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Displaying 92 results from 2022 (out of 2474 total).

It takes more than new banknotes…

Abuja is struggling with slowing growth and spiralling debt demands, and a new plan to replace old banknotes looks set to create further chaos

Ahead of February's election Nigeria's economy is flagging. Usually, governments can rely on help from their supporters for a pre-election boost, but this time it is different. Real...

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Grim outlook for the new president

Central Bank of Nigeria governor Emefiele insists that his interest rate hikes are controlling inflation but a new president will face greater challenges

The Central Bank of Nigeria's monetary policy committee (MPC) faces tough choices as the year-on-year inflation rate has reached 21%. Food price inflation is even higher, at 23.7%....

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Oppositionists prise open parliamentary politics

For the first time in four years, Béninois voters should have a free choice to elect a new legislature in January

The country's constitutional system is starting to work again despite President Patrice Talon's authoritarian instincts. Last month the Constitutional Court ordered the Commission Électorale Nationale Autonome (CENA) to...


Contractors who clean up

With no accounts or tenders published, disquiet continues to grow over the companies HYPREP has contracted for remediation work

Concerns over the Hydrocarbon Pollution Remediation Project (HYPREP) are growing among Ogoni activists and politicians and civil society organisations against pollution, backing the already reported worries of the...


HYPREP twists UNEP's arm

Nigeria has enlisted its former Environment Minister to keep UNEP on board while doubts on remediation contractors increase

Nigerian officialdom is doing its best to prevent the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) severing its consultancy with the Hydrocarbon Pollution Remediation Project (HYPREP) over chronic fraud and...


Rebel returns home

Eight years after being transferred to the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, and almost two years after his final acquittal for crimes against humanity, Charles Blé...


A coup and a cover-up

In the early hours of 25 November, heavy gunfire was heard in the military district in São Tomé when four men, Sãotomean veterans of apartheid South Africa's infamous...


Spend, spend, spend

Government borrowing has been soaring, and loans from the central bank are many times over the statutory limit

Lower tax revenues due to plummeting recorded crude oil output, coupled with several expansionary budgets, mean that Nigerian government borrowing has been rocketing as the country heads for...


Economic woes hit Akufo-Addo on all sides

Ruling party MPs call for the head of the finance minister, as critics blame corruption for the plunging cedi and rising prices

Under growing pressure from within and outside his New Patriotic Party (NPP), President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo is trying to mollify critics of the government's economic strategy by...


Bamako's wolf warrior diplomacy backfires

Foreign Minister Diop's attacks on France and peacekeepers meets sceptical silence at UN Security Council

After accusing France of supporting Islamist militia groups at a UN Security Council meeting on 18 October, Bamako's foreign minister Abdoulaye Diop dialled down the rhetoric five days...


Grand corruption wrecks Niger delta clean-up

Theft from the billion-dollar oil clean-up in Ogoniland is so bad that the operation's chief architect, the UN Environment Programme, wants to quit

The UN Environment Programme is set for a bitter break with Nigeria over the clean-up of pipeline spills in the Niger delta despite almost 15 years of close...


Banking on the Fund

Worries over the repercussions of a wide-ranging debt restructuring are slowing the government’s negotiations for a $3 billion credit from the IMF

The markets have turned against President Nana Akufo-Addo's New Patriotic Party (NPP) government, pushing up bond yields and eroding the value of the cedi against the dollar by...


A dozen in the dock

Thirteen years to the day after the Conakry stadium massacre that left 157 people dead, the trial officially opened against those held responsible. Three men the United Nations...


An election umpire besieged on all sides

A younger, better-informed and more demanding electorate is challenging the state and mainstream politicians to run fairer elections

Every week or so a new scandal about a plan to steal the national elections next year hits the headlines and social media. One of the latest claims...

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Penalise the plunder, say protestors

Civil society groups are up in arms about the Auditor-General's refusal to use his powers to recover $1.7bn in misappropriated public funds

A coalition of civil society groups is protesting the unwillingness of the Auditor-General, Johnson Asiedu, to act on his latest annual audit of government expenditure, published last month,...


Frank Timis, eco-warrior

Australian-Romanian businessman Frank Timis, a veteran of stock exchange fraud and corruption scandals, is charging into agriculture, snapping up vast landholdings in Senegal and on the desert's edge...


