Vol 53 No 25 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Negotiations over the planned gas plant could put Anadarko and ENI on a collision course with government
Preparations are now well under way for a liquefied natural gas plant to handle Mozambique’s massive offshore gas deposits. The Instituto Nacional de Petróleo has proposed a bill...
Vol 53 No 25 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Jacob Zuma has sent 40 hand-picked intelligence operatives to the African National Congress’s 16-20 December conference in Mangaung, we hear. They will be on the look-out for...
The governing SWAPO party surprised friend and foe alike by electing Hage Geingob, 72, as its presidential successor to President Hifikepunye Pohamba.
Vol 6 (AAC) No 2 |
- ZIMBABWE
- CHINA
A delegation of Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front Provincial Chairmen was in Beijing ahead of the historic 8 November Chinese Communist Party (CCP) conference and seamless change of...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 2 |
- ZIMBABWE
- INDIA
Harare has lost hundreds of millions of dollars in tax from diamond smuggling: some of it will end up financing next year’s election campaign
The row over Zimbabwe’s missing diamond revenues will be at the centre of political campaigning ahead of next year’s general elections. Anti-corruption activists are accusing Indian traders of...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 2 |
- ZIMBABWE
- ASIA
Jettisoning their traditional reticence, Asian ambassadors to Zimbabwe are now advising the government on how to turn around the economy, build infrastructure and attract foreign investment.
South Africa will hold the Fifth Summit of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) group on 27 March 2013 at the Inkosi Albert Luthuli Convention...
Three hats are in the ring for the SWAPO vice-presidency: the winner will almost certainly become the next head of state
In a three-horse race for the vice-presidency of the SWAPO party, Jerry Ekandjo, the Minister of Regional and Local Government, has emerged out of left field. The final...
Vol 53 No 24 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Jacob Zuma is tightening his grip on state-owned enterprises and purging boards and executives. His advisors say the SOEs often ignore his government’s objectives, behave too independently...
Food is short across the country and the rains are late. Zimbabwe used to be the regional breadbasket but now relies on Zambia, formerly a maize...
Vol 53 No 24 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Foreign mining companies await clarification of the regulations after a bill goes before Parliament next month. The mining bill will also open the door to direct ownership...
Vol 53 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
A ruthless re-election campaign is set to win Jacob Zuma another term as ANC leader and national President
The re-election of President Jacob Zuma as African National Congress (ANC) President is an ‘unstoppable tsunami’, say his backers, yet many members of his original coalition of trades...
Vol 53 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Of the 4,500 voting delegates who will decide the African National Congress presidential election at the party conference, 4,103 (91.2%) will come from ANC branches, each of which...
Vol 53 No 23 |
- MALAWI
- TANZANIA
The two sides will return to the table to settle an old dispute
Malawi and Tanzania will return to the negotiating table on 15-17 November to seek a diplomatic resolution to their dispute over the border in the lake that divides...
Everyone is asking where Mugabe’s party is finding the money for its fleet
of new vehicles and its pre-election largesse
A spending splash by the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front is attracting increasing suspicion that the funds come from illegally diverted diamond sales. ZANU-PF will hold its annual...
Vol 53 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
A furious row has erupted in cabinet between the Minister of International Relations and Cooperation, Maite Nkoana-Mashabane, and her counterpart at National Planning, Trevor Manuel.
The triumvirate of Mugabe, Tsvangirai and Mutambara officially holds the key to the constitutional referendum. It faces major challenges
President Robert Mugabe opened the final Stakeholders’ Conference on the draft constitution on 22 October. When the audience dispersed three days later, nobody seemed clear on what substantive...
The glitzy launch of the Sovereign Wealth Fund has bedazzled the international financial world, although many of the details are unclear
Amid much fanfare, Luanda formally launched its US$5 billion Fundo Soberano de Angola on 17 October. The Fsdea was formed from the Fundo Petrolifero set up by the...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
- CHINA
The government wants to improve trade terms with China as new studies show how cheap imports are damaging local industries and costing jobs
South Africa’s Trade Minister Rob Davies gave a list of trade concerns to Beijing officials in October during his tour of East Asia. Davies’s government wants to reduce...
