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European Union will block co-operation with Russian mercenaries in Mali, CAR and Libya
United States diplomats have welcomed the European Union's imposition of sanctions on the Russian mercenary Wagner Group, and eight of its senior commanders, under its Magnitsky human rights...
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WTO chief complains of 'sabotage' in talks on technology transfer by pharma companies to developing countries
A pledge by South Africa to give away two million doses of Johnson & Johnson's Covid-19 vaccine to low-income countries in the region adds to the substance of...
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The virtual meeting was stronger on symbolism than practical policies with 16 African countries participating and counted as US allies
The most tangible development to come out of the United States' summit for democracy on 9-10 December was its pledge of $424 million to fight corruption and promote...
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Vaccine nationalism, supercharged by fears of the Omicron variant, pushes African countries towards local manufacturing
The indefinite postponement of the World Trade Organization's meeting on a temporary waiver of the intellectual property rights on Covid vaccines, and the emergence of the Omicron variant...
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With the polls favouring his rival, Deputy President Ruto, Odinga will have an uphill struggle in the key regions that will decide the vote
Leader of Orange Democratic Movement and veteran oppositionist, Raila Odinga held his Azimio la Umoja rally to launch his presidential candidacy on 10 December at the 60,000-seat Kasarani...
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Vol 62 No 24 |
- KENYA
- CHINA
A showpiece for Beijing-Nairobi cooperation the Standard Gauge Railway project is also one of the world's costliest
Concerns are rising about Kenya's capacity to repay the hefty loans it took from Chinese contractors and banks to finance the Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) as the cost...
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The latest oil spill devastation comes as political tensions rise in a region that has seen little benefit from its production of the country's main export
Since local producer Aiteo first reported a spill in the Niger Delta on 5 November, thousands of barrels of crude oil have flowed into the network of creeks...
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A Presidential prerogative appears to have granted Deputy President William Ruto another stay of execution
Plans to expel Deputy President William Ruto from the ruling Jubilee party have clashed with the presidential calendar. Uhuru Kenyatta's eighth and last State of the Nation address...
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After failing to back the IMF's $50 billion vaccine plan, G20 countries are trying to make their aid programmes look more generous
Successive attempts to get the rich countries of the G7 and G20 to agree on a plan to vaccinate most of the world against Covid-19 have ended in...
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The US's top diplomats return to the continent with shuttle diplomacy, infrastructure funding and a democracy campaign
Secretary of State Antony Blinken, the United States' top diplomat, spent much of his three-stop tour of Africa last week fighting the headlines. That diluted the bold aims...
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Pro-democracy groups reject post-coup deal as transitional government ministers resign en masse
The pact announced on 21 November between the generals that seized power last month and Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok keeps the military in the driving seat with control...
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Shortcomings in the Glasgow agreement will raise pressure on countries' and companies' commitments at Egypt's COP27 summit next year
African delegates to the UN Climate summit in Glasgow shared wider disappointments about the last minute weakening of the language on fossil fuels in the agreement on 13...
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Bitter legacy in the Niger Delta 26 years after the execution of Ken Saro Wiwa and eight others
Just weeks after President Muhammadu Buhari signed into law far-reaching reforms of the oil and gas industry, national production is lagging behind forecasts and revenues are falling short.
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Demonstrations in the capital follow clashes in the south as economic conditions worsen
There are growing signs that President Kaïs Saïed is beginning to lose popular support for his suspension of parliament amid frustration over a deepening crisis in public finances....
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Hardest hit by climate change but producing the lowest emissions, the continent is losing out in the deal-making in Scotland
Negotiators at the UN COP26 climate summit, which is due to close on 12 November, are racing to avert failure on its two main aims: to limit global...
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Embassies prepare to evacuate staff from the capital as the federal government holds mass rally to mobilise support
On 8 November, the UN Security Council is due to discuss the worsening turmoil in Ethiopia and its regional consequences. Although there is no majority on the Council...
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Following Washington's lead, Brussels mulls sanctions on leaders on warring sides in the Tigray conflict
In the wake of the United States warning on targeted sanctions and ejection of Ethiopia from Washington's free trade deal in Africa, the European Union is discussing plans...
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Major revamp of the ruling party likely after President's former ally readies his campaign
The eight-year marriage of convenience between President Uhuru Kenyatta and his deputy William Ruto will end this month when the Jubilee party holds its National Delegates Convention. Its...
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Security forces killed at least three and wounded 100 protestors at rally in Khartoum on 30 October
Confusion reigns at the heart of General Abdel Fattah al Burhan's junta a week after he seized power and ordered the arrest of Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok and...
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Vol 62 No 22 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Shambolic state of towns and distrust of bigger parties help new entrants in watershed local elections
The elections in South Africa's 278 municipalities on 1 November are a 'now or never moment' for the ruling African National Congress (ANC) to win back the confidence...
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Vol 62 No 22 |
- KENYA
- BRITAIN
Confusion over eligible vaccines and questions about a health-workers deal cast a shadow over Britain's trade campaign
Although President Uhuru Kenyatta returned to Nairobi with £132 million (US$181m) in trade and investment deals after co-hosting the Global Education Summit with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson...
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Continuing shortages of vaccines and medical equipment undermine the continent's fight against the pandemic
Alongside climate change, uneven economic recovery from the pandemic, the deep inequities in vaccine distribution will be on the agenda again at the G20 talks in Rome on...
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Rich countries are under pressure to step up pledges on climate finance and flexibility on energy policy
African governments say there is growing unease about the weight given to environmental conditions on the continent in preparatory talks for the COP26 climate summit opening on 31...
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Vol 62 No 22 |
- KENYA
- UGANDA
A much-needed diplomatic mission could repair the ructions at the heart of East Africa's single market project
Officials from Nairobi are to travel to Uganda next month to verify disputed claims over milk and sugar imports as one of the major trade fights in the...