    Vol 63 No 20 |
  • MALI

Cops to lose rights

Mali's military junta plans to militarise the police and eliminate the right of police officers to strike and unionise, diplomatic sources have told Africa Confidential. Discussions are under...


Trovoada returns after poll win

The opposition Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) of former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada has won the general election with 46.8% of the vote. ADI polled 45.5% in 2018. On...


Palace coup could usher in Moscow's mercenaries

New leader Captain Traoré says security crisis forced his faction to seize power but it could work with Russia, Turkey or the US military

On 3 October, a day after he was confirmed in power in Ouagadougou, new military leader Captain Ibrahim Traoré told a sceptical audience that he understood the urgency...


Weakened president in troubled waters

Electoral setbacks have left Macky Sall with a razor-thin majority, while he faces outcry over a suspected third-term bid

'A sorry spectacle'. That is how president Macky Sall qualified the scenes of fighting lawmakers at the opening of the Assemblée nationale, Senegal's 165-strong parliament, on 12 September....


Steinmetz plays his get out of jail card

Dropping earlier arguments that the evidence of corruption was fake, the mining magnate is appealing against his conviction by redefining bribery

Punishing foreign bribery is still a novel idea in Switzerland. There have been just 18 convictions since it became a crime in 2000, before which it was tax-deductible....


Junta holds Ivorians 'hostage'

Bamako's 10 July detention of 49 Ivorian soldiers who had flown in to change the guard at the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilisation Mission in Mali (Minusma) airport...


The Axis fights back

It was no coincidence that the Front nationale pour la défense de la constitution chose 5 September, the day of the first anniversary of the coup that toppled...


Opposition fall-out shakes up election plans

Both the ruling party and an outsider candidate may benefit from Atiku Abubakar's mis-steps

The flurry of secret meetings between senior Nigerian politicians in Paris and London this week points to trouble for presidential candidate Atiku Abubakar and his Peoples' Democratic Party...


Washington weighs in on Weah

The latest US sanctions against Liberian officials target the President's closest allies after ever louder complaints of grand corruption since he came to power in 2018

The spotlight on corruption at the highest levels of government in Monrovia suddenly shone brightly on 15 August when the United States Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control...


Monumental disputes

Plans for a National Cathedral and to revamp a monument to independence leader Kwame Nkrumah are becoming a political battleground

President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo described the project to build a National Cathedral in Accra as 'an opportunity to redeem a pledge I made to [God] before I...


Attacks shatter Abuja’s complacency

After breaking into a prison in the capital and killing elite security officers, Islamic State fighters claim they are now targeting President Buhari

As Islamist militants launch deadly assaults on the outskirts of Abuja and the country groans under a hydra-headed security crisis, enraged opposition senators have issued an ultimatum to...


Egypt adds to Minusma's misery

Egypt plans to withdraw its combat convoy units from the Mission multidimensionnelle intégrée des Nations unies pour la stabilisation au Mali (Minusma) UN peacekeeping force in Mali on...


BBY suffers poll backlash

Final results of elections to the 165-seat national assembly are yet to be confirmed – but the 31 July polls have delivered a major setback to the ruling...


Akufo-Addo faces the costs of an IMF deal

The government's U-turn on a bailout boosts the opposition in the short term but raises bigger questions about the economy's structure

On 13 July, after six days of talks with the government, the International Monetary Fund referred to Ghana's 'challenging economic and social situation' – code for the multiplicity...

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Ofori-Atta's team plans more cuts

Accra's return to the IMF has been praised by the ratings agencies and could trigger cheaper loans – but at the cost of wide-ranging budget reviews

The latest official budget data, for the first quarter, suggests Ghana was already overshooting this year's budget deficit targets before a second quarter when the full impact of...


Peter Obi shakes up the political class

The depth of the country's crises is forcing voters to rethink their choices – to the great benefit of the former governor of Anambra state

Millionaire bankers make improbable revolutionaries, especially in Nigeria. But Peter Obi, the geeky former governor of Anambra state, is upending the political establishment's complacency about next year's presidential...