In October, Chinese companies were once again the target of Madagascar’s environmental groups for their role in illegal rosewood exploitation. Environmental umbrella group Alliance Voahary Gasy pointed ...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Trade and Industry Minister, South Africa
Rob Davies’s recent tour led to the strengthened economic relations with Indonesia and China. On 17 October in Jakarta, South Africa’s Minister of Trade and Industry...
Vol 53 No 21 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
On the brink of the ANC conference in Mangaung in December, incumbent Jacob Zuma has outmanoevered his rivals for the party presidency
African National Congress leaders are trying to stitch together a deal that would avoid a contest for the party Presidency between incumbent Jacob Zuma and Vice-President Kgalema Motlanthe...
Vol 53 No 21 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The plan to secure President Jacob Zuma certain victory at the African National Congress’s leadership election focuses on one-to-one meetings with his main opponents. Zuma’s enforcers are concentrating...
The triumph of the bond issue and strong public spending plans may help revive a stagnant economy and the government’s political fortunes
One year after taking the helm, President Michael Chilufya Sata and his Patriotic Front (PF) face mounting pressure from electors upset at their apparent failure to deliver on...
The political landscape is changing and President Michael Sata’s Patriotic Front faces a new opponent. Having lost faith in his own party, the Movement for Multiparty Democracy, former...
Vol 53 No 21 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
President Armando Guebuza has underlined his command of party and state by removing Prime Minister Aires Ali from his government job after he failed to hold on to...
The major parties are setting their sights on the coming elections but they have little confidence in their leaders
The two main political parties are moving into campaign mode. The High Court has finally acceded to President Robert Mugabe’s request to delay the outstanding by-elections any time...
Vol 53 No 20 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The President maintained his grip on the party at the Pemba Congress but there were still some surprises
The tenth Congress of the Frente de Libertação de Moçambique ended on 29 September but President Armando Guebuza did not get everything he wanted: he won’t be able...
The new cabinet sees some surprising departures but like previous reshuffles, appears to be all about loyalty to President José Eduardo dos Santos.
Vol 5 (AAC) No 12 |
- ZIMBABWE
- CHINA
Ahead of national elections in March 2013, Indigenisation Minister Kasukuwere targets Chinese companies to raise funds for ZANU-PF’s campaign team
In papers submitted to the High Court for yet another extension on setting by-elections in late September, President Robert Mugabe gave an effective commitment to general elections by...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 12 |
- ANGOLA
- CHINA
China’s backing of the MPLA ensured leverage and oil supplies – even if
activists rail against the influx of unskilled Chinese labour
China may advocate a policy of non-interference, but that did not stop it taking a pretty prominent place in Angola’s 31 August elections, from the campaign trail and...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 12 |
- ANGOLA
- CHINA
Several recent court cases – some stretching across two continents – highlight the corruption and criminality that accompany the rapid influx of Chinese investment and workers into Angola....
Vol 5 (AAC) No 12 |
- ZIMBABWE
- CHINA
State media proclaimed in mid-September that China International Fund was to begin building some of the infrastructure that it promised in late 2009 (AAC Vol 3 No 2)....
Opaque flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) from Mauritius to India look set to continue – despite the eight rounds of negotiations over the Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement...
Plans by two Thai companies – PTT Asia Pacific Mining and Italian-Thai Development Company (Italthai) – to develop rich coal deposits at Sakoa have stalled amid...
Vol 53 No 19 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The Marikana massacre shocked South Africans and unnerved the markets but President Zuma tells the trades unions that he needs another term
A rousing welcome at a national trades union conference and a belated wage deal at the Marikana platinum mines are the first signs that President Jacob Zuma is...
Vol 53 No 19 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Despite some stage-managed glad-handing, quarrels over tactics and ideology haunt Cosatu’s conference
A political fix negotiated on 16 September allowed the leaders of the Congress of South African Trade Unions to paper over their differences as Secretary General Zwelinzima Vavi...
Despite the ruling party’s election win, criticism is growing of its opaque financial management, including property investments in London
Angola has spent £220 million (US$356 mn.) from funds ostensibly intended for long-term investment in the national infrastructure on a ‘trophy’ property in Mayfair, London. Plaza Global Real...
Petitions accusing the government of systematic fraud in the presidential elections have been unceremoniously thrown out by the courts
The Constitutional Court has rejected the challenges by opposition parties claiming fraud during the 31 August elections and has endorsed President José Eduardo dos Santos’s first formal electoral...
