Sudan has now thrown its weight behind the Millennium Dam, at a time when curiosity about the contractor, Salini, was already growing
As Egyptian, Ethiopian and Sudanese ministers sat down to discuss the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on 9 December, one item was notably absent from the agenda. The role...
Vol 54 No 25 |
- ETHIOPIA
- ITALY
Salini has merged with a Milan-based multinational construction competitor. A Salini statement said that a September Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting of Impregilo SpA, a 1.9 billion euro (US$2.6 bn.)...
After a period of defiant independence, Addis Ababa has now, belatedly perhaps, built strong diplomatic support behind the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Before the joint meeting of the...
President Omer el Beshir promised to step down in 2015 and now he has a new deputy whom he trusts not to turn him over to the ICC
Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir ‘decided to meet his fate with those he trusts most’, said a senior opposition source of the 8 December reshuffle. Some key leaders...
Vol 54 No 25 |
- EGYPT
- SUDAN
Agrogate, an Egyptian private equity group, hopes to start work this month on a hard-top road in Sudan, the 362 kilometre Dongola-Toshke (Argeen) Highway, which will link the...
Human rights activists target US and British support for Kenya’s security forces over illicit killings, torture and rendition
Complaints that Kenyan anti-terrorist units are engaged in torture, rendition abroad of suspects, 'disappearances' and assassination could threaten United States and British cooperation and financial support. Critics blame...
Vol 54 No 25 |
- ETHIOPIA
- KENYA
The Gibe III dam on the Omo River may threaten Lake Turkana and those who depend on it
A new report claims that Ethiopia’s Gibe III dam on the Omo river could lower water levels in Lake Turkana, in Kenya’s remote and arid northwest, by as...
Debate on how to address land conflicts and poverty in rural Tanzania is intensifying. Last year, the New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition grew out of the Group of Eight meeting in May. Critics say the Alliance is more about providing access to untapped markets in Africa for global corporate giants such as Vodafone and Monsanto than helping to streamline agriculture or free smallholders from poverty. The G-8 has promised to lift 50 million of the world’s people out of ‘extreme poverty’ by 2022 and its key vehicle for boosting agricultural production is private investment
Tanzania was among the first six countries to sign up to the New Alliance for Food Security and Nutrition, along with Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana and...
Eight-and-a-half months after Kenya’s Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission declared Uhuru Kenyatta winner of the March 2013 presidential poll, a key electoral observer, the Carter Centre, has released...
A thorn in President Yoweri Museveni’s side was removed when Kampala City Council voted to depose the Lord Mayor, Ssalongo Erias Lukwago, of the opposition Democratic Party on...
Political rows and bad laws are undermining the prospects for the billion dollar gas industry
His excitement was not misplaced: ‘We are now full throttle ahead to the gas economy,’ said Energy and Minerals Minister Sospeter Muhongo. He was speaking at the launch...
The restrictive new law looks to be the first shot in a government attempt to narrow the space for dissent and criticism
After the mass media claimed that security forces were responsible for looting and burning sections of the Westgate Shopping Mall during the recent terrorist attack, President Uhuru Kenyatta...
Vol 7 (AAC) No 1 |
- ETHIOPIA
- CHINA
Telecoms equipment left unclaimed at the port leads to a government investigation into the Chinese company
Ethiopia has launched an investigation into the illegal import of US$13 million in telecommunications equipment in the name of Ethio Telecom by Huawei Technolgies. The inquiry will determine...
Ethiopia might attract Egyptian finance for its vast dam, although many financial and technical hurdles remain
Key regional meetings are about to take place on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, probably Africa's biggest-ever development project to be undertaken without grants or concessional finance. After...
After 25 years of mass murder, the Lord's Resistance Army continues with impunity as African and Western efforts fail to capture its top commanders
More than 440,000 people are currently displaced due to attacks by the Lord's Resistance Army across Central and East Africa. This is despite increased United States and African...
Unless he gets a backroom deal to defer his case, the Kenyan leader is preparing to end cooperation with the International Criminal Court
The chances of President Uhuru Kenyatta appearing in the Hague to stand trial for crimes against humanity at the International Criminal Court are decreasing by the day. Astute...
