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Displaying 82 results from 2023 (out of 2762 total).

Growing dissent pressures ANC from all angles

Opposition realignments and ruling party exits open up the field for next year's election

The resignation of Mavuso Msimang, deputy president of the African National Congress Veterans' League (ANCVL) and a respected lifelong activist, has widened cracks in the ruling party. It...


'Corruption defence' in loans trial

Maputo's lawyers argue that those involved in the maritime schemes should have known how corrupt the country was before they funded them

The London trial over Mozambique's US$2 billion 'hidden loans' nears its end this week as lawyers present their closing arguments. Mozambique sued Credit Suisse bank, along with maritime...


Former ANC business brain may take over Moonshot Pact

A new contender has entered the crowded opposition field with a plan to take on the ruling party in next year's elections

Outgoing chairman of FirstRand Bank, Roger Jardine, has surfaced as the latest contender to lead an alliance of opposition parties against the ruling African National Congress (ANC) in...


Advisors abandon ship amid poll storm

The presidency has been hit by a wave of resignations as doubts grow about his political survival

Key advisors to President Cyril Ramaphosa have been quitting as signs grow that support for the African National Congress (ANC) will below 50% of the vote in the...


Contenders brace for electoral upsets

Both the ruling African National Congress and the main opposition Democratic Alliance are struggling to navigate a new political era

The latest opinion survey results – by the Social Research Foundation, Ipsos and the Brenthurst Foundation – are unanimous that the African National Congress's (ANC) share of the...


Court redistributes poll wins

The Constitutional Court has re-allocated fraudulently won municipal elections between the ruling Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) and the opposition Resistência Nacional Moçambicana (Renamo) in a move...


Political fight intensifies over state transit company

Finance minister turns down bailout request from Transnet whose failings have cost the economy over US$26 billion

Tough decisions and strong political backing are needed to turn around the ailing state-owned transport and logistics company, Transnet which could face a ratings downgrade. Structural and wide-ranging...


Godongwana's realism unsettles ANC

Ministers are torn between tax hikes and spending cuts in the tightest fiscal crunch for 30 years

After several opinion surveys forecast support for the African National Congress (ANC) dropping below 50% for the first time in next year's national election, the government is struggling...


ZANU-PF's impostor plot

The ruling party sows discord in the opposition as a rogue activist sacks their MPs

Behind the bizarre shenanigans in which the speaker of parliament endorses the recall of at least 15 opposition MPs at the hands of a man widely believed to...


Green hydrogen shoots

A €1 billion fund for projects developing 'green' hydrogen and critical raw materials has just been signed off in Brussels by President Hage Geingob and European Commission President...


UK cops in court

Government law officers have been so slow to summon witnesses to appear in trials brought by the Anti-Corruption Bureau that witnesses from Britain's National Crime Agency (NCA) appeared...


Recount cancels Frelimo win

Live fire from police resulted in several deaths over the 27-29 October weekend during nationwide protests against the decision of the Comissão Nacional de Eleições (CNE) to approve...


Xinfeng lithium licence threat

Chinese lithium company Xinfeng Investments risks losing its mining licence when a parliamentary committee publishes a report later this year which is expected to criticise operational and labour...


Stolen election claims trigger protests

Evidence of mass vote-rigging in municipal elections has prompted public anger and infighting in the ruling party

Widespread protests followed ruling party Frente de Libertação de Moçambique's (Frelimo) declaration of a near clean sweep in the 11 October municipal elections, despite evidence from parallel counts...


Mnangagwa presses on regardless

Another disputed election over, the President's faction of the ruling ZANU-PF wants to change the constitution to give him a third term

Undaunted by regional and international criticisms of the legitimacy of the August elections, the ruling party is continuing its rout of the opposition and abuse of its control...


Eskom chaos is at the heart of the growth crisis

Unless the power utility gets credible leadership and more investment to boost generation and transmission it will continue to hold the economy down

The IMF's latest data forecasts South Africa's economy will grow by 0.9% this year, up from projections in July of 0.6%. The marginal improvement is based on fewer...


Power cuts dash optimism on revenues

Bad economic news on almost all fronts complicates the ruling party's campaign to win over voters ahead of next year's elections

As the election campaign gets under way, President Cyril Ramaphosa and the ruling African National Congress confront an increasingly problematic economic legacy. It is sure to undermine the...