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Vol 62 No 22 |
- MOROCCO
- BRITAIN
Rabat bars some European visitors amid rising Covid infections and vaccine rules come under scrutiny
After over a year of tight travel restrictions by European states on their Africa counterparts, the boot is on the other foot. Morocco has banned incoming and outbound...
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The military's power-grab after weeks of negotiations deepens the crisis over the country's return to constitutional rule
With his proclaimed dissolution of the transitional government in Khartoum and the arrest of the prime minister and other civilian leaders on 25 October, the armed forces commander...
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FIRST PERSON DISPATCHES | Arguments and debates about the issues that matter most to Africa | By Tim Concannon
Protests in Britain by Extinction Rebellion this year have seen two constant features: confrontations with police, and First Nation activists from Central and South America calling for an...
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A shadowy alliance with links to the ousted Beshir regime is calling for a coup against the transitional government
Efforts to derail Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok's reform agenda and oust the civilian-dominated council of ministers have intensified with a military-backed protest in Khartoum on 16 October. This...
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Vol 62 No 21 |
- KENYA
- SOMALIA
A further souring of relations between Nairobi and Mogadishu could damage regional stability
Relations between Mogadishu and Nairobi are set to plunge still lower in the wake of the ruling by the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on 12 October which...
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Starting his second term, Abiy has brought in some carefully chosen opposition figures and centralised more control in his office
A month after a second round of parliamentary elections confirmed the Prosperity Party's landslide victory in June, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has launched a new offensive against the...
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The OECD's reforms will boost rich countries' tax revenues but do little to stem illicit financial flows from developing economies
Governments around the world could get over $150bn in extra tax revenues a year under a new accord signed at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development in...
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Growing worries about the future of the multilateral lenders will haunt this week’s annual meetings in Washington DC
The annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank open on 11 October against a backdrop of political rows in both institutions. Those fights, touching on...
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Brussels bureaucrats and Moroccan diplomats are trying to find a way around another troublesome European Court ruling
The ruling by the European Court of Justice confirming its refusal to extend the EU's trade and fisheries agreements with Morocco to cover the Western Sahara marks another...
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Ahead of next year's elections President Macron's government wants to look tougher on migration
France's decision to halve the number of visas available to Moroccans and Algerians and reduce by a third those for Tunisians has triggered a backlash and has re-energised...
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Tax losses and illicit financial flows are growing a decade after a high-level African Union report calculated they were costing the continent over $60 billion a year
The leak of documents known as the Pandora Papers and published on 3 October showed that 35 current and former heads of state, three in Africa, along with...
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Tensions have lowered a notch with President Saïed's appointment of Najla Romdhane as prime minister but underlying crisis is deepening
By naming Najla Bouden Romdhane as Tunisia's first female prime minister on 29 September, President Kaïs Saïed has briefly changed the political conversation but disclosed little about...
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After accusing him of backing Tigray's resistance, Ethiopia's federal government declined to support its candidate at the WHO
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus looks set for a second term as Director-General of the World Health Organization after the German government endorsed his candidacy. We hear that no other...
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Vol 62 No 20 |
- AFRICA
- AIRLINES
Two of Africa's biggest airlines are relaunching this month with longer-term plans to merge their operations
Once African airline giants, massive financial losses and failed government rescue attempts have left Kenya Airways and South African Airways on life support. But both have set out...
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Secretary General Guterres's report calls for systemic reforms to counter weakening of multilateralism
There is consensus at the UN General Assembly about the main themes of the high-level meetings which started in New York on 20 September: reaching agreement at the...
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Vol 62 No 19 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Rocked by the pandemic, a shaky economy and July's insurrection, the ANC is struggling to win back support
The starting gun fired on 20 September for campaigning in the local elections with the Constitutional Court ruling that parties could reopen their candidate nominations ahead of voting...
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Plans for a 'strategic partnership' between the EU and Africa were an early victim of the Covid pandemic
In her annual State of the EU speech on 16 September, the offer of investment in green energy and new promises on vaccine supply were the only mentions...
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Signs of gradualist reform in new cabinet but opposition steps up criticism of securocrats and rights abuses
Technocrats and those exiled by her predecessor are the main beneficiaries from President Samia Suluhu Hassan's mini cabinet reshuffle. She named four new ministers, dropped three, and appointed...
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Vol 62 No 18 |
- RWANDA
- UGANDA
There is no end to the froideur between Kigali and Kampala as each country makes new regional trade plans
Rwanda's closure of the Katuna border with Uganda – the busiest crossing – curtailed trade between the two countries in early 2019. The crossings stayed closed despite numerous...
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Planned deal could give consortium a dominant role in more market-oriented communications industry
The decision by the European Commission's competition authority to clear Kenyan telecoms company Safaricom and its European parent Vodafone of competition concerns gives the green light for the...
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The parliamentary elections have strengthened the authority of King Mohammed VI and the Makhzen
The crushing defeat of the Islamist Parti de la justice et du développement in the parliamentary elections on 8 September shakes up the political scene with a coalition...
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West African leaders are preparing to negotiate with the Conakry putschists a year after the coup in Mali
Within hours of Colonel Mamady Doumbouya and his men seizing power in Conakry in the morning of 5 September and arresting President Alpha Condé, regional leaders were calling...
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As fighting spreads and alliances come under strain, neither side expects a diplomatic breakthrough for peace talks
So many regional diplomats and officials have been criticising the African Union for its failure to highlight horrific abuses in the 10-month war between the federal government in...
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Credible plans are in train to establish production centres in Africa but the global inequities in distributions are stark and deadly
On 6 September, Britain's former Prime Minister Gordon Brown told the BBC that the Group of 7 economies would have a billion surplus doses of vaccine by the...