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The governing Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front played it safe by electing Mulatu Teshome Wirtu to the largely ceremonial office of President on 7 October. Mulatu, who once...
As forensic investigators comb the Westgate mall for clues about the insurgents, anger at the security failure grows
In the wake of the murderous attack at Westgate Shopping Mall, President Uhuru Kenyatta faces tough questions about the probity and efficacy of his government. Kenyatta received a...
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The growing politicisation and corruption within the state security system help explain the government’s poor coordination and its failure to act on warnings it received before the attack...
Spontaneous street protests against price rises quickly escalated into calls for the overthrow of the regime
The sight of one of the regime’s stalwarts, Nafi’e Ali Nafi’e, being driven out of the wake for a protestor killed by security officers on 27 September summed...
A leading light in the ruling NCP tells a London audience that the Islamist project is over and democratic transformation is imminent
’The phase of Salvation is over,’ the Director of Khartoum’s Centre for Strategic Studies, Sayed el Hassan el Khatib, told Britain’s Royal Institute of International Affairs at Chatham...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 12 |
- KENYA
- ASIA
As plans trundle on for an oil and transport project connecting South Sudan and Ethiopia to the Kenyan coast, China backs a new rail link for Uganda
Kenya says that the huge Lamu corridor project is progressing but in late August China put its support firmly behind a rival transport project. President Uhuru Kenyatta’s government...
Chinese-financed port and rail projects could be a boon for the region's trade
On 8 September, Abubaker Mohamed Hadi, the President of the Djibouti Port and Free Zone Authority, presided over the ceremony to mark the start of construction at Damerjog...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 12 |
- UGANDA
Minister of Agriculture, Uganda
Agriculture accounted for 23.4% of Uganda’s gross domestic product in 2011 and now the government has given Chinese companies the green light to set up operations in the...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 12 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
- CHINA
Talks about a loan worth US$1-2 billion and finance for mining and energy projects show the growing strength of relations
Diplomats from Beijing continue their courtship of the South Sudan government, with substantive talks about new billion-dollar loans and promises of Chinese diplomatic support. All this is intended...
With over 60 fatalities and wider regional security concerns, the hostage siege in Nairobi is not deterring oil companies from targeting Somalia
International conferences extolling political progress in Somalia and raising aid funds for post-war reconstruction have triggered several bids for oil acreage in the region despite continuing concerns about...
Vol 54 No 19 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
More accusations of human rights abuses in Jonglei challenge Salva's new government and its army
The Sudan People's Liberation Army stands accused again of widespread violations against civilians in its attempts to suppress a rebellion in Jonglei State. On 12 September, Human Rights...
The Bank of Somalia’s argument with the UN Monitoring Group has cost its boss his job as the President placates the donors at Brussels
The Governor of the Bank of Somalia, Abdusalam Omer, has lost his job in a row between the United Nations and the government over corruption at the BOS...
The information may be technically public, but many Ugandans are unaware that the Auditor General has reported epic plunder of the public purse
Up to US$100 million was diverted from government funds in the year ending 30 June 2012, according to the Auditor General. John FS Muwanga announced the loss in...
It is becoming clear that the President wants yet another term of office, possibly for his son, but he has major legal and political obstacles to overcome first
Uganda’s next election may only be in 2016 but President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, who is almost certain to run again, has set out an early agenda. He is...
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The Jubaland agreement may have saved Somalia from a descent into disastrous factionalism. It is a glimmer of hope amid plenty of bad news
When the government of Somalia and the Jubaland administration of Ahmed Mohamed Islaan ‘Madobe’ signed an interim agreement on 27 August, the sighs of relief were audible. Both...
The M23 rebels have suffered heavy losses, so Kigali may have to choose between abandoning them or risking deeper involvement
Tension between Rwanda and Congo-Kinshasa has escalated almost to open war after two weeks of renewed fighting in eastern Congo. The national army, the Forces armées de la...
