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Published 25th May 2023

Vol 64 No 11


Ghana

The ruling party could benefit from its IMF U-turn

Ken Ofori-Atta speaks at the IMF press conference on the recently-approved $3bn program for Ghana.
Ken Ofori-Atta speaks at the IMF press conference on the recently-approved $3bn program for Ghana.

After losing a by-election, the opposition NDC is crafting its campaign on government failure ahead of next year's elections

The IMF approval of a US$3 billion bailout to support Ghana's ailing economy is being held up as a victory by the governing New Patriotic Party (NPP), but it is also an embarrassing U-turn, especially for Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta. A year ago, he was resisting any recourse to the fund but then lost the argument in cabinet as opposition MPs pressed for his dismissal.


The IMF offers some breathing space

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

Accra has secured concessions from the multilateral banks as well as China in exchange for promises on debt

Although West Africa's second largest economy had been expected to receive an International Monetary Fund deal in the coming months, the IMF's 17 May announcement – that its ...

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Deeper reforms needed after the bailout

IMF HQ. Pic: Bumble Dee / stock.adobe.com
IMF HQ. Pic: Bumble Dee / stock.adobe.com

Slowing inflation and a strengthening cedi after the IMF credit will help the ruling party’s election campaign

Ghana's US$3 billion bailout deal with the International Monetary Fund will not be painless, and comes with demands for a diet of structural reforms and spending cuts. Key prioriti...



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THE INSIDE VIEW

The launch of the African Carbon Markets Initiative (ACMI) following last November's UN COP27 summit in Egypt was a major milestone towards making climate finance available and expanding clean energy across the continent. Governments are now setting out their own plans to tap the carbon credits market.

Zimbabwe's environment and climate minister Mangaliso Ndlovu announced that all carbon projects in the country would be required to register with the authorities and that the government...

The launch of the African Carbon Markets Initiative (ACMI) following last November's UN COP27 summit in Egypt was a major milestone towards making climate finance available and expanding clean energy across the continent. Governments are now setting out their own plans to tap the carbon credits market.

Zimbabwe's environment and climate minister Mangaliso Ndlovu announced that all carbon projects in the country would be required to register with the authorities and that the government will take 50% of all revenue from projects, with foreign investors limited to 30% and the balance of 20% going to local communities.

The government in Harare is not acting alone. Last week, Tanzania signed its own agreement on Africa's largest carbon offset project. Kenyan President William Ruto has said that the EU could use more African carbon credits in its existing emission trading markets. Ruto's government intends to pass legislation to regulate the generation of carbon credits in June.

It makes sense for African states to play leading roles in this transition. The EU has now passed into law its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which will hurt African exports unless the continent prioritises major carbon emissions cuts. Other jurisdictions are likely to follow suit, and those who are first to market will get to set the global rules.

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A ceasefire with monitors this time

With back-up, the latest truce could open the door for a general return to Khartoum and the restart of civilian negotiations on the transition

The agreement of a short-term ceasefire and humanitarian arrangements in Jeddah on 21 May with monitoring capacity, after six failed such accords, may be a step forward despite the...


Oil boom poses governance risks

Politically-connected middlemen taking key roles in oil licencing raise concerns over corruption in the coming hydrocarbons bonanza

Namibia looks set to add oil to its cornucopia of mineral resources, including gem diamonds, uranium, and lithium, with the potential to become a major exporter by 2026. The bonanz...


Tinubu struggles to control the Assembly

The incoming President's feted dealmaking skills will be tested in the courts and in the legislature

Ahead of the scheduled 29 May inauguration of President-elect Bola Tinubu, there are two key procedural hurdles: he has to resolve the fight over the leadership of both houses of t...


Cairo's gas export boom hits obstacles

With Europe's sanctions on Russian gas, Cairo has been boosting LNG exports to fill the gap but questions are mounting about sustainability

Increased revenue from exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) have been a rare bright spot in Egypt's otherwise dismal economic performance over the past two years. The government ...


Sonko's trial is Sall's challenge

The outcome of the firebrand oppositionist's trial could transform the face of politics, and may open the way to other contenders

More than two years after he was first charged with raping the masseuse Adji Sarr and then making death threats, Ousmane Sonko, the charismatic leader of the Pastef Les Patriotes p...


Team Abiy inches forward in Oromo talks

The government must balance negotiations with the Oromo rebels with its strategy in the Tigray and Amhara regions

The federal government and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) pushed maximalist positions on disarmament and devolution respectively in the first round of their peace talks in Zanziba...



Pointers

Bayelsa commission reports

The Bayelsa State Oil and Environmental Commission (BSOEC) launched its much-anticipated report on 60 years' worth of oil pollution in the state, where local companies now produce ...


Succès on K-Street

Opposition leader Succès Masra and his party, Les Transformateurs, have taken on the K-Street lobby shop, Scribe Strategies, led by Republican operative Joseph Szlavik, one ...