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New finance minister Musokotwane targets IMF deal within three months
In a blitz of new appointments just days after he was sworn in, President Hakainde Hichilema has appointed veteran economist Situmbeko Musokotwane as Finance Minister, a role he...
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After the courts throw out the constitutional reform plan, the political rivals resort to new tactics
The constitutional referendum may be off the agenda and Deputy President William Ruto's rivals may have been wrong-footed but the political battles are set to intensify. President Uhuru...
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Vol 62 No 18 |
- NIGERIA
- RUSSIA
President Buhari's government says it wants arms and technology, not troops, from the West but even those might be heavily rationed
There is no comparison between the military deployments and trillions of dollars spent by the United States and its allies in Afghanistan and the West's involvement in the...
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Widespread criticism forces European Commission to review supply deal which ignored emergency needs in Africa
After activists in South Africa demanded to see details of their government's contracts with Johnson & Johnson and other pharmaceutical companies, under which locally-bottled vaccines were to be...
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Public backing said to be growing for rule by decree and sacking of prime minister
After dismissing Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi and suspending the National Assembly on 25 July, President Kaïs Saïed has seen his popularity grow as he promises 'strong leadership' to...
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Foreign ministry initiative creates tensions with the presidency in Entebbe
President Yoweri Museveni's government may have seen a chance to curry favour with the United States by quickly agreeing to take in 2,000 refugees fleeing Afghanistan after the...
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Arrears on payments to contractors and suppliers have risen by 8% this year
Treasury Secretary Ukur Yatani may have gained a bit of breathing room via a $2.4 billion programme with the IMF in May, and a fourth Eurobond issue worth...
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Shell retreats from Niger Delta operations as oil reforms pass into law and Ghana steps up plan to boost production
Three months ahead of the UN Climate summit (COP26) in Scotland and the rising toll of extreme weather, floods, drought and forest fires, African governments say they...
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Quiet determination of voters wins out against growing authoritarianism, economic meltdown and cronyism
In a short speech on state television on 16 August, President Edgar Lungu congratulated his rival Hakainde Hichilema on his landslide win in last week's presidential elections and...
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The ruling will shape the game plan for next year's presidential election and Deputy President Ruto gears up his own campaign
President Uhuru Kenyatta and 'handshake' partner Raila Odinga have paved the way for their constitutional reform package to speed through parliament, with a referendum to be held within...
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An alliance between Tigray and Oromo military factions against Addis Ababa is set to escalate the fighting across the country
The Oromo Liberation Army, a militant breakaway group, says it is in talks with the Tigray People's Liberation Front to create a military and political alliance aimed at...
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Tensions rise amid reports that the Lungu government may seek an injunction to suspend the electoral process
Election observers said that voting was overwhelmingly peaceful in the national elections on 12 August in what independent analysts say was the country's highest voter turnout since multi-party...
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'Nobody is safe and it’s getting worse faster' says UN Environment Programme head Inger Andersen at launch of report for climate change summit
The UN-backed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) delivered on 9 August its most devastating estimate to date of the costs of our consumption of fossil fuels. It...
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Opposition leader Mbowe and allies are due in court in mid-August to answer charges of 'terrorist activity'
The trial of Freeman Mbowe, the chairman of opposition party Chadema, will be a key test of whether President Samia Suluhu Hassan's regime is dropping the authoritarianism of...
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Vol 62 No 16 |
- SOUTH SUDAN
At stake in the faction-fighting among the opposition is the chance of a national peace and a reformed security system
Fissures between the opposition party and its military wing pose the latest existential threat to the fragile peace process in South Sudan and could delay plans for a...
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Vol 62 No 16 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Cautious to a fault, the President has shuffled the pack sending out mixed signals to ANC loyalists and investors
Two weeks after a failed insurrection cost 337 lives and inflicted over US$4 billion in damage to the already stuttering economy, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced on 5 August...
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Although they refuse to finance the IMF's global vaccine plan, the world's richest economies compete on pledges to share out the shots
After it became clear that rich countries would get Covid-19 vaccines far faster than the global south having tied up all the procurement contracts last year, they started...
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British officials say they asked for access to Nnamdi Kanu while Beninois authorities delay return of Sunday Igboho
Behind the photo opportunity shots of President Muhammadu Buhari meeting British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in London on 29 July at the Global Education Summit diplomatic tensions are...
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France's President Macron calls for talks as USAID chief Samantha Power lands in region for five-day visit
Both the Ethiopian federal government and the Tigrayan forces are hardening their positions as the conflict enters what the International Crisis Group describes as a 'dangerous new phase'...
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Delta variant has reached 26 countries with case fatality rates among the world's highest
As the third wave of the coronavirus pandemic sweeps across Africa, the continent has become the most vulnerable region hit by the more transmissible Delta variant of the...
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The deal-making has paid off and Israel will send a delegation to the next AU summit
Israel's success in winning observer status at the African Union reflects relentless lobbying by ex-Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government. Israel's diplomatic opening with Morocco and Sudan last year...
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Cast aside by Raila Odinga, his former allies plan to join a rival alliance ahead of next year's elections
The collapse of Kenya's National Super Alliance, the opposition coalition that lost the 2017 election, looks certain after three of the party leaders involved – Amani National...
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Kigali’s attempts to position itself as an international safe haven for asylum-seekers continue apace
Last week, a new batch of 133 asylum-seekers intending to travel to Europe from Libya landed in Rwanda to have their claims processed. A further 60 have since...
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Vol 62 No 15 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
Historic foes – President Ouattara and ex-President Gbagbo – claim they want to put the past behind them
The first meeting in over a decade between President Alassane Ouattara and his predecessor Laurent Gbagbo next Tuesday (27 July) is billed as symbolising long-delayed national reconciliation. The...