The opposition Semayawi Party has said it will hold a demonstration on 7 September, having failed to stage a promised public show of opposition to the government in...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 11 |
- ETHIOPIA
- CHINA
The government does not want to liberalise the telecommunications sector and has hired Chinese contractors to carry out much-needed improvements
On 18 August, the acting Chief Executive Officer of state-owned telecoms operator Ethio Telecom, Andualem Admassie, signed the second of two US$800 million deals that will drastically improve...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 11 |
- ETHIOPIA
- INDIA
Addis Ababa reconsiders policies after India-backed agribusiness projects fail to deliver
Ethiopia is rethinking its land policies after the failure by India’s large agribusiness ventures, which have also drawn much criticism from non-governmental organisations, to deliver results.
The World Bank and others are backing a farm subsidy scheme that keeps the governing party in power and boosts big commodity traders
The donor-funded subsidy programme for smallholder agriculture is coming under increasing criticism for being poorly targeted, discriminating against the private sector and being used to encourage voting for...
Vol 54 No 17 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
The struggle continues for a new state as old comrades fall out
When Parliament turned down President Salva Kiir Mayardit’s choice of Justice Minister on 13 August, it was greeted as a victory for democracy in the face of an...
The coming government reshuffle could bring back two pariahs: Hassan Abdullah el Turabi’s faction and former security chief Salah Mohamed Abdullah ‘Gosh’, who was arrested last November but...
Asmara’s diplomatic isolation, rising opposition confidence in the diaspora and a continuing hard line from the UN put the regime under stress
Cracks in the revolutionary façade of the ever-secretive People’s Front for Democracy and Justice (PFDJ) may be appearing, after January’s failed coup and concerted challenges to the tax...
Vol 54 No 17 |
- ERITREA
- ETHIOPIA
Eritrea may be loosening relations with Al Shabaab
A July report by the United Nations Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea claimed that the ruling People’s Front for Democracy and Justice has resumed support to the...
Vol 54 No 16 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
President Salva has opened the leadership contest by sacking his deputy and all his ministers – and has strengthened his position in the process
When President Salva Kiir Mayardit sacked his Vice-President, all his ministers, the governing party’s Secretary General and several senior police officers on 23 July, the world greeted it...
President Kenyatta is suing Safaricom in the High Court in camera
In perhaps the strongest signal that President Uhuru Kenyatta’s defence team is now preparing for a full-blown trial at The Hague in November, his lead International Criminal Court...
An anonymous blogger from the high-tech communications sector in Kenya has stepped in with highly credible-looking information on the latest court action in the International Criminal Court case...
The army turns the tables on the rebels and Rwanda may find it problematic to continue its support for M23
Two weeks of sometimes brutal fighting between the Mouvement du 23 mars and the national army have ramped up the pressure on Kinshasa and Kigali to negotiate a...
Washington and Seoul are discreetly putting pressure on Tanzanian President Jakaya Kikwete to end military cooperation with Pyongyang. Around 18 North Korean military technicians and army officers are...
The UN Security Council renews its peacekeepers’ mandate in Darfur but UN operations in Sudan have failed to protect civilians or prevent war
The worsening political crises in Juba and Khartoum are fuelling hostilities between the two capitals. When South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir Mayardit sacked his cabinet on 23 July,...
The International Criminal Court judges on 15 July rejected an application by Kenyan Vice-President William Ruto to relocate his trial for crimes against humanity to East Africa. It...
President Hassan Sheikh’s government woos Al Shabaab’s Sheikh Aweys but is openly defied by Ahmed Madobe in Kismayo
Whether Sheikh Hassan Dahir ‘Aweys’ last week defected or escaped from Al Harakat al Shabaab al Mujahideen was still unclear as Africa Confidential went to press but more...
Challenges in the Supreme Court over devolution and rows about salaries for MPs and teachers give the new government plenty to think about
After only a few weeks in office the Jubilee government led by President Uhuru Kenyatta finds itself putting out a succession of domestic political fires, some of which...
Vol 54 No 14 |
- MALAWI
- TANZANIA
Malawi will not give up an inch of its lake, sources close to President Joyce Banda say. At issue in the row with Tanzania is where the frontier...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 9 |
- TANZANIA
- CHINA
The details of contracts signed during President Xi Jinping's March visit – and their implications – are still filtering through
Major Chinese investments, such as the new US$10 billion port to be built north of Dar es Salaam in Bagamoyo, are raising concerns amongst both the opposition and...