Goïta plays to his nationalist gallery

The regime in Bamako raised hopes by promising elections, but then stoked a new crisis with the UN peacekeeping force

Hardly had it been announced that West African leaders were lifting sanctions against Mali's military regime, when a new crisis flared, as the authorities arrested 49 Ivorian soldiers...


Beijing recalibrates its contracts

Chinese mining companies are under growing pressure in Africa, as they face fresh demands from governments over payments and infrastructure related to globally strategic operations. Disputes in Guinea...


Compaoré's return baffles nation

The junta invited the ousted dictator back to the capital, defying court verdicts and enraging the public. But some of the elite still have time for him

Looking frail and disoriented, Blaise Compaoré returned to Ouagadougou on 7 July for the first time since a popular revolt eight years ago swept him out of power...


Atiku and Tinubu clash on the economy

Spiralling prices, public debt and joblessness make living standards the top issue in the presidential race

A month after their emergence as presidential candidates, the economic programmes of Bola Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar extolling the virtues of untrammelled market economics face more serious scrutiny...


    Vol 63 No 14 |
  • MALI

Mali rejects human rights mandate

Bamako isolates itself further by restricting UN peacekeeping operations while giving free rein to Wagner group

After several months of provoking and prolonging disputes with numerous partners, Mali's transitional government has found a new entity to pick a fight with – the United Nations...


Tinubu summons the ghosts of Abacha's kleptocracy

The ruling party's flagbearer brings together democracy campaigners and beneficiaries of the country's most venal dictatorship

This year's Democracy Day celebrations on 12 June were muted, overshadowed by the expensive shenanigans of the national election campaign mixed with a pervasive disenchantment with the political...


    Vol 63 No 13 |
  • MALI

Bamako refuses to look to France

With French and European troops leaving, the junta turns its ire on UN peacekeepers and seeks new foreign allies

Malian military ruler Colonel Assimi Goïta is determined to show that his forces can tackle a growing Islamist onslaught, despite the withdrawal of French and European troops, under...


Plans for urban forest raise hackles

Many suspect a scheme to turn a protected forest into Accra's answer to Central Park are ecologically dangerous and a cover for corruption

A decision by President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo's government to reclassify a large part of the Achimota Forest reserve in Accra – the only urban forest in the...


Poll ban fans the flames

Ousmane Sonko, co-leader of the opposition Yewwi Askan Wi electoral alliance, promises major protests on 29 June in protest at the killing of protestors by security forces on...


Government to ram through gold scheme

The Agyapa gold plan appears to be going ahead in the face of complaints that it is corrupt, opaque and undervalues a key national resource

President Nana Akufo-Addo's government is pushing forward with the Agyapa gold plan, under which a state company would register in the British tax haven of Jersey and sell...


    Vol 63 No 12 |
  • MALI

Mali deals hammer blow to G5 Sahel

Bamako’s withdrawal from the regional bloc came as a shock, and desperate diplomacy will struggle to bring it back to the fold

'The G5 Sahel is dead.' This was the verdict of Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum on 18 May, three days after the Malian military regime announced its withdrawal from...


Honeymoon over as junta extends rule

Opposition politicians have lost patience with Guinea's military ruler, and plan to defy a ban on protest rallies

The announcement by Guinea's military junta that it would remain in power until mid-2025, and the imposition of a ban on demonstrations, have been denounced by opposition forces,...


Deadline dramas

One of the few immutable facts about the presidential primary elections in Abuja is that the deadline by which all parties must submit the names of their candidates...


Macky Sall faces the third-term curse

Opposition candidates are coordinating across rural areas and provincial cities to break the ruling alliance's grip on parliament

Opponents of President Macky Sall are assembling a broad alliance ahead of the parliamentary elections on 31 July. If they are successful, this will influence Sall's calculations about...


President Buhari's edict shakes up presidential race

All ministers vying for office in next year's elections have been ordered to quit. Bank governor Emefiele is yet to confirm his presidential run

In one executive order the country's presidential contest has been up-ended and a sweeping cabinet reshuffle has been triggered. On 12 May, President Muhammadu Buhari called on political...


    Vol 63 No 10 |
  • MALI

Bamako's junta forces hard choices

With French troops pulling out, and the UN mission at risk, African leaders mull how to fill the security vacuum

UN Secretary-General António Guterres has presented West African governments with hard military choices, by proposing the African Union establish a new force that could replace the United Nations'...