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Vol 62 No 15 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Despite the government's slow response, it has public support to crack down hard on the looters and their sponsors
President Cyril Ramaphosa managed to get through his national TV address on Friday (16 July) condemning the people behind this 'attempted insurrection' without once mentioning the name of...
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By beating the ruling party in the Mount Kenya region, Deputy President Ruto has scored a palpable hit against the President
Deputy President William Ruto notched up another success in his bid to win next August's presidential election after his personal political vehicle, the United Democratic Alliance, won a...
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For the second year running, many of the continent's most popular tourist attractions have been shuttered by the pandemic
While case numbers and deaths from Covid-19 continue to rise across Africa, the devastating costs of the travel restrictions that have been imposed on visitors as a consequence...
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Vol 62 No 15 |
- CONGO-KINSHASA
Parallel investigations into state capture and corporate graft force policy shifts as treasury funds run dry
Reports emerging from parallel investigations in Britain, Switzerland, and the United States point to the operation of an elite network which has laundered cash and paid over US$360...
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International agencies push to get aid to war-torn region after Prosperity Party sweeps the country
There was scarcely a celebratory party to mark the sweeping wins of Premier Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party across the country. On paper, winning 410 out of the 436...
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Vol 62 No 14 |
- KENYA
- UGANDA
As electoral rivalries get ever more complex in Nairobi, a leading presidential contender seeks backing in Kampala
Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni says that his meeting with Kenya's Deputy President William Ruto last week was simply a gathering of neighbouring leaders. But to State House watchers...
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Vol 62 No 14 |
- AFRICA
- BRITAIN
British government plans to cut £4 billion (US$5.5bn) from aid budget sparks protests from philanthropists and politicians
Civil society activists who joined forces with opposition MPs and Conservative rebels to force a parliamentary vote on 13 July on the British government's plan to cut its...
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Billions of dollars of new projects are moving ahead after President Hassan and her new government have signalled a change in economic and political strategy
President Samia Suluhu Hassan has spent much of her first four months in office trying to re-establish relationships and moderate the radical policies of her predecessor John Magufuli,...
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The UN Security Council is likely to reject an effort by Tunisia to persuade it to intervene in the increasingly bitter regional dispute over Ethiopia's mega-dam
In a rare outbreak of north African solidarity, Tunisia has called on the United Nations Security Council to finalise a binding agreement between Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt on...
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An independent investigation raises more questions about the businessman's ties to President Mnangagwa, his Deputy and the Reserve Bank governor
Behind the opaque corporate structures set up by local mogul Kudakwashe Tagwirei, there is evidence that officials have used state resources to sponsor his network of over 40...
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Brutal army crackdowns against pro-democracy protests have prompted concerns among Eswatini's neighbours, with the Southern African Development Community sending a team of 16 ministers to the country on...
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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, which currently provides financing for neighbours to EU countries, is set to become the latest development financial institution to expand its...
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Vol 62 No 13 |
- HEALTH
- COVID-19
The UN system, IMF and World Bank sound new warning on deadly failures over vaccine deliveries to developing countries
Almost a month after the Group of 7 summit, where the world's richest economies promised to deliver a billion vaccines to developing countries by early next year, there...
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Appeal court hearing will decide the fate of the Building Bridges Initiative and perhaps next year's elections
Judges sat for five consecutive days at the Appeal Court to review the 14 May High Court ruling that the Building Bridges Initiative (BBI), at the centre of...
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Addis Ababa under pressure to open negotiations as Tigrayan forces consolidate after retaking Mekelle
Regional officials and diplomats are urging Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government to launch talks with its opponents in Tigray three days after it pulled federal troops out of...
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Election pact hailed by insiders as return to Grand Coalition Government but sceptics abound
For loyalists of Raila Odinga, his electoral negotiations with President Uhuru Kenyatta and the Jubilee party are the logical conclusion of their celebrated handshake deal which ended hostilities...
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Vol 62 No 13 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The former President may want to reconcile the country but even after a decade away, he remains a divisive political figure
As his motorcade filed through the streets of Abidjan on 17 June from the airport at Port-Bouët towards his political headquarters in upmarket Cocody, ex-President Laurent Gbagbo's massive...
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Billed by Premier Abiy as a first attempt at 'free and fair elections', over 37 million are registered to vote for a new parliament
Politicians across the spectrum agree that Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party (PP) will win a substantial majority of the 547 seats in parliament in the national elections...
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The death of Independence leader Kenneth Kaunda has triggered a fight over his legacy in a heated election campaign
As citizens and regional leaders paid tribute to the country's first president, Kenneth Kaunda, who died on 17 June at the age of 97, some local politicians were...
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Vol 62 No 12 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
- G7
Grand plans for trillions of dollars in green infrastructure fund and environmental protection could benefit African states if they coordinate bids
In painfully slow increments, South Africa, India together with the leaders of the World Health Organization (WHO) and World Trade Organization (WTO), backed by an army of campaigners...
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Regional recovery plan depends on more borrowing and tougher tax enforcement
Budget day on 10 June in East Africa meant 'borrowing', as the region's three biggest economies unveiled their tax and spending plans for the coming fiscal year. All...
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Cyril Ramaphosa to attend discussions at G-7 summit on deepening regional crisis in the Horn despite an ominous silence from the African Union
The conclusions of internal UN documents that over 350,000 people in the Tigray region are starving amid 'catastrophic conditions' after seven months of fighting between federal forces and...
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Accused of making political payments with agency funds, minister flies to region to dampen down tensions
Niger Delta militant leader Government Ekpemupolo, also known as Tompolo, issued an ultimatum to President Muhammadu Buhari and Niger Delta minister Godswill Akpabio. Appoint a substantive board for...
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Vol 62 No 11 |
- AFRICA
- BRITAIN
- G7
Parliamentary rebels in London organise to stop government's reneging on funding pledges just days ahead of G7 summit
When the heads of state and government of the Group of 7 biggest economies meet in Cornwall on 11-13 June, their host, Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson, says...
