The upswing in political violence is about beating back the
opposition not a belated crusade for land redistribution
The collapse of the 27 April British-Zimbabwe ministerial negotiations in London on land redistribution now makes any bilateral agreement unlikely before the parliamentary elections due before mid-August. The issues in the London talks were familiar - land, race, political rights, and complaints about Whitehall's meddling in Zimbabwe's affairs. President Robert Mugabe
, under unprecedented political pressure, has little incentive to cut a deal with the former colonial power this time. President Mugabe's current calculations are overwhelmingly short-term and electoral. More than once his own strategy in the past month has been at variance with his own ministers such as Vice-President Joseph Msika
or Home Affairs Minister Dumiso Dabengwa
who have been publicly countermanded by the President. Indeed, the ministerial team Mugabe sent to London, certainly Minister of Local Government John Nkomo
and retiring Trade Minister Nathan Shamuyarira, appeared keen to maintain a dialogue with Whitehall, and say they are happy to accept international monitoring of the elections. And a day after the failed talks, the self-appointed leader of the liberation war veterans, Chenjerai Hunzvi, ordered them to end the farm occupations which sparked the crisis talks in London. On a smaller scale, the Zimbabwe crisis has become a domestic political problem for Britain's Labour Government, under fire from the Conservative opposition for saying too much and doing too little. Conservative Foreign Affairs spokesman Francis Maude is calling for Zimbabwe to be expelled from the Commonwealth. British Foreign Secretary Robin Cook's main demand for an end to government-inspired occupations of commercial farms reflected the relentless coverage by the British media of the white farm owners, 20,000 of whom have British passports.
President Thabo Mbeki is trying to limit the fall-out from
South Africa's policy on Zimbabwe's crisis has been run entirely by President Thabo Mbeki and officials in the enlarged presidency. The department of Foreign Affairs has been sidel...
Harare's domestic crisis makes its military intervention look
The Congo war is at the heart of President Robert Mugabe's troubles. The economic cost of Zimbabwe's military involvement, with no immediate return, is a load which donors do not w...