A green light for the LNG project and implementation of the Petroleum Law are just around the corner. Some wrinkles remain
The government has reached final agreement with Italy's ENI and the United States' oil company Anadarko over their liquefied natural gas projects offshore the northern province of Cabo...
Eskom is torn between the twin dictates of low government tariffs for the public and industry and re-investment priorities
Blackouts returned to major cities in November as the embattled Electricity Supply Commission began load-shedding for the second time this year. It is the latest drama in a...
It is ironic that while Eskom battles to keep the lights on, planners have warned there is a risk of building too much new generating capacity. Uncertainty over...
Vol 55 No 25 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Competition for political office, with its opportunities for patronage, can be bitter enough to end in murder. Violence is affecting the labour movement, too
Political assassinations have risen to alarming proportions since the end of apartheid and are likely to continue, especially as new trades union rivalries emerge and the 2016 municipal...
The Vice-President and her followers have fallen under Mugabe’s axe but her rival’s path to power is not guaranteed
It was only after the delegates had all trooped home from the ruling party's congress that President Robert Mugabe finally announced on 10 December his replacement for the...
The bitter split in the governing party is now before the courts. Yet the official candidate, whoever it is, may still have the best chance of winning
A national conference so turbulent that the police fired shots over the heads of the crowd has ended with both factions of the Patriotic Front putting forward their...
Vol 55 No 24 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Zuma is moving to protect his future as factions form up for the battle to decide who will be the next president
President Jacob Zuma had barely taken office last May before the first shots in the battle to succeed him were fired. He has already blocked the election of...
The man charged with stealing the most in Cashgate has said he took the cash to State House
Former President Joyce Banda appears a step closer to involvement in the Cashgate affair after the Anti-Corruption Bureau acquired closed circuit television footage shot at presidential offices during...
The authorities have created a new lender out of the ashes of BESA but mystery surrounds the state’s exposure – and the identity of the new bank's shareholders
The central bank, the Banco Nacional de Angola (BNA) has come to the rescue of the country's second-largest bank, the Banco Espírito Santo Angola. BESA went into administration...
The campaign against the Vice-President comes from the top but it leaves the succession issue no clearer than before
Although Joice Mujuru is still nominally the country's only Vice-President as well as Second Secretary of the governing Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, she is under unremitting pressure...
Everything is going SWAPO’s way for a decisive victory in the elections on 28 November
Other countries may be tiring of one-party states founded by leaders of anti-colonial armed movements but not, it seems, Namibia. The SWAPO Party – formerly the South West...
Vol 55 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Once a model of fiscal probity, SARS is proving as troubled as many other state institutions by factionalism, intrigue and political interference
The South African Revenue Service was one of the most effective state agencies of the post-apartheid era. Often held up as a model tax organisation for developing countries...
All previous calculations have been upset by the late President Michael Sata's widow, Christine Kaseba-Sata, announcing on 19 November that she will seek the Patriotic Front's nomination in...
Vol 55 No 23 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The abduction of an alleged drugs baron in Maputo embarrasses the new President and highlights the strength of organised crime in the country
President Filipe Nyusi surely hoped that such a problem would not come up so early in his new job. On 18 November, one of the most notorious and...
Vol 55 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The aims of public spending cuts and structural change to improve growth sit ill with the pressure in the cabinet for radical policies
Six months into President Jacob Zuma's last term of office, the economic forecasts are worsening. The governing African National Congress is suffering from strategic splits in its Triple...
Dignitaries and South African businessmen are trying to unite the opposition against the Patriotic Front
A group of influential outsiders is struggling to galvanise the fractious opposition to beat the late Michael Sata's party in the presidential by-election due in January, Africa Confidential...
Although ZANU-PF’s internal strife is playing out under the spotlight, the main opposition cannot seem to profit
Restoring credibility is now the challenge for the opposition Movement for Democratic Change as much as for the governing Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front. ZANU-PF hopes to re-launch...
