The leak by a concerned government insider has exposed another costly procurement deal which never went to tender
A highly profitable public-private partnership (PPP) for collecting road tolls has been cancelled suddenly after sparking fury at the poor value for money and seeming exploitation of public...
A new oil supply route from Beira could relieve the country from dependence on Trafigura and ease shortages, the President believes
Angry at Dutch-based commodities trader Trafigura's control of the country's only oil products pipeline from the Mozambican port of Beira, President Emmerson Mnangagwa has told local oil mogul...
A seemingly downbeat Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front annual conference this month lacked the overt factional fireworks many had expected. Yet it laid down a major political marker...
President Edgar Lungu has got his wish and been given leave by the Constitutional Court to stand for a third term of office. Critics will say he effectively...
Vol 59 No 24 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The national investment fund is the latest state body to find itself facing investigations over Zuma-era corruption and state capture
South Africa's Public Investment Corporation, Africa's largest money manager with assets of more than 1.8 trillion rand (US$132 billion), could prove to be at the heart of a...
An unpopular president faces stiff challenges on all fronts as he seeks to build an election-winning alliance
President Peter Mutharika faces an uphill task to secure a second term in next May's elections as corruption scandals, a deputy-gone-rogue, and a former president and formidable opposition...
Vol 59 No 23 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After leading the charge in the anti-corruption campaign, Zuma’s successor faces allegations of conflicts of interest
President Cyril Ramaphosa is under increasing pressure to explain the contradictions of his five-year term as deputy President of the ruling African National Congress (ANC) under former President...
An inquiry into this year’s post-election violence is having unintended consequences for both the President and his chief rival
When President Emmerson Mnangagwa appointed a commission of inquiry to investigate the 1 August 2018 post-election violence, it looked like a further bid by the government for legitimacy....
Vol 59 No 23 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The increasing pace of offshore gas development and the need for investment are pushing the secret loans saga to the margins
The abandoning of the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority's criminal investigation into Credit Suisse bank over its role in Mozambique's US$2 billion in hidden loans for dubious security...
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Vol 59 No 23 |
- MADAGASCAR
The second round of the Madagascar presidential election on 19 December promises to be a hard fight between two sworn enemies: Marc Ravalomanana, who led the country from...
At the heart of ructions in the ruling party is a battle to control the country’s fuel supplies
A split at the top of the ruling party between President Emmerson Mnangagwa and his two vice-presidents – Constantino Chiwenga and Kembo Mohadi – is manifesting itself in...
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Vol 59 No 22 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After bolstering his political base, President Ramaphosa and his new finance minister are wooing the companies
The target is US$100 billion in new investment over the next five years. Six months after he launched the campaign to finance national economic expansion, President Cyril Ramaphosa...
The Auditor-General documents widespread irregularities while the armed forces defend the purchase of expensive private jets
The report of the Auditor-General into the country's public financial management during 2017 has added fuel to the burning controversy over accusations that the government is wasting phenomenal...
African politicians and business people are getting drawn into the shenanigans surrounding Britain’s exit from the European Union
A criminal investigation by Britain's National Crime Agency, announced on 5 November, into businessman and Brexit campaigner Arron Banks could touch on some of his diamond interests in...
While professing no intention to remove his hand-picked successor, ex-President Ian Khama looks set to do just that. Although President Mokgweetsi Masisi underwent a lengthy grooming process, Khama...
Vol 59 No 22 |
- MADAGASCAR
Three ex-presidents are sparing no expense wooing some of the poorest voters in Africa. There’s a wide field, but not much choice
The voters of Madagascar faced a list of 36 candidates when they went to the polls for the presidential elections on 7 November. They include an evangelical pastor,...
Vol 59 No 21 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The ruling party lost some key cities in the local elections. Party reformers are demanding radical change
As Mozambique awaits the final verdict on the local elections of the Comissão Nacional de Eleições (the electoral commission – CNE), due as Africa Confidential went to press,...