The fighting for strategic port threatens President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud's efforts to build a federal government
After another week of fighting for control of Kismayo port, Ahmed Mohamed Islaan 'Madobe' and his Ras Kamboni militia have strengthened their grip over the region and its...
Amid fresh fighting and political realignments, Aweys has escaped from his former allies in Al Shabaab and may now work with Mogadishu
Sheikh Hassan Dahir 'Aweys', the 78-year-old eminence grise of Somali Islamism, has broken with Harakat al Shabaab al Mujahideen (Al Shabaab) this week. Although Sheikh Aweys, who sported...
The failure of the electoral commission to release the full results of all six elections is prompting more suspicion of foul play
Although Kenya’s Supreme Court and international observers formally accept the legitimacy of the presidential election, government officials and activists are raising fresh doubts about the number of valid...
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Vol 54 No 13 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
President Salva Kiir Mayardit’s sacking of Cabinet Affairs Minister Deng Alor Kuol and Finance Minister Kosti Manibe Ngai on 18 June has prompted puzzlement and some hostility in...
Heritage Oil and Gas faces a US$313 million bill after its battle with Tullow Oil in London's High Court
Tullow Oil has won its bid to recover US$313 million from Heritage Oil and Gas, following their dispute over a $434 mn. Ugandan tax bill. Tullow shared ownership...
Vol 54 No 13 |
- EGYPT
- ETHIOPIA
Cairo has backed down from threats of war over Ethiopia’s dam on the Nile but has failed to resolve any of the serious environmental issues
Egyptian Foreign Minister, Mohamed Kamel Amr, was trying to calm tension over the control of the River Nile, after a meeting his Ethiopian counterpart, Tewodros Adhanom, in Addis...
Vol 54 No 13 |
- EGYPT
- ETHIOPIA
Some 95% of the water that Egypt relies upon comes from the Nile
Some 85% of the Nile waters originate in the Ethiopian Highlands, flowing down the Blue Nile and two smaller tributaries. The remaining 15% comes down the White Nile...
Vol 54 No 13 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
Juba's search for investment dollars has attracted disgraced European politicians and American military entrepreneurs
Now styling himself an 'independent financial analyst', Dominique Strauss-Kahn arrived in Juba on 14 May to help highlight the launch of the National Credit Bank. Before falling from...
Khartoum's latest threat to shut down South Sudan's oil pipeline may look like political retaliation against the Juba government but it was prompted by a growing internal crisis in Sudan
Just as oil had just started to flow again from South Sudan to Sudan, after months of negotiations and external pressure, Sudan's President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir...
Vol 54 No 13 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
This time Khartoum turns off Juba's oil taps in a move that will damage both countries' economies and escalate tensions across the border
The meeting between Khartoum's hawkish Foreign Minister Ali Ahmed Kurti and China's Africa envoy Zhong Jianhua on 16 June over Sudan's plans to cut South Sudan's export pipeline...
Clashes over the lack of local benefits from the booming gas industry challenge President Kikwete’s government
Two days of clashes in Mtwara following the general strike on 22 May have turned into one of the most serious political crises since Independence in 1961. At...
Despite the lack of the long-awaited natural gas policy, the licensing round will now start in late October
Tanzania has announced that the continually postponed Fourth Offshore Licensing Round will finally start on 25 October. It will also include one onshore block, North Lake Tanganyika. The...
The governing party worries about the next elections and some old hands, once out in the cold, are back on the scene
Once shunned for their association with notorious corruption episodes, two of Chama Cha Mapinduzi’s wealthiest grandees are making their way back into the political spotlight. One is former...
Vol 54 No 12 |
- EGYPT
- ETHIOPIA
Such is the level of distrust around President Mohamed Mursi’s beleaguered government that some insiders are convinced his officials deliberately misled opposition politicians about the ‘secrecy’ of...
Vol 54 No 12 |
- RWANDA
- TANZANIA
May’s African Union summit in Addis Ababa saw Tanzanian President Jakaya Kikwete ask if the Kigali-supported Mouvement du 23 mars (M23) rebels should negotiate with Kinshasa, why shouldn’t...
