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Published 20th February 2026

Vol 67 No 4


The Absentee Union

39th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of the African Union, Addis Ababa, February 2026. Pic: @_AfricanUnion
39th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of the African Union, Addis Ababa, February 2026. Pic: @_AfricanUnion

Two days of speeches in Addis Ababa skirted around harsh realities – the AU’s lack of independent finance and its failure to prevent conflict

As a measure of the dysfunction of the international system, the African Union has a special role, according to the United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres. ‘In a world filled with division and mistrust, the African Union is a flagship for multilateralism,’ he told the AU’s annual summit on 14 February. Sadly, the accolade fell far short of reality, just as it would if it had been applied to the UN today.


The Trump-Ramaphosa axis heads south

Leo Brent Bozell III. Pic: @BrentBozell
Leo Brent Bozell III. Pic: @BrentBozell

MAGA Republicans want open confrontation with Pretoria, but many US companies are rebuilding ties

The arrival of United States President Donald Trump’s new ambassador, Leo Brent Bozell III, a veteran critic of the African National Congress, in South Africa sets up bilateral...


Britain plays the King

Bola Ahmed Tinubu meets King Charles III, November 2023. Pic: @officialABAT
Bola Ahmed Tinubu meets King Charles III, November 2023. Pic: @officialABAT

Abuja is spinning President Tinubu’s stay in the Palace – and warmer ties with the British government – as part of a reset of bilateral relations

On the back foot since President Bola Ahmed Tinubu made France the centrepiece of his foreign policy, Britain is trying to restore its waning relationship with Nigeria. To...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Fiscal pressures more than green energy ambitions are tilting Ethiopia’s transport system towards electric vehicles. Since 2024, the share of EVs in Ethiopia has risen from 1% to 6% – the global average is 4%. To cut oil imports, the Addis Ababa government banned the import of internal combustion vehicles, and tariffs for EVs were dropped to 15% for completed cars, 5% for parts and semi-assembled vehicles, and zero for vehicles shipped in parts and assembled locally. EVs are now more...

Fiscal pressures more than green energy ambitions are tilting Ethiopia’s transport system towards electric vehicles. Since 2024, the share of EVs in Ethiopia has risen from 1% to 6% – the global average is 4%. To cut oil imports, the Addis Ababa government banned the import of internal combustion vehicles, and tariffs for EVs were dropped to 15% for completed cars, 5% for parts and semi-assembled vehicles, and zero for vehicles shipped in parts and assembled locally. EVs are now more viable than older petrol vehicles. In December, your correspondent found that more than half the taxis on the ‘Ride’ app in Addis were EVs.

South Africa, Uganda and Rwanda have similarly amended tax codes and other laws to promote EV imports and production. In Nairobi, a fast-growing number of motorbike taxis is electric. Chinese firm Neta has a plant in Kenya but electric cars remain scarce due to the political clout of the used car import lobby in Mombasa.

Morocco, which offers hefty tax incentives to EV manufacturing investments, is a leading beneficiary. Its EV production has overtaken South Africa as the continent’s largest vehicle producer. Rwanda and Egypt have launched new production lines. Now South Africa has cut taxes on EVs to secure its share of Chinese production. Chinese firms, led by BYD and Geely, have pulled well ahead of Elon Musk’s Tesla and Germany’s VW globally – and the gap is widening.

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Creditors’ quarrels hold back debt deal

State lenders claim that private creditors have secured unfair advantages in Addis Ababa’s drawn-out debt restructuring talks

Seven months after signing a crucial memorandum of understanding (MoU) with bilateral creditors, Ethiopia’s hopes that recent progress in negotiations with bondholders would hasten a comprehensive debt-restructuring agreement...


Ministers back Mnangagwa’s forever presidency

The President’s plan to end term limits is rallying opposition parties, unions, churches and war veterans against him

The long-planned and indefinite extension of Emmerson Mnangagwa’s presidency is taking shape in the form of a Constitutional Amendment Bill pushed by the uber-loyalist Minister of Justice, Parliamentary...


Economy gets pre-election boost

Government claims double-digit expansion, yet hardship and scepticism remain widespread

With Ethiopia heading to the polls in June, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and his ruling Prosperity Party radiate optimism on the economy. Not only has annual inflation returned...


Biya’s grip falters as barons fight over a port contract

Infirmity is catching up with the President – 93 on Friday the 13th – with would-be successors battling over the spoils of office

The most convincing sign that President Paul Biya’s powers are waning is his inability to restrain ministers and close aides openly feuding over lucrative contracts. This would have...


Bawumia returns to revive defeated NPP

The former Vice-President will need new ideas and allies to take on President Mahama and his resurgent party

Mahamudu Bawumia has been re-elected as the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential candidate for the 2028 general elections, securing 56% of the vote in the party primaries. This...


Election crisis disrupts cash pipeline

Western states have cut funding in protest at state violence during the election but gold and domestic borrowing are plugging the gap for now

The crisis in foreign relations triggered by horror at the conduct of Tanzania’s 29 October general election crisis, when hundreds were believed killed by security forces, has compelled...



Pointers

Cannon fodder on the front line

A report by the All Eyes on Wagner (AEOW) investigative group, published on 11 February, lists 1,417 fighters from 35 African countries who joined the Russian army between...