More fighting is unlikely to break this siege unless Tigray's leaders can put Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in an even weaker position than when they routed federal forces on their march towards Addis late last year...

Riyadh and Abu Dhabi helped Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in his military goals but do not have the staying power to support him through a long period of isolation which shows no sign of diminishing...

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and the President of the Somali region Mustafa Mahamed 'Umar' Agjar immediately reacted not only by making the risible claim to have killed 800 militants but by declaring that Ethiopian forces would occupy parts of Somalia closest to the border...

However on landing in Djibouti Hassan Sheikh received the news that Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed had withdrawn his invitation to visit...

Moscow had planned to co-host its second Africa summit with Ethiopia in Addis Ababa but abandoned that plan after Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed launched the war against Tigray...

The intensity of violence between Oromo and Amhara communities is militating against Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's attempts to co-opt moderates on both sides as fresh atrocities multiply and narrow the space for compromise...

Despite the confusion the OLA appears to be growing stronger even though its alliance with the TPLF stalled as Tigrayan forces neared Addis Ababa last August (Dispatches 16/8/22 A nightmare scenario for Premier Abiy Ahmed as regional opponents coordinate against the federal government)...

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed dialled down the rhetoric on 1 July and explained that the brotherly countries could never go to war...

In recent weeks leading Amhara politicians have stepped up their criticisms of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's conduct of the war complaining that he is conceding too much to outside pressure...

Hussein Ma'allim's appointment may also mark a cooling in Mogadishu's relations with Addis Ababa since he has made strident criticisms of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed over the last two years...

Even amid this sabre-rattling Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed appears to be contemplating striking a peace deal with the TPLF (AC Vol 63 No 6 Rivals set out their minimum conditions)...