The infighting began as soon as Michael Sata died and Guy Scott is trying to hold the ring between the different factions
Acting President Guy Scott is finding out just how difficult the management of the governing Patriotic Front can be. On 3 November he was obliged to reinstate Edgar...
Everyone – without exception – has to pick a side
As the contest intensifies for the leadership of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, Justice Minister Emmerson Mnangagwa appears to have put clear water between himself and his...
Vol 55 No 22 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The new President faces a stronger opposition and resentment over Frelimo’s electoral fraud that could well persist
President Filipe Nyusi, the formally declared victor of October's presidential poll with 57% of the valid votes, has steep hills to climb. He needs to restore public confidence...
Vol 55 No 22 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
It is becoming clear what kind of workers' party will emerge to challenge South Africa's political establishment when the once-mighty, 2.2 million-member Congress of South African Trade Unions...
Despite a hint of dirty tricks the ruling party won the election fairly, yet with a reduced majority
Lieutenant General Seretse Khama Ian Khama begins his second five-year term of office when Chief Justice Maruping Dibotelo swears him in as President today. The Botswana Democratic Party...
Vol 55 No 21 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Persistent reports of fraud will not prevent wide acceptance of Nyusi’s victory, amid hopes of a more inclusive government
The most closely-fought campaign in 20 years of multiparty elections saw the governing party claim a decisive but controversial victory. Civil society organisations, the independent media and the...
The First Lady is now running in the succession race but even she has hurdles to clear on her tour of the stadium
Dr Grace Mugabe and Dr Joice Mujuru graduated together with PhDs from the University of Zimbabwe in September and were capped by President Robert Mugabe in his role...
The arrest of former National Budget Director Paul Mphwiyo and his wife on 18 October is proof that the Cashgate scandal has yet to peak, say political and...
Relations between South Africa and Nigeria have plunged to new depths. South African ex-President Thabo Mbeki and Nigerian ex-President Olusegun Obasanjo are working behind the scenes to try...
The President’s departure for medical treatment on the eve of the country’s 50th birthday seems to confirm the severity of his condition
Few believe that President Michael Sata would miss such a prestigious event as tomorrow's 50th anniversary of Zambia's Independence. And yet a State House statement said he had...
Vol 55 No 21 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Early signs indicate a landslide for the ruling party, but claims of rigging are growing and there is serious potential for unrest
Frente de Libertação de Moçambique members in Maputo are already celebrating victory in the general election, even though the formal results are not due for several days. The...
Vol 55 No 21 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
A major swing towards the opposition is likely but the spectre of poll-fraud casts a shadow over tomorrow’s vote
All the signs point to victory for Frente de Libertação de Moçambique presidential candidate Filipe Nyusi in the polls on 15 October, but the outcome of the parliamentary...
Amidst the vicious scrabble for the succession, ZANU-PF’s new best friend Moscow delivers investment in the platinum industry, money and planes
Nothing and no one seems able to stop the rival factions of the ruling party from undermining each other as they position themselves for the presidential succession. The...
Vol 55 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The state-owned bank repositions itself as a likely African hub for the new BRICS development bank
South Africa's state-owned Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA) is being restructured to become the regional centre of the new development bank for the BRICS group of Brazil,...
Vol 55 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Will attempts to clip the wings of the maverick leader sink him or raise his profile?
Within the space of a week, Julius Malema, the self-styled 'commander-in chief' of the opposition Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), has been charged with both corruption and parliamentary indiscipline,...
Vol 55 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Five months after the May general elections that returned President Jacob Zuma and the African National Congress to office, the provincial conference of the Gauteng ANC, which opened...
Doubts about President Michael Sata’s health have heightened the power struggle in the governing Patriotic Front. The party’s focus is to ensure that Sata completes his term...
A US-sanctioned narcotics kingpin's finance for the governing party complicates commercial and diplomatic relations
The appearance of Mohamed Bashir Suleiman – designated a 'drugs kingpin' by the United States – at the banquet of a local business association on 18 September has...