Amidst a confetti shower of court orders, affidavits and writs, the nuptials between Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai and Elizabeth Macheka on 16 September were down-sized from a full-blown...
The election victory was no landslide but the lack of foreign criticism gives Dos Santos enough space to organise a succession on his own terms
The Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola won the general elections with 72% of the vote after spending more than US$75 million on its campaign. The opposition, which...
Oil companies will soon have to process all their supplier payments through the local financial system but will the system be able to cope?
Eight years after it was first proposed, the government is bringing in a law that will force oil companies to pay their suppliers through banks inside Angola. The...
The government does all it can to tempt foreign investors into diamonds, and other mining projects, too
As parliamentary elections approach in 2014, Botswana’s divided opposition parties cannot complain about the economy. The biggest gesture of confidence came from diamond giant De Beers, which began...
To diversify the economy away from its almost total dependence on diamonds, Botswana is pinning its hopes on coal.
A new constitution seemed to be on its way until the ZANU-PF Politburo interfered and overthrew two years of cooperation
The once prestigious Harare Annual Agricultural Show, a shadow of its former self, gamely goes through the motions of being opened by an international figure. On 24 August,...
Vol 53 No 18 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The President hopes to go on running the country – and his businesses – after his term in office ends
The 23 to 28 September congress of the governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique will be the field of the battle to decide whether President Armando Guebuza can...
Vol 53 No 18 |
- MADAGASCAR
A reckless dash to exploit natural resources threatens the environment and wildlife
After the military coup of March 2009, the plunder of Madagascar’s vast resources went into overdrive, under high-level political protection. It shows no sign of abating and concern...
Vol 53 No 18 |
- MADAGASCAR
New opportunities for plunder are opening up in minerals, oil and gas as shadowy businesses discover fresh resources. A few big companies have joined the voluntary Extractive Industries...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- ZAMBIA
- CHINA
Confusion about the new minimum wage law and tensions between workers and management lie behind the death of a Chinese mining boss in August
The killing of Wu Shenzai on 4 August and the wounding of his two compatriots by Zambian mine workers demanding the implementation of the newly revised minimum wage...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- ZAMBIA
- CHINA
Despite the travails in Zambia's relations with China and fears that changes in mining regulation and taxation would scare off Asian companies, the flow of investment continues. Officials...
A series of scandals about illegal timber exports increases pressure on the government to seek international protection for the country’s forests
Proof continues to mount about the role of Chinese business interests in the illegal trade of rosewood from Madagascar. Rosewood is harvested from protected areas in Madagascar and...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- MADAGASCAR
- CHINA
Mainland Mining, a subsidiary of China Geo Engineering Corporation, faces opposition as it tries to mend its ways and restart activities on its ilmenite (titanium-iron oxide) exploration permit...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- BOTSWANA
- CHINA
A corruption trial involving managers of Chinese construction companies has fizzled out, at least for now. The three – erstwhile China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation General Manager...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- ZIMBABWE
Minister of Industry and Commerce, Zimbabwe
Industry and Commerce Minister Welshman Ncube appears to have cleared the hurdles blocking the rehabilitation of the Zimbabwe Iron and Steel Company. India's Essar Africa Holdings agreed in...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Chief Executive Officer, Merafe Resources Ltd.
Despite the fact that China has no chrome reserves of its own, it became the world's top producer of ferrochrome in the first half of 2012. It...
Vol 53 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC’s anti-Zuma faction tries to use the shootings to help depose the President
Senior politicians, not least of all President Jacob Zuma, are failing to deflect public anger about the massacre of 34 miners by police on 16 August at Lonmin’s...
Vol 53 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The dispute at the Lonmin mine is as much about rivalry between the Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union and the National Union of Mineworkers as about wages....
Amid private jitters at the top, the ruling party is pulling out all the stops to ensure an overwhelming election win
The Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola (MPLA) is pouring
millions into a lavish campaign to ensure overwhelming victory in the
general elections on 31 August. The team behind President...
After 2008’s electoral drubbing, the União Nacional para a
Independência Total de Angola (UNITA) is now far better
organised, winning respect for its sustained pressure on the electoral
commission, and surprising...
Vol 53 No 17 |
- ZIMBABWE
- SADC
Robert Mugabe and his Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic
Front (ZANU-PF) were pleased with the outcome of the Southern African
Development Community summit in Maputo on 17-18 August. It had just
begun...
