Pledging a lean and accountable government, the new President says he will end nuisance taxes but keep the IMF reform programme on track
Following his victory in the 7 December presidential elections and securing a two-thirds majority in parliament, President-elect John Dramani Mahama has the executive power and the parliamentary support...
Foreign exchange and tax reforms are praised by international banks but most Nigerians are yet to see the benefits
For the multilateral financial institutions and investment banks, President Bola Tinubu’s economic reforms are stabilising the country’s finances and staunching the loss of billions of dollars in revenues...
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State governors and federal lawmakers oppose plans to centralise revenue collection in a new agency in Abuja
President Bola Tinubu’s alliance with northern Nigeria, which helped him get into power last year, risks falling apart as he attempts to re-engineer the country’s revenue structure. Tinubu’s...
Vice-President Bawumia concedes early to ‘preserve the peace of our country’ amid sharpening polarisation
Former President John Dramani Mahama won the 7 December presidential election decisively – defeating Vice-President Mahamudu Bawumia of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) and leading the opposition National...
Against a backdrop of slow recovery from a devastating national debt crisis, the vice-president promises to make history
Using the slogan ‘Breaking the Eight’, Vice-President Mahamudu Bawumia is vying to succeed President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo in an ambitious bid to win a third consecutive national...
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After a spate of coups swept West Africa, the President has stacked key positions with officers from his home region
Faced with security threats on multiple levels – jihadist fighters, mass unrest and would-be putschists – President Bola Tinubu is taking no chances. He is building the country’s...
Revenge rarely tastes so sweet. A year ago Ousmane Sonko was in jail, his hopes of standing in Senegal’s 2024 presidential poll clearly doomed. Now he has celebrated...
No official reaction has followed Africa Confidential and the Gambian Republic investigative website’s article on sanctions-busting by a Russian company in Banjul. The United Arab Emirates-registered company Apogee...
New alliances are unlikely to stop the popular president and his Pastef party from success in the snap legislative election
If President Bassirou Diomaye Faye hoped a relaxation of nomination rules for the 17 November parliamentary elections would see opposition to his ruling Patriotes africains du Sénégal pour...
The green shoots of economic recovery may be coming too late for the ruling party’s electoral chances
As two credible opinion polls show the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) and its presidential candidate Mahamudu Bawumia heading for defeat three weeks ahead of the national elections...
A US-sanctioned Russian illegally imported US$29 million worth of diesel to The Gambia, sold it there, and sent the money to the UAE, but the authorities seem uninterested
An Africa Confidential Special Report By Mustapha K Darboe and Andrew Weir
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A prominent voice on trade, economics, and climate change, Carlos Lopes, is known for his competence and combative nature. As the African Union’s chief negotiator on what became...
Uranium production will effectively cease with the decision by France’s Orano to suspend activities at the Arlit mine operated by Société des mines de l’Aïr (Somaïr), due to...
A $100 million museum to exhibit Benin bronzes looted by British soldiers is opening but few of the artefacts will be on display
A trial of strength between powerful figures in Edo State and the Federal Government highlights the complexities around demands for reparations and restitution to Africa. The bold vision...
Economic hardship and political frustration are worsening but the president endorses most of his cabinet
Five months after receiving a performance report on his 45 ministers, President Bola Tinubu finally reshuffled his cabinet, sacking five ministers and making seven new ones, raising the...
Bondholders have accepted a Eurobond workout, but big financing difficulties remain
With just over a month until the elections, Ghana’s government is struggling with domestic protests, strikes, and the challenge of convincing a sceptical inflation-hit electorate that the economy...
Vol 65 No 22 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The Parti démocratique de Côte d’Ivoire (PDCI), which ruled the country unopposed between independence in 1960 and the country’s first coup in 1999, wants back in. But the...
The President’s party wins a key governorship race but it’s tarnished by claims of voter fraud
President Bola Tinubu ate his dish of revenge lukewarm last month when he orchestrated the defeat of the main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in the Edo State...
