By rejecting the investigators' verdict on the Lekki shootings Governor Sanwo-Olu has lost voters' trust
A year after admitting that it was likely that the military had killed civilians at the Lekki toll gate in protest against police brutality in October 2020, the...
Public opposition to the elite's handling of the #EndSARS protests will cost votes in the coming national elections
The Lagos state government's handling of last October's Lekki Toll Gate shootings has angered many in the commercial capital, especially young voters. That could derail the chances of...
Sentenced to 20 years in jail on terrorism charges, the outspoken ex-minister Reckya Madougou has been formally removed from the Béninois political scene, as has the respected constitutional...
What is holding up publication of a major report into how oil spills have wrecked the ecology of Bayelsa state in the Niger Delta? The Bayelsa State Oil...
As the government ends fuel subsidies, the president plans to introduce an even costlier social grant to over 40 million citizens
Just over a year before he's due to step down, President Muhammadu Buhari is taking some uncharacteristic risks. His government is phasing out politically sensitive subsidies and allowing...
As opposition lawmakers initially block the budget, the finance ministry and central bank face new economic headwinds
Faced by a powerful opposition party, Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta's 2022 budget statement, presented on 17 November to Parliament, was always unlikely to have an easy passage. And...
The row over the shootings at Lekki toll gate in Lagos a year ago is set to spill into the campaign for national elections in 2023. After an...
Vol 62 No 24 |
- BURKINA FASO
Jihadists exploit ethnic and regional fissures as they step up attacks against schools, businesses and government forces
As protestors take to the streets to demand tougher action by President Roch Marc Christian Kaboré against jihadist attacks, vast areas of the country's northern region have become...
After winning the governorship in Anambra, Charles Soludo has positioned himself for a future presidential campaign
Former central bank governor Charles Chukwuma Soludo stormed to victory in Anambra state's gubernatorial elections on 6 November in a blow to the two biggest parties and militant...
Activists doubt that evidence of systematic killings by police and soldiers will prompt a serious response by government
The report by the Lagos State Judicial Panel of Inquiry was damning and contradicted all official accounts, especially those by the army and police, of what happened at...
European Union sanctions on those who impede the transition back to democracy, following those imposed by the Economic Community of West African States (Ecowas), deepens confrontation with Bamako...
Most of the 27 ministers in Guinea's new cabinet picked by junta leader Colonel Mamady Doumbouya are mostly youngish and mostly technocratic. Prime Minister Mohamed Béavogui, 68, is...
Vol 62 No 23 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
All the main parties are floundering, seeking successors and relevance, as Gbagbo relaunches his political career
Ex-President Laurent Gbagbo's Front populaire ivoirien (FPI) has splintered and its former leader helms a new party; President Alassane Ouattara's Rassemblement des houphouëtistes pour la démocratie et la...
The Malian foreign minister's trip to Moscow will be read as a slap in Paris's face as the junta deepens relations with President Putin's government
The visit by Mali's Foreign Minister Abdoulaye Diop to Moscow on 11 November flies in the face of French government complaints about Russia's state-backed mercenaries and their allied...
Advocates of a draconian anti-gay law are piling pressure on President Akufo-Addo and have sparked a rift with the Anglican church
The Ghanaian Family Values Bill is likely to sail through Parliament if it is voted on in the coming weeks. The main opposition and governing parties are broadly...
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The death of a notorious jihad leader has shifted the balance of power among terrorist groups in the region
An unrelenting campaign of terror by Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) continues to gather steam as it positions itself to succeed Boko Haram, from which it splintered,...
Vol 62 No 21 |
- CABO VERDE
The 16-month legal saga surrounding Alex Nain Saab Morán – accused of laundering hundreds of millions of dollars for Venezuela's government – came to an end on 16...
Ruling party apparatchiks are luring their opponents to defect as parties choose their presidential contenders
Fear of the unknown and super-charged ambition are driving record numbers of opposition party governors and other top officials to cross over to the ruling party. Many more...
The opposition is manipulating religious animosity against homosexuality to steal a march on the government
A bill seeking to criminalise LGBTQ+ sexual relationships is expected to come before Ghana's parliament soon after it reconvenes on 19 October. And although it's being used as...
Moscow's military support for Mali's junta is raising tensions with France, and risks opening up old wounds in the north
Russia has delivered four military helicopters to Mali's military regime, just as the country's latest public row with former colonial power France floods the Bamako and Paris media...
One month into the coup that removed President Alpha Condé from power, Guinea's new military leader Colonel Mamady Doumbouya is keeping everyone guessing as to how a new...
In Anambra state, the Catholic Church’s blessing could prove crucial for a business executive running for governor
A proxy war between the Catholic Church and the Church of England has become one of the main subplots in the governorship election in a commercial hub on...
