Far from mediating peace deals in Africa, the rival Gulf monarchies are exacerbating conflict
The outbreak of controlled hostilities between the monarchies of Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates in December is deepening fissures across East Africa and the Horn. There are two obvious flashpoints: Israel’s recognition, backed and coordinated by the UAE, of the territorial integrity of the Somaliland region, which broke away from Somalia in 1991, is strongly opposed by all the regional organisations together with China and Turkey. But Ethiopia and Kenya, close to both Israel and the UAE, are sympathetic to recognition but calculate the risks are too high for now.
A fierce crackdown and a fractured opposition decisively shifted the contest long before the votes were counted
President Yoweri Museveni was expected to retain power following the 15 January polls. But few anticipated he would win with such a margin or that the ruling party...
Oppositionists make progress on a unity deal as insurgents tighten their grip on Tigray, Amhara, and Oromia
Ethiopia is trapped in a stalemate. With military victory impossible and political consensus unreachable, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government is falling back on divide and rule. The prime...