In its haste to expel western mining companies, the junta risks being left with no one to exploit its most valuable export
General Abdourahamane Tiani’s military junta has carried out its threat to revoke the uranium mining licences of companies deemed not to have progressed their projects quickly enough, but...
Campaigners are pressuring the vested interests profiting from galamsey mining in both parties ahead of the election
In response to growing outrage at the damage to farmland, livelihoods and the wider economy caused by galamsey mining, the government has promised to set up four specialised...
A split opposition allows President Tinubu to co-opt parliament and crack down hard on protestors
Many Nigerians say the country is going through the worst hardship for 30 years, with an economy blighted by spiralling prices, capital flight and grand corruption. And rights...
The Cotonou political class is in shock following the detention of Olivier Boko, a close associate of President Patrice Talon, and former sports minister Oswald Homéky, amid allegations...
Vol 65 No 20 |
- SIERRA LEONE
Corruption cases are mounting but the President and parliament want to end a decade of independent scrutiny by Auditor-General Lara Taylor-Pearce
When Sierra Leone’s parliament returns from recess on 31 October, one of the first orders of business will be to ratify President Julius Maada Bio’s endorsement of the...
The president’s coalition should get a parliamentary majority in November’s snap election but he needs over 60% to drive through his reform plans
Two months from now millions of Senegalese voters are due to return to the polling stations, following the dissolution of the national assembly by President Bassirou Diomaye Faye,...
Vol 65 No 18 |
- SIERRA LEONE
The Anti-Corruption Commission has opened an investigation into Africa Confidential’s report on the failed campus project as public anger grows
Sierra Leone’s Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) announced on 27 August that ‘after a careful review of’ Africa Confidential’s special report on how the University of Sierra Leone (USL) lost...
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The vested interests of the political class are driving the public fight over a US$20 billion refinery and may determine its fate
The threat of more mass protests and the spiralling cost of petrol, over 1,000 naira (62 US cents) a litre in parts of Nigeria, have played to Aliko...
Differences between the president’s measured style and that of his fiery prime minister may complicate national politics and regional diplomacy
Dakar political life is slowing down in August giving President Bassirou Diomaye Faye some time to weigh up whether to dissolve the National Assembly in September and call...
Sierra Leone University lost US$4.5m of public money to a Nigerian company after red flags were ignored and safeguards overridden. Then, they kept it secret
An Africa Confidential Special Report By Josef Skrdlik and Andrew Weir
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A week of mobilisation on the streets is changing the political landscape
For President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, one of the most threatening elements of the ‘Days of Rage’ protests against his government is their national spread stretching from the ‘usual...
With handouts, political co-option and force of arms, the government aims to face down mounting public anger
A month after Kenyan activists forced President William Ruto to drop plans for sweeping tax hikes, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s government has organised a comprehensive pre-emption campaign against...
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Toumani Diabaté, one of Mali’s greatest kora players, died on 19 July ending a career spanning 45 years. He was 58. His global reputation debuted with the release...
Within a year bank governor Yemi Cardoso has won a reputation for competence – despite the government’s mounting economic woes and dislike of accountability
As spiralling prices hit a 30-year high and the weakening naira triggers another round of protests and strikes due to start on 1 August, the Central Bank of...
The government announces a $1 billion anti-poverty programme and monitors activists as its tries to pre-empt Kenya-style protests
Sitting atop a 120-foot telecommunications mast in Abuja and threatening to jump, unemployed labourer Shuaibu Yushau refused to come down until the government addressed the economic hardship, insecurity...
Vol 65 No 15 |
- BURKINA FASO
Burkina Faso’s national airline, Air Burkina, has struggled for more than a decade. But instead of saving West Africa’s oldest airline, the junta of Captain Ibrahim Traoré had...
Burkina’s leader Captain Traoré wants five more years in power but his army is losing badly against the jihadis
The standing of Burkina Faso’s transitional leader Captain Ibrahim Traoré, who seized power in September, has hit a new low. But public opinion is the least of his...
As anger grows over worsening living conditions and grand corruption, state security battens down the hatches
The mass protests in Kenya which forced William Ruto’s government to scrap US$2.4 billion of tax hikes, albeit after 20 citizens lost their lives, have prompted calls for...