A push for regional states to collect and spend their own VAT is gathering steam, as Lagos passes its own new tax law
Nigeria's Supreme Court is set to rule on the right of states to individually collect and spend value-added taxes in their domain in a landmark case that could...
A Russian partner expresses concern at government plans to buy into oil licence
Lukoil, a Russian energy company, has written to Matthew Opoku Prempeh, Ghana's Minister of Energy, to express concern about the government's plans to buy into Deepwater Tano/Cape Three...
Activists and oppositionists say political loyalties are undermining the independence of the Supreme Court
Six months on from the decision of Ghana's Supreme Court to uphold the victory of Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo in December 2020's presidential elections, controversy is growing over...
The Kremlin was categorical on 15 September when its spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told media that there were no talks ongoing between Russia and Mali about military cooperation or...
Lt Col Doumbouya launches consultations as mining companies fret and fears grow of a new military era in the region
The country's latest military junta, led by former French legionnaire Lieutenant-Colonel Mamady Doumbouya, promises it will form a national unity government , without specifying a timetable for elections...
Fights over military organisation and President Condé's tumbling legitimacy set the stage for Colonel Doumbouya's putsch
A decade after being sworn into office by judges in vermilion and ermine, President Alpha Condé of Guinea became the prisoner of an elite military unit that stormed...
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A high court ruling in favour of local tax collectors could threaten the federal government's authority more than insurgents and kidnappers
A federal court ruling on 7 September backing the right of Rivers State to collect Value Added Tax (VAT) on commodities sold within its borders is a critical...
Amid concerns that relations with the United States have cooled during his presidency, resulting in a loss of financial support, President George Weah has hired three US lobbying...
As expected, on 5 September, Carlos Vila Nova, candidate of the opposition Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) won the presidential run-off with (57.5%), according to the provisional results of...
Reforms speed up shift from oil to gas and trigger a new race for influence over contracts and regulation
Even before the ink was dry, officials and their sponsors had already begun to lobby for top jobs in the new oil sector management structures created by the...
The architects of industry reform bid a long goodbye to oil and welcome the brave new world of gas for all
Energy companies, trades unions and politicians are beginning to get to grips with the prospect of wide-ranging reform of the oil and gas industry, the foundation of the...
Trumpeting their commitment to a democratic ethos, the two main parties argue over how to rewrite the electoral rules
For years the National Assembly in Abuja is lambasted as hosting among the best paid but least productive legislators. Then within the same month they steer through two...
Government plans to borrow US$1.6 billion to buy back stakes in two offshore licences not yet in development have triggered anger and incredulity from oil industry officials and...
Vol 62 No 15 |
- NIGER
- FRANCE
After a baptism of fire, President Bazoum is positioning himself as France’s main security ally in the Sahel
Just three months after taking office, President Mohamed Bazoum has emerged as a central figure in the struggle to restore security to the Sahel.
The junta in Bamako may have been hoping for a boost with reports on 5 July that a court in the capital had issued an international warrant for...
Former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada may be in self-imposed exile in Portugal but his political influence is undimmed. Carlos Vila Nova, the Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) candidate and...
Vol 62 No 15 |
- BURKINA FASO
The army needs French support to handle the jihadist challenge but public confidence in their security forces is weak
Security sources in Burkina Faso are proud of their retaliation against the jihadist forces that carried out the massacre in the village of Solhan in the country's east...
The security services haul in militant separatist Nnamdi Kanu then narrowly miss Sunday Igboho in Ibadan
The Department of State Services (DSS) emerged from the shadows at the end of last month with all guns blazing, literally. Its targets were two hyper-populists from the...
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After 20 years of politicking, the National Assembly has passed a landmark law to reform the country’s oil and gas industry
Reaction to the passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) 2020 through the Senate and House of Representatives on 30 June veered from relief in government, quiet excitement...
France resumes joint operations against jihadists as familiar civilian politicians line up to 'receive' power from the military – eventually
The governments of France and Mali's regional neighbours are getting used to the colonels on whose approval the Bamako transitional government depends. On 2 July, setting the official...
The seaside resort of Jacqueville is now home to the Académie internationale de lutte contre le terrorisme (AILCT), a concept first mooted in 2017 at a meeting of...
The opposition National Democratic Congress is back on the streets with a 'march for justice' after months of treading water following its presidential election defeat in December. Although...
The government insists it can handle fast-mounting debts but increased security spending is stretching the budget
While the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) say Nigeria's growing debt is sustainable, worries are growing over the cost of debt servicing relative to revenues.
Vol 62 No 13 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Defeated on the battlefield and at the ballot box 10 years ago, Ouattara's old adversary returns and will posing problems
President Alassane Ouattara faces the most delicate of strategic choices following the triumphal return home last week of his career-long political foe Laurent Gbagbo after his final acquittal...