Vol 55 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC's bid to hold together the trades union federation is failing amid plans for a leftist party
The efforts of Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa and other top officials in the African National Congress, such as ANC Deputy General Secretary Jessie Duarte, have made little headway...
It looks as if the one-time external security boss, General Fernando Garcia Miala, is being groomed for a key role in the Palace. Sacked in 2006 from the...
A US$50 billion agreement with Russia to build up to eight nuclear reactors has raised the alarm in South Africa about the speed and secrecy with which the...
Vol 55 No 19 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
As election campaigning intensifies, the ruling party takes full advantage of its control of the state
Violence is rising in the run-up to the presidential and parliamentary elections on 15 October, as police and judiciary openly express their partiality for the governing Frente de...
The ruling party is paying back its top members' debts to China in the hope that President Xi Jinping will turn the money tap on again
Opposition politicians are outraged that President Robert Mugabe's government has used scarce public funds to pay off a US$80 million debt to a Chinese supplier which had been...
South African forces are back in Maseru after what may have been an attempted coup but have no mandate for military action
Prime Minister Thomas Thabane has returned to Maseru after fleeing the country after a claimed attempt by Lieutenant General Tlali Kamoli, the army chief he had just sacked,...
Vol 55 No 18 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The 'Mining Queen' and Julius Malema are using transfer-pricing in the mining industry to force profit-sharing and further BEE
Bridgette Radebe, Chairperson of Mmakau Mining, President of the South African Mining Development Association which represents black-owned mining companies and self-styled 'Mining Queen' is using the transfer-pricing issue...
Although Prime Minister Hage Geingob got his way with controversial constitutional amendments, it looks as if he may have a crowd of radical SWAPO Party Youth League (SPYL)...
The central bank has set up a company to buy up bad loans. Many of the worst of them were to to ZANU-PF officials and friends
The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe has bought non-performing loans (NPLs) from two collapsed banking institutions and housed them in the new Zimbabwe Asset Management Corporation (Zamco). Although the...
ZANU-PF factions bickered when Mugabe was away in China and suffered the full force of his frustration when he returned empty-handed
President Robert Mugabe's movements are always top secret and the first indication of his four-day trip to Beijing was a picture of himself and Grace Mugabe being seen...
Steps are being taken to protect the ‘big fish’. But donors know who they are and may not restore budget support unless the law is applied
The first conviction of a defendant in the Cashgate trial has set the tone for the rest of the trial; senior politicians on all sides may find themselves...
Bitter feuding in the Patriotic Front has led to dismissal of the President's preferred successor – from both party and government
President Michael Sata's shock dismissal of Wynter Kabimba as Justice Minister and Secretary General of the governing Patriotic Front leaves the succession still unclear. After mounting an intense...
The Premier rushes through laws to give SWAPO more seats in Parliament and allow more political appointments
Prime Minister Hage Geingob is pushing through wide-ranging constitutional changes which will increase his power when he becomes Namibia's next President. Geingob, who is also Vice-President of SWAPO...
Vol 55 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC struggles to hold the union federation together as an anti-Zuma faction threatens to form a leftist splinter
Africa's largest trades union federation, the Congress of South African Trade Unions, celebrates its 30th anniversary and its twelfth congress next year. Yet many believe Cosatu is at...
Vol 55 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The new leadership of the African National Congress Youth League, which is standing for election on 24-26 September in Gauteng, will have the blessing of President Jacob Zuma...
Vol 55 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
When the red boiler-suited Julius Malema took his parliamentary seat in May as leader of the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), everyone knew the political scene had changed for...
Vol 55 No 17 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The latest ceasefire holds the best chance yet for a conflict-free election and perhaps lasting peace
In a deal that is widely expected to hold, the Frente de Libertação de Moçambique government and the Resistência Nacional Moçambicana formally signed an end to hostilities on...
As the party admits Grace Mugabe to its pantheon, the ZANU-PF Women’s and Youth Leagues have muddied the succession
The outcome of the governing party's all-important elective congress in December looks no clearer after the rival factions jostled for positions at the Youth and Women's Leagues conferences...
