Somaliland has launched an aggressive effort to attract oil companies. At the African Oil Week conference in Cape Town last month, the Minister of Mining, Energy and Water Resource...
Vol 52 No 24 |
The war in Somalia gives President Mwai Kibaki’s government a leading role for which it looks ill-prepared
Six weeks into the fighting, unintended consequences haunt Kenya’s invasion of Somalia: rising xenophobia, terrorist attacks in Nairobi and other local insecurity, and changes in E...
Vol 52 No 24 |
Ethiopian troops have gone into Somalia to support the Kenyan deployment, although Prime Minister Meles Zenawi remains sceptical about the operation. Ethiopia wants to maintain its...
Kenya’s military incursion into Somalia is less than a month old but is already the subject of contradictory statements by the government and its Western allies. Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen is under threat from the Kenya Armed Forces and their allies’ Special Forces and air power but the invasion also offers opportunities. Al Shabaab may be able to recoup some recent losses if Lower and Middle Juba end up controlled by Kenyan surrogate forces that alienate local people. The offensive shows, however, that the United States and its allies have faith in a military solution to the Somali problem. Kenyan forces are pushing towards Kismayo in a land assault that will combine with attacks by French and US forces from the sea to spell possible defeat for Al Shabaab in the key port. Yet with no political solution on offer, Al Shabaab could revive.
Kenya’s intervention in Somalia was first announced on 15 October by Minister of Internal Security George Kinuthia Saitoti and Minister of Defence Mohamed Yusuf Haji, and it was o...
Vol 52 No 22 |
Kenya’s confusion over its war aims proceeds in part from deep divisions within the elites and the fact that key actors support different Somali forces who have nothing in common e...
Vol 52 No 21 |
After chasing kidnappers across the border, the Kenyan army is digging in for the longer term in Somalia
As the Kenyan army ventured deeper into Somalia, in its first cross-border campaign in 44 years, a regional grand strategy to deal with Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen is beginn...
Little appears to connect the UN-brokered road map for political reconciliation with the ambitions of Al Shabaab or Western strategists
The suicide bombing by Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen on 4 October killed over 70 people and injured hundreds more. This was the jihadists’ response to increasing drone attacks...
The drought has weakened the Islamist militia only temporarily and the political threat to the region is as serious as ever
When Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen retreated from Mogadishu on 6 August, the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) was quick to claim victory. The United Nations claimed it wa...
Officers of the Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen killed January-July 2011. A tentative list; the full number may reach 50.
Vol 52 No 16 |
People starve, aid is inadequate, relief agencies are spurned and the region’s insecurities fester
The Horn of Africa’s worst drought in six decades has prompted the United Nations to take the rare step of declaring a famine in two regions of Somalia – and probably another six r...