...