Nearly three months into his term of office, the new President promises a radical departure from the practice of his predecessors
President Peter Mutharika has held no mass rallies, travelled abroad just once and spoken in public only five times. Even his own Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is perplexed...
Vol 55 No 16 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
- ITALY
As elections approach, money and favours change hands and the gas boom unleashes a torrent of competing companies and politicians
With the race underway to exploit the massive gas reserves off the coast of Cabo Delgado and Nampula provinces, economic power and now political power is shifting northwards....
Vol 55 No 16 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The appointment of Zuma's daughter to a key ministry raises questions about nepotism, again
Public Protector Thuli Madonsela still has an open file on the funding of President Jacob Zuma's private homestead, Nkandla (AC Vol 55 No 6). Now, she is again...
Any hope that the December congress of the governing Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front would bring a degree of clarity to the succession race is fast fading as...
Vol 55 No 16 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
There have been suggestions that 'state capture' has been advancing in the downstream gas sector as companies linked to the political elite gain control over the northern ports....
Vol 55 No 16 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
China's demand for coal drew big mining companies to Mozambique's world-class reserves but now they are frantically revising their forecasts
When Rio Tinto sold its stake in Mozambique's coal reserves on 30 July, alarm bells rang for the country's coal industry. The Anglo-Australian company took US$50 million, less...
The succession battle is in turmoil after the President’s wife is proposed for a top ZANU-PF post
The nomination of Grace Mugabe for the leadership of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front's Women's League has put the cat among the party pigeons. The bandwagon rolling...
Vol 55 No 15 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The case of a prominent broadcasting executive raises questions about the government’s commitment to the constitution
South Africans are trying to figure out the secret of the hold that Hlaudi Motsoeneng has on his position as Chief Operations Officer of the South African Broadcasting...
Vol 55 No 15 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
In a traditional ceremony on 19 July, Valentina Guebuza, one of Africa’s wealthiest young women and daughter of President Armando Guebuza, married Zofimo Muiane, the head of state...
The governing Patriotic Front (PF) was in barely-concealed turmoil during President Michael Sata's week-long absence in Israel for medical treatment. Yet at the cabinet meeting on 14 July,...
Party leaders worry that in a post-Mugabe world they may lose the land they seized from white farmers and they are secretly buying up title deeds
A wave of anxiety is passing through the highest echelons of the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, Africa Confidential has learned. Relatives of President Robert Mugabe and other...
The intensifying fight for the ZANU-PF succession is affecting the retail fuel market as both factions promote rival businesses
A new contestant in the fight to control fuel sales has burst on to the scene as the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front's internal battles heat up. Engen...
Vol 55 No 15 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
After a year of armed skirmishes the old civil war rivals are about to announce an end to hostilities, improving prospects for the October elections
The Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) government and the Resistência Nacional de Moçambique (Renamo) rebels of Afonso Dhlakama have agreed in principle on a peace deal to...
The reported bail-out of a major bank risks destabilising the financial sector and affecting the country’s sovereign rating
A huge state guarantee to a major local bank is causing concern about corporate governance and has the potential to destabilise the economy. The state has set aside...
Vol 55 No 14 |
- ZIMBABWE
- RUSSIA
The governing ZANU-PF has found a way to trade platinum rights for Russian weapons to replace those it lost in Congo
Zimbabwe is to boost its inventory of Russian strike aircraft after concluding a US$3 billion platinum-for-arms deal with Russia. The government is desperate to replenish its armaments, many...
Vol 55 No 14 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Montepuez Ruby Mining held its first auction last month, raising US$33.5 million at the sale in Singapore. MRM is a joint venture between Britain's Gemfields PLC and a...
The case against Edmund and Phillip Kudzayi – accused of being the anonymous blogger Baba Jukwa – is teetering on the brink of farce (AC Web Feature, Baba...
Police have arrested a top editor suspected of being the mystery blogger who so seriously embarrassed ZANU-PF during the elections – but he denies all charges
The Baba Jukwa affair – when an anonymous blogger tweaked the tails of Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front leaders during last year's election campaign – is taking a...