Vol 53 No 17 |
- MADAGASCAR
On 17 August, the Southern African Development Community failed in its
third attempt to reconcile feuding Presidents Marc Ravalomanana
and Andry Rajoelina. Rajoelina overthrew Ravalomanana in March
2009 and is now...
Vol 53 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Ex-President Thabo Mbeki has taken issue with South Africa’s
push to get Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma elected Chairwoman of the
African Union. She defeated the incumbent, Gabon’s Jean Ping,
prompting criticism that South...
The courts say there must be bye-elections and that will impose change on all the political parties
The Supreme Court has finally forced President Robert Mugabe to hold long-outstanding bye-elections in three Matebeleland parliamentary seats. He had argued that the polls would be too expensive....
So far, Matebeleland's special concerns have not been fully addressed by the political reform process. The Human Rights Commission will deal only with matters since 2008, leaving the...
Opposition parties are unable to form an alliance capable of ousting the governing Botswana Democratic Party
In spite of the serious split in the Botswana Democratic Party in 2010, opposition parties cannot form a broad electoral alliance, the only way to end the BDP’s...
Vol 53 No 16 |
- ANGOLA
- DIAMONDS
The Gaydamak case exposed details of profit-taking in the diamond business that the government might have preferred to remain unseen
Russian-Israeli billionaire Arkady Gaydamak failed to convince the London High Court he had a case against diamond-dealer Lev Leviev in mid-June. Ever since, analysts have been poring over...
Lev Leviev's interests in neighbouring Namibia could suffer as a result of the British High Court proceedings in June, especially from the judge's critical remarks about his credibility...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 10 |
- MAURITIUS
- INDIA
Pressure mounts again on the treaty that allows funds to transit untaxed through Mauritius and into India’s markets
Mauritius and India are gearing up for another confrontation over the 1983 Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement. The DTAA allows Indian investors to avoid paying tax by funnelling their...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 10 |
- ZIMBABWE
- INDIA
Disappearing diamond revenue is slowing economic growth and enriching illicit networks at the interstices of India-Zimbabwe trade
Disappointing diamond revenues and other factors forced Finance Minister Tendai Biti to slash predictions for Zimbabwe’s gross domestic product growth in 2012 from the expected 9.4% to just...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 10 |
- ZIMBABWE
- INDIA
Since he was widowed in March 2009, Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Morgan Tsvangirai has been involved in a series of romantic escapades that have drawn...
Anjin Investments is attracting even more attention from the authorities after a Global Witness report released in late June highlighted the company’s links to the security services and...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 10 |
- ZAMBIA
Finance Minister, Zambia
In the 29 June listing of China Nonferrous Metal Mining Corporation (CNMC) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Zambia’s Finance Minister Alexander Chikwanda saw ‘a legitimate cause for...
South Africa finally won the battle for the AU Commission chair, amid high hopes for reform and more effective interventions
Security crises in five countries and pressing economic problems confront the new Chairperson of the African Union Commission, Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma. Although she has three months to wind up...
Just hours before voting began for the new chairperson of the African Union Commission in Addis Ababa on 15 July, veteran diplomats were predicting a repeat of the...
For foreign oil companies, getting hitched to local partners is increasingly causing trouble at home
Angola’s habit of compelling foreign oil companies to work with secretive local companies that belong to top government officials is attracting increasing criticism – and compliance risks at...
Turning to the US dollar was not enough: politics underlies the country’s economic problems
Growth forecasts of 9.4% for this year have been halved. Thishighlights the policy limitations of abolishing the Zimbabwean dollar.It was replaced in 2009 by a range of solid...
Vol 53 No 15 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The authorities have tried to hush up a break-in that took place at South Africa’s largest nuclear research centre, the Pelindaba facility near Pretoria, on 28 April. The...
Vol 53 No 14 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Arguments over personalities rather than ideas dominate the ANC’s policy conference in the Free State
Policies were not changed nor presidents toppled when the African National Congress met last week. Yet everyone – supporters of President Jacob Zuma and of his two main...
The confusion is far from over. The United Nations proposes that Madagascar hold presidential and parliamentary elections in May or June 2013 but Andry Rajoelina is holding out. The army installed him as national leader after its coup in March 2009 threw out his elected predecessor, Marc Ravalomanana. He now heads the Haute Autorité de la Transition (HAT) that was installed in November 2011, following a ‘road map’ signed the previous month by most political leaders (AC Vol 53 No 5, Who's the democrat now?).