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A locally brokered deal has unblocked the impasse over indirect elections but $15 million will be needed to finance them
Mediators may have staved off another crisis after reaching agreement between President Mohamed Abdallah Mohamed 'Farmajo's' government and federal state leaders that paves the way for delayed indirect...
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Faced with a foreign exchange drought, policy makers are rapidly discarding the shibboleths of Buhari-nomics
Ending the fuel subsidy, devaluing the naira, incentives for big oil investors and privatising the power transmission network were all anathema to the policy predilections of President Muhammadu...
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A week of performative diplomacy over genocides raises far more questions than it answers
Far from drawing a line under Germany's genocide in Namibia between 1904-1908 and France's involvement in the genocide in Rwanda in 1994, the declarations by Berlin and Paris...
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In their different ways, the loss of the Army Chief in a plane crash and the death of the Boko Haram leader create new problems for the government
The crash that killed Chief of Army Staff Lieutenant General Ibrahim Attahiru, three brigadiers and seven other officers, as their air force plane tried to land at Kaduna...
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Prime Minister Abiy's opponents will focus on disrupting the elections in every way possible
The announcement by Birtukan Mideksa, chairwoman of The National Electoral Board of Ethiopia (NEBE), that the national elections are to be postponed until 21 June risks producing the...
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Vol 62 No 11 |
- FRANCE
- AFRICA
European leaders and international officials ensured the discussions were more about recycling prior pledges
Talk of a 'New Deal' with 'urgency' and 'ambition' for Africa ahead of the grand summit in Paris on 17-18 May ultimately produced no new continent-wide commitments on...
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Differences between Western states on patents and exports are likely to persist after Rome summit
Accusations of 'vaccine apartheid', voiced by South Africa and Kenya in recent months, and repeated again earlier this week by World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus,...
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First in-person conference on the pandemic's economic effects on the continent draws wide turnout
By bringing together 20 African presidents with IMF, World Bank and EU chiefs in Paris on 17-18 May, France's President Emmanuel Macron's declared aim was to launch a...
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An IMF programme and bridging loans could trigger debt reduction programme starting next month
The two days of economic brainstorming on African economies in Paris started well on the morning of 17 May when Sudan's Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok set out his...
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Kampala seeks a trade-off with Kinshasa – military help and intel in exchange for a resolution of legal disputes
Ugandan troops have re–entered Congo-Kinshasa, officially at least, for the first time since the UN and African Union-brokered truce in 2002 that led to the formal exit of...
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Why the court ruling scuppers the government’s plan for a July referendum and boosts its opponents
Political allies President Uhuru Kenyatta and erstwhile opposition leader Raila Odinga have to rethink their political strategy after the High Court in Nairobi threw out their plan to...
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Race heats up for the world’s biggest untapped mobile money market
Having spent years admiring the rise and sustained dominance of Safaricom's mobile money service M-Pesa in Kenya, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government may find itself competing with it...
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Activists contradict ministers' account of meeting which scuppered mass protests planned for 9 May
Organisers of the '#FixTheCountry' group pushed ahead with localised protests and Twitter campaigns after the police obtained a restraining order from the High Court barring a mass demonstration...
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Vol 62 No 10 |
- AFRICA
- HEALTH
US backing for intellectual property waivers on vaccines triggers spat with European Union over distribution and equity
The United States support for a lifting of patents on Covid-19 vaccines in coming negotiations at the World Trade Organization is a big win for African campaigners and...
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After problems with voter registration and security, the chances of another delay in elections are increasing to the frustration of the government
Government officials have told Africa Confidential that there will be no further delays to the polls scheduled for 5 June, and that campaigning has started in earnest. They...
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Along with military threats, a hostile vote in parliament, the loss of foreign finances convinced President Mohamed to change his strategy
The threat of the World Bank, the European Union and the United States pulling the plug on funding appears to have forced President Mohamed Abdullah Mohamed 'Farmajo' to...
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Vol 62 No 10 |
- KENYA
- TANZANIA
Just over a month after President Magufuli's demise, his successor is repairing relations in the region
Strains in relations between Kenya and Tanzania date back decades to stated ideological differences over capitalism and socialism, to Kenya's bigger economy, and down to the national 'ownership'...
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Vol 62 No 10 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The ANC's executive looks set to confirm the suspension of its Secretary General Ace Magashule, leader of the party's dissidents
From 8-10 May, the 86-member National Executive Committee of the African National Congress has the chance to resolve the power-struggle that has gnawed away at its leadership for...
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Niger State governor's claim that Boko Haram insurgents are 'two hours' from Abuja meets eerie silence at Aso Rock
It was meant to be an alarm call of the loudest kind. On 27 April, Niger State governor Abubakar Sani Bello announced that insurgent fighters with Boko Haram...
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Vol 62 No 9 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
After African National Congress officials charged with corruption refuse to step aside, the party will vote on their compulsory suspension
When the last meeting of the ANC's National Executive Committee gave Secretary General Ace Magashule 30 days to consult with party elders and step aside voluntarily, few thought...
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Officials distance themselves from a leaked strategy paper calling for a 3,000 strong intervention force to defeat Islamist insurgents
Pushing back against a growing determination among regional states to take concerted action to quell the insurgency in northern Mozambique, President Fillipe Nyusi has managed to engineer an...
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The United States is to conclude its trade talks with Kenya, allaying concerns they would stall under President Biden's administration
President Joe Biden's government is 'looking forward to continue the ongoing discussions with regard to our FTA,' Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, said on Tuesday (27 April) in...
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Africa's involvement is key to making a success of the latest wave of green tax, finance and technology initiatives
United States President Joe Biden's virtual climate summit on 22-23 April, in which he pledged to cut US fossil fuel emissions by up to 52% of 2005 levels...