Secret deal won't end the tuna bond saga

Maputo won't disclose the cost of its deal with Credit Suisse and why it's abandoned its demand for damages

As with the US$2 billion hidden loans scandal that triggered Mozambique's serial financial crises over the past decade, all sides are trying to keep secret the details of...

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Fishrot trial delay

The long-anticipated Fishrot corruption trial of 10 highly placed Namibians accused of multi-million fishing quotas fraud, racketeering and corruption, has been postponed again thanks to delaying tactics. The...


Antwerp gems deal on the rocks

The President put much store into a scheme intended to add value to diamond sales, but the dream seems to be turning sour

The Botswana government's ambitious plan to sell part of its huge rough diamond output have been dealt a hammer blow by the implosion of its selected sales partner,...


At last, the $8.5bn energy transition plan is ready

Delayed by the power crisis and fights with the coal lobby, the government says the green plan will launch at the UN Climate Summit

After two years of turf wars, the government's implementation plan for its US$8.5 billion (R160bn) Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) will be made public at the UN COP28...


Mnangagwa keeps it in the family

An enlarged cabinet stuffed with relatives and loyalists is complicating international efforts to restart negotiations on the country's finances

International and regional concerns persist about the legitimacy of President Emmerson Mnangagwa's victory in national elections last month, particularly the failure of the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) to...


Bribes case on the rocks

The Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB) has decided not to prosecute government officials who may have taken bribes so long as they return them to the state, according to leaks...


Despite everything, the ANC charts a path to victory

Beefed up local organisation and a public spending push could help the ruling party avoid a coalition next year

Unheralded, the campaign for next year's national elections started this month. The ruling African National Congress will be fighting on multiple fronts: to cut state spending and rein...


Legitimacy questions may spur talks

Regional and international critiques of election rigging have undermined ZANU-PF amid calls for a transitional authority to be set up

Regional leaders, like the four million Zimbabweans in exile, voted with their feet when invited to attend Emmerson Mnangagwa's inauguration for his second presidential term on 4 September....


Beijing asserts global south leadership role

Bringing in new members and opening up more local currency trade point to a longer-term power shift

It was the biggest international gathering in South Africa since the inauguration of Nelson Mandela as the country's first democratically elected leader in 1994, but the 22-24 August...


Electoral flaws may stall re-engagement campaign

With the full panoply of state power behind ZANU-PF and its leader, the elections are unlikely to pass the credibility test

Expectations for the fairness of the presidential and parliamentary elections started low and have sunk further after dirty tricks and orchestrated chaos in the towns and cities as...


How to spin an economic catastrophe

Dismissing the data, the ruling party tells voters it is steering the country to prosperity

Treasury and Reserve Bank officials have been releasing a succession of positive economic reports for the past three months. Consumer prices are reckoned to have fallen 15% and...


Finance chief Ncube bets on resolving debt impasse

The ruling party could end the financial isolation if it allows free and credible elections next month steering the country to prosperity

Next month's national elections are the most conseqential since the independence vote in 1980. They will decide both the country's next president and whether it breaks out of...


Masisi needs diamonds for trumps

The ruling party has a new strategy to win next year's polls against the challenge from ex-President Khama and the opposition coalition

The ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) has never been the same since President Mokgweetsi Masisi fell out with his mentor, ex-President Ian Khama, who had hand-picked him as...


De Beers deal could save BDP's skin

Gaborone's new diamond deal offers gains to the government and hedges against challenges from new technology

If President Mokgweetsi Masisi has got it right, the new agreement Botswana has struck with its dominant economic partner De Beers – to sell half of its rough...


You can run and you can hide

Former National Budget Director Paul Mphwiyo, whose non-fatal shooting in 2013 blew the lid off the Cashgate scandal of wholesale plunder of the public purse by politicians, is...


Chamisa wrestles with the crocodile, again

President Mnangagwa and ZANU-PF insist they are serious about reform – next month's election will test their claims

The opposition Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC), led by Nelson Chamisa, may have marked some sort of record – since its foundation last year, over 100 of its...