There is logic behind the timetable suggested by the UN experts who, chaired by Akinyemi Adegbola, visited the island in April-May. Time is needed to establish a credible...
Vol 53 No 14 |
- MADAGASCAR
• Andry Rajoelina, 38, Chairman of the Haute autorité de la transition (HAT), is a former Mayor of Antananarivo and leads the Tanora MalaGasy Vonona (TGV) party.
Vol 53 No 14 |
- MADAGASCAR
In public, diplomats in Antananarivo talk up the chances of a settlement of the political crisis. In private, though, they confess to doubting the value of the sanctions...
The battle of the oligarchs in London’s High Court ended on 29 June. Arkady Gaydamak and Lev Leviev fought over millions of dollars in Angolan diamond sales.
The Southern African Development Community, anxious to free its financial operations from domination by the large, state-owned Development Bank of Southern Africa, plans to set up a rival...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
- ASIA
Lethargy in US and European markets has pushed the ANC government to fast-track deeper ties with Asia, but not everyone is convinced that it will work
European officials expressed anger in early June about the governing African National Congress’s new strategy to sideline South Africa’s traditional trading allies and forge closer ties with India...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
- ASIA
Despite the billions of dollars in investment that President Jacob Zuma’s ‘Look East’ policy could potentially deliver, Asian investment in South Africa has already yielded many promises, few...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 9 |
- ZIMBABWE
- CHINA
As new national elections loom, both parties in Zimbabwe’s coalition government are building stronger ties with Beijing
China’s new Ambassador Lin Lin takes up his post in Harare this month. Ambassador Lin follows the outgoing Xin Shunkang, who completed a highly successful two-and-a-half-year tour of...
Prime Minister Jean-Omer Beriziky says that Chinese investors are angry about the treatment they have received from the government. Wuhan Iron and Steel Corporation executives vociferously point out...
The collapse of an opaque scheme to set up a multi-billion dollar national mining company prompts recriminations in Conakry and South Africa
The Guinean government’s decision this week to shut down a bid by South African businessmen who wield high-level political connections, to run its national mining company follows growing...
• Walter Hennig, Chief Executive Officer of Palladino, a South African. The considerable fortune enjoyed by the Hennig family comes mainly from diamond trading and farming, though Walter...
Outbursts in Angola by the Zambian President punctuate a regional meeting that went badly for Mugabe, too
The most extraordinary thing about the extraordinary summit of the Southern African Development Community on 31 May-1 June was the performance of Zambia’s President Michael Sata. At 74...
The mid-May visit to Zimbabwe by the United Nations Human Rights Commissioner, Navanethem Pillay, was disastrous. She came at the invitation of Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa, who...
Controversy over the judiciary and a law suit over Zambian Airways show the PF and Banda still at war
President Michael Sata has sparked a political storm by forcing out Zambia’s most senior judge, Chief Justice Ernest Sakala, on 15 June. The opposition accuses Sata of politicising...
The Director of Public Prosecutions, Mutembo Nchito, has his sights on Henry Banda, son of ex-President Rupiah Banda, over his role in the US$257 million sale of most...
If she lost her majority in Parliament, President Banda would lose control
of her budget and the IMF programme, too
Acclaimed at home and abroad as a breath of fresh air when she took office on 7 April, President Joyce Banda is being severely put to the test....
Vol 53 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Instead of nationalisation, an ANC report proposes new taxes, a swarm of regulatory commissions and a new super-state mining company
An attempt to meet the political requirements and the economic self-interest of factions in the governing African National Congress has produced a plan for super-taxes on mining profits,...
Vol 53 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The nucleus of a proposed state-owned mining company would be the existing African Exploration Mining and Finance Company (AEMFC), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Central Energy Fund (CEF)...
Vol 53 No 12 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
Acting on corruption is one thing but Frelimo is having problems even passing laws against it
Proposals for anti-corruption legislation are causing severe anxiety in the governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique. Frelimo is scrambling to bury reforms.
Vol 53 No 12 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
A secret report by the Zambézia Province command of the national police on why the Frente de Libertação de Moçambique so resoundingly lost the mayoral election in Quelimane...
