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Published 28th April 2000

Vol 41 No 9


Zimbabwe

Comrade Mugabe's last stand

Image courtesy of Panos Pictures

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The upswing in political violence is about beating back the opposition not a belated crusade for land redistribution

The collapse of the 27 April British-Zimbabwe ministerial negotiations in London on land redistribution now makes any bilateral agreement unlikely before the parliamentary elections due before mid-August. The issues in the London talks were familiar - land, race, political rights, and complaints about Whitehall's meddling in Zimbabwe's affairs. President Robert Mugabe, under unprecedented political pressure, has little incentive to cut a deal with the former colonial power this time. President Mugabe's current calculations are overwhelmingly short-term and electoral. More than once his own strategy in the past month has been at variance with his own ministers such as Vice-President Joseph Msika or Home Affairs Minister Dumiso Dabengwa who have been publicly countermanded by the President. Indeed, the ministerial team Mugabe sent to London, certainly Minister of Local Government John Nkomo and retiring Trade Minister Nathan Shamuyarira, appeared keen to maintain a dialogue with Whitehall, and say they are happy to accept international monitoring of the elections. And a day after the failed talks, the self-appointed leader of the liberation war veterans, Chenjerai Hunzvi, ordered them to end the farm occupations which sparked the crisis talks in London. On a smaller scale, the Zimbabwe crisis has become a domestic political problem for Britain's Labour Government, under fire from the Conservative opposition for saying too much and doing too little. Conservative Foreign Affairs spokesman Francis Maude is calling for Zimbabwe to be expelled from the Commonwealth. British Foreign Secretary Robin Cook's main demand for an end to government-inspired occupations of commercial farms reflected the relentless coverage by the British media of the white farm owners, 20,000 of whom have British passports.


The region rumbles

President Thabo Mbeki is trying to limit the fall-out from Zimbabwe's troubles

South Africa's policy on Zimbabwe's crisis has been run entirely by President Thabo Mbeki and officials in the enlarged presidency. The department of Foreign Affairs has been sidel...


A military trap

Harare's domestic crisis makes its military intervention look even shakier

The Congo war is at the heart of President Robert Mugabe's troubles. The economic cost of Zimbabwe's military involvement, with no immediate return, is a load which donors do not w...


One way street

President Museveni will win his referendum but at a high price

The President is crisscrossing the country on a campaign he is bound to win. A referendum on political systems, to be held in two months' time under the 1995 constitution, will pit...


Who's who in the NRM

'No party politics' is producing a surprising divergence of views and interests

In June President Yoweri Museveni's National Resistance Movement is defending its opposition to multi-party politics in a national referendum. It is set to win the referendum comf...



Pointers

Cheque in the post

Abidjan's cash crisis has brought it to the verge of default on its Brady bond commercial debt. President-General Robert Gueï's key ministers - government coordinator Seydou D...


Gems and guns

Paris-based arms trader Arkady Gaydamek has bought 15 per cent of Lev Leviev's Africa-Israel company as part of arrangements to settle some of Angola's military debt. The holding w...


Promises, promises

Two new rows are brewing about Nigeria's debt. One concerns the whereabouts of some US$700-800 million of Nigerian promissory notes. Although the International Monetary Fund says t...