ZANU-PF takes a cut of the green economy

We publish exclusive details about Vice-President Chiwenga's 'bagman' and the tortuous flow of cash from mining contracts to military pockets

Lishon Chipango is sometimes called 'de facto investment manager' for Vice-President Constantino Chiwenga – critics of the regime would call him the former army chief's frontman.

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Hichilema hails 'mission impossible' deal

Lusaka's debt-restructuring brokered by France's Emmanuel Macron resonated more than his summit to redraw the global finance system

A deal to restructure US$6.3 billion of Zambia's foreign debt gives President Hakainde Hichilema much of what he was looking for – a resolution after almost two years...

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ANC leaders wade into new ethics row

Risks persist of a return to state capture by corrupt businesspeople and politicians, argues the prime mover of the three-year Zondo investigation

On 22 June, a year after he released the conclusions of his marathon investigation into corruption, Chief Justice Raymond Zondo lambasted parliament and the executive for failing to...


Windhoek gets tough on green resources

The government wants free stakes in lithium and other mines producing vital inputs for electric vehicles

President Hage Geingob and his close ally, mines minister Tom Alweendo, have signalled their seriousness about obtaining the maximum benefit of minerals used in electric vehicle (EV) batteries...


Swapo faces more poll losses

Growing anger over government corruption and surging unemployment look set to give opposition parties their best chance yet of loosening the ruling SWAPO Party's grip on the country....


Kyiv and Moscow give peace mission short shrift

After days of awkward and unproductive diplomacy, the economic consequences of the war will worsen for Africa – starting with the collapse of the grain deal

The African peace mission to Ukraine and Russia has exposed the chasm between the two countries – with Kyiv insisting on Russian withdrawal from its territory and Moscow...


As economic polycrisis deepens, business lends a hand

Corporate chiefs are going public on their fears about the economic slide and social chaos

After months of intense preparation, the two leading business umbrella groups – Business Unity South Africa (BUSA) and Business for South Africa (B4SA) – launched a major initiative...


Arms in the night

Accusations of secret arms shipments to Moscow raise questions about Pretoria's non-alignment and its competence on security

Long-simmering tensions exploded when United States ambassador Reuben Brigety broke with diplomatic discretion last month and accused South Africa of secretly uploading weapons and ammunition for Russia's war...


No compromise on royal power

The imprisonment of two MPs on terrorism charges is a signal that royal power will not be compromised or reformed, and elections due this year won't change anything,...


Mutharika manoeuvres for a comeback

So dire is the record of the incumbent that the opposition believes Peter Mutharika could be elected president again in 2025

The political situation is in such turmoil that the next contest to lead Malawi is already dominating talk in the capital. Ex-President Peter Mutharika is planning a comeback,...


Oil boom poses governance risks

Politically-connected middlemen taking key roles in oil licencing raise concerns over corruption in the coming hydrocarbons bonanza

Namibia looks set to add oil to its cornucopia of mineral resources, including gem diamonds, uranium, and lithium, with the potential to become a major exporter by 2026....


ZANU-PF fires its electoral blunderbuss

At every level and in every institution, the ruling party is sidelining and attacking the opposition

With less than three months before national elections are due, there are multiple signs of abuses of state power by the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF)...


Nyusi runs out of road

President Filipe Nyusi's ambition to cancel the two-term presidential limit and stand in next year's general election has finally died, according to insiders in Maputo.


Western companies belatedly join critical minerals race

President Geingob's government is benefitting from international rivalry to boost lithium production

Prices and demand for Africa's reserves of lithium, a key component in rechargeable batteries, are soaring as the world car industry shifts towards producing electric vehicles with the...


Writing the next act

A new player steps on to the stage vowing to disrupt the status quo ahead of elections next year

Rise Mzansi, the brainchild of Songezo Zibi and allies, was launched with some grandeur on Johannesburg's Constitution Hill – home to the Constitutional Court and a symbol of...


What is behind Masisi's gem deal?

Citing resource control, the President is joining with a Belgian start-up diamond trader to challenge the De Beers empire

After 54 years in mining diamonds and 10 years in trading them, Botswana is moving downstream in the business by taking a 24% stake in Belgium's HB Antwerp,...