Vol 55 No 13 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Britain and Germany cut budget support over a tuna-fishing company and other deals. Ahead of the elections, Frelimo is not giving in
The governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) is engaged in an increasingly bitter row with foreign donors over loans and public spending. Britain and Germany, which together...
Vol 55 No 13 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The current aid dispute between foreign governments and the ruling Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) may affect how the 15 October elections are monitored, say critics of...
Concern is growing for the President’s health and also for the impact on his party should he leave office prematurely
President Michael Sata's office announced on 22 June that he had flown to Israel for a 'working holiday', including meetings with President Shimon Peres. Yet Israeli media reported...
Vol 55 No 13 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Zuma failed to inspire in his nationwide address yesterday. Many unknowns still surround the ANC’s promised 'radical economic transformation'
President Jacob Zuma's State of the Nation address to parliament was a disappointment to many. He did not expand on the African National Congress's plans to meet its...
Vol 55 No 12 |
- ZAMBIA
- INDIA
A foreign company’s comments sparked public and government anger in a far-reaching debate about mining policy and taxes
Calls for higher mining taxes are increasing and new audits are in progress after comments about Zambia by the Vedanta Resources Chairman, Anil Agarwal, caused outrage. On 9...
Vol 55 No 12 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Arguments over the gas project, an offshore spill and an uncertain legal framework show that the way to the oil and gas bonanza is not easy
Mozambique’s nascent oil and gas industry has suffered its first significant spill. It highlights one of the difficulties in developing one of the world’s largest gas deposits. This...
Vol 55 No 12 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
In May, Anadarko informed the Environment Ministry that 30,000 litres of drilling fluid had accidentally leaked from one of its exploratory wells in the Rovuma Basin, 46 kilometres...
Many fear that Peter Mutharika will revert to his brother’s divisive policies but he is under pressure to be more conciliatory
All eyes have turned to President Arthur Peter Mutharika's plans, policies and appointments now that the turbulent post-election period is over. As the dust settles, few doubt that...
The accelerating signs of a lame-duck presidency are visible and rivals in the ruling party are pursuing their own agendas
With little cohesion and less vision, the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front is stumbling towards its elective congress in December. Despite his 90 years, President Robert Mugabe...
Falling output is affecting the economy but it’s unlikely to change the habits of the elite
The policy of 'de-dollarising' the economy has gained unexpected momentum as a dip in oil production reduces the availability of the US dollar. The budget and much-needed infrastructure...
Vol 55 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Zuma has picked dependable allies – whatever their records – for his cabinet. He wants to maximise his power for his final term
A legacy of 'radical socio-economic transformation' is President Jacob Zuma's aim yet his new government has more old friends than new brooms. Far from the promised 'leaner and...
Banda’s attempt to cancel the election produced political turmoil and brought the country to a standstill
President Joyce Banda pressed the self-destruct button on her public image at home and in the wider world when she tried to annul the 20 May presidential election....
In a row that could affect the oil industry, Congo-Kinshasa is again raising the temperature over maritime rights which Angola disputes
A long-simmering dispute about rights to the sea has worsened. Last year, Angola submitted a map to the United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf...
President Michael Sata was flown to Johannesburg on 26 May after a sudden deterioration in his health, Africa Confidential has heard. He had been expected to open the...
Vol 55 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
In picking new ministers and regional premiers, Jacob Zuma won’t forget old friends
As President Jacob Zuma contemplates the membership of his new cabinet, proven loyalty is likely to rival expertise in heping him make his choices. His inauguration takes place...
Vol 55 No 10 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Policies not history will determine support for the African National Congress after its fifth election win
It could have been so much worse for the governing African National Congress. President Jacob Zuma faced unprecedented personal criticism and ridicule because of the shooting of mineworkers...
READ FOR FREE
The government is consolidating diamond-mining companies. This could put the President’s family in overall control
Since the government has declared that there isn't enough room in the diamond-mining area of Marange for the seven existing firms, Mbada Diamonds is expected to be the...