Ouattara keeps options open for his successor

The octogenarian President has lined up a beauty parade of contenders – even as his supporters say he may stand again in 2025

Succession gossip – rarely quiet for long in Abidjan – is simmering after President Alassane Ouattara appointed a new deputy and reshuffled the cabinet and the top ranks...


SPECIAL REPORT: How Vincent Bolloré came to dominate business in Togo – using money, media and merchandise

Africa Confidential presents a Special Report on the Breton tycoon’s growing influence in Africa. Far from quitting the continent, Vincent Bolloré’s business and political interests in Africa are deepening – even as he faces trial in Paris for grand corruption in league with two West African leaders. By Andrew Weir and Nicolas Vescovacci

Billionaire Vincent Bolloré, who has built up monopoly control over some of the biggest container terminals in Africa, is heading back to the French courts with two of...

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Consensus candidate plan upsets the frontrunners

Atiku Abubakar and Bola Tinubu – political godfathers turned contenders – may lose out in primaries as alliances shift

The next four weeks will be critical as over 30 contenders compete to become the country's next president – the parties have until 3 June to submit all...


Fake passports unseat advisor

President Carlos Vila Nova has been forced into an embarrassing climb over one of his appointees, raising questions about accountability and ethics at the heart of the government....


All in the family

Few tears have been shed at the news that Kofi Koduah Sarpong has been retired after five years at the helm of the state oil firm, the Ghana...


Oil spills and theft spike as big oil goes offshore

Bureaucratic rivalries and vested interests are blocking efforts to hold companies and officials responsible for the ecological destruction of the Niger Delta

Nigeria should meet its OPEC quota, due to rise to 1.753 million barrels a day next month, in a matter of weeks after months of struggling to produce...


How the Central Bank could win next year's election

Those backing governor Godwin Emefiele for the presidency believe eight years of cheap loans to millions of small farmers will pay dividends

The clamour among senior government officials for Central Bank governor Godwin Emefiele to vie for Nigeria's presidency has its roots in his politically oriented management of the institution...

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Disjointed force

The demise of the G5 Sahel Joint Force looks imminent, according to authoritative sources. The force always had a slight presence in the anti-jihadist campaign in the Sahel,...


    Vol 63 No 7 |
  • MALI

Goïta's junta cracks down mercilessly

The army is accused of running a ruthless counter-insurgency campaign while authorities clamp down on anyone reporting abuses

Colonel Assimi Goïta's military regime is responding to mounting allegations of human rights violations by the national army and Russian mercenaries of the Wagner Group by lashing out...


Sectarian killings surge as French troops leave

Civilians are targeted by national soldiers, Islamists and Russian mercenaries but Bamako's military rulers are determined to end the western security presence

The Commanders of Opération Barkhane and the European Special Forces' Takuba have begun to plan for their withdrawal from Mali. Earlier this month, Barkhane's French commander, General Laurent...


Danger looms for the UN in Mali

The future of the UN peacekeeping mission is in question – European troops are leaving and evidence is emerging of abuses by the national army and Wagner

A cloud of anxiety hangs over the leaders of the UN peacekeeping mission in Mali as they navigate a hostile military government, tumultuous developments in the Sahel and...


Weah slaloms through the opposition

Regardless of mounting scandals, broken promises and economic woes the President is set to win another term in next year's elections

As AC Milan's top striker in the 1990s, George Weah once ran through the opposing team to score a spectacular goal. As his country's President he plans to...


Formidable first lady flexes her muscles

Her critics in the ruling party accuse Fatima Bio of plotting to push out Vice-President Jalloh. That could cost votes in next year's elections

To some, First Lady Fatima Bio is a strong, astute politician in her own right, but to others a bully who may have overstepped her bounds in the...


Bazoum prepares to fight on two fronts

The President is welcoming European troops expelled from Mali while using development projects to counter anti-French sentiment

Among the leaders in the Sahel, President Mohamed Bazoum faces the widest array of opponents from local activists hostile to France's presence to the jihadist insurgents trying to...


