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Published 25th January 2019

Vol 60 No 2


Africa in 2019: The youngest continent fights back

Protesters burn tyres on the highway from Harare to Bulawayo. Pic: Shaun Jusa/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
Protesters burn tyres on the highway from Harare to Bulawayo. Pic: Shaun Jusa/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

Shakier economies and an accelerating youth revolt dominate our second special issue on the year ahead

There are clear parallels between the wave of protests demanding radical change across Africa this month with the early days of the North African revolt in 2011, known as the Arab Spring. In most cases, those protests had brought together activists outside traditional party and civic structures.

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Three's a crowd

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019

The marriage of convenience between Uhuru and Raila will start to unravel as money grows tight and a rival consort asserts himself

Kenya's political landscape in 2019 will be dominated by two-way competition between Deputy President William Ruto of the ruling Jubilee Party and former Prime Minister Raila Oding...

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Turbulent beginnings

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019

As protests against austerity grow, factions within the military and ruling party are vying for power and bludgeoning dissent

Everything hangs on the economy in 2019, but the outlook is dire. There are two semi-functional currencies apart from real US dollar notes: electronic 'US dollars' in local bank ac...


Debt and discontent

The economy and the popularity of President Lungu are shrinking fast, but the opposition is struggling to take advantage

With no prospect of a deal with the International Monetary Fund, the stand-off with donors over embezzled aid money far from resolved, ballooning domestic arrears, and low foreign ...


Midterm blues and red lines

President Akufo-Addo is pushing for bold development on industry and education – but few citizens feel any short-term benefit

As he marks the halfway point for his government, President Nana Addo Akufo-Addo wants to push ahead with ambitious economic modernisation plans before campaigning for the 2020 ele...


A stasis of emergency

Bouteflika looks certain to stand again. Sick, isolated and out of ideas, he is a cipher for a political system that is out of time

President Abdelaziz Bouteflika's quiet mid-January visit to his cardiologist in Grenoble reminded Algerians that for all the country's economic and social problems, politics remain...


Sliding into autocracy

President Magufuli is stifling liberties but investment confidence is crashing and resource nationalism is yielding few benefits

Since entering office a little over three years ago, President John Pombe Magufuli has focused on domestic affairs. Despite the approach of the 2020 general election, he will pay g...


A compromised regime

After the president was re-elected, partly thanks to northern armed groups who brought in the vote, optimism is in short supply

Mali ended 2018 better than many expected. On the national political front, the presidential election went smoothly and President Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta was re-elected for a s...


US spears the loan sharks

Indictments against foreign bankers and top Frelimo officials tied to the $2billion secret loans fraud have panicked the government. The charges are just the beginning

The United States government has indicted a swathe of bankers, sales people and Mozambican public officials with wire fraud, money laundering and securities fraud. It claims a crim...


A rapidly growing field

As Ouattara mulls a third term despite widespread opposition to the move, his predecessor is confident of a triumphant return

If confirmed at a review hearing set for 1 February, the acquittal of ex-President Laurent Gbagbo at the International Criminal Court (ICC) will inject further momentum into a comp...


Anger and innovation

The king’s new development strategy will seek to answer chronic problems that threaten the monarchy’s long-term stability

There will be more glitzy openings of high-profile infrastructure like Africa's first high-speed train, coupled with headline-grabbing sackings of officials following 'colèr...


Mogadishu lashes out

Hidden frustrations broke surface when Farmajo expelled the UN envoy, underlining major differences with the international community on the way forward

The expulsion of Nicholas Haysom, the UN Secretary General's Special Representative in Somalia, has opened a rift with the powers backing the federal government and financing the m...