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Published 19th March 2020

Vol 61 No 6


Avoiding the nightmare

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020

After the coronavirus shuts down Western economies, Africa’s governments face stark health and financial choices

Despite the lower numbers of people infected by the coronavirus in the region, Chikwe Ihekweazu, head of the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, warns of the need for rapid action now. Huge effort must go into stopping transmission of the coronavirus, or Covid-19, before it picks up speed.

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Ramaphosa’s next test

Cyril Ramaphosa delivers the joint statement on coronavirus. Pic: GCIS
Cyril Ramaphosa delivers the joint statement on coronavirus. Pic: GCIS

The pandemic could not have come at a worse time for an ailing economy already stressed to the limit

The collapse of the global financial markets, the tanking oil price, and the threat of a major global economic recession have radically altered the backdrop to South Africa's econo...


The fight for Jubilee

Pic: Prachaya / stock.adobe.com
Pic: Prachaya / stock.adobe.com

Open warfare between factions loyal to the President and his Deputy have taken the governing party to the brink of collapse

The death and funeral of ex-President Daniel arap Moi last month may have united political leaders in an outbreak of praise, but the bitter struggle for control of the governing Ju...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

We are all democrats now, at least up to a point. That point has been reached in a raft of West and East African states where the regional economic groupings were meant to be upholding higher standards of accountability and governance. The Economic Community of West African States has nudged some autocrats and kleptocrats from power, and encouraged their successors to hold more credible elections. 

As economic and security pressures moun...

We are all democrats now, at least up to a point. That point has been reached in a raft of West and East African states where the regional economic groupings were meant to be upholding higher standards of accountability and governance. The Economic Community of West African States has nudged some autocrats and kleptocrats from power, and encouraged their successors to hold more credible elections. 

As economic and security pressures mount, the regional groupings are abandoning that role. In Kampala, General Henry Tumukunde is in prison facing treason charges after threatening to stand for the presidency against his former boss, President Yoweri Museveni. In Guinea and Togo, the presidents are emulating Museveni's example of seeking multiple re-elections.  

President Faure Gnassingbé of Togo won a fourth term after changing the constitution. On polling day, troops surrounded the house of Agbéyomé Kodjo, his main opponent. 

In Guinea, Alpha Condé, 81, has postponed a referendum to change the constitution but few doubt he wants another term. And Egypt's President Abdel Fattah el Sisi distrusts Sudan's transition to democracy, especially the government's support of Ethiopia in its dispute with Egypt on the Blue Nile dam. For Sisi, who attended Cairo's military academy with Sudan's generals, plans by civilian ministers in Khartoum to unpick the army's hold on the national economy are unacceptable, setting a bad regional precedent. 

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The Emir exits

Sacked after clashing with Kano’s governor, Lamido Sanusi may be heading for an overt political role

For the second time in as many decades, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi has been pushed out of a top institution, with opinion divided over his future. Again, he will stoke political turmoil ...


New party, old tactics

The opposition is up against a still powerful security state while campaigning for the August elections

Many oppositionists believe the general election scheduled for 29 August has already veered from the fair, democratic process promised by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed when he took off...


The hit on Hamdok

The attempt on the Prime Minister’s life underscores his vulnerability and puts the spotlight on his myriad foes

Whether the bomb attack on Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok's convoy on 9 March was a serious bid to kill him or just a show of strength by backers of the former regime it has further...


Frontier fracas

Conflict flares between Mogadishu and Nairobi over Jubaland. Kenya wants a buffer zone but Farmajo has other ideas

Months of tensions between Mogadishu and its southern state of Jubaland came to the boil in early March and spilled across the Kenyan border in a violent face-off between the Somal...


Cairo and Addis split over dam

Ethiopia has pulled out of US-hosted talks on the Blue Nile project as bitterness and mistrust grow

Ethiopia is courting regional states and the African Union to bolster its diplomatic position after pulling out of United States-mediated talks on the filling and operations of the...


Ouattara and son

The outgoing President has moved quickly to name his preferred heir, hoping to steal a march on his rivals and cement his legacy

The crucial first stage of the race to succeed President Alassane Ouattara ended quickly when Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly was hastily named as the candidate of the ruling R...



Pointers

All is forgiven

Nouakchott is abuzz with reports that ex-President Maaouiya Ould Sid'Ahmed Taya, deposed in a 2005 coup but now in poor health in exile in Qatar, may be on his way home. It could i...


In search of an envoy

The signs point to an African being appointed UN special envoy to Libya after the surprise resignation of Lebanese Ghassan Salamé on 2 March. On 10 March, the head of the Tr...


Turf war over Sahel

The announcement by African Union Peace and Security Commissioner Smaïl Chergui on 27 February that the AU would send 3,000 troops to join the regional and national forces fightin...