Terrorisme sans frontières

The relocation of European troops from Mali to Niger holds political risks for President Bazoum but may avert a wider security breakdown

Geography helps explain why President Mohamed Bazoum overcame his initial reluctance to host European and French troops after they were expelled from Mali this month. Bazoum understood how...


Ofori-Atta bets on the E-Levy, rejects IMF

Locked out of the markets and hit by ratings downgrades, the government is trying to supercharge revenues and hack away at spending

As Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta and his Treasury team rule out any resort to the International Monetary Fund on nationalist grounds, they are taking a different set of...


Who was behind the failed power grab?

The President of Africa's pre-eminent narco-state says he was targeted by drug gangs, but his own record is patchy

The President of Guinea Bissau's claims about a failed putsch against him leave many questions unanswered. Around lunchtime on 1 February a group of armed men clad in...


New bankers' ramp

A few days after Africa Confidential reported on the power of financiers in Nigerian politics, a couple of colourful election prospectuses extolling the virtues of African Development Bank...


France moves out of Mali

European governments are rethinking military plans in the Sahel ahead of the grand summit between the African Union and the EU

African and European officials have agreed to move the centre for counter-insurgency operations in the Sahel from Mali to Niger but questions remain about how to manage the...


Bankers circle the presidency

The country’s military is over-stretched and few trust the political class but its financiers are projecting power like never before

As the race for next year's presidential elections heats up, two political outsiders have been named as contenders with support by some in the top ranks of President...


Sall sags at polls

The die is not cast for President Macky Sall and his Benno Bokk Yaakar (BBY) coalition, as June's legislative elections loom. But the 23 January local polls show...


Another domino falls to the military

After a day of shooting in the capital, Lt Col Damiba takes over brandishing a resignation letter from the ousted leader

The military takeover in Ouagadougou, the third in West Africa in a year, is a challenge to neighbouring governments, especially Niger, and the region's wider security strategy. In...


In search of flagbearers

The ruling party begins the tortuous and divisive task of choosing its presidential candidate for the 2023 elections

On 26 February the ruling All Progressives' Congress (APC) will hold its national convention in Abuja to choose its top officials and set a schedule for the primary...


War dogs' old tricks

Mali can learn what to expect from Russian mercenaries by looking at their playbook from the Central African Republic

As Russian mercenaries deploy to Mali to combat Islamist insurgents, the country can expect to be forced to pay an escalating bill, on top of seeing the operatives...


At each other's throats

Municipal polls will be a test for the opposition, even as political ambitions divide the ruling party

Dakar will be the big electoral prize on Sunday, when voters elect municipal and departmental councillors in the first local polls in eight years. Control of the capital...


Contenders fill the stage

As economic and security woes mount, electoral calculations will shape policy and business strategy

With presidential and national assembly elections due in February 2023, political campaigns will go into overdrive this year as alliances are made and deals struck. Outgoing President Muhammadu...

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Opposition steps up disruption

With the two parties evenly matched in parliament, the opposition NDC tries for some tactical victories against the government

Eyeing tougher economic conditions, corruption allegations and growing concerns about regional security, the opposition National Democratic Congress reckons it should be able to wrongfoot President Nana Addo Dankwa...


Bashing the book-keeper

Julius Maada Bio is risking his reputation for probity by suspending the respected Auditor-General, Lara Taylor-Pearce

The charges of impunity, favouritism, corruption and subverting the constitution that President Julius Maada Bio now faces uncomfortably resemble those he flung at his predecessor, President Ernest Bai...


Après nous, le déluge?

Fruitless dialogue and the violent past of aspiring new leaders raise risks of turmoil despite the country's strong economic base

The country is entering unknown territory, with the three major political parties in various stages of disintegration. The stage is set for a era without the three men...


Jihadist terror tops the agenda

Amid increasingly deadly Islamist attacks, army reform is more urgent than ever and risks of a coup have risen

Reversing the spread of jihadist terrorist violence will be the dominant theme for Burkina Faso's government, especially as it has started to affect three of its four southern...


Not letting go

Hanging on to power, the junta is using Russian mercenaries to counter regional pressure for elections

The colonels, in power since August 2020, seem impervious to international pressure, asserting they may need to stay in power for five more years, despite their earlier promise...


Displaying 92 results from 2022 (out of 2474 total).