The International Criminal Court’s offer to hold the trial of William Ruto in East Africa could be an astute compromise
The announcement by the International Criminal Court on 3 June that it could try William Ruto, Kenya’s Deputy President, in East Africa rather than at the Hague appears...
Senior army officers are falling out over a succession plan which favours President Museveni’s son, Brigadier Kainerugaba Muhoozi
The raid by armed police on the Daily Monitor offices in Kampala on 20 May has deepened the political crisis. The newspaper had published a private letter from...
Museveni acts to placate the troops and to disarm critics
It is no coincidence that the armed forces announced their most sweeping round of promotions in over a generation just as the political furore around General David Sejusa...
The President is still finding his feet. Accepting his – or any – government’s authority is a challenge for the many interests at work
On 15 May and by a resounding margin, elders meeting at the Jubaland conference in the southern port of Kismayo elected Ahmed Mohamed Islaam ‘Madobe’ as President of...
Amid an anti-corruption drive, on 10 May police arrested the Director General of the Ethiopian Revenues and Customs Authority, Melaku Fenta, his deputy, Gebrewahid Woldegiorgis, and 30 others,...
Vol 54 No 11 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
The conflict in Jonglei looks set to intensify despite the Juba government offering rebels an amnesty. The United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) reports heavy fighting in...
Vol 54 No 10 |
- KENYA
- BRITAIN
After President Kenyatta’s brief encounter with British Premier Cameron, both are preparing for more trouble over the International Criminal Court cases
President Uhuru Kenyatta’s three-day visit to London and meeting with British Prime Minister David Cameron this week mark a considerable diplomatic victory for his new government. Previously, Whitehall...
Vol 54 No 10 |
- KENYA
- BRITAIN
President Uhuru Kenyatta met British Prime Minister David Cameron briefly the morning before the London Conference on Somalia opened on 7 May. To Kenyatta’s Press Office, the encounter...
Vol 54 No 10 |
- SOMALIA
- BRITAIN
This year’s conference was more about pledging funds for reconstruction
than summoning the world to applaud a stunning success
London’s Somalia Conference arrived with a little less fanfare this year. The press conference was held in a smaller room, the United States Secretary of State and most...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 7 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
- CHINA
More eye-catching Chinese loans to South Sudan hit the headlines in April, as did more uncertainty about what exactly has been agreed. A year to the day since...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 7 |
- UGANDA
- CHINA
The government cancelled the bidding for Uganda’s biggest hydropower project, the Karuma Falls Dam, pending a procurement review, after the selected bidder lied to the Ministry of Energy.
The appointment of non-politicians to cabinet posts, a provision of the new constitution, concentrates power in Kenyatta’s hands
After a circus of postponements, excuses and secrecy, the protracted announcement of President Uhuru Kenyatta’s cabinet ministers over the week-ending 27 April was received with some indifference. Yet...
Under pressure from internal divisions and fighting wars on three fronts, the ruling party is struggling to reinvent itself
Everyone welcomed the opening of the regime’s talks with the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North in Ethiopia on 23 April. The ruling National Congress Party presents the talks as...
The coalition of army and security bodies controls the levers of power, with President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir at the top beside the Defence Minister, General Abdel...
Vol 54 No 9 |
- SOMALIA
- BRITAIN
The follow-up to the 2012 London Conference on Somalia should be ‘a substantial conference with substantial outcomes’, said a senior British diplomat of the second London...
The government tries to increase access to the internet and mobile telephony while restricting free speech and the media
The government has grown more sensitive to dissenters using the internet. Now it is blocking opposition websites and some social media, and using special programmes to spy on...
Local elections were meant to be a first democratic step but the territory’s leaders fear they could threaten stability
Whether or not Puntland is ‘ready for democracy’, the government has postponed the local elections due on 15 May. There is no clear notion of when, if ever,...
Faustin Twagiramungu was Prime Minister in 1994-96, returned from exile to lose the presidential election in 2003 and now wants another start (AC Vol 52 No 3, The...
