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Vol 51 No 1

Published 8th January 2010


Kenya

Who is heading for the Hague?

A heavily contested referendum and trials at the ICC are likely to divide the shaky coalition as it tries to agree on key reforms

Two events will critically affect the ambitious policy agenda for 2010. This comprises devolution and electoral reform, land reform, resettlement rights and reviewing administrative boundaries. The first event is the referendum on the new constitution, due in April or May. Its arcane details will arouse few passions but it will test how political leaders can mobilise their constituencies. The 2005 referendum defeat of President Mwai Kibaki’s constitutional reform proposals dealt him a crippling blow and energised the opposition.

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