The tiny kingdom is in a deep economic crisis but the ruling monarch is determined to party on regardless
The arrival of a new private jet for King Mswati III has brought fresh turbulence to the virtually bankrupt country. The future is more uncertain than ever now...
Vol 53 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Ex-President Thabo Mbeki is again reinventing himself: his latest struggle is against corruption, leading a campaign to recover some of the hundreds of billions of dollars extracted from...
Jockeying for position to succeed President Hifikepunye Pohamba is rising following confirmation that SWAPO’s elective congress will be held on 28 November to 2 December.
Luanda has finally announced that general elections will take place on 31 August. They’ll be the first where the winning party chooses the president directly: the head of...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 8 |
- MAURITIUS
- CHINA
Six years after the project was launched amid great fanfare, the foundations for the Chinese special economic zone have yet to be laid
China's grand plans for special economic zones across Africa to emulate the success of its coastal manufacturing regions have hit problems in Mauritius and Algeria, showing that the...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 8 |
- ANGOLA
- INDIA
- BRIEFING
A wage dispute at an Angolan building site in Chindonga, a sleepy town in Kwanza Sul, is causing a storm in India.
Vol 5 (AAC) No 8 |
- ZAMBIA
Minister of Foreign Affairs and Tourism, Zambia
Zambian President Michael Chilufya Sata (aka ‘King Cobra’) used anti-Chinese rhetoric to whip up populist sentiment and win power in 2011, since when he has changed his tone.
Vol 53 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The contest for the presidential nomination is stirring up a lot of mud, and harming the governing party and the entire country
The battle for succession in the African National Congress is getting nastier as its outcome looks more uncertain. Supporters of the main protagonists fight their battles, firstly within...
Vol 53 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Jacob Zuma’s allies are trying to arrange the state security and financial apparatus to protect him from future prosecution. They also want security officials to pursue his...
Politics in general as well as the race to succeed Mugabe are deepening in complexity and rancour
Politics are fast becoming a heady mix of military muscle-flexing, metaphysics and Machiavellianism, especially the politicking of those who would succeed President Robert Mugabe. The President’s visible ageing...
‘I detect a Satanic hand at work,’ said the excommunicated Anglican Archbishop Nolbert Kunonga. The Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front apologist was talking about the latest pirated draft...
Vol 53 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Joseph Stiglitz, a United States Nobel prize-winning economist, has become an unlikely guru of the left wing of the governing African National Congress in its battle with...
Efforts to negotiate a compromise between Gabon and South Africa over the contest for the presidency of the African Union Commission are faltering. This is unlikely to...
Vol 53 No 10 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Recession in the industrialised world has cut into financial support for NGOs and private think-tanks in Africa
Civic activists and concerned citizens are threatened by a steep drop in charitable donations. The funding model of voluntary donations for good works is a victim of the...
Question marks are multiplying about Sata’s judgement, his choice of regional friends and his well-being
Even before his famous victory in last year’s presidential election, Zambians heard rumours about Michael Sata being unwell. When he unexpectedly flew to India in March for medical...
The growing influence of the Patriotic Front Secretary General, Wynter Kabimba, constitutes the starkest example of the PF’s statist tendencies. He has been a source of controversy both...
The new President is trying to correct her predecessor’s blunders and persuade the people to face tough times ahead
President Joyce Banda has formed an inclusive government, appointing former enemies as well as allies in an effort to maintain a united front on economic problems. ‘The economy...
President Bingu wa Mutharika’s heart stopped during a meeting on 5 April with a member of parliament, Agnes Penemulungu. ‘He just stopped talking and tipped over and the...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 7 |
- ZIMBABWE
- INDIA
Essar’s investment in the former ZISCO operations have slowed again as negotiations over access to mining rights delay development
Essar’s deal for rehabilitating NewZim Steel (formerly the Zimbabwe Iron and Steel Company) is teetering on the brink of collapse.
Religion and rumour dim the prospects for the presidential succession while the mining rows continue
A prophet has aroused some unchristian comment in Zimbabwe’s media, official and independent alike. Temitope Balogun Joshua, a popular Nigerian televangelist, had foretold the imminent death of an...
The Independence Day theme was ‘Indigenisation and Empowerment’. The Movement for Democratic Change objects that this will probably be the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front slogan whenever elections...