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Challenge to reform bill could derail referendum on constitutional change posing a heavy risk for Odinga
The passing of the bill implementing the recommendations of the Building Bridges Initiative should have been a formality paving the way for a referendum. Instead, several embarrassing setbacks...
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Some roads to the Presidency and parliament are blocked by armed gangs
With local, regional and international officials objecting to the bid by President Mohamed Abdullah Mohamed 'Farmajo' to extend his term by two years, ostensibly to organise direct elections,...
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The EU is tag teaming with the US to keep up pressure on Addis Ababa for reconciliation measures ahead of the June election
The European Union will send an election observation mission for June's general elections in Ethiopia, and has restarted sending humanitarian aid to the country, but there are strings...
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Magufuli’s successor hopes to build on his popular anti-corruption legacy to claim new political ground of her own
President Samia Suluhu Hassan made an unequivocal pitch for herself as the political heir to the late President John Magufuli in her first speech to parliamentarians this week...
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Career diplomats dominate the new team as the Biden administration tries to repair ties and regain influence
The nomination of Mary 'Molly' Catherine Phee as US Assistant Secretary of State for Africa on 15 April reinforces the message that career diplomats are back in charge,...
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As the Jubilee government plans a referendum on another costly bout of devolution, citizens protest against rising debt
Arguments over public debt and fiscal balance have left the cabinet rooms and think tanks for the streets. At home and in public meeting places, Kenyans are airing...
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Mandarins in Brussels call it a turning point but the deal makes few commitments on trade terms, climate and migration cash
The European Union and African, Caribbean and Pacific Community on Thursday (15 April) signed off on the successor to the Cotonou agreement, ending two-and-a-half years of negotiations.
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Vol 62 No 9 |
- TANZANIA
- UGANDA
France's Total and China's CNOOC lead the biggest new oil development in Africa as investors assess options as the great energy transition speeds up
Fifteen years after oil was found in commercial quantities on its western border, Uganda is set to become one of Africa's bigger producers with a target of 230,000...
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Arrest of opposition candidates and mass boycotts in elections over the weekend signal a wider attack on political freedom
A succession of presidential elections in Benin (11 April), Chad (11 April), and Djibouti (9 April) followed a familiar playbook with opposition voices excluded, in some cases violently,...
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The IMF wins support for $650 billion reserve currency plan as the US proposes global minimum corporate tax and G-20 extends debt relief package
There are signs that the $650 billion issuance of new Special Drawing Rights, the International Monetary Fund's reserve currency, will offer a bigger boost to African treasuries than...
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Vol 62 No 7 |
- KENYA
- BRITAIN
A 'special relationship' between President Uhuru Kenyatta and Premier Boris Johnson seems to have gone off the rails
Angered by Britain's decision to put Kenya on its 'red list' of banned countries with coronavirus infection rates, President Uhuru Kenyatta's government responded by cancelling all direct flights...
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President Nyusi will chair the emergency summit on 8 April having tried to minimise the crisis
Three years after the start of the insurgency in Cabo Delgado which has so far claimed 2,500 lives and displaced over 700,000 President Filipe Nyusi has at last...
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The third wave of the pandemic has hit the country with reports of a mounting death toll and desperate shortages of intensive care beds
On Friday (26 March), President Uhuru Kenyatta announced tighter restrictions on Nairobi, Kajiado, Machakos, Kiambu and Nakuru counties, as disease-infested areas following a surge in Covid-19 infections. An...
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As horrendous reports emerge abuses of civilians in the embattled region, Addis Ababa admits involvement of Eritrean troops
International pressure seems to have prompted Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed to declare on 26 March that Eritrean troops will withdraw from the Tigray region after reports of their...
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The recession may worsen security clashes across the country
Youth unemployment in Nigeria is now worse than in South Africa, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in Abuja. That means that in Africa's two biggest...
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The diplomatic rifts caused by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government over the Tigray conflict are getting deeper
After toughening its language in recent weeks, the United States government is despatching Senator Chris Coons to meet Abiy Ahmed and African Union officials in Addis Ababa to...
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Concerns that another disputed election could trigger more conflict as oil-dominated economy hits more trouble
The death of opposition candidate Guy-Brice Parfait Kolélas from Covid–19 has cast a shadow over another orchestrated election victory for President Denis Sassou-Nguesso after voting on 21 March....
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The UN's latest report strikes a more positive note if commodity prices hold up and there is more flexibility on debt
This year's rebound in commodity prices and the fact that Africa's public health systems have experienced far less pressure from the pandemic than initially feared are two glimmers...
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Some $2.4 billion of British trade is at stake in the renewed conflict in the Western Sahara
Britain, which launched its grand foreign policy review this week, has become entangled in the long-running saga over whether trade deals with Morocco apply to products coming from...
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Vol 62 No 6 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Parliament to vote on investigation of Public Protector Mkhwebane accused of colluding with ex-President Zuma
Obsequies and judicial matters are set to dominate the agenda in South Africa this week. The country is debating the legacy of the Zulu King Goodwill Zwelithini, who...
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Vol 62 No 6 |
- ECONOMY
- AFRICA
Although it's campaigning for debt relief, the AfFB is more upbeat than the other multilaterals on the continent's prospects for recovery this year
Africa will recover from its worst recession in half a century and reach growth of 3.4% in 2021, but long-term structural damage to the continent's economies is inevitable....
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Banking on the country's diversified economy and its IMF deal, finance officials are going back to the markets
Treasury officials are basing their plans for debt-restructuring and another Eurobond issue on a rapid bounce back from the pandemic's hit on tourism and commodity exports – several...
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The government wants to impose higher taxes and borrow more to cut the deficit but controversies swirl over the retirement of the Auditor General and plans for a gold royalties company
In Accra today (12 March), Parliamentary Affairs Minister Osei Kyei Mensah was to set out the details of Ghana's spending and borrowing plans for this year. A plan...
