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Published 27th June 2014

Vol 55 No 13


Nigeria

Ekiti, the shape of things to come

Jonathan and Fayose at PDP gubernatorial rally in Ekiti
Jonathan and Fayose at PDP gubernatorial rally in Ekiti

After a year on the defensive, the governing PDP has launched a determined fightback against opposition strongholds in the south-west

The victory of Ayo Fayose, candidate of the People's Democratic Party (PDP), in the governorship elections in Ekiti State on 21 June held some harsh lessons for modernising politicians in the lead up to the elections due next February. The most obvious conclusion is that a well-financed and highly aggressive campaign with a bad policy record backed by state security will trump a decent policy record presented by less ruthless campaigners. It is also the first major reverse for the opposition alliance this year in its battle against President Goodluck Jonathan's government, which has been in retreat as criticism mounted of its handling of the security crisis in the north.

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Sanusi's political throne

The straight-talking former CBN Governor will find plenty of scope to promote his ideas and expand his influence from the Emir’s palace

From any angle, the appointment of Sanusi Lamido Aminu Sanusi as the 57th Emir of Kano is bad news for President Goodluck Jonathan and his government. Sanusi emerged a moral if not...


Confused response to terror attacks

President Kenyatta claimed 'local political networks' were to blame for the atrocities on the Coast. It’s not the only bizarre circumstance of the shootings

The spectre of a breakdown in Kenya's national security faces President Uhuru Kenyatta in the wake of terrorist attacks on the north-eastern coast that claimed more than 50 lives. ...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

The theme of the African Union summit in Equatorial Guinea on 26-27 June was 'Agriculture and Food Security' but the part that really resonated among leaders was the word 'security'. Egypt was readmitted to the AU after last month’s election and on 26 June, President Abdel Fatah el Sisi denounced Islamism as the overwhelming threat of the day to thunderous applause....

The theme of the African Union summit in Equatorial Guinea on 26-27 June was 'Agriculture and Food Security' but the part that really resonated among leaders was the word 'security'. Egypt was readmitted to the AU after last month’s election and on 26 June, President Abdel Fatah el Sisi denounced Islamism as the overwhelming threat of the day to thunderous applause. The day before, a bomb had exploded in Abuja killing 21 people, which prompted Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan to fly home just hours after he had arrived in Malabo. Last week’s massacres in northern Kenya reinforced concern about a belt of worsening instability across the middle of Africa and the lack of effective forces to stop it.

AU Peace and Security Commissioner Smaïl Chergui insists that an African Standby Force will be ready for action by the end of next year. Yet some governments are reluctant to second troops to a continental force. Chad's President Idriss Déby is offering his capital as a base for African and Western forces to tackle Boko Haram, the Islamist militia in northern Nigeria and its border zones. In power since 1979, the summit host, President Teodoro Obiang, is also keen on regime security. His opening speech called for reform of the United Nations to stop foreign meddling in Africa. Unsurprisingly, Obiang is a great supporter of the protocol for a new African Court of Justice which would try suspects for war crimes and human rights abuses but would exempt serving heads of state and senior officials from prosecution.

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Aid row escalates

Britain and Germany cut budget support over a tuna-fishing company and other deals. Ahead of the elections, Frelimo is not giving in

The governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (Frelimo) is engaged in an increasingly bitter row with foreign donors over loans and public spending. Britain...


Unhappy birthday

A quarter of a century after seizing power, the Islamist regime in Khartoum has nothing to celebrate, not even the success of its own 'Salvation Revolution'. It is besieged on all fronts

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Kabila defiant on third term

The President tries to ignore opposition and international objections to his changing the law to stay on in power

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Sata speculation grows

Concern is growing for the President’s health and also for the impact on his party should he leave office prematurely

President Michael Sata's office announced on 22 June that he had flown to Israel for a 'working holiday', including meetings with President Shimon Peres. Yet Israeli media reported...


Deal to nobble the MDM falters

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Political parties and the government

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MPs demand answers

The government refused to give in to parliamentary demands for an answer about strange goings on at the power suppliers

Investigations into the controversial release of US$122 million from an escrow account to the new owners of Independent Power Tanzania Limited (IPTL) are running into heavy weather...


Fighting flares in the Kivus

Both Kinshasa and Kigali have their own domestic or geopolitical reasons to keep the pot boiling over their common border

Congo-Kinshasa and Rwanda traded heavy arms fire in the second week of June in a reminder, after months of calm, of the countries' mutual suspicion and the volatility of their shar...


The centre moves east

The country’s centre of gravity may be moving towards Benghazi but away from the Muslim Brotherhood

It may not be until after the Eid celebrations at the end of Ramadan that Libya's third interim Parliament can appoint an executive. The results of the 25 June elections probably w...


Sudan's Islamist regime: key dates

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The trade-off

The Alpine principality is returning some of Sani Abacha’s loot after the Nigerian government drops charges against his son Mohammed

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Unsteady state of the nation

Zuma failed to inspire in his nationwide address yesterday. Many unknowns still surround the ANC’s promised 'radical economic transformation'

President Jacob Zuma's State of the Nation address to parliament was a disappointment to many. He did not expand on the African National Congress's plans to meet its extraordinary ...



Pointers

Hangings resume

Executions have resumed in Egypt, Africa Confidential understands. At least seven people are believed to have been hanged since 16 June.


Ould alliance

President Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz surprised no one with his re-election on 22 June. That gives him a second five-year term with 81.89% of the vote. His campaign focused on providin...