The Malawi Electoral Commission, which is headed by Supreme Court of Appeal Judge Maxon Mbendera, has been under constant attack – despite the fact that it includes commissioners...
Vol 55 No 10 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique licked its wounds and stuck on the sticking plasters during a four-day extraordinary meeting of its Central Committee in Matola, which...
In general elections that promise to be the closest ever, the President is battling candidates who seek to return their families to power
Seven-and-a-half million Malawians go to the polls on 20 May for only the fourth time since multi-party democracy began in 1994 and it promises to be the closest...
The government makes U-turns as it tries to halt a slide into even deeper economic crisis
The first statement by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) new Governor, John Panonetsa Mangudya, on 7 May was sombre and realistic. Reassuringly, it allayed market fears that...
The global oil trader is taking over the ZANU-PF-connected fuels distributor as part of a regional expansion campaign
Trafigura is consolidating its grip on the fuel supply and distribution market in Zimbabwe with the acquisition of Sakunda Energy via its South African subsidiary, Puma Energy Africa...
Vol 55 No 9 |
- ANGOLA
- FRANCE
The lavish reception for President José Eduardo dos Santos at the Elysée Palace on 29 April promoted France's growing investments in Africa's third biggest economy and drew a...
The leader of the Resistência Nacional Moçambicana, Afonso Dhlakama, may well stand in October's presidential election as part of a deal reached with President Armando Guebuza, Africa Confidential...
President Mugabe’s refusal to favour anyone for the party succession is leading not only to uncertainty but to a free-for-all for the top job
President Robert Mugabe’s continued stonewalling on the leadership succession threatens chaos as increasing numbers of politicians from the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front throw their hats into...
Vol 55 No 9 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Jobs and corruption dominate the ANC’s ‘catalyst' election while people take a break from the trial of the century
Faction fighting, heated arguments over jobs and corruption – South Africa is back to politics as usual after the adjournment of the murder trial of Olympic athlete Oscar...
Vol 55 No 8 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The power struggle to control the trades union federation will reignite after the elections and damage the ANC
The deal between rival factions of the Congress of South African Trade Unions, mediated by Cyril Ramaphosa on 8 April, is likely to prove temporary. Hostilities are set...
The evangelical cleric and leader of the Movement for Multiparty Democracy, Nevers Mumba, is struggling amid strong criticism from senior members of his own party. MMD Vice-Presidents Michael...
Promises of a bond issue and a revival in investment from a fund run by the former head of Barclays Bank offer a glimmer of hope for the government
After six months of unmitigated bad economic news, Finance Minister Patrick Chinamasa has seized on the news that the Atlas Mara fund run by Bob Diamond, a former...
The daughter of President Armando Guebuza, Valentina, has come under attack after a company in which she is a major shareholder was awarded a US$300 million contract without...
Promises of a bond issue and a revival in investment from a fund run by the former head of Barclays Bank offer a glimmer of hope for the government
After six months of unmitigated bad economic news, Finance Minister Patrick Chinamasa has seized on the news that the Atlas Mara fund run by Bob Diamond, a former...
Farm seizures are damaging strong businesses but also threaten the availability of credit for the whole economy
A fresh wave of farm expropriation led by President Robert Mugabe's wife, Grace Marufu Mugabe, has unsettled the few external lenders still supporting Zimbabwe's fragile economy. Some are...
President Joyce Banda’s distribution of free grain continues a tradition of opaque election funding
The sight of President Joyce Banda handing out large bags of free maize with her name boldly printed on them in red is common as the election campaign...
Malawi's first President, Hastings Kamuzu Banda, ruled Malawi with an iron rod for 31 years. He left an estate worth an estimated US$50 million including the country's tallest...
The latest crisis at Air Zimbabwe is mainly about politics, particularly the battle between the two factions competing for the succession
The factions supporting the two main contenders to succeed President Robert Mugabe – Joice Mujuru and Emmerson Mnangagwa – are fighting for control of the state airline,...