Private bondholders accept paper losses of some 40% on $13 billion of Eurobonds as Accra officials finalise debt accord
Until this month Vice-President Mahamudu Bawumia had the unenviable job of running for the presidency as leader of the government’s economic management team which has presided over the...
Accra has sent proposals to commercial creditors holding $13 billion of bonds after IMF confirms higher industrial outturn
A few more lights are flickering at the other end of Ghana’s US$44 billion debt tunnel. First, the country’s gross domestic product grew 4.7% in the first quarter...
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France’s Parquet national financier (PNF), the national agency for prosecuting financial crime, has referred the Breton billionaire and media magnate Vincent Bolloré for possible prosecution for bribery of...
The government has signed concessions to operate its airport and a large power plant with Turkey’s FB Group, prompting speculation about Ankara’s geopolitical ambitions in the region. FB...
Political alliances for the 2027 elections are fuelling the contest for the traditional leadership of Kano
Two emirs are laying claim to the throne of the Kano Emirate – a 220-year-old stool. On the surface it is just a battle of two cousins but...
Vol 65 No 13 |
- BENIN
- NIGER
Vitriol flows both ways as hopes fade of a speedy end to the fight between Niamey and Cotonou
The arrest of five Nigérien oil technicians in Benin at the beginning of June has sparked accusations of ‘kidnapping’ and ‘hostage-taking’ from General Abdourahamane Tiani’s regime and has...
Fighting with the Niger junta over oil exports, the President is mulling constitutional changes
Facing the challenges of succession or a high-risk bid for a third term, President Patrice Talon has been buffeted by the junta-versus-civilian-regime rivalries playing out in West Africa....
In power since 2005, Faure Gnassingbé has changed the constitution to give him unlimited executive power
In a West Africa where Bassirou Diomaye Faye's presidential election victory in Senegal and the wave of military coups have shown that change is possible, President Faure Gnassingbé...
Vol 65 No 11 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Friends of the 82-year-old President are advising him to take a back seat in the 2025 elections
Ivorian public calendars are dominated by a fortnight of official homage to former President Henri Konan Bédié, who died last August but will only be interred on 1...
After a bumpy year, the President will have to sack some of his worst ministers and reshuffle others
As he prepares to mark a year in office, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has received a scorecard from his Political Advisor, Hadiza Bala Usman, which contains an evaluation...
São Tomé's leaders have played down the political significance of their new military cooperation agreement with Russia, signed by Defence Minister Jorge Amado in St Petersburg on 24...
A stark contrast in diplomatic style and messaging has been on display from Senegal's new leadership duo over recent days.
Top cryptocurrency platform Binance is accused of tax evasion, currency speculation and money laundering by Abuja
Officials in Abuja say that Binance, an online platform to trade cryptocurrencies, came close to destroying what is now only Africa's third largest economy by facilitating money laundering...
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Populist rhetoric and ethnic targeting by the military regimes are deepening the region's fault-lines
The lean season in the Sahel this year is starting under the toughest economic and political conditions for generations. Mali and Burkina Faso have been baked by a...
Ogoni activists say most of the companies contracted by the Hydrocarbon Pollution Remediation Project (HYPREP) to carry out remediation work on disastrously polluted Ogoniland have not turned up...
The ruling party won a sweeping majority in parliamentary elections, allowing the Gnassingbé family to continue its 57-year rule
The scale of the ruling Union pour la République (UNIR) victory in the parliamentary elections on 29 April dashes the hopes of opposition parties that the vote might...
Abuja is silent after a top official at the EU says it has agreed to a migrant return scheme – without cash incentives
Top officials at the European Commission say they have concluded talks on a migrant readmission and return agreement with Nigeria that could mark a breakthrough in Brussels-Abuja relations....
Tough new capital requirements by the central bank will mean fewer but busier commercial banks
An improbable revolutionary, central bank governor, Olayemi Michael Cardoso, could preside over the biggest shake-up of Nigeria's financial sector for decades. His announcement last month of tough new...
Junta leader General Abdourahamane Tiani has fallen out with companies promoting potential uranium mines over the pace of their development.