Ex-Finance Minister, Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front stalwart, Robert Mugabe hard-man, former sanctions target and multiple farm-owner Patrick Chinamasa is not well-known for soft-sell diplomacy. It was a...
The bail-out of the state-owned Denel arms company has diplomatic costs as Pretoria is pulled further into Saudi Arabia’s camp
Officials working on Saudi Arabia's planned US$100 million investment into South Africa's ailing state-owned arms company, Denel, say it could be finalised by the end of the year....
As the government goes on another shopping spree, international banks are reassessing plans for fresh lending to Lusaka
Israel and Zambia are almost ready to sign a new US$400 million package for high-tech aviation equipment to be funded with a loan from Israel's Hapoalim Bank. The...
Vol 59 No 20 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
South Africa has notched another record it would rather not have: seven finance minister changes in two years, following the resignation of Nhlanhla Nene. Tito Mboweni, a former...
The death of Vespers Shimuzhila, a University of Zambia student who suffocated when police fired a teargas canister into her room following student demonstrations over unpaid government meal...
Vol 59 No 20 |
- BOTSWANA
- BRITAIN
Britain's royal family has been drawn into a political fight in Botswana over elephant poaching ahead of an international wildlife conference in London
Former President Ian Khama's supporters are accusing his successor Mokgweetsi Masisi of presiding over the mass slaughter of elephants by ivory hunters in Botswana. Until now Botswana has...
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Vol 59 No 19 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
A presidential fightback against lingering effects of recession and Zuma-era sleaze triggers mixed reactions in the business world
With the election of President Cyril Ramaphosa in February, South Africa experienced waves of 'Ramaphoria', following the hollowing out of the state under President Jacob Zuma and his...
Cuts in aid payments are compounding the debt crisis as the government loses credibility after bogus denials
President Edgar Lungu's sacking on 19 September of Minister of Community Development and Social Services Emerine Kabanshi – at the centre of the row over the fraud in...
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Power struggles behind the scenes are going to shape national politics as the two main party leaders try to consolidate
Both of them fought the 30 July election for the first time as party leader. Both lost personal authority in the process: Emmerson Mnangagwa, because his party did...
The President’s new cabinet includes some younger loyalists and a core of economic technocrats to bring in capital
After his inauguration on 26 August, President Emmerson Mnangagwa made it clear there would be no power-sharing and few outsiders in his cabinet. True to his word, the...
Fears that embezzlement has hit government departments have caused donors to suspend payments
Western donor governments have placed key assistance programmes under heavy scrutiny as evidence emerges of wide-scale corruption in three important government departments, Africa Confidential has learned. Payments by...
Ending weeks of controversy, President Mokgweetsi Masisi announced that the government was rowing back on a scheme to introduce electronic voting machines in next year's general election. The...
The government has all but expelled an IMF official, as the debt continues to spiral and the role of Chinese projects in it raises more concern
Having allocated US$500 million to external debt service this year, the government's liquidity crisis drags on as relations with donors and international financial institutions plummet. Lusaka asked the...
The court may have confirmed him in office, but Mnangagwa emerges from the controversial election a weakened President
In what President Emmerson Mnangagwa must reckon is the final piece of theatre after the disputed elections, the Constitutional Court's judgement on the opposition's petition was beamed live...
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The President's moves to reverse policies close to his predecessor's heart have triggered a backlash
After sidelining many party stalwarts and making a unilateral decision to anoint Mokgweetsi Masisi as the new President of Botswana, Ian Khama is now ruing his choice. The...
Vol 59 No 17 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
With China making the running in Africa, British and German leaders try to catch up with promises of investment
Facing heavy weather at home, President Cyril Ramaphosa is looking to foreign capitals to boost his country's ailing economy, creating jobs and a sense of progress ahead of...
Vol 59 No 17 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
A nervous Frelimo has been using increasingly blatant manipulation and strongarm tactics to fend off challenges to its candidates in October's local elections, especially in the contest for...
