Jump to navigation

Published 2nd May 2025

Vol 66 No 9


Nigeria

Tinubu exudes confidence as opposition starts to fold

@officialABAT
Pic: @officialABAT

After failing to capitalise on deepening hardships and insecurity, opposition governors and lawmakers are defecting to the ruling party

As a political boss, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has run rings around his rivals. They lack his skills and tactical acuity but most of all they are just not as ruthless and determined. That is why – with the opposition parties in disarray – that Tinubu and his All Progressives Congress are odds-on to win the 2027 elections.


Cracks appear in Traoré’s YouTube persona

Captain Ibrahim Traoré. Pic: @CapitaineIb226
Captain Ibrahim Traoré. Pic: @CapitaineIb226

Burkinabés see the reality of military defeats, a cratering economy and growing authoritarianism despite millions spent on propaganda

Captain Ibrahim Traoré’s regime in Ouagadougou has uncovered yet another ‘plot’ showing that Burkina Faso’s security crisis is deepening in many different ways.

READ FOR FREE


BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

The failure of the BRICS group of countries to agree a communiqué during a meeting in Rio de Janeiro this week supports the criticism that the bloc has little in common and lacks internal coherence.

The BRICS’ recent enlargement, with Ethiopia and Egypt the new African members, will likely make it harder to reach common policy positions, further diluting the grouping’s influence. This challenge was in evidence as the two new members opposed parts of a previously app...

The failure of the BRICS group of countries to agree a communiqué during a meeting in Rio de Janeiro this week supports the criticism that the bloc has little in common and lacks internal coherence.

The BRICS’ recent enlargement, with Ethiopia and Egypt the new African members, will likely make it harder to reach common policy positions, further diluting the grouping’s influence. This challenge was in evidence as the two new members opposed parts of a previously approved plan to reform the UN Security Council by giving South Africa a permanent seat.

The Brazilian government has sought to downplay the dispute, stating that ministers had agreed a position and voiced serious concerns on the Trump tariffs.

Last October’s BRICS summit, hosted by Russia’s Vladimir Putin in Kazan, proved far more successful as a political forum – taking aim at the west’s sanctions against Russia, the Bretton Woods institutions, and Israel’s military attacks in Gaza – than in achieving consensus on trade or economic policy. Attempts to set up a Cross-Border Payments Initiative, an attempt to establish an alternative to the SWIFT system from which Russia has been excluded, also faltered. This was one of a suite of economic policies proposed by Putin that failed to gain traction.

If the BRICS can’t agree on policy, it stands little chance of becoming a geopolitical rival to the G20 or the European Union.

Read more

Gulf States power play scuppers peace bid

A peace conference on Sudan declined to hold the Middle Eastern sponsors of the war to account. Now the conflict is spreading to Chad

If anyone questioned that the Gulf States United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, with their less pecunious partner Egypt, hold a veto on Sudan policy, the conference in...


Contest heats up as court blocks Thiam

The opposition prepares mass protests after the PDCI’s presidential candidate is taken off the voters’ roll

The main opposition Parti démocratique de Côte d’Ivoire (PDCI) is in crisis after an Ivorian court removed its presidential candidate Tidjane Thiam from the electoral register. The court...


Security falls apart as Biya totters

Focusing on fixing national elections in October, top officials are failing to respond to the insurgents targeting the regime

The collapsing security system in Cameroon is seriously threatening 92-year-old President Paul Biya’s regime in what many in Yaoundé say is its twilight period. Determined to run for...


Military alliance and port deal with Russia goes live

The pact has been ratified, expanding Moscow’s reach in the Gulf of Guinea and upsetting the US although it is retreating from the region

On 3 April Prime Minister Américo Ramos of the Acção Democrática Independente (ADI), approved a military cooperation agreement with Russia, first signed in St. Petersburg a year ago...


Ruto pivots from Washington to Beijing

Kenya’s embattled president calculates that being nice to Donald Trump can only get you so far – his meeting with Xi Jinping may have netted billions

For a cash-strapped government and a deeply unpopular president, William Ruto’s five-day trip to China could hardly have gone better. He returned with the promise of new investment...



Pointers

The juntas join the gold rush

On 23 April, Niger advanced its mineral development by partnering with Emirati firm Suvarna Royal Gold Trading LLC. The deal, formalised in Niamey, establishes Royal Gold Niger SA,...