Voters worry about the economy and insecurity but the presidential frontrunners focus on same-sex relationships
Mahamudu Bawumia, presidential candidate for the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) and John Dramani Mahama, his rival and candidate for the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) agree on...
President Faure Gnassingbé is seeking to strengthen his government's ties to the United States and secure US investment under two recent laws. This coincides with a contentious bid...
President Tinubu's ties with convicted fraudster and ex-Delta State governor will boost the ruling party and may cut oil theft
In Abuja, the story is of the rise and fall and rise again of James Ibori, former Governor of oil-rich Delta State, sentenced to 13 years in Britain...
Minister confirms upfront payments to Hitech Construction on a no-bid contract for 'Africa's biggest road'
The international rehabilitation of billionaire businessman Gilbert Chagoury had seemed complete. Convicted in Geneva for laundering money stolen by military leader Sani Abacha and in the United States...
The generals have corralled companies to start up the world's biggest iron ore mine next year after overcoming serial legal and financing obstacles
After nearly three decades of delays and litigation, production at the giant Simandou iron ore reserves is to start early next year, say the main investors.
In jail until ten days before the vote, a political outsider has been elected president on the first ballot
As detailed results from around the country trickled in, Amadou Ba, former Prime Minister and standard bearer for the ruling Benno Bokk Yaakaar (BBY) alliance, could draw only...
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President Faye will have to balance the expectations on job creation with reassurance for investors
Withdraw from the French-backed Communauté Financière Africaine (CFA) monetary zone, restructure public debt and renegotiate the oil, gas and mining contracts – these are the policy imperatives that...
Vol 65 No 7 |
- SIERRA LEONE
Two former executives and a business consultant from collapsed Sierra Leone iron ore developer London Mining PLC are set to stand trial in London on charges of making...
Annulling its defence agreements with Washington, the Niamey junta strengthens ties with Moscow and Tehran
Severing military ties with the United States on 16 March, three months after France closed its embassy in Niamey, General Abdourahamane Tiani's Conseil national pour la sauvegarde de...
Radical nationalism is on the ballot as the establishment candidate is challenged by a new generation of opposition activists
The presidential election on 24 March is the most important in Senegal's history offering voters a clear choice on economic policy at a time of heightened political tensions....
Armed attacks and kidnappings, combined with food riots and looting, are putting President Tinubu and his inner circle under pressure
The cost-of-living crisis is becoming the most serious political challenge facing President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's government a year after it was elected. Whether it is maladministration and corruption...
Colonel Alpha Yaya Sangaré went from celebrated author to prisoner in one week. On 24 February, he presented his book, Mali, le défi du terrorisme en Afrique, (Mali:...
It is the shortest and most dramatic presidential election campaign to date in Senegal. It will be telescoped into less than two weeks after the Constitutional Council accepted...
Facing political pushback and food riots, the government is rethinking its devaluation and subsidy cuts
There was no hiding the desperation when Central Bank of Nigeria Governor Olayemi Cardoso announced on 27 February that interest rates would be hiked from 18.75% to 22.75%,...
Vol 65 No 5 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Recent elections have left the ruling RHDP in a comfortable political position but Tidjane Thiam's ascent in the PDCI has raised the stakes
Unless a yet-to-be-known actor has a spectacular political ascent, the 2025 presidential election will be a contest between the Parti démocratique de Côte d’Ivoire (PDCI) on the one...
Unconfirmed reports in Tripoli claim that a group of Tuareg fighters in southwestern Libya has captured some Wagner Group soldiers there in revenge for the capture of Kidal,...
Vol 65 No 5 |
- BURKINA FASO
Rasmané Zinaba and Bassirou Badjo, youth leaders in the pro-democracy movement Balai Citoyen (Citizen Sweep), were abducted on 20 February and 21 February respectively by unidentified agents, continuing...
The top court's rejection of plans to postpone the vote steers the country back to constitutionalism
It took President Macky Sall less than a day to accept the ruling by the Conseil constitutionnel on 15 February that the postponement of the presidential election and...