Mozambique is on the threshold of a multi-billion dollar energy boom destined to transform a country that, less than 20 years ago, was counted by the World Bank as the world’s poorest, with per capita gross domestic product of US$80. It is still a weak state that lacks capacity to manage such a large range of investment projects and there is concern that resource wealth will facilitate corruption and poor governance. State revenue from these riches promises eventually to deliver something else – revenue independence. This would be a big change for a country highly dependent on foreign aid: grants and concessional loans currently contribute 41% of the national budget
Energy resources lie at the heart of foreign direct investment commitments worth $28 billion. This is more than double 2011’s total gross domestic product of $12 bn. and...
The government has announced that it will tax mergers and acquisitions in the resource sector. The first is Royal Dutch Shell’s proposed purchase of Britain’s Cove Energy, holder...
Africa’s second female president faces a fickle parliament and a desperate economy
Joyce Banda, accepting promotion from Vice-President to President on the death of Bingu wa Mutharika, inaugurated her rule on 9 April by sacking the police chief, Peter Mukhito....
Bingu wa Mutharika was Malawi’s third President, after Hastings Kamuzu Banda and Bakili Muluzi. Born in 1934 in the Thyolo district of southern Malawi, he was educated...
The threat of armed rebellion may fade after rebels offer to talk
After four decades of the struggle for independence in the oil-rich Cabinda enclave, the last fighting faction has launched an offer of peace talks. The octogenarian, exiled leader...
Vol 53 No 8 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Jacob Zuma is struggling to carry fellow leaders of the African National Congress with him in his campaign against dissident ANC Youth League leader Julius Malema. On...
The promise of a clean sweep of corruption is unfulfilled and the commitment to open politics undermined
Six months after their sweeping election victory, President Michael Chilufya Sata and his Patriotic Front (PF) are struggling to live up to their promises. They are in danger...
Finance Minister Alexander Chikwanda and President Michael Sata spent the first two months of 2012 meeting key shareholders in foreign-owned mining companies to reassure them that the government...
Impala Platinum will let 51% of Zimplats go to public ownership but it looks as though the government has not got the cash
Youth, Indigenisation and Empowerment Minister Saviour Kasukuwere’s campaign to compel foreign-owned companies to sell majority stakes to Zimbabweans has stalled amid questions about how the government and local...
President Robert Mugabe and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai have failed to pay huge electricity bills over the last two years, according to documents from the state...
Both trades unions and business question the accountability of the government’s huge public spending programme, which would invest 850 billion rand (US$112 bn.) in power generation, transport and telecommunications over the next three years, plus more than R400 bn. for six new nuclear power stations by 2030
The announcement of these grandiose schemes in Parliament last month coincides with leadership contests within the governing African National Congress, which will choose its presidential candidate at...
Vol 53 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The cabinet is split three ways over control over the state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and infrastructure spending.
Vol 53 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Infrastructure investment is financed partly from the National Treasury or appropriations by Parliament. Yet a large share of the finance comes from the budgets of state-owned enterprises (SOEs),...
ZANU-PF opposes the reforms planned to precede the elections and knows how to scupper them
The process of drafting the new constitution is teetering towards collapse. So the various factions are honing their plans for what could be a bruising election campaign under...
Tendai Biti has been the star both of the Movement for Democratic Change as its General Secretary and of the Government of National Unity as its Finance Minister....
Afrikaners complaining of a ‘Boer genocide’ are joining forces with far-right members of the European Parliament to protest the murder of white farmers in South Africa. In 2010,...
President Sata starts to deliver on promises of cleaner government
President Michael Sata is cheering donors and his supporters by relaunching the fight against corruption begun under the late President Levy Mwanawasa but curtailed under President Rupiah Banda.
The IMF still wants devaluation, while a former Attorney General claims the governing party is hiring thugs to silence critics
Ralph Kasambara is voicing the concern of many when he warns of a campaign of intimidation against civil society activists by criminals hired by the party in power.
The debate about whether to devalue the kwacha has moved on and become ‘by how much?’ President Bingu wa Mutharika remains determined not to devalue, though the International...
South Africa seeks a global role and is standing up for democracy – in Madagascar, anyway.
Vol 5 (AAC) No 5 |
- ZAMBIA
- CHINA
President Michael Sata tries to balance Chinese investors’ interests and his populist policies
The former scourge of Chinese investors, President Michael Chilufya Sata, has reshuffled his Patriotic Front government to placate Asian and other investors and to streamline economic policy. On...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 5 |
- ZAMBIA
- CHINA
Chinese investment in Zambia continues to boom under President Michael Sata’s Patriotic Front government, despite the rhetoric of his unruly ministers.