Civic activists and opposition politicians are pressing President Nana Dankwa Akufo-Addo's government on its response to the Covid-19 pandemic, particularly the lack of accountability around procurement. The government...
A government social media ban has handed secessionists a propaganda win and fired up other opponents of the President
'Backfire' doesn't quite cover the effects of the government's national ban on the Twitter micro-blogging site announced on 5 June, the day after the platform deleted a tweet...
The new nominee to head anti-corruption investigations faces a grilling in parliament and an explosive case over a gold company
John Githongo, a former permanent secretary for governance and ethics in Kenya, used to say 'anti-corruption politics is good politics'. And so it was, until Githongo's investigative zeal...
Instead of heading a new transitional government, two of Mali's top three caretaker heavyweights, President Bah N'Daw and Prime Minister Moctar Ouane found themselves held in military headquarters...
A warlord granted immunity for giving key evidence against ex-President Charles Taylor is himself in the dock facing similar charges
Echoes of the horrific civil wars of Sierra Leone and Liberia on the cusp of the 21st century still sound through the world, even as far as the...
Political disputes between the federal and state governments are making the security crisis more intractable
Another day, another round of crisis meetings to tackle insurgents, armed criminal gangs and communal clashes. As the National Security Council of service and intelligence chiefs met in...
As the security emergency spreads across the core northern states, insurgents and bandits are devastating an already weakened regional economy
Until recently, governors in the northern states were chary of criticising President Muhammadu Buhari's government on security policy. That is changing as the crisis intensifies and elections loom.
As public anger mounts about prices, jobs and graft, the Finance Minister insists the economic recovery is coming
Known for starting meetings with prayers and peppering them with Biblical quotations, Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta took time off from the Christian Sabbath on 9 May to invite...
Vol 62 No 10 |
- BURKINA FASO
As President Roch Kaboré's government argues about the treatment of exiled former president Blaise Compaoré, the military courts seem determined to throw the book at him. On 13...
An ally of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro remains under house arrest as he tries all legal and diplomatic routes to avoid extradition to the United States
At the centre of a sanctions battle between Washington and Venezuela, Colombian-born businessman Alex Nain Saab Morán is working with his lawyers on a final appeal of Cabo...
Another suspicious death adds to growing unease about George Weah's rule and the consequences of speaking against him
A string of mysterious deaths of officials with links to the centre of power has caused deep consternation among the political elite, and confusion about the true character...
Lobbying frenzy as parliament prepares long-awaited bill to reform and restructure energy industry
Leaks of apparent last-minute concessions on fiscal terms and overseas 'retreats' for lawmakers are the most tangible indicators in years that Nigeria may finally be at the point...
The two main political parties are trying to explain why the country is paying tens of millions of dollars to buy back half its stake in a new port terminal taken away on the sly
The Ghana Ports and Harbours Authority chairman Peter Mac Manu, a former national chairman of the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP), insists he worked relentlessly to improve the...
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No reaction from Abuja as state governors in the south-east, like their south-west counterparts, launch a regional security organisation
After governors of the south-eastern states met in the city of Owerri on 11 April to mull a response to a wave of deadly attacks against farmers and...
Vol 62 No 8 |
- NIGERIA
- ECONOMY
The economy is in slightly better shape than feared months ago but faces a toxic combination of unemployment and inflation
President Muhammadu Buhari and Nigeria's economy policymakers will certainly welcome the modest improvement in the country's economic outlook. According to the Yemi Kale-led National Bureau of Statistics (NBS),...
As iron ore prices rocket, mining companies in eastern Guinea face up to the fallout from a massacre, and battle over export licences
Mick 'the miner' Davis, one of the latest players to enter the scramble for Guinea's iron ore riches, is facing opposition from both local communities and the mining...
After excluding all credible opposition candidates, President Patrice Talon won another five years in office with 86% of the vote, according to provisional results released as Africa Confidential...
Vol 62 No 8 |
- BURKINA FASO
More than a million people have been driven from their homes by the insurgency of Jama'at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin and Islamic State in the Greater Sahara...
Calls from transport and logistics experts are growing for a renegotiation of the terms of business between Meridian Port Services and the government in the wake of Africa...
French billionaire Vincent Bolloré added Tema to the 15 West African ports he already controlled by ripping off the country, a secret report says.
By Andrew Weir
The French ports-to-media conglomerate, Bolloré Africa Logistics, partnered by the Danish shipping giant Maersk's ports arm, APM Terminals, opened a hugely profitable, state-of-the-art container terminal at Ghana's Tema...