The leaders of the ruling and main opposition parties have something in common: an increasingly noisy campaign to persuade them to go
Managing successions in any political system is tricky while the incumbent is still alive: in traditional Shona culture it has been well nigh impossible. In different ways, President...
Vol 55 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The damning conclusions of the Public Protector on the financing of the President’s homestead will upset the balance of power within the ANC
The findings of an official investigation that President Jacob Zuma personally benefited from the multi-million dollar refurbishment of his Nkandla homestead will weaken his position and cost the...
Vol 55 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC has drawn up a candidates list that is a messy compromise of effective campaigners and die-hard presidential loyalists
The rows over state spending on Nkandla and recurring protests at the lack of public services prompted the governing African National Congress leadership to look very carefully at...
Vol 55 No 6 |
- ANGOLA
- NORWAY
Norway’s biggest parastatal comes under scrutiny over business partners whose reputation for probity is far from the Scandinavian image
The bearer of Norway's reputation for high principles in international business, Statoil, is now on the defensive after revelations in the local media about the shady backgrounds of...
A Maputo university study has gathered hard figures on illegal timber and revealed a massive and unexpected increase
A study by Maputo's Universidade Eduardo Mondlane (UEM) has uncovered an 88% increase in illegal logging since 2007. Funded by the European Union, the report shows that enforcement...
Any escalation of the tit-for-tat expulsions of diplomats after the 4 March attack on the Pretoria home of the exiled Rwandan General Faustin Kayumba Nyamwasa now looks improbable....
Each of the factions vying to succeed Mugabe is accusing the other of cover-up and grand corruption as reports emerge of multimillion dollar pay-offs
President Robert Mugabe's frequent trips to Singapore are for nothing more serious than treatment for cataracts, according Rugare Gumbo, the Spokesman for the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic...
Vol 55 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Jobs, living standards and the liberation legacy will dominate the elections but it’s the political aftermath that counts
Although the victory of the African National Congress is not in doubt, general elections on 7 May will show the pace and extent of political realignments (AC Vol...
Vol 55 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Just how important the cost of Jacob Zuma's Nkandla homestead has become for his presidency and the elections was clear from the way it dominated a private meeting...
One of the presidential family’s business partners loses his mining rights after they fall out over a flat in Hong Kong
Zimbabwe has confiscated the platinum and copper interests of Hsieh Ping-sung without compensation after he fell out with President Robert Mugabe and his family, Africa Confidential has learned....
In stark contrast to the budgetary caution shown by South African Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan, his Namibian counterpart, Saara Kuugongelwa-Amadhila, has raised state spending by 27% to a...
After a strong challenge from his rivals, the governing party has chosen Guebuza’s man to stand in the presidential election
After more than a year of uncertainty and speculation, the party in power has finally chosen the Defence Minister, Filipe Jacinto Nyusi, as its presidential candidate for the...
Vol 55 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The Finance Minister faced the challenge of keeping public sector pay down while increasing state investment in infrastructure
Pravin Gordhan confounded widespread predictions that this would be a feel-good budget aimed at assuring African National Congress victory in the May election. The Finance Minister took most...
The governing party's next Central Committee meeting promises to be an unusually lively affair. On 27 February the Frente de Libertação de Moçambique has to decide who is...
Vol 55 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The strain of the last five years seemed to show on the President's face as he gave his final State of the Nation Address before the elections
Nearly 6 million rand (US$560,000) was spent on the ceremony for the State of the Nation Address as a tired-looking President Jacob Zuma put a brave face on...
Vol 55 No 4 |
- ZIMBABWE
- CHINA
Recent forays in search of investment have failed but there is a lack of urgency in government efforts to revive the economy
January has been more depressing than usual for the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF). President Robert Mugabe had to cut short his annual leave and return from...
The disgruntled rebels’ attacks are taking on the aspect of an insurgency but it seems that President Guebuza is in no hurry to settle the dispute
The political and military situation is deteriorating as the rebellion by the Resistência Nacional Moçambicana looks increasingly like a serious civil conflict. Armed violence began last April and...
