The chaos is partly due to Mahamat Kaka's replacement of his father's entourage and allies with his own people in a disorderly process...

Confusion afflicts key members of the Chadian elite who know that their fellow Zaghawa people are being slaughtered in El Fasher by the RSF which the Ndjamena regime is obliged to support because of the hundreds of millions of dollars it receives from the United Arab Emirates (AC Vol 66 No 23 Abu Dhabi pressures Mahamat Kaka)...

The UAE pays Chad to be the main supply route for its support of the RSF and the impoverished Mahamat Kaka cannot bite the hand that feeds him even though it creates pressures at home (AC Vol 66 No 7 Mahamat Kaka is caught between Khartoum's anger and Emirati cash)...

On the surface Mahamat Kaka's position is unassailable...

Mahamat Kaka is trying to emulate his father but he lacks not only legitimacy but the necessary political experience...

Another problem is the clumsiness and visibility of the plunder of the state by Mahamat Kaka's newly promoted cronies which is even affecting the functionality of the civilian state apparatus...

Mahamat Kaka is unable to rein it in and faces the criticism of the old guard loyal to his father...

Mahamat Kaka's regime tried to prevent army officers joining Zaghawa armed groups in Darfur (about 1 500 reportedly did so) but remained silent as Chadian Arabs and Ouaddaï people joined the RSF...

To consolidate his base Mahamat Kaka appointed dozens of generals – many still living in rural areas and receiving stipends fuel and other subsidies...

Mahamat Kaka's control over the state security apparatus depends heavily on funding from Abu Dhabi...

The Zaghawa groups most marginalised by Mahamat Kaka's policies – the Kobe and Kapka – lost key positions in the state...

Mahamat Kaka is under pressure...

The Chadian government's plan to build another refinery near Ndjamena was undermined by Mahamat Kaka's inability to explain the ongoing fuel shortage – even for public services...

Rather than securing development funds observers believe Mahamat Kaka's priority was to seek direct support from UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed al Nahyan (MBZ) – aware that Zaghawa unity is fragile and could yet turn against him...

The funds had gone to pay for Mahamat Kaka's election campaign which upset Angola...

Chad has become a less significant transit point due to mounting challenges to President Mahamat Déby's regime while Libya Central African Republic and South Sudan are now preferred routes for UAE arms shipments to the RSF...

Mahamat's kowtowing to UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed bin al Nahyan though not new is losing him credibility and support at home (AC Vol 66 No 7 Mahamat Kaka is caught between Khartoum's anger and Emirati cash)...

Mahamat Kaka faces a similar challenge to his father between 2003 and 2005: how to rein in a military deeply divided over Sudan policy...

The leak of a United Nations expert report showing that ‘multiple' transport planes flying from the UAE had sought to avoid detection as they flew into bases in Chad where arms smuggling into Sudan has been reported concentrated a few diplomatic minds – as did the RSF's assault on the country's biggest refugee camp at Zamzam a day before the conference (AC Vol 66 No 7 Mahamat Kaka is caught between Khartoum's anger and Emirati cash)...

Chad's Mahamat Kaka was driven by money rather than ideology...

Before Lt Gen Atta's statement Mahamat Kaka sent emissaries to Cairo and Port Sudan to deny his involvement in the Sudanese conflict and offer to restore relations with Burhan...

Saudi officials attempted a mediation during an Umra in late March with Burhan and Mahamat Kaka both in Mecca but Burhan refused to meet Mahamat...

Burhan's regime may soon mobilise proxies among Chadian dissidents who argue Mahamat Kaka lacks legitimacy and want him overthrown...

Mahamat Kaka visited Abu Dhabi in early March seeking reassurance but his demeanour in Ndjamena suggest he left empty-handed...

And if the UAE wants to ramp up its military support for the RSF Mahamat Kaka could resume his logistical role...

On 31 January a quiet ceremony took place at the Sergeant Adji Kossei air base in Ndjamena to mark the complete departure of all French troops from Chad after nearly six decades of presence under different names and mandates (AC Vol 66 No 1 Dropping France Mahamat Kaka tilts to Turkey and the UAE & Vol 66 No 2 Kaka beset on all sides)...

People wondered why the civilian ‘griot national' (he once declared that Mahamat Kaka was half-God) had a weapon and why he was the one addressing the attack on the presidency instead of the Minister of Internal Security or a senior military officer...

Following the failure of Operation Haskanite it further demonstrates how military expertise can quickly dissipate even among the best Chadian troops (AC Vol 66 No 1 Dropping France Mahamat Kaka tilts to Turkey and the UAE)...

Mahamat Kaka accepted the position of MPS honorary president a role contrary to the Constitution proving that the regime does not care about its legality...

Many politicised Chadians see Mahamat Kaka's behaviour as a sign of his regime's fragility...