Doubts greet the DA's 'moonshot' coalition

Light on policy, the biggest opposition party will have to work harder to beat the African National Congress

Just three days after John Steenhuisen, newly re-elected leader of the opposition Democratic Alliance, announced a 'moonshot pact' with other parties ahead of the 2024 elections, the DA...


After the gold rush

For a government so quick to accuse its opponents of malfeasance and detain them, President Emmerson Mnangagwa's team has been curiously reticent about the investigation into gold smuggling...


Now it’s Ramaphosa central

After four years of balancing factions in the ruling ANC, the President is concentrating power in his office

It was a more upbeat and energised Cyril Ramaphosa that took on critics this month complaining that he consulted too much and took too long to make decisions....


At the other end of geopolitics

Zimbabwean officials were keen to play up their mutual 'outsider' status in the international community as the delegation headed by Foreign Minister Frederick Shava took in meetings with...


Vote-getters and loyalists predominate

The President's reshuffle prioritises next year's elections instead of addressing the economy, infrastructure and electricity emergency

After serial delays and great expectations, President Cyril Ramaphosa brought in 10 new ministers for his reshuffle on 6 March with a wary eye on next year's general...


How money talks in national elections

A law forcing political parties to disclose their funding has cast light on cash from three local billionaires and a Russian oligarch

With national elections due to be held next year, concerns are brewing over whether donations could be used to buy influence. Africa Confidential's analysis of declarations by South...

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Disclosure costs Maputo

The London High Court judge presiding over the civil case brought by Mozambique against Credit Suisse bank and the naval contractor Privinvest in January 2020 says that he...


ANC cabinet contenders step up lobbying

President Ramaphosa is using party committees to consolidate his grip ahead of national elections next year

South Africans, still buckling under the strain of crippling daily power cuts with no end in sight, are waiting for the appointment of a Minister of Electricity, announced...


Elite sets itself for lithium boom

The government has banned exports of the mineral and set up its own lucrative deal via a military-linked company to sell to China

With global demand for lithium soaring – prices went up more than 100% in 2022 and are expected to keep rising – Zimbabwe could be poised for a...

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Electoral commission row raises fresh doubts about poll

Rights activists, opposition politicians – and even factions within ZANU-PF – lambast the latest redrawing of electoral boundaries

The redrawing of electoral boundaries is due to be gazetted into law by 26 February despite politicians and rights groups questioning its fairness and the accuracy of the...


A bridge 100 metres too far

Zimbabwe failed to invest in a key trade link over the Zambezi and now that truckers are using it to avoid the country altogether, Harare wants back in

Botswana's President Mokgweetsi Masisi is happy to call himself one of Zimbabwean President Emmerson Mnangagwa few friends abroad. Masisi has been outspoken in calling for western sanctions on...


Anti-corruption furore goes global

Law officers are determined to obstruct fraudbuster Martha Chizuma's investigations as foreign envoys sound a warning

The government has launched a war of attrition against the courts as it tries to stop Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB) Director-General Martha Chizuma from investigating top politicians and their...


Ramaphosa shuffles the reshuffle

The coming cabinet changes will show whether the President is ready to use his new political authority

After spending his first term fending off a rebellion from supporters of ousted President Jacob Zuma, President Cyril Ramaphosa should now be able to sack all those ministers...


Can Ramaphosa get the lights back on?

With rolling power cuts obliterating support for the ANC, the government is being pushed to act against vested interests

After four days of deliberations, on 29 January the ruling African National Congress agreed in principle to declare a national disaster in response to rolling power cuts which...


Mswati digs in and defies SADC

King Mswati III remains deaf to pleas for reform despite growing pressure on him in the wake of the assassination of democracy activist and human rights lawyer Thulani...


Lourenço faces a tough rebuild

An emboldened opposition and internal dissent point to hard months ahead for the President

President João Lourenço came out of last August's elections doubly weakened – by the opposition, which made historic gains despite the ruling Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola...


The usual ZANU-PF poll win looms

Elections will take place in six months but whatever happens, ZANU-PF will prevail, as the slide into economic mayhem continues

Pre-election buzz will energise discussions about Zimbabwe's future ahead of general elections set to be held in July or August. But any sense of optimism will be short-lived...


Displaying 82 results from 2023 (out of 2762 total).