China may be a weapon which Khartoum and Juba use in their conflicts but oil interests lock all three parties into a triangular relationship
On 15 March, President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir sent a message of congratulations to China’s new President Xi Jinping and Prime Minister Li Keqiang, who officially assumed...
The EPRDF conference was meant to show unity and quell doubts about the Growth and Transformation Plan
Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn has been unanimously confirmed as Chairman of the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front for another two years. Nothing less was expected from a celebratory...
Doubts remain as to whether President Museveni’s government has really ended the diversion of cash which prompted last year’s aid cuts
Multilateral donors may be ready to resume aid payments by the end of the year, say sources in Kampala familiar with the internal debate among Western officials involved....
The 12 March deal between Juba and Khartoum now looks as if will restore South Sudan’s major source of government income – oil
The Juba government ‘has given the order to resume oil production and companies are now making preparations to do so,’ a source close to the negotiations with Sudan...
Oil production from Unity State is expected to begin in ‘about three weeks’, said a source close to the deal on 12 March. Fields in Upper Nile, meanwhile,...
The head of the Somali National Intelligence and Security Agency, General Ahmed Moallim Fiqi, quit on 25 March amid growing fears about security in Mogadishu. The...
Prime Minister Raila Odinga is challenging Uhuru Kenyatta’s narrow win in court after a spate of technical failures at the electoral commission
Uhuru Kenyatta’s presidential victory leaves Kenya still a divided nation. He achieved it by engineering a partnership between his fellow Kikuyu and the Kalenjin of his running mate,...
A detailed report claiming widespread incompetence and corruption at the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission may prove another blow to its standing as it seeks to defend its...
The Jubilee Alliance plays the conspiracy card on the old colonial power and turns up trumps
It was a warning shot from the usually emollient Charity Kaluki Ngilu when she read a statement in Nairobi on 6 March claiming that Britain’s envoy Christian Turner...
Khartoum has reacted angrily to criticism of the cross-amputation of Adam el Muthna, 30, who had his right hand and left foot cut off last month after being...
There is widespread optimism that oil will soon again flow from South Sudan to Sudan after a 14-month break since Juba turned off the tap. The two...
The Kenyatta and Ruto team is gathering support and pulling out all the stops to win the presidency in the first round
A tense campaign, full of skulduggery and intimidation, is gripping the country and challenging the electoral system. Politicians trade accusations of electoral malpractice, raising tension while damaging the...
The Kenyan elections and the International Criminal Court case against presidential candidate Uhuru Kenyatta and his running mate William Ruto pose serious challenges to foreign business. Britain and...
A second presidential round is likely to focus attention on counties where the vote could go either way
Neither the Jubilee Coalition’s Uhuru Kenyatta nor Prime Minister Raila Odinga of the Coalition for Reform and Democracy (CORD) has been able to make inroads into the other’s...
Democracy supporters demonstrated in Djibouti City after the first contested elections since 2003. President Ismail Omar Guelleh and his Union pour la majorité présidentielle had an easy...
The race to be governor of the capital is tense, filled with drama and defying the expectations of the experts
The Nairobi gubernatorial race – part of the 4 March general elections – is turning into one of the most fascinating political battles of recent times. The...
Kenya’s first presidential debate, broadcast live on eight television and 34 radio stations on 11 February, was unlikely to sway an electorate deeply polarised by ethnic and regional...
The arrival of the latest batch of foreign fighters complicates Khartoum’s tactical options
The Khartoum regime’s ties with Islamists in the region are under scrutiny again following the arrival in Darfur of jihadists retreating from the French military campaign in northern...
Vol 54 No 4 |
- SUDAN
- BRITAIN
The latest round of British military cooperation with Sudan under the aegis of its Defence Minister, General Abdel Rahim Mohamed Hussein, who is wanted by the International Criminal...
Whoever was responsible, the army rebellion and the seizure of Asmara’s television station expose growing cracks in the totalitarian facade
News of mutiny filtered out of Eritrea in late January as it might out of a hermit kingdom. On 21 January, some 200 soldiers with at least two...
Vol 54 No 4 |
- ERITREA
- QATAR
At least one of President Issayas Aferworki’s few allies shows concern about his survival. On 2 February, Sudan’s President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir and his leading defence...