Zambia has long boasted strong and independent institutions but the government has lately been riding roughshod over many of them
Zambian civil society was once one of the most effective on the continent. Mining unions played a key role in bringing down the one-party state and preventing President...
The trial of those accused of stealing state funds could hurt the President in the elections. Insiders accuse Britain of playing politics with aid
Anxiety is growing in presidential circles about the trial of prominent politicians and civil servants in the ‘Cashgate’ scandal over the theft of some US$100 million in government...
Beleaguered President Joyce Banda is suffering substantial political damage from what many Malawians are calling hypocrisy after she was found to be using the presidential private jet...
Vol 55 No 3 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After Public Service Minister Lindiwe Sisulu and Higher Education Minister Blade Nzimande, both African National Congress loyalists, disengaged from an ostentatious clinch on 4 February, they predicted they...
The country is back in the international fold but the new President needs to distance himself from his predecessor
At last the island has a new President, Hery Rajaonarimampianina, elected on 20 December with 53.5% of the vote on a 50% turnout (AC Vol 55 No 2,...
Zimbabwe's business leaders, championed by Belgium's diamond barons, are trying to draw in new money
In what may be Zimbabwe’s best hope of reversing economic decline, a high-level delegation of top executives led by Charles Msipa, the President of the Confederation of Zimbabwe...
The countries helping fund the national budget are split on whether or not to suspend funds over corruption and bad governance
Mozambique risks the suspension of up to one third of the US$400 million it is due to receive in budget support funds from major donors this year, according...
Everyone hoped the elections would heal divisions and allow the country to move on but it may not be that simple
The final election victory of Hery Rajaonarimampianina is unlikely to provide Madagascar with the healing new start that everyone had hoped for. The chronic instability since the March...
The gas bonanza raises the stakes in this year’s elections; Frelimo’s choice for the presidency will show how it wants to run the country
All eyes are on President Armando Guebuza’s next move in the run-up to the general elections on 15 October. Unable to stand himself, he is determined to have...
In November, veteran SWAPO leader Hage Geingob will take over one of Africa’s most stable political systems
Under outgoing President Hifikepunye Pohamba and the Prime Minister and president-to-be, Hage Geingob, the governing SWAPO Party approaches November’s general elections more united than ever. Geingob, 73, looks...
President Ian Khama Seretse Khama and the governing Botswana Democratic Party will romp home in October’s general elections. Disquiet over Lieutenant General Khama’s autocratic leadership style, secretive business...
Vol 55 No 2 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Anger over broken promises is slashing the party’s once unassailable lead. With elections at most six months away, the opposition is more hopeful than ever
The governing African National Congress is seeing a sharp decline in support in recent opinion polls, less than six months before legislative and local elections. South Africans...
Vol 55 No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
April's elections will be more about the standing of President Zuma than about loyalty to the governing ANC
There is no serious doubt that the governing African National Congress will easily win the general election likely to be held in the last two weeks of April....
Secretive and fearful of change, the ruling circle sees no reason to rock the boat with reforms. New major projects are likely to suffer delay
Whether or not the speculation about President José Eduardo dos Santos being in poor health turns out to be correct, 2014 could be the year that his successor...
Mugabe may be approaching his 90th birthday but that does not make the naming of a successor more likely
The only certainty for Zimbabwe in 2014 is that the succession issue will not be resolved so long as President Robert Mugabe is still in control. It is...
President Sata’s physical condition is the factor on which all else hangs, especially the sharpening divisions in his party
Age and ill health will restrict President Michael Chilufya Sata’s public appearances this year, fuelling speculation that he will not be fit enough to contest the 2016 general...
ZANU-PF ducked the succession issue at its conference but the drift is damaging the confidence of businesses and people alike
The Mashonaland West provincial capital, Chinoyi, got all dressed up for the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front conference on 13-14 December but the deliberations produced no breakthroughs –...