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Pressure is mounting on officials to explain the whereabouts of President Magufuli amid conflicting reports about his health
At first it was cryptic tweets from well-informed local commentators and the subject of discreet diplomatic conversations, and then reporters took up the search last week. Tanzania's President...
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Parallel stories of economic and security breakdown are playing out without reference to each other
Some of Nigeria's most eminent cultural, diplomatic, business and religious figures warned on 6 March that the latest wave of criminality and violence was threatening the stability and...
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Amid the data drought, scare stories and cover-ups on Covid-19, there are signs that President Magufuli’s position is belatedly changing
As more officials and politicians fall victim to the Coronavirus amid mounting local and international criticism of President John Magufuli's downplaying of the crisis, there are signs of...
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Critics call for Museveni's officials to be sanctioned over election and political violence as opposition prepares more protests
Although National Unity Platform leader Bobi Wine dropped his Supreme Court challenge against the official declaration that President Yoweri Museveni had won 59% of the votes in the...
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Defeated candidate Mahama claims government is undermining democratic process and state accountability
As supporters of the New Patriotic Party celebrated the Supreme Court's unanimous rejection of the opposition petition alleging serial incompetence in the handling of the 7 December presidential...
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Glitches in distribution in Western countries is holding back efforts to get vaccines to Africa
Vaccine nationalism, along with opacity on pricing and the refusal of Western countries to lift intellectual property restrictions on vaccine manufacture, are among the biggest obstacles facing Africa's...
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Vol 62 No 5 |
- CÔTE D'IVOIRE
The elections could lay the ground for the political comeback of the ousted president, Laurent Gbagbo
Four months after the presidential elections – marred by post-election violence in which scores died – at which President Alassane Ouattara claimed a third term, the opposition alliance...
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Vol 62 No 5 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Budget wins a few friends as Treasury prepares for court battle with unions over wage freeze
All but the most hardened critics of the African National Congress government on left and right gave Finance Minister Tito Mboweni's budget on 24 February pass marks, mainly...
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President Buhari rejects northern state governors' planned amnesty for gangs after latest armed abductions
The grim toll of armed attacks over the past week in northern Nigeria has reopened debate about the response from the over-stretched military and under-staffed national police force....
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Strong majority at national and county level for constitutional amendment and more devolution
The Building Bridges Initiative has taken a big step towards becoming reality after the Constitutional Amendment bill that will put it into law was passed by 41 of...
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Diplomatic calls to regional leaders try to coordinate policy towards Premier Abiy's government
Abiy Ahmed's government is increasingly embattled as criticism grows from the European Union and wider international system about the humanitarian emergency in Tigray as fighting continues for a...
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Vol 62 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
The Finance Minister wants to raise 40 billion rand over the next four years and slow down borrowing
A year of economic slowdown worsened by the Coronavirus pandemic has rendered the choices faced by Finance Minister Tito Mboweni this week still starker.
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Vol 62 No 4 |
- ETHIOPIA
- SUDAN
Role of Egypt and UAE in region under scrutiny as Washington changes its posture
Like a game of three-dimensional chess, the revived border disputes between Addis Ababa and Khartoum about sovereignty over the fertile Al Fashqa area, have been layered on top...
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The US and European countries, while prioritising their own populations for vaccination, are beginning to commit to a more credible global policy on immunisation
French President Macron and United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson were among the first to pledge to offer surplus vaccine supplies at the end of last week, with...
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Officials concerned at President Farmajo's position on voting delays and signs that growing opposition protests against his rule will fuel more violence
United Nations Security Council (UNSC) members will discuss the situation in Somalia at a video-conference on Monday (22 February), after gunfire broke out in Mogadishu on Friday when...
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Vol 62 No 4 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
In court again on corruption charges, the ANC Secretary General faces mounting pressure to stand aside
What happens at Bloemfontein magistrates court today (19 February) will be another test of strength for dissidents in the African National Congress.
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Former head of state urges state governors to speak responsibly, reminding them of road to 1967-1970 civil war
General Abdulsalami Abubakar, who took over as head of state after the death of military leader Gen. Sani Abacha in 1998, stepped out of the shadows for a...
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As President of the European Council this year, Portugal is prioritising commercial and security ties with Africa
João Gomes Cravinho, Portugal's defence minister, wants to strengthen political dialogue between the European Union and African decision-makers. Most European countries have military missions in Africa but...
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The unwieldy coalition in Nairobi is going from big tent to bloated tent
When President Uhuru Kenyatta shuffled and expanded his pack of ministers on Thursday (19 February) it was his 'handshake' partners, Orange Democratic Movement party leader Raila Odinga and...
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Legal battles proliferate over pollution and tax as government braces for oil decline
As the pandemic recession and the push for a green energy transition hasten the winding down of the hydrocarbon economy, big oil companies are contending with falling profits...
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Defence lawyer for Kenya's Deputy President Ruto in the aborted political killings trial gets top post at the ICC
The appointment of Karim Khan as new prosecutor of the International Criminal Court on 12 February has been commended by the British and Kenyan governments but condemned by...
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UK and US critique of Kigali's political record raises questions about its hosting of the Commonwealth summit
The death in custody of revered Rwandan musician Kizito Mihigo and the coming trial of Paul Rusesabagina, the hero of the movie Hotel Rwanda, are focusing renewed attention...
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Top UN official's bid for the presidency in 2022 complications for the other contenders
Political alliances have been shaken up again after the former trade minister in President Mwai Kibaki's government, Mukhisa Kituyi, resigned as Secretary General of the UN Conference on...
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Vol 62 No 3 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
Solemn national address prioritises local production and green energy transition
In a nearly empty parliament on yesterday evening (11 February) President Cyril Ramaphosa resorted to pastoral analogies to convey the devastation of the coronavirus pandemic and fire up...