New opposition leader and liberation fighter Mugisha Muntu tries to galvanise the ranks as he senses growing disarray in the ruling party
A tough police and military crackdown is stifling attempts to reproduce the success of the Walk to Work street protests led by Kizza Besigye, the then leader...
Tanzanian journalist Erick Kabendera is complaining about what he calls ‘harassment’ of his elderly parents by the country’s immigration and security officials. In November, he gave testimony...
Vol 6 (AAC) No 4 |
- ETHIOPIA
- CHINA
The World Bank is working with the government so that Addis Ababa can repeat the successful growth model of its Asian trading partner
In December 2012, the World Bank published an in-depth study of Chinese investors in Ethiopia. Based on interviews with the executives of 69 companies operating there, the study...
Minister of Finance and National Economy, Sudan
Finance Minister Ali Mahmoud Abdul Rasul announced on 17 January that his National Congress Party government had secured a US$1.5 billion loan from the state-run China Development Bank....
As opinion polls say the race for the presidency is too close to call, a huge burden falls on the reformed electoral commission
On 4 March, Kenyans will vote for six different offices: president, senators, county governors, members of parliament, civic councillors and women’s county representatives. Under the new constitution, the...
Existing tensions and struggles over resources are likely to lead to localised conflict in several areas. In Tana River, the fusion of political competition and land disputes has...
The Prime Minister’s family suffered badly in the nominations race as a backlash against cronyism made itself felt
When attempts to reform the way political parties nominate their candidates failed, the Independent Election and Boundaries Commission refused to intervene. The IEBC seemed afraid to damage its...
Despite the NCP’s intense efforts to court African governments, the African Union starts to pressure Khartoum
The growing seriousness of the disputes between the Khartoum and Juba governments was clear at the African Union summit in Addis Ababa when Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan convened...
Vol 54 No 3 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
In a sudden and sweeping military reshuffle, President Salva Kiir Mayardit retired six deputy chiefs of general staff and 29 major generals by decree on 21 January....
If President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni had wanted to push the dissident young members of parliament in his party back into line with talk of a military coup, he...
New international forces like Qatar and President Hassan’s assertion of his independence are changing the balance of power
For weeks, diplomats in Kenya have fretted about the brewing discord between President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud of Somalia and Mwai Kibaki of Kenya. They finally met in Nairobi...
Vol 54 No 2 |
- SOMALIA
- FRANCE
The raid by French Special Forces on 11 January on the place where Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen was believed to be holding a French intelligence officer...
As multinational companies start bidding for gas assets, the governing CCM is desperate to halt the slide in its popularity
Tanzania’s next elections may be nearly three years away but they are already affecting national politics. Within the governing Chama Cha Mapinduzi, tension will increase as the race...
The electoral calculus appears to favour Odinga but ethnic and regional loyalties could provoke violence and millions of voters remain undecided
Kenya’s 50th Independence celebrations at the end of the year will be shaped by the general elections in March, the first since the violently disputed 2007 polls. This...
Pressure will mount on the ruling party as its political and military opponents reorganise and the economy weakens
Two pressing challenges – the failing economy and a more effective opposition – will confront the National Congress Party regime this year. There is no prospect of...
Only one other head of state stood on the podium beside President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir on 1 January. That was President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud of Somalia....
Vol 54 No 1 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
Oil may start flowing again but it will take more than that to rescue a weak economy and internal feuds will continue
South Sudanese will have to wait longer for their peace dividend. The main prospects for 2013 are more fraught negotiations with Khartoum on security and oil and most...
Vol 54 No 1 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
Juba’s failure to react to its shrinking reservoir of international goodwill was illustrated firstly, by the Sudan People’s Liberation Army shooting down a helicopter of the United Nations...
The government came in on a wave of optimism but will find it tough to
maintain momentum. Al Shabaab is on the back foot but not defeated
Optimism was high last September when President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud took office and appointed a cabinet led by Abdi Farah Shirdon ‘Said’ (AC Vol 53 No 22). The...
Somaliland’s success story will come under growing regional pressure in 2013, partly because of developments in neighbouring Somalia. The key issue for Somaliland remains diplomatic recognition as a...