After an eight-month charm offensive wooing bankers and diplomats, the government is failing the legitimacy test
Politicians and activists share scepticism about international election observers, suspected of naïveté and bias but lacking political knowledge. For once, international observers mattered. On their verdict on Zimbabwe's...
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The opposition rejects the declaration of Mnangagwa's victory in the presidential vote as Western observers question the elections' credibility
A pall of doubt hangs over the presidential election results which gave President Emmerson Mnangagwa 50.8% of the vote when the final figures were announced by the Zimbabwe...
Investors, serious and dubious, are targeting the country, whichever party proves victorious on 30 July
For the country's 5.7 million registered voters this is the highest-stakes election since 1980, as much for its conduct as its political outcome. A credible and peaceful poll...
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Big doubts remain about the credibility of the elections as economic discontent boosts the opposition’s standing
In spite of the huge power of incumbency across Zimbabwe, as well as the generals' refusal to countenance an opposition victory, President Emmerson Mnangagwa's campaign for the 30...
Critics are calling on President Peter Mutharika to resign after a leaked report by Malawi's Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB) alleged that he benefited from millions of kwacha deposited in...
Vol 59 No 14 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
A wave of savage attacks in the northern province of Cabo Delgado by self-styled Islamist gangs is posing another threat to Mozambique's embattled government. Last weekend, a raid...
For Isabel dos Santos, life in the year since President João Lourenço took over from her father has been difficult. Her business empire has been dwindling and...
The government is taking steps to curb the ballooning debt, but will they be enough to make an IMF programme possible?
The goal is to bring the risk of 'debt distress' from 'high' to 'moderate'. Even this modest target will probably elude Finance Minister Margaret Mwanakatwe because the government's...
With five weeks to polling day, an explosion at a rally in Bulawayo and arguments at the electoral commission threaten the vote
The blast that rocked the Zimbabwe African National Union – Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) election rally in White City Stadium, in Bulawayo, on 23 June has refocused attention on...
High opinions of the President are crashing to Earth amid accusations of favouritism, ineptitude and luxurious living at public expense
President João Lourenço excited Angolans with a high-profile anti-corruption campaign that targeted the extended family of former President José Eduardo dos Santos, but now cracks are...
Sacking a spy chief, ending the alcohol levy and promising to open up the economy, the new President is junking his predecessor's policies
As if determined to disavow Ian Khama's description of him as a 'bootlicker', new President Mokgweetsi Masisi has been breaking with the past, pushing more pro-business policies, cracking...
With an independent opinion poll forecasting a surprisingly close result, talk of a power-sharing deal gains ground
Many questions that could determine the credibility of the national elections, now due on 30 July, remain unresolved in what is set to be the most important vote...
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Vol 59 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
In KwaZulu-Natal and other key provinces, the ANC’s divisions are deepening ahead of the 2019 elections
Making his second appearance in a KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) court at a short hearing on 8 June to face 16 charges of fraud and corruption, former President Jacob Zuma...
The Patriotic Front is crowing over its narrow defeat of the United Party for National Development (UPND) in a by-election in the swing constituency of Chilanga, just outside...
The uncontrolled borrowing by the Lungu circle is growing too large to cover up
Having said it was certain of its figures, Zambia's Ministry of Finance has once again revised its external debt upwards, from US$8.7 billion to $9.1 bn. While its...
Vol 59 No 11 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The Renamo leader’s demise is an opportunity for the party to re-invent itself but Frelimo could still abandon reconciliation
The opposition Resistencia Nacional Moçambicana (Renamo) is going through a difficult rebalancing act in the wake of the death of its leader, Afonso Dhlakama, on 3 May. In...
Vol 59 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The President may be carrying all before him, despite resistance from his predecessor, but the land issue could derail him
President Cyril Ramaphosa's personal approval ratings are at 76% and his handling of the economy has the nod from 82% of South Africans. The Democratic Alliance leader, Mmusi...