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Despite differences with the IMF over devaluation, market expects further weakening of currency and more borrowing
Although central bank governor Godwin Emefiele is holding to the line that a formal devaluation of the naira is unnecessary – traders claim it is overvalued by as...
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Vol 62 No 3 |
- FRANCE
- SAHEL
- G5
Although Paris wants to scale back its commitment to the Sahel operation, it's unclear which countries fill the gap
France's President Emmanuel Macron is likely to cut more troops from the region at next week's G5 Sahel summit in Chad on Monday and Tuesday (15 and 16...
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African Union and UN warn politicians that their support will end without consensus on vote plan
On paper, Mohamed Abdullah Mohamed 'Farmajo''s presidential term will end on 15 February. But he shows no signs of vacating the post after plans to organise an indirect...
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Vaccine distribution, fishing subsidies and e-commerce agreement top the priority list for new the director-general
On 5 February, the race to lead the WTO ended, leaving Nigeria's former finance minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala as the sole remaining candidate. Early in the day South Korea...
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Politicians and civic activists agree on a national unity government to prepare for elections at the end of this year
The vote in Geneva on 5 February to establish an interim government of national unity to replace the two rival administrations paves the way for elections on 24...
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The county governments are to debate the Building Bridges Initiative which will boost their budgets
The National Assembly will resume sitting on Tuesday (9 February) but personal power struggles rather than new policies are set to dominate this session despite concerns about the...
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The petition to rerun the elections is at a turning point and vetting starts for the ministerial nominees
This week, Tsatsu Tsikata, a leading member of the opposition National Democratic Congress's legal team, is due to cross-examine Jean Mensa, the chairwoman of the Electoral Commission (EC),...
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Vol 62 No 3 |
- SOUTH AFRICA
February will be decision month for President Ramaphosa and finance chief Tito Mboweni
The grandiose state opening of parliament and state of the nation address scheduled for 11 February have been radically scaled down, not only to meet the public health...
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Until now Western governments have backed the President as a regional security ally and ignored local political skulduggery
President Yoweri Museveni's decision to order the suspension of the European-funded Democratic Governance Facility risks further provoking the European Union into imposing sanctions against him.
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As the UN and the European Union warn about Tigray's crisis, Premier Abiy's government will keep the issue off the summit agenda
This weekend's summit of the African Union, held partly in Addis Ababa and partly online, will struggle to avert its gaze from the multiplying crises around the organisation's...
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While the Jubilee Party establishment paid homage to the late President Daniel arap Moi, Deputy President William Ruto was campaigning on the Coast
If funerals are Kenyan politicians' favourite platform for campaigning, the memorial service to mark the anniversary of former President Daniel arap Moi's death in Nakuru was the next...
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Vol 62 No 3 |
- AFRICAN UNION
Regional security concerns, continental trade, the pandemic and its economic effects will dominate the agenda
This week the guard is changing at the African Union when it holds its summit, a mixture of face-to-face and virtual meetings, in Addis Ababa on 6-7 February.
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Two Presidents have been named in legal fight pitting Maputo against Privinvest and Credit Suisse
Attorney-General Beatriz Buchili's civil case in London against Credit Suisse and Abu-Dhabi shipbuilder Privinvest over the $2 billion secret loans saga – asserting the arrangements were illegal and...
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Calls grow for international sanctions against state repression as evidence of vote-rigging emerges
After two weeks of house arrest, the military siege around opposition leader Bobi Wine's home has been gradually lifted and he responded by filing a challenge on 1...
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If it wins enough votes, the plan could bar the Deputy President from the succession race
After Musalia Mudavadi's Amani National Congress revealed that it had instructed its legal team to draft articles of impeachment, the idea has been enthusiastically taken up by William...
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President 'Farmajo' tries to mend fences in the region after another spate of attacks
At least nine people were killed on 31 January when a car bomb exploded outside Hotel Afrik in central Mogadishu, followed by a shootout between Al Shabaab fighters...
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The pandemic's economic effects and Brexit disruptions have diverted focus on business deals with Africa
A year ago at its inaugural Africa Investment conference, the United Kingdom's prime minister Boris Johnson hosted 16 African heads of state, resulting in commercial deals across the...
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Sacking of the high command is part of a wider security reorganisation
Security experts in Abuja estimate that Nigeria's military, being deployed in over 30 of the country's 36 states, is under more pressure today than at any time since...
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Government keeps close watch on youthful opposition movement as discontents surge after elections marred by state violence
After a High Court ruling on Monday (25 January) ordering police and army officers to leave Bobi Wine's home, which they had surrounded since election day on 14...
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Standoff between the president and prime minister over naming of new minister complicates political crisis
President Kais Saied, who has taken a conciliatory line towards the youthful demonstrators in Tunis and the major cities, is opposing Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi's choice of 11...
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Vol 62 No 3 |
- CONGO-KINSHASA
Political shift in Kinshasa threatens former leader Kabila and his business associates
The government of Prime Minister Sylvestre Ilunga, a close ally of former president Joseph Kabila, has fallen after the National Assembly in Kinshasa passed a censure motion against...
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In what should be a safe seat for their combined forces, Kenyatta and Odinga seem to have reservations about the vote
The next pitched battle between Deputy President William Ruto and the 'handshake' coalition of President Uhuru Kenyatta and erstwhile opposition leader Raila Odinga is centred over whether and...
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The team at Africa Confidential wish you all the best for the coming year and that we will see substantive progress towards ending the pandemic and its accompanying economic and social damage.
There are prospects of success following the fast-track development of different vaccines against Covid-19, produced by Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, Oxford University/AstraZeneca, Johnson & Johnson, China's Sinopharm and Russia's Sputnik...
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