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Vol 53 No 1

Published 6th January 2012


Egypt

What lies beyond Tahrir

The revolution will remain under threat from the military’s grip on political power, the best guarantee of its privileges

Clashes between a military bereft of strategic vision and an ascendant Islamist majority in Parliament and on the streets will dominate politics this year. Minorities such as liberals, secularists will and Copts will be caught somewhere in the middle. This instability may persist into the medium term. Continued economic problems could exacerbate it. The pattern established after President Mohamed Hosni Mubarak looks set to continue in 2012: periodic initiatiives by the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, repressive atrocities, followed by popular backlashes and then SCAF concessions.

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