Vol 59 No 11 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Tom Moyane, the controversial former head of the South African Revenue Service, is pushing back against his suspension by President Cyril Ramaphosa by employing some of the country's...
The government is suspected of dishonestly reporting its debts, as it chases every last ounce of credit
Creditors, investors and the opposition believe President Edgar Lungu's management of national finances is plunging the country into a debt crisis. The Ministry of Finance issues desperate-sounding statements...
Lawyers and legal experts are still seeking answers as to why, for the first time in Malawi – and possibly for every legal system based on English common...
Vol 59 No 10 |
- MOZAMBIQUE
The death of Afonso Dhlakama, the commander of Resistencia Nacional Moçambicana (Renamo) who turned the guerrilla movement into a political party, contains risks to long-delayed reconciliation with the...
The old ruling clan faces ignominy but new President Lourenço's team has little time to establish credibility and change policy course
As his family's business interests shrink and his political supporters decamp, José Eduardo dos Santos is set to lose the last redoubt of the empire he built over...
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Vol 59 No 9 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Attempts by the ousted President's supporters to defend their interests against reforms are triggering chaos in the regions
For ex-President Jacob Zuma and his allies, the election of Cyril Ramaphosa as leader of the African National Congress was a serious blow but by no means the...
Anti-government protests are spreading and threaten to reignite the island's tradition of popular revolt
With presidential elections due in November, political tension has once again triggered violence on the streets of Antananarivo. On 21 April, a rally by opposition MPs under the...
Ex-President Joyce Banda flew into Blantyre airport on 28 April after a four-year absence from Malawi to an enthusiastic welcome from a crowd of supporters. She and President...
The finance minister starts crisis talks with the IMF after the government fails to convince creditors
As leaders of the 53 Commonwealth member states gathered in London for the 15-17 April summit, one African head of state was conspicuously absent. Amid growing concern that...
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There is no let-up in the headlong rush for mining concessions but little information about who benefits from the deals and how
The good news is relentless. Each week another wide-eyed foreign investor pitches up in Harare meets President Emmerson 'Open for Business' Mnangagwa, then pledges to pour tens of...
Vol 59 No 8 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
A close ally of former President Zuma, Ace Magashule is struggling in his new role as Secretary-General of the ANC
The pressure is mounting on Ace Magashule, who faces a raft of anti-corruption investigations from his time as Premier of the Free State and widespread questions about his...
Vol 59 No 7 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Two messy prosecution cases involving presidents – South African and French – edge towards their dénouement
The coming trial of Jacob Zuma, the ousted President, could cause diplomatic difficulties as well as local political ructions. Zuma is due in court on 6 April, charged...
Edgar Lungu's government has no plans to stop spending, but the amount that it owes is rapidly growing beyond control
Demands for clarity on Zambia's national debt are intensifying, as the standoff with the International Monetary Fund continues and senior figures in government fear a Zimbabwe-style economic crisis...
Britain may be breaking ranks with donors and creditors over conditions for restoring Harare's access to finance. The International Monetary Fund continues to take a firm line, insisting...
Vol 59 No 7 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
President Cyril Ramaphosa could face his toughest test yet when former President Jacob Zuma has his day in court on 6 April, as tensions between their respective factions...
Vol 59 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After five weeks of reshuffling and restructuring after Zuma’s exit, the President is taking his new line-up on the road
President Cyril Ramaphosa is preparing to set out his stall on the international stage, not only to deliver the message that South Africa is under new management but...
National wealth may be on the wane, but the establishment is ensuring the change in leader will not disturb political stability
After ten years in office, President Ian Khama is on a farewell tour of the country, as pundits ponder whether he was ineffective because he did not do...
The President has seen off a serious challenge as he prepares to take action on corruption and regain public trust
Almost three years into his first five-year term, Namibia's first non-Oshiwambo head of state, Hage Geingob, seems to be in a dominant position. Previously acting leader of the...
On 20 March Mozambican officials met London creditors of its previously hidden US$2 billion loans to try to convince them to accept a major restructuring of the debt....