Vol 5 (AAC) No 5 |
- MALAWI
- CHINA
A group of 33 Malawian merchants in Karonga has petitioned the government to oust the Chinese nationals whose businesses, the traders complain, are increasing competition in the northern...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Archbishop Emeritus of Cape Town
Human rights campaigner Desmond Tutu is not
winning many friends in Beijing. The Archbishop drew China’s
ire in October last year by inviting the Dalai Lama, Tenzin Gyatso,
to his 80th...
Vol 53 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The promises sound good but money may be short as the President stakes his claim to another term at the helm
President Jacob Zuma gave his third, and best, State of the Nation Address to a joint session of Parliament on 9 February. To show their growing power, the...
Vol 53 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Central to President Jacob Zuma’s plans for 2012 is a massive infrastructure development programme. It is to be driven and overseen by the Presidential Infrastructure Coordinating Commission (PICC),...
The inquest into the death of General Solomon Mujuru has closed on 6 February after hearing 39 witnesses. The evidence left after the raging inferno that killed him...
The presidential ambitions of Hage Geingob appear holed beneath the waterline after he admitted taking a US$300,000 consultancy fee from French nuclear power company Areva in 2008 (AC...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 4 |
- ANGOLA
- CHINA
A Chinese-built, multibillion-dollar housing project near the capital will test Beijing-Luanda relations
The government is under pressure to speed up construction projects to meet its promise to build a million houses in four years, ahead of September’s elections. The Nova...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 4 |
- ANGOLA
- CHINA
The Beijing government and China International Fund may be separate entities but the multiple links between the two become clearer with each new project. Two of the CIF’s...
The two-day state visit of India’s Commerce Minister Anand Sharma in mid-January gave Indian investors the opportunity to complain about the restrictions and obstacles that – despite decades...
Vol 5 (AAC) No 4 |
- MALAWI
President
Commonwealth Secretary General Kamalesh Sharma visited Malawian President Bingu wa Mutharika on 21-24 January en route to last month’s African Union summit in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Secretary General...
A crusading journalist has launched a criminal complaint against the President’s allies, accusing them of grand corruption
A doughty campaigner, Angolan journalist Rafael Marques de Morais, has launched a formal complaint against three top officials close to the presidency for taking personal stakes in oil...
In its annual disclosures (also known as the 10-K Form) to the Securities and Exchange Commission in New York on 31 December 2010, United States-registered Cobalt reported that...
After his annual holiday in south-east Asia, Mugabe has to decide whether to reappoint many of his ageing securocrats
The security officers around President Robert Mugabe like to shroud his movements in mystery. During the congress of his Zimbabwe African National Union Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) in Bulawayo...
By snubbing the African National Congress centenary celebrations and their host, South African President Jacob Zuma, President Robert Mugabe wanted to make some political points. He is furious...
SWAPO chooses its candidate this year for the 2014 election
In the coming political battles, Vice-President Hage Geingob is best placed to succeed President Hifikepunye Pohamba as leader of the governing SWAPO, previously the South West African People’s...
The government appears indifferent about beefing up coastal security and introducing anti-pirate laws
The United States is making little headway in its bid to get Mozambique and other coastal states to beef up their anti-piracy laws and their military response. It...
The coming battle between two gemstone plutocrats in London’s High Court could embarrass Angola’s secretive diamond marketing organisation, Angola Selling Corporation (Ascorp). Uzbekistan-born Israeli diamond magnate Lev Leviev,...
Vol 53 No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Ructions in the ANC and the President’s grim fight to hold on to power will have economic as well as political consequences
The election that matters is the one within the governing African National Congress, whose December conference in Mangaung in the Free State will pick its presidential candidate for...
Vol 53 No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Foreign investors will find the political climate discouraging. Exports, apart from gold, are likely to slow. The fall of the rand against the US dollar will help some...
The probability of President Mugabe scuppering constitutional reforms and calling a snap election is firming up
Both President Robert Gabriel Mugabe’s Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) want elections as soon as possible. Each...
The early economic successes of the power-sharing government are sputtering (AC Vol 52 No 25). A decade after the land reform battles, agriculture will be the main source...