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Published 19th December 2025

Vol 66 No 25


Benin

Tinubu claims a rare win in his anti-putschist fight

Pic: @officialABAT
Pic: @officialABAT

Stopping the coup in Benin could mark a turnaround in the fortunes of the Ecowas regional bloc after a spate of military takeovers since 2020

Recent history gave Nigeria’s President Bola Ahmed Tinubu every reason to stop the attempted putsch in neighbouring Benin on 7 December. Having cut his political teeth campaigning against military rule in the 1990s, Tinubu has a strong aversion to putschists. After being sworn as President in May 2023, Tinubu reshuffled the military high command, favouring loyalty above all else, including integrity or competence. Two months ago, Tinubu again shuffled the command after reports of a coup plot involving a Brigadier General.


Goïta’s junta goes drone shopping

Assimi Goïta. Pic: @PresidenceMali
Assimi Goïta. Pic: @PresidenceMali

Lucrative contracts with a Turkish arms dealer point to graft and power struggles in Bamako, even as jihadists edge closer

Apart from keeping itself in power by bartering resources, it returned three tonnes of gold after resolving a two-year dispute with Canada’s Barrick gold this month, the Bamako...


Gold, power and the price of control

John Dramani Mahama. Pic: @JDMahama
John Dramani Mahama. Pic: @JDMahama

Surging markets, a sweeping audit and deepening conflict are reshaping the battle for mining’s spoils – behind the boom lies a scramble for influence

A far-reaching audit of large mining companies, launched last month, has rattled Ghana’s booming gold sector. Some had expected stricter controls on taxes and royalties but questioned these...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Raising capital was the first major challenge facing Sidi Ould Tah, president of the African Development Bank (AfDB), when he was elected in May. Part of Ould Tah’s appeal was his previous role as head of the Banque Arabe pour le Développement Économique en Afrique (BADEA) and the prospect of his being able to secure funding from the Gulf.

The faith of delegates – 76% of whom backed him – has already been rewarded. On 16 December, the African D...

Raising capital was the first major challenge facing Sidi Ould Tah, president of the African Development Bank (AfDB), when he was elected in May. Part of Ould Tah’s appeal was his previous role as head of the Banque Arabe pour le Développement Économique en Afrique (BADEA) and the prospect of his being able to secure funding from the Gulf.

The faith of delegates – 76% of whom backed him – has already been rewarded. On 16 December, the African Development Fund, the AfDB’s soft loan affiliate, secured a record US$11 billion from its 17th Replenishment Conference in London. That includes $800 million from BADEA and $2bn from the OPEC Fund for International Development, representing a 23% increase on the previous summit in 2022. The replenishment summit was co-hosted by Ghana and the United Kingdom: the latter has imposed some of the deepest development budget cuts of any western country. By 2029, its development spending will have more than halved over the course of a decade.

Shrinking aid budgets – the OECD estimates that they fell by up to 17% in 2025 on top of a 9% drop in 2024 – mean that development finance institutions, of which the AfDB is Africa’s largest, will have to take up the slack. Ould Tah plans a major expansion of AfDB lending, leveraging the bank’s balance sheet and increasing the risk profile of its portfolio. The new cash is a good start.

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All that glisters in Addis

The central bank’s eyebrow-raising gold export figures are raising questions about the precious metal’s provenance

Ethiopia has posted a staggering rise in gold exports, earning US$3.5 billion from 37 tonnes in the fiscal year ending 7 July, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed told the...


Mogadishu’s strategy in limbo as rumour mills whirr

Trial balloons, rumours and back-channel traffic offer pointers to the strategic future of the country as foreign allies take up their own positions

The air is thick with contradictory indicators about Somalia’s future, from online warnings that Mogadishu is about to be overrun by Al Shabaab through to media articles saying...


Policies? What policies?

Diplomats consulted 47 governments and 25 multilateral institutions, but Britain’s new Africa policy is still seen as a damp squib

‘A new approach to Africa’ was the promise of Britain’s Labour government, led by Sir Keir Starmer, ahead of its 16 December launch. Yet after six months of...


Ex-dictator threatens a homecoming

Despite being accused of plundering the state and murdering opponents Yahya Jammeh is coming home and little stands in his way

After nine years in exile in Equatorial Guinea, Yahya Jammeh, the dictator who ruled Gambia for 22 years with an iron fist, has announced he is returning to...



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