Vol 59 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The new President faces challenges from left and right as Julius Malema steals a march on the government over land reform
Weeks of good news for President Cyril Ramaphosa came to a grinding halt on 1 March when the opposition Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) outmanoeuvred him to win a...
Vol 59 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The new cabinet line-up shows signs of a fraught balancing of ANC factional interests
It may be Cyril Ramaphosa's first cabinet but it was not all of his making. That much was evident from the repeated delays in the announcement from the...
Leadership rivalries within the opposition could leave ZANU-PF with a clear run at this year's elections
The death of veteran opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai, announced on 14 February, has prompted a massive show of grief and support for one of the doughtiest campaigners against...
Vol 59 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The opposition Democratic Alliance, which runs the drought-stricken Western Cape, is embroiled in a battle to rid itself of Patricia de Lille, Mayor of Cape Town, the provincial...
A company founded by controversial mining duo Andrew Groves and Phil Edmonds has returned to the City of London seeking investors for coal assets in Zimbabwe. Groves and...
Vol 59 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After Zuma's messy fall, new President Ramaphosa has to revive the economy, social welfare and his party
When it came, the end for Jacob Zuma came quickly. A week before, he was brusquely rebuffing polite entreaties by senior African National Congress politicians to resign from...
Vol 59 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC reaches crunch point in the Zexit talks as the State President goes to the wire trying to ease the terms for his departure
The African National Congress has decided to remove President Jacob Zuma from office after a tenure dogged by corruption, scandal and economic stagnation. The dramatic decision came in...
Vol 59 No 3 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After weeks of messy negotiations, Jacob Zuma is due to quit this month but will be spending more time with his lawyers
The latest deadline for Jacob Zuma's exit from the Presidency is 21 February. On that day the budget is due to be read in parliament, according to Baleka...
Public pressure remains as high as ever on the governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) to see justice done over the $2 billion hidden loans scandal. However,...
President Emmerson Mnangagwa has begun to tackle the tough task of balancing his inauguration promise to compensate white farmers for expropriation of their properties with his supporters' demands...
Opposition MPs accuse the President of putting an unqualified judge on the Constitutional Court
The Constitutional Court was ordered to resume hearings on whether or not President Edgar Lungu may serve a third term of office on 30 January. But Court president...
Vol 59 No 2 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC's new leader is preparing the ground for his team in government and some radical policy shifts
Cyril Ramaphosa, with a mixture of determination and pragmatism, has embarked on a year of sweeping changes in his party and the government that it runs. Since winning...
Extending his time in office is the President's chief priority although a debt crisis looms amid volatile party realignments
Whether or not President Edgar Lungu manages to convince the Constitutional Court that he is entitled to a further term in office when his current one ends in...
President Emmerson Mnangagwa's 18 January pledge to deliver 'free, credible, fair and indisputable elections' within five months faces several challenges. One is the legal challenge to the Zimbabwe...
Post-Mugabe optimism faces a reality check. Bolstered by fresh funds, Emmerson Mnangagwa is set for electoral victory
As the first new leader that Zimbabwe has had in 37 years, President Emmerson Mnangagwa begins the year riding a wave of goodwill, having removed the apparently eternally-entrenched...
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Vol 59 No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC's new leader will need all his legendary negotiating skills to edge Zuma out of the Union Buildings
The centre of gravity in the governing African National Congress has shifted towards its new President, Cyril Ramaphosa, who now has a decisive tactical advantage over the national...
Frelimo believes it can stare down donors and lenders, avoiding reforms and hanging tough over the secret loans
The final year of Filipe Nyusi's difficult tenure as President of Mozambique is unlikely to end on a high note. As the 2019 elections approach, a dose of...
Vol 59 No 1 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
New ANC leader Ramaphosa faces an early trial of his political strength in party and government
The next test for Cyril Ramaphosa, elected president of the African National Congress on 18 December, is to engineer the departure of his predecessor Jacob Zuma from the...