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Vol 62 No 6 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The death of the prime minister leaves the race to be Ouattara's political successor wide open
Four prominent onlookers, dressed in black, oversaw the arrival on 14 March of the remains of Hamed Bakayoko, the former Ivorian Prime Minister and Defence Minister seen by...
Youth unemployment, corruption rumours and Ousmane Sonko's detention trigger an outburst of anger and hunger for change
After two weeks of protest and the most violent clashes between demonstrators and the security forces seen in decades, leaving at least 10 dead and 600 injured, the...
Vol 62 No 6 |
- BURKINA FASO
The former dictator is testing the water for a possible return home, but there is a lot to forgive before that can happen
Blaise Compaoré, ousted by mass protests in 2014 after he sought a fifth term as president, celebrated his 70th birthday on 3 February in his palatial villa in...
Béninois voters can have any president they like – so long as it is Patrice Talon. They will go to the polls on 11 April to decide whether...
Royal Dutch Shell and Italy's Eni and 13 individuals were acquitted by a Milan court in one of the world's biggest corruption cases on 17 March. After three...
The disputed election results are stress-testing the judicial system and parliamentary politics
Highly polarised politics and an abundance of lawsuits are complicating government in the wake of the 7 December elections which delivered a hung parliament and a contested presidential...
The first new Ebola case was a 51-year-old nurse from Gouécké, in the far south of Guinea, who fell ill on 18 January and died 10 days later....
Post-election violence left two dead and almost 470 arrested in Niamey after provisional results awarded the government candidate Mohamed Bazoum 55.75% in the 21 February presidential run-off.
Kenya's trade agreement with the United Kingdom finalised in November was sold as a diplomatic triumph in Nairobi but met with consternation in East Africa's other capitals. The...
The Anglo-Dutch giant is losing its battle to fight off international lawsuits over pollution
Shell is retreating from onshore oilfields in the Niger Delta under a cloud, facing lawsuits, recriminations and so far failing to deal with some of the most serious...
Senegal's media eagerly showed footage of soldiers walking through rebel camps which the Senegalese army overran in the first week of February. Deserted kitchens, mostly old weaponry and...
An army on the backfoot could get more resources but will have to beef up its fight against insurgents and tackle communal clashes
Sacking the four service chiefs was one of the few things on which Nigeria's Senate, its leading civil society groups and Western ambassadors were unanimously agreed. Insiders at...
Vol 62 No 3 |
- GUINEA
- MINING
The mining magnate is appealing his bribery conviction while a
law suit in Paris could put his entire fortune in peril
The five-year jail sentence handed down to Beny Steinmetz by Geneva's Tribunal Correctionnel on 22 January will embolden former partners pursuing his sprawling business empire for over US$2...
Vol 62 No 3 |
- GUINEA
- MINING
Judge Alexandra Banna in Geneva says that 'Steinmetz was the main beneficiary' of a criminal operation to secure mining rights in Guinea. 'All important decisions were taken with his agreement'
A Geneva court sentenced mining magnate Beny Steinmetz to five years in prison on 22 January for bribery and money-laundering. The bribes were paid to obtain rights to...
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Vol 62 No 2 |
- GUINEA
- MINING
As Beny Steinmetz awaits the judges' verdict, we probe the prosecution's accusations of money-laundering and grand corruption
It was dubbed the 'deal of the century' – an operation to obtain rights to the world's biggest iron ore deposit – but became a quagmire, sucking its...
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French President Emmanuel Macron's announcement on 19 January that he would be reviewing the deployment of soldiers to Opération Barkhane in the Sahel due to 'good results' in...
Legal challenges against narrow wins in the presidential and parliamentary results are heating up national politics
John Mahama, presidential candidate for the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC), is taking a leaf from the book of his opponent President Nana Akufo-Addo with his attempt to...
On 20 June last year, a private plane made a refuelling stop at the international airport on the Cape Verde island of Sal. On board was the 49-year-old...
As President Buhari looks to his legacy, the jostling for succession will begin in earnest
In May, President Muhammadu Buhari will reach the halfway point of his second and final four-year term. It is that point in Nigeria's political calendar, when the main...
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Government will get more complex with the New Patriotic Party running the executive but facing a split parliament
At a time of deep polarisation, the new government emerging after the official results of the 7 December elections will demand some political cohabitation between the two main...
Vol 62 No 1 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Last year’s electoral violence could be a foretaste of things to come as the three big political figures start to fade from view
The hit from the Covid-19 pandemic means that President Alassane Ouattara will find it much harder to mask political and ethnic tensions and stark inequality with stellar economic...
The caretaker government explores talks with jihadist leaders while it keeps its military alliance with France
The death from Covid-19 of opposition leader Soumaïla Cissé on 25 December, has robbed Mali of the clear favourite for the presidential election due to take place by...