The President's mismanagement of his succession crashes the country's reputation for stability and its growth prospects
President Macky Sall's announcement on 3 February postponing this month's elections has wrecked what was left of his legacy and is undermining Senegal's governance amid multiple clashes between...
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Double standards on governance rules are straining the credibility of the Ecowas bloc
Facing multiple challenges to their authority, West African leaders are trying to dampen down what seem to be mutually reinforcing crises for their regional organisation. On 28 January...
Top officials are accused of raiding a state-funded programme meant to offer desperately needed relief for struggling communities
The detention of former Humanitarian Affairs Minister Sadiya Umar Farouq on 2 January on charges related to alleged fraud over US$38 million of public funds has led to...
Embattled Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta, 65, was removed by President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo on 14 February in a reshuffle involving another 11 ministers and 10 deputy ministers.
Theft of oil spill clean-up funds in Ogoniland is set to continue as the UN Environment Programme cuts ties with HYPREP
Activists and environmentalists looking for a policy change on the troubled US$1 billion clean-up project in the Niger Delta by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's government have been disappointed....
The separatist leader refused to appear in court in Abuja on 8 February but has more wealthy supporters in Washington DC
The campaign for a 'Jewish Autonomous Region in Biafra' is trying to boost its profile after hiring new lobbyists in the United States. Its backers hope to rekindle...
Dollar-rich investors have reacted to President Tinubu's radical reforms by rushing to the door
President Bola Tinubu's great gamble that shock therapy – ending subsidies and devaluing the naira – would bring back foreign capital and stabilise state finances isn't working. Instead,...
The treasury has received $600 million in vital IMF funds but doubts persist on a deal with creditors before election campaigning starts
At the start of a crucial election year, President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo's embattled government has some reasons to be cheerful following confirmation on 12 January by the...
Now definitively excluded from the presidential race, the imprisoned Ousmane Sonko waits to learn whether his stand-in, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, will be allowed out of jail to campaign...
A band of gunmen hoped to become Africa's newest junta and couldn't muster support, but questions about the role of ex-President Koroma abound
Ex-President Ernest Bai Koroma's release for 'medical treatment' in Nigeria and the backroom deal that brought it about has enraged many of President Julius Maada Bio's supporters. Controversy...
Companies accused of under-investment – arrangements on financing and liability for pollution may be contested
When the British oil major Shell announced on 16 January that it would be selling its interests in 18 oil licences in shallow water and onshore Niger Delta...
Confirmation on 17 January of a deal between Ghana and its official bilateral creditors (Paris Club and China) to restructure payments owed on US$5.4 billion of debt, is...
The reported deaths of Nabeeha Al-Kadriyar, who was kidnapped along with 22 others in the Bwari Area of Abuja, and 13-year-old Folasade Ariyo, who was abducted alongside eleven...
Following the signature of a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on joint business opportunities in the upstream with Shell in March 2023, on 27 December Brazil's state-controlled oil company...
Vol 65 No 2 |
- SIERRA LEONE
The dispute over last year's elections has escalated as the former President prepares for a treason trial
Political tensions are mounting in Freetown after the secret plan to allow Sierra Leone's former President, Ernest Bai Koroma to go into exile in Nigeria and drop the...
Career-politician President Tinubu's espousal of business-friendly economics could cost him support this year
As the President's lengthy convoy snaked its way through the bustling streets of Isale-Eko (Lagos Island), where he was to attend the last Friday prayers of the year...
The ruling party's best chance of hanging on to the presidency is to engineer a boom, but that's easier said than done
On 7 December, Ghanaians are due to elect a successor to President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in what is shaping up to...
The leading oppositionist could still be barred from running in next month's presidential elections
The suspense continues. On 5 January, the Constitutional Court will rule on statements from 13 parliamentarians in support of the presidential candidacy of Ousmane Sonko, leader of the...
Widespread outcry and claims of political bias have followed the decision not to press graft charges against a former minister
The decision by Special Prosecutor Kissi Agyebeng not to prosecute former deputy Finance Minister, Charles Adu Boahen, has been widely criticised by lawyers and civil society as denting...